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Crotone vs Vicenza Virtus Result & Analysis

Date: 27/02/2016
Time: 00:00
Final 2-0
C
Crotone
Vs
58%
26%
16%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Vicenza Virtus
Vicenza Virtus
Italy: Serie B
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crotone win✓ Hit
58.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Vicenza Virtus win✗ Miss
16.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

C
Crotone

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W22D00D21W31W10W12L32W11D11DH·MOD13/12A·LAT19/12H·TRA23/12A·VIR27/12H·CAG18/01A·NOV23/01H·PER30/01A·BAR05/02H·PRO13/02A·SAL21/02
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.630.852.150.621.141.07
vs Stronger (8)1.881.002.500.501.251.50
vs Similar (19)1.530.792.000.671.100.90
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %48% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Vicenza Virtus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Vicenza VirtusVicenza Virtus

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L14L11D21W10W12L11D02L11D00DH·BRE12/12A·VIR19/12H·LAT23/12H·MOD16/01A·PER19/01A·BAR23/01A·COM30/01H·VIR06/02A·PES12/02H·AVE20/02
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.041.221.001.081.071.36
vs Stronger (9)1.001.221.501.250.601.20
vs Similar (18)1.061.220.781.001.331.44
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Crotone) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.7%
Under 1.5
26.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
47.3%
Under 2.5
52.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.7%
Under 3.5
74.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
47.4%
No
52.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
12.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-0 ✓
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.8%
3-0
6.8%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
5.2%
Crotone goals ↓
Vicenza Virtus goals →
01234
08.8%5.2%2.6%0.7%0.1%
112%12%4.5%1.2%0.3%
212%9.6%4.0%1.1%0.2%
36.8%5.6%2.3%0.6%0.1%
43.0%2.4%1.0%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Crotone goals (down), columns = Vicenza Virtus goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Cagliari
1.98
Crotone
1.95
Trapani
1.74
Pescara
1.71
Cesena
1.62
Bari
1.62
Novara
1.60
Spezia
1.57
Virtus Entella
1.52
Perugia
1.31
Brescia
1.29
Ternana
1.26
Avellino
1.17
Vicenza Virtus
1.17
Virtus
1.14
Ascoli
1.12
Latina
1.10
Pro Vercelli
1.10
Salernitana
1.07
Livorno
1.00
Modena
1.00
Como
0.79
Crotone is 0.79 points better than Vicenza Virtus in terms of average points per game (1.95 vs 1.17).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Cagliari
1.83
Pescara
1.64
Trapani
1.52
Crotone
1.45
Bari
1.38
Cesena
1.36
Novara
1.36
Brescia
1.31
Avellino
1.24
Virtus Entella
1.21
Ternana
1.19
Salernitana
1.14
Spezia
1.12
Ascoli
1.07
Livorno
1.07
Latina
1.05
Pro Vercelli
1.02
Virtus
1.02
Vicenza Virtus
0.98
Perugia
0.95
Como
0.93
Modena
0.88
Crotone is 0.48 goals better than Vicenza Virtus in terms of goals scored per game (1.45 vs 0.98).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Novara
0.83
Crotone
0.86
Cesena
0.88
Perugia
0.95
Virtus Entella
0.95
Cagliari
0.98
Spezia
1.07
Bari
1.14
Trapani
1.17
Latina
1.21
Pescara
1.24
Pro Vercelli
1.26
Vicenza Virtus
1.26
Modena
1.31
Ternana
1.33
Virtus
1.33
Livorno
1.36
Salernitana
1.45
Como
1.52
Ascoli
1.52
Brescia
1.52
Avellino
1.57
Crotone is 0.40 goals better than Vicenza Virtus in terms of goals conceded per game (0.86 vs 1.26).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

C
Crotone

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Vicenza VirtusVicenza Virtus

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

C
Crotone

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (27)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (8)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (19)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Vicenza Virtus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Vicenza VirtusVicenza Virtus

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (27)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (9)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (18)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Crotone) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Not collected for this league yet.

🟨 Total Cards

Not collected for this league yet.

⚠️ Total Fouls

Not collected for this league yet.
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

C
Crotone

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L00D21W21W10W10W10W01L11DH·MOD13/12A·LAT19/12H·TRA23/12A·VIR27/12H·CAG18/01A·NOV23/01H·PER30/01A·BAR05/02H·PRO13/02A·SAL21/02
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.370.770.310.640.43
vs Stronger (8)0.750.381.000.500.500.25
vs Similar (19)0.680.370.670.220.700.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Vicenza Virtus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Vicenza VirtusVicenza Virtus

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L11D01L01L00D01L00D00D00D00DH·BRE12/12A·VIR19/12H·LAT23/12H·MOD16/01A·PER19/01A·BAR23/01A·COM30/01H·VIR06/02A·PES12/02H·AVE20/02
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.440.590.460.620.430.57
vs Stronger (9)0.330.780.751.000.000.60
vs Similar (18)0.500.500.330.440.670.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %52% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Crotone) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Crotone over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crotone over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crotone over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vicenza Virtus over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vicenza Virtus over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vicenza Virtus over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

C
Crotone

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W21W00D00D10W00D02L22D10W00DH·MOD13/12A·LAT19/12H·TRA23/12A·VIR27/12H·CAG18/01A·NOV23/01H·PER30/01A·BAR05/02H·PRO13/02A·SAL21/02
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.481.380.310.500.64
vs Stronger (8)1.120.621.500.000.751.25
vs Similar (19)0.840.421.330.440.400.40
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Vicenza Virtus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Vicenza VirtusVicenza Virtus

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W03L10W20W10W11D11D02L11D00DH·BRE12/12A·VIR19/12H·LAT23/12H·MOD16/01A·PER19/01A·BAR23/01A·COM30/01H·VIR06/02A·PES12/02H·AVE20/02
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.590.630.540.460.640.79
vs Stronger (9)0.670.440.750.250.600.60
vs Similar (18)0.560.720.440.560.670.89
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %56% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Crotone) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Crotone over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crotone over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crotone over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vicenza Virtus over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vicenza Virtus over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vicenza Virtus over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.574.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.573.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (34)
€488m
CAG (31)
€134m
MOD (28)
€31m
CES (32)
€28m
AVE (27)
€26m
VV (26)
€11m
SPE (34)
€11m
VE (27)
€11m
ASC (29)
€11m
PES (27)
€8m
BAR (22)
€8m
VIR (15)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (13)
€261m
CAG (11)
€51m
CES (10)
€10m
MOD (9)
€7m
AVE (10)
€6m
ASC (11)
€5m
PES (10)
€4m
SPE (10)
€3m
VE (7)
€3m
VV (6)
€2m
BAR (6)
€2m
VIR (5)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (7)
€83m
CAG (9)
€31m
MOD (9)
€11m
AVE (6)
€9m
VE (11)
€6m
CES (9)
€5m
VV (12)
€5m
SPE (11)
€4m
BAR (6)
€3m
ASC (6)
€3m
PES (6)
€1m
VIR (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (14)
€144m
CAG (11)
€52m
MOD (10)
€12m
CES (13)
€12m
AVE (11)
€11m
SPE (13)
€4m
VV (8)
€4m
PES (11)
€3m
BAR (10)
€3m
ASC (12)
€3m
VE (9)
€2m
VIR (6)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
CRO wins
1
Draws
0
VV wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Crotone vs Vicenza Virtus · H/A from CRO
DateH/AGameScore
10/10/15AVicenza Virtus Vs CRO0-0

C
Crotone

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/02/16ASalernitana Vs CRO1-1
13/02/16HCRO Vs Pro Vercelli1-1
05/02/16ABari Vs CRO2-3
30/01/16HCRO Vs Perugia1-2
23/01/16ANovara Vs CRO0-1
18/01/16HCRO Vs Cagliari3-1
27/12/15AVirtus Entella Vs CRO1-2
23/12/15HCRO Vs Trapani0-0
19/12/15ALatina Vs CRO2-2
13/12/15HCRO Vs Modena1-0

Vicenza VirtusVicenza Virtus

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/02/16HVV Vs Avellino0-0
12/02/16APescara Vs VV1-1
06/02/16HVV Vs Virtus0-2
30/01/16AComo Vs VV1-1
23/01/16ABari Vs VV2-1
19/01/16APerugia Vs VV0-1
16/01/16HVV Vs Modena2-1
23/12/15HVV Vs Latina1-1
19/12/15AVirtus Entella Vs VV4-1
12/12/15HVV Vs Brescia1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

C
Crotone
Italy: Serie B
Recent: 5 Wins / 4 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWDD2.07
HomeWDWLD2.31
AwayDWWWD1.86
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %59%69%50%
AVG goals2.482.772.21
Over 1.5 %70%85%57%
Over 2.5 %48%62%36%
Over 3.5 %30%31%29%
Scored1.632.151.14
Conceded0.850.621.07
BTTS48%54%43%
Clean Sheet48%46%50%
Corners---
Cards---
Vicenza Virtus
Vicenza Virtus
Italy: Serie B
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLDD1.11
HomeLDWLD1.08
AwayLWLDD1.14
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%15%29%
AVG goals2.262.082.43
Over 1.5 %70%69%71%
Over 2.5 %41%38%43%
Over 3.5 %19%15%21%
Scored1.041.001.07
Conceded1.221.081.36
BTTS52%46%57%
Clean Sheet30%38%21%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CagliariCagliari4283
60%
2.0
7741+36
2.8
83%
62%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
134
5131521.81.0
-
2
C
Crotone		4282
55%
2.0
6136+25
2.3
69%
43%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.50.9
-
3
T
Trapani		4273
48%
1.7
6449+15
2.7
76%
60%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.2
-
4PescaraPescara4272
50%
1.7
6952+17
2.9
74%
60%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
4131.61.2
-
5CesenaCesena4268
45%
1.6
5737+20
2.2
76%
40%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
28
105121.40.9
-
6BariBari4268
45%
1.6
5848+10
2.5
67%
52%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
2331.41.1
-
7
N
Novara		4267
45%
1.6
5735+22
2.2
60%
38%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.40.8
-
8SpeziaSpezia4266
40%
1.6
4745+2
2.2
62%
40%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
3441.11.1
-
9Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella4264
40%
1.5
5140+11
2.2
57%
40%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
3621.21.0
-
10PerugiaPerugia4255
33%
1.3
4040+0
1.9
57%
33%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
11BresciaBrescia4254
33%
1.3
5564-9
2.8
79%
64%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.5
-
12TernanaTernana4253
36%
1.3
5056-6
2.5
74%
57%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.3
-
13Vicenza VirtusVicenza Virtus4249
26%
1.2
4153-12
2.2
74%
43%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
2541.01.3
-
14AvellinoAvellino4249
31%
1.2
5266-14
2.8
81%
57%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
26
69111.21.6
-
15VirtusVirtus4248
29%
1.1
4356-13
2.4
74%
43%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.01.3
-
16AscoliAscoli4247
31%
1.1
4564-19
2.6
69%
55%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
5331.11.5
-
17
L
Latina		4246
24%
1.1
4451-7
2.3
67%
43%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.2
-
18
PV
Pro Vercelli		4246
26%
1.1
4353-10
2.3
69%
31%
10%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
19SalernitanaSalernitana4245
21%
1.1
4861-13
2.6
76%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.5
-
20
L
Livorno		4242
24%
1.0
4557-12
2.4
69%
50%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.4
-
21ModenaModena4242
26%
1.0
3755-18
2.2
67%
38%
10%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
31
711120.91.3
-
22ComoComo4233
12%
0.8
3964-25
2.5
83%
38%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
488
261831440.91.5
-
Italy: Serie B 2015/16 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →

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