Crystal Palace’s recent form, after two straight defeats, shows a team still capable of scoring, averaging 1.33 goals at home while conceding 0.78 against similar opposition. Ipswich, on the other hand, has been more prolific away, netting 1.5 goals but leaking 2.0 against comparable teams. The model projects a high-scoring encounter with an expected total of 3.2 goals, the most likely total being three goals at a 22% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with an 11.1% chance. Home win is the favoured outcome, with a 49% chance, draw 25%, and away win 27%. Suggested picks include Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.6% with a 5% edge, Under 7.5 at 98.3%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.1% with a 5% edge, Under 6.5 at 95.5%, Away under 3.5 goals at 95.2%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 95.1% with a 4% edge, Away under 1.5 HT goals at 91.2% with a 1% edge, and Under 5.5 at 89.3%.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Crystal Palace win
48.7%
Avg Implied 49.9% · @ 1.89
Edge
-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.96
Marathonbet
1.93
Pinnacle
1.93
William Hil
1.91
Betano
1.90
Draw
24.6%
Avg Implied 26.2% · @ 3.60
Edge
-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.86
Marathonbet
3.80
Pinnacle
3.77
Betano
3.65
Betfair
3.60
Ipswich win
26.7%
Avg Implied 24.0% · @ 3.93
Edge
+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
4.06
Betano
4.05
Dafabet
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
4.00
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Crystal Palace
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.40
1.20
1.07
1.13
1.73
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
3.00
1.00
3.00
0.50
3.00
vs Similar (19)
1.32
1.21
1.33
0.78
1.30
1.60
vs Weaker (6)
1.00
0.67
1.00
0.00
1.00
1.33
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Ipswich) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ipswich
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.80
1.13
2.07
0.73
1.53
1.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
1.62
1.69
1.80
1.20
1.50
2.00
vs Weaker (17)
1.94
0.71
2.20
0.50
1.57
1.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Crystal Palace) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
84.0%
@ 1.28+11.0%
Under 1.5
16.0%
@ 3.48-11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.31
Unibet
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Pinnacle
1.28
Under
Bet365
3.75
Pinnacle
3.66
10Bet
3.50
Unibet
3.50
Betano
3.50
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
62.2%
@ 1.90+12.3%
Under 2.5
37.8%
@ 1.90-12.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.97
1xBet
1.96
Unibet
1.93
Betano
1.93
Bet365
1.91
Under
1xBet
1.98
Pinnacle
1.94
Betano
1.93
Marathonbet
1.92
Bet365
1.91
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
40.0%
@ 3.20+10.7%
Under 3.5
60.0%
@ 1.33-10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.40
Unibet
3.35
10Bet
3.25
Pinnacle
3.22
Betano
3.20
Under
Betano
1.36
Pinnacle
1.34
Bet365
1.33
10Bet
1.33
BetVictor
1.32
Both teams to score
Yes
63.5%
@ 1.77+10.7%
No
36.5%
@ 1.98-10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.83
Bet365
1.80
Betano
1.78
Unibet
1.76
Marathonbet
1.75
No
Betfair
2.05
10Bet
2.00
BetVictor
2.00
1xBet
1.98
Betano
1.98
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.1%@ 6.38+4.1%
2-1
9.4%@ 7.80+3.7%
2-0
7.0%@ 8.42+1.7%
1-2
6.8%@ 12.00+3.1%
1-0
6.5%@ 6.70-0.2%
2-2
6.4%@ 13.47+3.0%
3-1
5.9%@ 13.45+2.5%
0-0
5.0%@ 9.50+0.3%
Crystal Palace goals ↓
Ipswich goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.0%
4.4%
3.6%
1.6%
0.6%
1
6.5%
11%
6.8%
3.1%
1.0%
2
7.0%
9.4%
6.4%
2.8%
1.0%
3
4.4%
5.9%
3.9%
1.8%
0.6%
4
2.0%
2.7%
1.8%
0.8%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Crystal Palace goals (down), columns = Ipswich goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Arsenal
2.24
Manchester City
2.05
Manchester United
1.87
Aston Villa
1.71
Liverpool
1.58
Bournemouth
1.50
Sunderland
1.42
Brentford
1.39
Brighton
1.39
Fulham
1.37
Chelsea
1.37
Everton
1.29
Newcastle
1.29
Leeds
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.18
Ipswich
1.18
Nottingham Forest
1.16
Tottenham
1.08
Hull
0.98
Coventry
0.97
Crystal Palace is 0.00 points better than Ipswich in terms of average points per game (1.18 vs 1.18).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.03
Arsenal
1.87
Manchester United
1.82
Liverpool
1.66
Chelsea
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.47
Brentford
1.45
Newcastle
1.39
Brighton
1.37
Leeds
1.29
Tottenham
1.26
Nottingham Forest
1.26
Fulham
1.24
Everton
1.24
Ipswich
1.19
Sunderland
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.08
Hull
0.99
Coventry
0.98
Crystal Palace is 0.12 goals worse than Ipswich in terms of goals scored per game (1.08 vs 1.19).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.71
Manchester City
0.92
Brighton
1.21
Sunderland
1.26
Aston Villa
1.29
Everton
1.32
Manchester United
1.32
Fulham
1.34
Nottingham Forest
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.34
Chelsea
1.37
Brentford
1.37
Liverpool
1.39
Bournemouth
1.42
Newcastle
1.45
Leeds
1.47
Tottenham
1.50
Ipswich
1.58
Hull
1.91
Coventry
1.93
Crystal Palace is 0.24 goals better than Ipswich in terms of goals conceded per game (1.34 vs 1.58).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
60%
Liverpool
59%
Chelsea
57%
Arsenal
56%
Brighton
53%
Aston Villa
53%
Manchester United
52%
Newcastle
52%
Fulham
51%
Tottenham
50%
Bournemouth
50%
Brentford
47%
Nottingham Forest
46%
Leeds
46%
Crystal Palace
45%
Sunderland
45%
Everton
44%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Crystal Palace
For 2.5 · Against 6.8 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.7 · Against 9.9 · Total 19.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ipswich
For 4.9 · Against 4.5 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 12.5 · Total 24.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Crystal Palace
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.6
8.2
9.0
3.5
3.6
3.4
21.0
21.6
20.4
vs Stronger (9)
8.4
7.0
9.6
2.6
2.8
2.4
19.7
18.8
20.4
vs Similar (33)
8.9
8.5
9.2
3.5
3.4
3.5
20.7
21.8
19.8
vs Weaker (8)
7.9
8.2
7.5
4.6
5.0
4.2
23.4
23.8
23.0
% over line
40%
35%
44%
52%
46%
58%
40%
48%
32%
% under line
60%
65%
56%
48%
54%
42%
60%
52%
68%
This opponent (Ipswich) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ipswich
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
10.3
9.7
4.2
3.8
4.6
23.8
23.8
23.8
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
10.6
10.2
10.9
4.5
4.6
4.4
24.3
24.7
23.9
vs Weaker (30)
9.6
10.3
8.9
4.2
3.7
4.7
23.5
23.3
23.7
% over line
43%
44%
42%
60%
46%
75%
67%
64%
71%
% under line
57%
56%
58%
40%
54%
25%
33%
36%
29%
This opponent (Crystal Palace) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Newcastle
11.1
Bournemouth
10.7
Fulham
10.5
Hull
10.3
Manchester City
10.3
Liverpool
10.2
Tottenham
10.1
Chelsea
10.0
Ipswich
10.0
Brentford
9.9
Brighton
9.7
Nottingham Forest
9.7
Manchester United
9.6
Coventry
9.6
Leeds
9.5
Everton
9.3
Aston Villa
9.3
Sunderland
9.1
Arsenal
9.0
Crystal Palace
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Bournemouth
4.5
Tottenham
4.5
Chelsea
4.4
Newcastle
4.3
Ipswich
4.3
Hull
4.2
Sunderland
4.1
Manchester United
4.1
Brighton
4.0
Aston Villa
3.8
Coventry
3.7
Everton
3.7
Manchester City
3.7
Crystal Palace
3.7
Brentford
3.7
Liverpool
3.6
Fulham
3.6
Arsenal
3.5
Leeds
3.5
Nottingham Forest
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Ipswich
23.9
Aston Villa
23.6
Nottingham Forest
23.4
Bournemouth
23.2
Tottenham
22.9
Chelsea
22.7
Sunderland
22.7
Leeds
22.1
Brighton
22.1
Arsenal
22.1
Newcastle
21.8
Everton
21.6
Manchester United
21.5
Liverpool
21.4
Coventry
21.4
Crystal Palace
21.3
Hull
21.1
Manchester City
21.0
Fulham
20.0
Brentford
19.8
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
46.4%
@ 1.86-3.6%
Under 9.5
53.6%
@ 1.86+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.00
10Bet
1.80
Unibet
1.79
Under
10Bet
1.91
Unibet
1.88
Bet365
1.80
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
57.6%
Under 3.5
42.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
55.0%
Under 21.5
45.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Crystal Palace or Draw
73.3%
Avg Implied 75.8% · @ 1.24
Edge
-2.6%
49%
25%
27%
covers Crystal Palace + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
1.28
1xBet
1.28
Betano
1.27
William Hil
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Crystal Palace or Ipswich
75.4%
Avg Implied 74.2% · @ 1.27
Edge
+1.2%
49%
25%
27%
covers Crystal Palace + Ipswich
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
1xBet
1.30
William Hil
1.29
Betano
1.28
Draw or Ipswich
51.3%
Avg Implied 50.0% · @ 1.88
Edge
+1.3%
49%
25%
27%
covers Draw + Ipswich
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.94
Betano
1.93
Marathonbet
1.93
Bet365
1.91
10Bet
1.90
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Crystal Palace over/under 0.5
Over
84.5%
@ 1.18+5.9%
Under
15.5%
@ 4.35-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Unibet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Under
Bet365
4.50
Betfair
4.50
BetVictor
4.40
1xBet
4.40
10Bet
4.33
Crystal Palace over/under 1.5
Over
55.6%
@ 1.91+7.0%
Under
44.4%
@ 1.82-7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.97
Marathonbet
1.95
BetVictor
1.93
1xBet
1.92
Betano
1.91
Under
Marathonbet
1.86
1xBet
1.86
Betano
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Pinnacle
1.83
Crystal Palace over/under 2.5
Over
28.7%
@ 3.92+5.0%
Under
71.3%
@ 1.22-5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
4.10
Pinnacle
4.05
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Marathonbet
3.94
Under
Betano
1.25
1xBet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Crystal Palace over/under 3.5
Over
12.0%
@ 8.96+1.5%
Under
88.0%
@ 1.05-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
Betfair
9.50
1xBet
9.40
Marathonbet
8.60
Betano
7.30
Under
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.04
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Ipswich over/under 0.5
Over
74.0%
@ 1.45+9.8%
Under
26.0%
@ 2.59-9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.47
Betano
1.47
10Bet
1.45
Unibet
1.45
BetVictor
1.44
Under
Pinnacle
2.74
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.62
BetVictor
2.60
Marathonbet
2.58
Ipswich over/under 1.5
Over
38.9%
@ 3.18+9.6%
Under
61.1%
@ 1.32-9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.40
Betfair
3.20
10Bet
3.20
BetVictor
3.20
Marathonbet
3.18
Under
Marathonbet
1.35
1xBet
1.35
Pinnacle
1.33
Betano
1.33
BetVictor
1.30
Ipswich over/under 2.5
Over
15.3%
@ 8.58+4.4%
Under
84.7%
@ 1.05-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
1xBet
8.90
Betfair
8.50
Marathonbet
8.30
Betano
7.20
Under
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
Betfair
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Ipswich over/under 3.5
Over
4.8%
@ 19.00-0.3%
Under
95.2%
@ 1.01+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
26.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Crystal Palace, so a minus line means Crystal Palace give that many goals of a start and Ipswich receive them. At -1, Crystal Palace must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Crystal Palace win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Crystal Palace)
Crystal Palace -2
12.8%
@ 6.95-0.1%
Draw -2
15.1%
@ 5.27-1.9%
Ipswich +2
72.1%
@ 1.28+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
7.50
10Bet
7.00
Bet365
7.00
Unibet
6.75
Marathonbet
6.50
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Marathonbet
5.35
10Bet
5.00
Unibet
5.00
Away
Bet365
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Unibet
1.27
Betfair
1.25
Handicap -1 (Crystal Palace)
Crystal Palace -1
27.9%
@ 3.33+1.0%
Draw -1
20.8%
@ 3.56-4.3%
Ipswich +1
51.3%
@ 1.87+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
3.40
Bet365
3.40
Marathonbet
3.34
10Bet
3.30
Unibet
3.20
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.60
10Bet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.48
Unibet
3.45
Away
Marathonbet
1.93
10Bet
1.90
Unibet
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Betfair
1.83
Handicap +1 (Crystal Palace)
Crystal Palace +1
73.3%
@ 1.23+0.1%
Draw +1
14.7%
@ 5.43-1.8%
Ipswich -1
12.0%
@ 8.76+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.28
Unibet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Betfair
1.20
Draw
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
5.50
Marathonbet
5.30
10Bet
5.25
Unibet
5.10
Away
Bet365
10.00
Betfair
9.50
10Bet
8.50
Unibet
8.00
Marathonbet
7.80
Handicap +2 (Crystal Palace)
Crystal Palace +2
88.0%
@ 1.05+0.2%
Draw +2
7.8%
@ 11.17-0.4%
Ipswich -2
4.1%
@ 23.67+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.06
10Bet
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Draw
Bet365
13.00
Betfair
12.00
10Bet
8.50
Away
Bet365
26.00
Betfair
26.00
10Bet
19.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Crystal Palace
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.73
0.47
0.60
0.73
0.87
vs Stronger (5)
0.00
1.40
0.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (19)
0.79
0.74
0.67
0.67
0.90
0.80
vs Weaker (6)
0.50
0.17
0.33
0.00
0.67
0.33
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Ipswich) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ipswich
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.53
1.07
0.33
0.53
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
0.62
0.69
0.60
0.60
0.62
0.75
vs Weaker (17)
0.94
0.41
1.30
0.20
0.43
0.71
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Crystal Palace) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
72.3%
@ 1.37+4.1%
Under 0.5
27.7%
@ 2.94-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.44
BetVictor
1.39
1xBet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.38
10Bet
1.36
Under
Pinnacle
3.05
1xBet
3.02
Marathonbet
3.02
Bet365
3.00
William Hil
3.00
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
36.8%
@ 2.75+2.9%
Under 1.5
63.2%
@ 1.41-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.87
Pinnacle
2.82
Marathonbet
2.81
1xBet
2.81
Betfair
2.75
Under
Marathonbet
1.43
1xBet
1.43
Betano
1.42
BetVictor
1.42
10Bet
1.42
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
14.2%
@ 7.02+0.9%
Under 2.5
85.8%
@ 1.08-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
8.00
Betfair
7.50
William Hil
7.50
Bet365
7.00
1xBet
6.70
Under
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.10
1xBet
1.08
10Bet
1.08
William Hil
1.08
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Crystal Palace over/under 0.5 HT
Over
61.8%
@ 1.80+10.3%
Under
38.2%
@ 1.91-10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.86
Betano
1.85
Marathonbet
1.80
Unibet
1.78
10Bet
1.77
Under
1xBet
1.95
10Bet
1.95
Betano
1.90
Marathonbet
1.90
Unibet
1.89
Crystal Palace over/under 1.5 HT
Over
24.9%
@ 5.08+6.6%
Under
75.1%
@ 1.14-6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.50
Marathonbet
5.15
Betano
4.90
10Bet
4.75
Under
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.13
1xBet
1.11
Crystal Palace over/under 2.5 HT
Over
4.2%
@ 10.75-4.6%
Under
95.8%
@ 1.03+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Ipswich over/under 0.5 HT
Over
35.6%
@ 2.44-2.4%
Under
64.4%
@ 1.49+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.50
10Bet
2.45
Pinnacle
2.43
Unibet
2.43
Marathonbet
2.41
Under
Pinnacle
1.53
10Bet
1.50
Marathonbet
1.50
Betano
1.50
Unibet
1.47
Ipswich over/under 1.5 HT
Over
9.3%
@ 8.97-1.1%
Under
90.7%
@ 1.04+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
Marathonbet
9.00
Betano
7.90
Under
Betano
1.06
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Ipswich over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.3%
@ 14.00-5.4%
Under
98.7%
@ 1.01+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
14.00
Under
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Crystal Palace
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.67
0.73
0.47
0.40
0.87
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
1.60
1.00
2.00
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (19)
0.53
0.47
0.67
0.11
0.40
0.80
vs Weaker (6)
0.50
0.50
0.67
0.00
0.33
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Ipswich) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ipswich
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.60
1.00
0.40
1.00
0.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
1.00
1.00
1.20
0.60
0.88
1.25
vs Weaker (17)
1.00
0.29
0.90
0.30
1.14
0.29
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Crystal Palace) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
79.8%
@ 1.23+3.9%
Under 0.5
20.2%
@ 3.88-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.24
Marathonbet
1.23
1xBet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Under
Bet365
4.00
Betano
3.95
1xBet
3.94
Marathonbet
3.94
10Bet
3.85
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
50.1%
@ 2.10+5.6%
Under 1.5
49.9%
@ 1.69-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.15
Marathonbet
2.15
William Hil
2.15
Bet365
2.10
Unibet
2.08
Under
Betano
1.75
Marathonbet
1.73
1xBet
1.73
10Bet
1.70
Bet365
1.67
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
23.4%
@ 4.46+2.4%
Under 2.5
76.6%
@ 1.19-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.80
Marathonbet
4.50
Bet365
4.50
1xBet
4.50
10Bet
4.33
Under
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Crystal Palace over/under 0.5 2H
Over
62.2%
@ 1.55+2.2%
Under
37.8%
@ 2.33-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.56
Betano
1.55
Under
Betano
2.35
1xBet
2.30
Crystal Palace over/under 1.5 2H
Over
30.4%
@ 3.63+4.9%
Under
69.6%
@ 1.24-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.72
10Bet
3.70
1xBet
3.60
Betano
3.50
Under
Betano
1.28
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Crystal Palace over/under 2.5 2H
Over
10.9%
@ 8.80+0.3%
Under
89.1%
@ 1.03-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.60
Betano
8.00
Under
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.01
Ipswich over/under 0.5 2H
Over
46.3%
@ 2.05+0.9%
Under
53.7%
@ 1.70-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.05
Betano
2.05
Marathonbet
2.04
Under
Betano
1.72
1xBet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.69
Ipswich over/under 1.5 2H
Over
13.9%
@ 6.32-0.8%
Under
86.1%
@ 1.09+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.60
Marathonbet
6.55
Betano
5.80
Under
Betano
1.11
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Ipswich over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.6%
@ 11.75-5.4%
Under
97.4%
@ 1.02+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.7%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+5.4%
Under 7.5
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.4%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+5.4%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
95.8%
1.03
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
-
+4.6%
Under 6.5
95.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-0.2%
Away under 3.5 goals
95.2%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+0.3%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.7%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
-
-
+1.1%
Under 5.5
89.3%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
1xBet
1.03
-
-
-2.6%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
89.1%
1.03
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
-0.3%
Home under 3.5 goals
88.0%
1.05
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.04
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
-1.5%
Home +2 handicap
88.0%
1.05
Bet365
1.06
10Bet
1.05
Betfair
1.04
-
-
+0.2%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
86.1%
1.09
Betano
1.11
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
-
-
+0.8%
Under 2.5 HT goals
85.8%
1.08
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.10
1xBet
1.08
10Bet
1.08
William Hil
1.08
-0.9%
Away under 2.5 goals
84.7%
1.05
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
Betfair
1.05
1xBet
1.04
-4.4%
Home over 0.5 goals
84.5%
1.18
Betano
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Unibet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.18
+5.9%
Over 1.5
84.0%
1.28
Betano
1.31
Unibet
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Pinnacle
1.28
+11.0%
Over 0.5 2H goals
79.8%
1.23
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.24
Marathonbet
1.23
1xBet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
+3.9%
Under 4.5
77.9%
1.10
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.12
10Bet
1.11
Unibet
1.10
1xBet
1.08
-6.9%
Under 5.5 cards
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
76.6%
1.19
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
-2.4%
Under 11.5 corners
76.3%
1.34
Unibet
1.34
-
-
-
-
+8.1%
Under 25.5 fouls
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
75.4%
1.27
Marathonbet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
1xBet
1.30
William Hil
1.29
Betano
1.28
+1.2%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
75.1%
1.14
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.13
1xBet
1.11
-
-6.6%
Away over 0.5 goals
74.0%
1.45
1xBet
1.47
Betano
1.47
10Bet
1.45
Unibet
1.45
BetVictor
1.44
+9.8%
Home or Draw
73.3%
1.24
Marathonbet
1.28
1xBet
1.28
Betano
1.27
William Hil
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
-2.6%
Home +1 handicap
73.3%
1.23
Marathonbet
1.28
Unibet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Betfair
1.20
+0.1%
Over 0.5 HT goals
72.3%
1.37
Betano
1.44
BetVictor
1.39
1xBet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.38
10Bet
1.36
+4.1%
Away +2 handicap
72.1%
1.28
Bet365
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Unibet
1.27
Betfair
1.25
+2.0%
Home under 2.5 goals
71.3%
1.22
Betano
1.25
1xBet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-5.0%
Over 19.5 fouls
71.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Crystal Palace · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ismaïla Sarr36%
Jean-Philippe Mateta24%
Edward Nketiah21%
Evann Guessand14%
Jørgen Strand Larsen14%
Daniel Muñoz11%
Yéremy Pino10%
Marc Guéhi9%
Christantus Uche9%
Justin Devenny6%
Maxence Lacroix6%
Tyrick Mitchell6%
Chris Richards4%
Daichi Kamada2%
Adam Wharton2%
Jefferson Lerma0%
Will Hughes0%
Nathaniel Clyne0%
Dean Henderson0%
Walter Benítez0%
Borna Sosa0%
Brennan Johnson0%
Chadi Riad0%
Kaden Rodney0%
Rio Cardines0%
Romain Esse0%
Jaydee Canvot0%
Joel Drakes-Thomas0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Chadi Riad33%
Borna Sosa29%
Jørgen Strand Larsen23%
Marc Guéhi22%
Will Hughes19%
Jaydee Canvot17%
Edward Nketiah16%
Yéremy Pino16%
Daniel Muñoz16%
Brennan Johnson15%
Adam Wharton15%
Jefferson Lerma15%
Romain Esse12%
Chris Richards12%
Maxence Lacroix11%
Tyrick Mitchell11%
Dean Henderson10%
Ismaïla Sarr9%
Daichi Kamada9%
Jean-Philippe Mateta8%
Nathaniel Clyne7%
Walter Benítez0%
Evann Guessand0%
Justin Devenny0%
Kaden Rodney0%
Rio Cardines0%
Christantus Uche0%
Joel Drakes-Thomas0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Adam Wharton10%
Marc Guéhi9%
Daichi Kamada9%
Daniel Muñoz9%
Jefferson Lerma9%
Chadi Riad8%
Yéremy Pino8%
Brennan Johnson8%
Tyrick Mitchell7%
Nathaniel Clyne7%
Evann Guessand7%
Jean-Philippe Mateta6%
Maxence Lacroix6%
Edward Nketiah5%
Jørgen Strand Larsen5%
Justin Devenny3%
Ismaïla Sarr2%
Will Hughes2%
Dean Henderson0%
Walter Benítez0%
Borna Sosa0%
Chris Richards0%
Kaden Rodney0%
Rio Cardines0%
Romain Esse0%
Christantus Uche0%
Jaydee Canvot0%
Joel Drakes-Thomas0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jean-Philippe Mateta18%
Ismaïla Sarr16%
Christantus Uche9%
Evann Guessand7%
Borna Sosa6%
Yéremy Pino6%
Edward Nketiah5%
Jørgen Strand Larsen5%
Chris Richards4%
Brennan Johnson4%
Adam Wharton4%
Justin Devenny3%
Daniel Muñoz2%
Jefferson Lerma2%
Will Hughes2%
Maxence Lacroix2%
Daichi Kamada0%
Nathaniel Clyne0%
Dean Henderson0%
Walter Benítez0%
Marc Guéhi0%
Tyrick Mitchell0%
Chadi Riad0%
Kaden Rodney0%
Rio Cardines0%
Romain Esse0%
Jaydee Canvot0%
Joel Drakes-Thomas0%
Ipswich
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Chuba Akpom33%
Leif Davis33%
Marcelino Núñez33%
Dara O'Shea0%
Daizen Maeda0%
Kasey McAteer0%
Abdoul Ouattara0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Chuba Akpom0%
Dara O'Shea0%
Leif Davis0%
Daizen Maeda0%
Marcelino Núñez0%
Kasey McAteer0%
Abdoul Ouattara0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Chuba Akpom33%
Dara O'Shea0%
Leif Davis0%
Daizen Maeda0%
Marcelino Núñez0%
Kasey McAteer0%
Abdoul Ouattara0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kasey McAteer33%
Chuba Akpom0%
Dara O'Shea0%
Leif Davis0%
Daizen Maeda0%
Marcelino Núñez0%
Abdoul Ouattara0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
COV (27)
€237m
HUL (27)
€105m
Crystal Palace's squad is €225m more valuable than Ipswich's (€505m vs €280m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
HUL (7)
€22m
Crystal Palace's attack is €99m more valuable than Ipswich's (€229m vs €130m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
IPS (7)
€66m
COV (6)
€52m
NFO (4)
€52m
HUL (8)
€31m
FUL (3)
€28m
Crystal Palace's midfield is €28m more valuable than Ipswich's (€93m vs €66m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
HUL (12)
€52m
Crystal Palace's defence is €98m more valuable than Ipswich's (€182m vs €85m).
England: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Manchester City
Arsenal
Hull
Chelsea
Brentford
Newcastle
Everton
Leeds
Brighton
Manchester United
Sunderland
Liverpool
Nottingham Forest
Bournemouth
Fulham
Coventry
Aston Villa
Tottenham