This opponent (Pordenone) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
P
Pordenone
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.13
1.27
0.60
1.13
1.67
vs Stronger (11)
1.18
1.00
1.20
0.20
1.17
1.67
vs Similar (19)
1.21
1.21
1.30
0.80
1.11
1.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Crotone) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
77.9%
Under 1.5
22.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
53.0%
@ 1.93+4.0%
Under 2.5
47.0%
@ 1.85-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.7%
Under 3.5
69.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.3%
No
47.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.7%
2-0
10.6%
1-0 ✓
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
0-0
7.2%
3-0
6.6%
3-1
6.1%
1-2
5.0%
Crotone goals ↓
Pordenone goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.2%
4.6%
2.7%
0.8%
0.2%
1
10%
12%
5.0%
1.5%
0.4%
2
11%
9.9%
4.6%
1.4%
0.3%
3
6.6%
6.1%
2.9%
0.9%
0.2%
4
3.1%
2.9%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Crotone goals (down), columns = Pordenone goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Benevento
2.26
Crotone
1.79
Spezia
1.61
Pordenone
1.53
Cittadella
1.53
Chievo
1.47
Frosinone
1.42
Pisa
1.42
Empoli
1.42
Salernitana
1.37
Venezia
1.32
Cremonese
1.29
Virtus Entella
1.26
Ascoli
1.21
Trapani
1.21
Cosenza
1.21
Pescara
1.18
Perugia
1.18
Juve Stabia
1.08
Livorno
0.55
Crotone is 0.26 points better than Pordenone in terms of average points per game (1.79 vs 1.53).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Benevento
1.76
Crotone
1.66
Spezia
1.42
Salernitana
1.39
Ascoli
1.32
Cosenza
1.32
Pisa
1.29
Cittadella
1.29
Pescara
1.26
Chievo
1.26
Trapani
1.26
Pordenone
1.26
Empoli
1.24
Juve Stabia
1.24
Virtus Entella
1.21
Cremonese
1.11
Frosinone
1.08
Perugia
1.00
Venezia
0.97
Livorno
0.79
Crotone is 0.39 goals better than Pordenone in terms of goals scored per game (1.66 vs 1.26).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Benevento
0.71
Frosinone
1.00
Chievo
1.00
Spezia
1.05
Crotone
1.05
Venezia
1.05
Cremonese
1.13
Pisa
1.18
Pordenone
1.21
Empoli
1.26
Perugia
1.29
Cosenza
1.29
Cittadella
1.29
Salernitana
1.32
Virtus Entella
1.32
Pescara
1.45
Ascoli
1.53
Trapani
1.58
Juve Stabia
1.66
Livorno
1.76
Crotone is 0.16 goals better than Pordenone in terms of goals conceded per game (1.05 vs 1.21).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
C
Crotone
For 5.5 · Against 3.8 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.1 · Against 3.8 · Total 6.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.2 · Against 16.5 · Total 32.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
P
Pordenone
For 3.7 · Against 7.0 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.1 · Against 2.6 · Total 5.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.3 · Against 14.5 · Total 29.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
C
Crotone
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.7
10.7
10.7
5.3
5.1
5.5
31.4
29.9
32.8
vs Stronger (19)
10.8
10.9
10.8
5.8
5.7
5.9
31.3
31.7
30.9
vs Similar (31)
10.6
10.6
10.6
5.0
4.7
5.2
31.5
28.9
33.9
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
58%
67%
50%
76%
75%
77%
96%
92%
100%
% under line
42%
33%
50%
24%
25%
23%
4%
8%
0%
This opponent (Pordenone) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
P
Pordenone
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (33)
10.3
9.8
10.9
5.5
5.5
5.5
31.4
30.8
32.0
vs Stronger (13)
9.6
9.4
9.8
5.5
5.3
5.7
32.2
31.9
32.5
vs Similar (20)
10.8
10.1
11.5
5.5
5.7
5.4
30.9
30.1
31.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
42%
41%
44%
88%
88%
88%
97%
94%
100%
% under line
58%
59%
56%
12%
12%
12%
3%
6%
0%
This opponent (Crotone) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Juve Stabia
10.8
Crotone
10.7
Cittadella
10.6
Perugia
10.4
Pordenone
10.3
Virtus Entella
10.2
Frosinone
9.8
Cremonese
9.8
Cosenza
9.7
Spezia
9.7
Empoli
9.7
Livorno
9.5
Venezia
9.4
Salernitana
9.4
Trapani
9.3
Pescara
9.3
Benevento
9.2
Chievo
9.2
Pisa
9.2
Ascoli
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Juve Stabia
6.6
Pisa
6.5
Ascoli
6.0
Salernitana
6.0
Livorno
6.0
Cosenza
5.6
Cittadella
5.6
Pordenone
5.5
Trapani
5.5
Benevento
5.4
Virtus Entella
5.4
Spezia
5.4
Chievo
5.4
Venezia
5.3
Crotone
5.3
Perugia
5.1
Frosinone
5.1
Pescara
5.1
Cremonese
4.8
Empoli
4.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Salernitana
34.2
Livorno
33.4
Pisa
33.1
Juve Stabia
32.8
Cittadella
32.2
Frosinone
32.1
Perugia
32.1
Virtus Entella
31.8
Chievo
31.6
Crotone
31.4
Pordenone
31.4
Ascoli
31.3
Venezia
31.1
Cosenza
31.0
Benevento
31.0
Trapani
30.4
Pescara
30.0
Spezia
29.7
Cremonese
28.4
Empoli
28.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
52.3%
Under 9.5
47.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
82.3%
Under 3.5
17.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
96.4%
Under 21.5
3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
C
Crotone
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.50
0.93
0.36
0.88
0.62
vs Stronger (11)
0.73
0.91
0.20
0.40
1.17
1.33
vs Similar (19)
1.00
0.26
1.33
0.33
0.70
0.20
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Pordenone) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
P
Pordenone
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.50
0.67
0.13
0.67
0.87
vs Stronger (11)
0.64
0.64
0.80
0.00
0.50
1.17
vs Similar (19)
0.68
0.42
0.60
0.20
0.78
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Crotone) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Crotone over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crotone over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crotone over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pordenone over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pordenone over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pordenone over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
C
Crotone
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.67
1.21
0.57
0.56
0.75
vs Stronger (11)
0.91
0.45
1.40
0.40
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (19)
0.84
0.79
1.11
0.67
0.60
0.90
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Pordenone) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
P
Pordenone
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.63
0.60
0.47
0.47
0.80
vs Stronger (11)
0.55
0.36
0.40
0.20
0.67
0.50
vs Similar (19)
0.53
0.79
0.70
0.60
0.33
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Crotone) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Crotone over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crotone over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crotone over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pordenone over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pordenone over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pordenone over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
96.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
92.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
91.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
84.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
82.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
77.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Italy: Serie B 2019/20 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →