PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Csakvar vs Gyirmot SE Result & Analysis

Date: 11/08/2024
Time: 17:00
Final 1-2
Csakvar
Csakvar
Vs
26%
27%
47%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Gyirmot SE
Gyirmot SE
Hungary: NB II
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Csakvar’s recent slump, highlighted by a 0-6 loss to Soroksar, leaves Gyirmot SE the clear favourite, with the model predicting an away win at 47%. The match is expected to be a moderate-scoring affair, averaging 2.8 goals, with the most likely total of two goals. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 12.8% chance, reflecting the balanced nature of the contest. Csakvar, playing at home against a stronger opponent, has averaged 1.0 goal scored and 3.0 conceded, while Gyirmot SE, on the road against a weaker side, has averaged 2.0 goals scored and none conceded. The probabilities for the match outcome stand at 26% for a home win, 27% for a draw, and 47% for an away win. The model’s selection, Over 1.5 goals, holds a 77.7% probability, indicating a strong likelihood that the game will see more than one goal.

Results analysis

The win for Gyirmot SE extends their recent run, following a win after two straight defeats. The model predicted an away win with a 47% probability, and that call proved correct as the final score was 1-2 in favour of the visitors. The most likely scoreline was 1-2, and the total goals of 2 matched the model’s expectation. The model’s single selection, Over 1.5, hit with a 77.7% probability. All other figures are already covered: the home side Csakvar struggled with a 26% chance of victory, while a draw was 27%. The match finished with the predicted outcome and the chosen selections performed as forecast.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Csakvar win✗ Miss
26.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Gyirmot SE win✓ Hit
46.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

CsakvarCsakvar

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-323L10W02L01L21W31W12L12L32W01LH·VAS07/04A·AJK14/04H·GYI21/04A·BVS28/04A·SIO05/05H·KOZ12/05A·NYI19/05H·TIS26/05H·KAZ28/07H·BVS04/08
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.301.071.471.201.13
vs Stronger (9)1.002.111.003.001.001.40
vs Similar (21)1.190.951.090.911.301.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Gyirmot SE) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Gyirmot SEGyirmot SE

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-542W21W20W35L13L11D22D21W21W20WA·SIO07/04H·BVS14/04A·CSA21/04H·KOZ28/04A·NYI05/05H·TIS12/05A·BUD19/05H·SZO26/05A·SOR28/07H·MEZ04/08
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.271.601.331.531.20
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (23)1.571.521.581.421.551.64
vs Weaker (6)1.830.501.671.002.000.00
Clean sheet %27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Csakvar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%7%015%125%222%315%49%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.7%
Under 1.5
22.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.6%
Under 2.5
47.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.4%
Under 3.5
69.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.3%
No
43.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.8%
1-2 ✓
9.4%
0-1
8.9%
0-2
8.1%
0-0
7.4%
2-1
6.8%
1-0
6.0%
2-2
5.5%
Csakvar goals ↓
Gyirmot SE goals →
01234
07.4%8.9%8.1%4.4%1.8%
16.0%13%9.4%5.1%2.1%
24.2%6.8%5.5%3.0%1.2%
31.6%2.6%2.1%1.1%0.5%
40.5%0.8%0.6%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Csakvar goals (down), columns = Gyirmot SE goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kisvarda FC
1.93
Kazincbarcikai
1.77
Vasas
1.73
Kozarmisleny FC
1.57
Szentlőrinc SE
1.57
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.47
Szeged 2011
1.40
Budapest Honved
1.33
BVSC
1.27
Csakvar
1.20
Budafoki LC
1.17
Soroksar
1.17
Ajka
1.17
Bekescsaba 1912
1.10
Gyirmot SE
1.03
Tatabánya
0.80
Csakvar is 0.17 points better than Gyirmot SE in terms of average points per game (1.20 vs 1.03).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Kisvarda FC
1.90
Kazincbarcikai
1.70
Vasas
1.57
Kozarmisleny FC
1.50
Budafoki LC
1.47
Szentlőrinc SE
1.47
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.47
Soroksar
1.40
Gyirmot SE
1.37
Csakvar
1.37
Budapest Honved
1.37
Szeged 2011
1.20
Ajka
1.03
BVSC
1.03
Bekescsaba 1912
1.00
Tatabánya
0.93
Csakvar and Gyirmot SE are level in goals scored per game (both 1.37).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kazincbarcikai
1.00
Szeged 2011
1.07
BVSC
1.07
Szentlőrinc SE
1.07
Vasas
1.17
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.17
Bekescsaba 1912
1.27
Ajka
1.27
Budapest Honved
1.30
Kozarmisleny FC
1.40
Kisvarda FC
1.47
Gyirmot SE
1.53
Soroksar
1.57
Csakvar
1.67
Budafoki LC
1.77
Tatabánya
2.00
Csakvar is 0.13 goals worse than Gyirmot SE in terms of goals conceded per game (1.67 vs 1.53).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

CsakvarCsakvar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-222D00D01L00D01L10W01L11D10W01LH·VAS07/04A·AJK14/04H·GYI21/04A·BVS28/04A·SIO05/05H·KOZ12/05A·NYI19/05H·TIS26/05H·KAZ28/07H·BVS04/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.500.600.600.400.40
vs Stronger (9)0.331.000.501.500.200.60
vs Similar (21)0.570.290.640.270.500.30
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Gyirmot SE) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Gyirmot SEGyirmot SE

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D10W31W10W11D10W21W01L20WA·SIO07/04H·BVS14/04A·CSA21/04H·KOZ28/04A·NYI05/05H·TIS12/05A·BUD19/05H·SZO26/05A·SOR28/07H·MEZ04/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.330.870.400.600.27
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (23)0.780.390.920.420.640.36
vs Weaker (6)0.670.170.670.330.670.00
Clean sheet %67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Csakvar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Csakvar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Csakvar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Csakvar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gyirmot SE over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gyirmot SE over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gyirmot SE over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

CsakvarCsakvar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W01L01L20W21W11D01L22D00DH·VAS07/04A·AJK14/04H·GYI21/04A·BVS28/04A·SIO05/05H·KOZ12/05A·NYI19/05H·TIS26/05H·KAZ28/07H·BVS04/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.800.470.870.800.73
vs Stronger (9)0.671.110.501.500.800.80
vs Similar (21)0.620.670.450.640.800.70
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Gyirmot SE) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Gyirmot SEGyirmot SE

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-432W21W10W04L03L00D12L00D20W00DA·SIO07/04H·BVS14/04A·CSA21/04H·KOZ28/04A·NYI05/05H·TIS12/05A·BUD19/05H·SZO26/05A·SOR28/07H·MEZ04/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.930.730.930.930.93
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (23)0.781.130.671.000.911.27
vs Weaker (6)1.170.331.000.671.330.00
Clean sheet %43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Csakvar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Csakvar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Csakvar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Csakvar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gyirmot SE over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gyirmot SE over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gyirmot SE over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.577.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAS (28)
€7m
KF (25)
€6m
BH (25)
€5m
KAZ (19)
€2m
S2 (23)
€2m
MEZ (17)
€2m
BVS (17)
€2m
AJK (20)
€2m
KF (19)
€2m
SS (19)
€1m
SOR (17)
€1m
CSA (11)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAS (11)
€3m
KF (8)
€2m
BH (6)
€1m
MEZ (7)
€1m
SOR (7)
€1m
KAZ (7)
€1m
SS (7)
€1m
AJK (5)
€1m
BVS (5)
€0m
KF (6)
€0m
S2 (6)
€0m
CSA (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAS (7)
€2m
KF (7)
€2m
BH (5)
€1m
BVS (5)
€1m
KAZ (4)
€0m
S2 (5)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
KF (4)
€0m
MEZ (1)
€0m
SOR (4)
€0m
AJK (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BH (14)
€3m
KF (10)
€2m
VAS (10)
€2m
KAZ (8)
€1m
S2 (12)
€1m
MEZ (9)
€1m
AJK (13)
€1m
KF (9)
€1m
BVS (7)
€1m
SS (8)
€0m
SOR (6)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
0
CSA wins
0
Draws
4
GS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Csakvar vs Gyirmot SE · H/A from CSA
DateH/AGameScore
21/04/24HCSA Vs Gyirmot SE0-2
22/10/23AGyirmot SE Vs CSA2-1
12/03/23AGyirmot SE Vs CSA2-1
11/09/22HCSA Vs Gyirmot SE1-2

CsakvarCsakvar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/08/24HCSA Vs BVSC0-1
28/07/24HCSA Vs Kazincbarcikai3-2
26/05/24HCSA Vs Tiszakecske FC1-2
19/05/24ANyiregyhaza Vs CSA2-1
12/05/24HCSA Vs Kozarmisleny FC3-1
05/05/24ASiofok Vs CSA1-2
28/04/24ABVSC Vs CSA1-0
21/04/24HCSA Vs Gyirmot SE0-2
14/04/24AAjka Vs CSA0-1
07/04/24HCSA Vs Vasas2-3

Gyirmot SEGyirmot SE

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/08/24HGS Vs Mezokovesd-zsory2-0
28/07/24ASoroksar Vs GS1-2
26/05/24HGS Vs Szombathelyi Haladas2-1
19/05/24ABudapest Honved Vs GS2-2
12/05/24HGS Vs Tiszakecske FC1-1
05/05/24ANyiregyhaza Vs GS3-1
28/04/24HGS Vs Kozarmisleny FC3-5
21/04/24ACsakvar Vs GS0-2
14/04/24HGS Vs BVSC2-1
07/04/24ASiofok Vs GS2-4

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Csakvar
Csakvar
Hungary: NB II
Recent: 4 Wins / 0 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLWL1.14
HomeLWLWL1.08
AwayDWLWL1.21
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%31%29%
AVG goals2.582.622.54
Over 1.5 %70%62%79%
Over 2.5 %48%46%50%
Over 3.5 %24%27%21%
Scored1.161.121.21
Conceded1.421.501.33
BTTS62%54%71%
Clean Sheet20%23%17%
Corners---
Cards---
Gyirmot SE
Gyirmot SE
Hungary: NB II
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWWW1.52
HomeWLDWW1.72
AwayWWLDW1.32
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%48%32%
AVG goals2.742.842.64
Over 1.5 %74%80%68%
Over 2.5 %54%60%48%
Over 3.5 %30%24%36%
Scored1.461.601.32
Conceded1.281.241.32
BTTS60%68%52%
Clean Sheet28%32%24%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Kisvarda FCKisvarda FC3058
57%
1.9
5744+13
3.4
87%
63%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.91.5
-
2KazincbarcikaiKazincbarcikai3053
47%
1.8
5130+21
2.7
73%
47%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.71.0
-
3VasasVasas3052
53%
1.7
4735+12
2.7
70%
60%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3221.61.2
-
4Szentlőrinc SESzentlőrinc SE3047
40%
1.6
4432+12
2.5
77%
40%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.51.1
-
5Kozarmisleny FCKozarmisleny FC3047
43%
1.6
4542+3
2.9
83%
40%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.51.4
-
6Mezokovesd-zsoryMezokovesd-zsory3044
40%
1.5
4435+9
2.6
77%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.2
-
7Szeged 2011Szeged 20113042
33%
1.4
3632+4
2.3
70%
40%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.21.1
-
8Budapest HonvedBudapest Honved3040
37%
1.3
4139+2
2.7
77%
53%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1131.41.3
-
9BVSCBVSC3038
27%
1.3
3132-1
2.1
57%
40%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.01.1
-
10CsakvarCsakvar3036
33%
1.2
4150-9
3.0
87%
70%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.7
-
11SoroksarSoroksar3035
30%
1.2
4247-5
3.0
80%
60%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.41.6
-
12AjkaAjka3035
27%
1.2
3138-7
2.3
67%
40%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.3
-
13Budafoki LCBudafoki LC3035
30%
1.2
4453-9
3.2
87%
67%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.8
-
14Bekescsaba 1912Bekescsaba 19123033
27%
1.1
3038-8
2.3
67%
40%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
15Gyirmot SEGyirmot SE3031
23%
1.0
4146-5
2.9
83%
50%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.5
-
16TatabányaTatabánya3024
20%
0.8
2860-32
2.9
73%
53%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.0
-
Hungary: NB II 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB II stats & trends →

← all matches