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Csakvar vs Kozarmisleny FC Result & Analysis

Date: 04/05/2025
Time: 17:00
Final 3-2
Csakvar
Csakvar
Vs
36%
26%
38%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Kozarmisleny FC
Kozarmisleny FC
Hungary: NB II
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Csakvar win✓ Hit
35.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kozarmisleny FC win✗ Miss
37.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

CsakvarCsakvar

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W40W04L30W11D12L01L03L12L22DA·BVS16/02A·GYI23/02H·SZE02/03A·BEK09/03H·SZE16/03A·BUD30/03H·KIS06/04A·VAS13/04H·BUD20/04A·TAT27/04
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.671.471.531.271.80
vs Stronger (5)1.601.601.501.501.671.67
vs Similar (25)1.321.681.461.541.171.83
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %10% (-17pp vs league)
This opponent (Kozarmisleny FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kozarmisleny FCKozarmisleny FC

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L05L23L13L20W20W21W10W13L01LA·SZE16/02A·BUD24/02H·KIS03/03A·VAS10/03H·BUD16/03A·TAT30/03H·KAZ06/04H·AJK13/04A·SOR20/04H·MEZ27/04
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.471.441.251.361.71
vs Stronger (4)1.252.751.332.671.003.00
vs Similar (26)1.421.271.460.921.381.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Csakvar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%23%6%013%123%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.3%
Under 1.5
18.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
57.9%
Under 2.5
42.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
35.5%
Under 3.5
64.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
61.6%
No
38.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
0-1
6.4%
2-2
6.3%
1-0
6.2%
0-0
6.1%
0-2
5.8%
Csakvar goals ↓
Kozarmisleny FC goals →
01234
06.1%6.4%5.8%2.9%1.1%
16.2%12%8.5%4.3%1.7%
25.4%8.3%6.3%3.2%1.2%
32.7%4.1%3.1%1.6%0.6%
41.0%1.5%1.2%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Csakvar goals (down), columns = Kozarmisleny FC goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kisvarda FC
1.93
Kazincbarcikai
1.77
Vasas
1.73
Kozarmisleny FC
1.57
Szentlőrinc SE
1.57
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.47
Szeged 2011
1.40
Budapest Honved
1.33
BVSC
1.27
Csakvar
1.20
Budafoki LC
1.17
Soroksar
1.17
Ajka
1.17
Bekescsaba 1912
1.10
Gyirmot SE
1.03
Tatabánya
0.80
Csakvar is 0.37 points worse than Kozarmisleny FC in terms of average points per game (1.20 vs 1.57).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Kisvarda FC
1.90
Kazincbarcikai
1.70
Vasas
1.57
Kozarmisleny FC
1.50
Budafoki LC
1.47
Szentlőrinc SE
1.47
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.47
Soroksar
1.40
Gyirmot SE
1.37
Csakvar
1.37
Budapest Honved
1.37
Szeged 2011
1.20
Ajka
1.03
BVSC
1.03
Bekescsaba 1912
1.00
Tatabánya
0.93
Csakvar is 0.13 goals worse than Kozarmisleny FC in terms of goals scored per game (1.37 vs 1.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kazincbarcikai
1.00
Szeged 2011
1.07
BVSC
1.07
Szentlőrinc SE
1.07
Vasas
1.17
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.17
Bekescsaba 1912
1.27
Ajka
1.27
Budapest Honved
1.30
Kozarmisleny FC
1.40
Kisvarda FC
1.47
Gyirmot SE
1.53
Soroksar
1.57
Csakvar
1.67
Budafoki LC
1.77
Tatabánya
2.00
Csakvar is 0.27 goals worse than Kozarmisleny FC in terms of goals conceded per game (1.67 vs 1.40).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

CsakvarCsakvar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W30W02L10W01L11D00D01L10W01LA·BVS16/02A·GYI23/02H·SZE02/03A·BEK09/03H·SZE16/03A·BUD30/03H·KIS06/04A·VAS13/04H·BUD20/04A·TAT27/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.770.730.670.470.87
vs Stronger (5)1.000.801.001.001.000.67
vs Similar (25)0.520.760.690.620.330.92
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Kozarmisleny FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kozarmisleny FCKozarmisleny FC

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L21W11D20W00D00D10W00D00DA·SZE16/02A·BUD24/02H·KIS03/03A·VAS10/03H·BUD16/03A·TAT30/03H·KAZ06/04H·AJK13/04A·SOR20/04H·MEZ27/04
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.530.500.500.570.57
vs Stronger (4)0.501.500.331.671.001.00
vs Similar (26)0.540.380.540.230.540.54
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Csakvar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Csakvar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Csakvar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Csakvar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kozarmisleny FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kozarmisleny FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kozarmisleny FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

CsakvarCsakvar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D10W02L20W10W01L01L02L02L21WA·BVS16/02A·GYI23/02H·SZE02/03A·BEK09/03H·SZE16/03A·BUD30/03H·KIS06/04A·VAS13/04H·BUD20/04A·TAT27/04
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.900.730.870.800.93
vs Stronger (5)0.600.800.500.500.671.00
vs Similar (25)0.800.920.770.920.830.92
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Kozarmisleny FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kozarmisleny FCKozarmisleny FC

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L03L02L02L00D20W21W00D13L01LA·SZE16/02A·BUD24/02H·KIS03/03A·VAS10/03H·BUD16/03A·TAT30/03H·KAZ06/04H·AJK13/04A·SOR20/04H·MEZ27/04
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.930.940.750.791.14
vs Stronger (4)0.751.251.001.000.002.00
vs Similar (26)0.880.880.920.690.851.08
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Csakvar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Csakvar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Csakvar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Csakvar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kozarmisleny FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kozarmisleny FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kozarmisleny FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.581.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAS (28)
€7m
KF (25)
€6m
BH (25)
€5m
KAZ (19)
€2m
S2 (23)
€2m
MEZ (17)
€2m
BVS (17)
€2m
AJK (20)
€2m
KF (19)
€2m
SS (19)
€1m
SOR (17)
€1m
CSA (11)
€1m
Csakvar and Kozarmisleny FC have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAS (11)
€3m
KF (8)
€2m
BH (6)
€1m
MEZ (7)
€1m
SOR (7)
€1m
KAZ (7)
€1m
SS (7)
€1m
AJK (5)
€1m
BVS (5)
€0m
KF (6)
€0m
S2 (6)
€0m
CSA (3)
€0m
Csakvar and Kozarmisleny FC have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAS (7)
€2m
KF (7)
€2m
BH (5)
€1m
BVS (5)
€1m
KAZ (4)
€0m
S2 (5)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
KF (4)
€0m
MEZ (1)
€0m
SOR (4)
€0m
AJK (2)
€0m
Csakvar and Kozarmisleny FC have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BH (14)
€3m
KF (10)
€2m
VAS (10)
€2m
KAZ (8)
€1m
S2 (12)
€1m
MEZ (9)
€1m
AJK (13)
€1m
KF (9)
€1m
BVS (7)
€1m
SS (8)
€0m
SOR (6)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
Csakvar and Kozarmisleny FC have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
2
CSA wins
1
Draws
2
KF wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Csakvar vs Kozarmisleny FC · H/A from CSA
DateH/AGameScore
03/11/24AKozarmisleny FC Vs CSA2-0
12/05/24HCSA Vs Kozarmisleny FC3-1
12/11/23AKozarmisleny FC Vs CSA1-1
26/04/23HCSA Vs Kozarmisleny FC2-3
06/11/22AKozarmisleny FC Vs CSA1-3

CsakvarCsakvar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/04/25ATatabánya Vs CSA2-2
20/04/25HCSA Vs Budafoki LC1-2
13/04/25AVasas Vs CSA3-0
06/04/25HCSA Vs Kisvarda FC0-1
30/03/25ABudapest Honved Vs CSA2-1
16/03/25HCSA Vs Szeged 20111-1
09/03/25ABekescsaba 1912 Vs CSA0-3
02/03/25HCSA Vs Szentlőrinc SE0-4
23/02/25AGyirmot SE Vs CSA0-4
16/02/25ABVSC Vs CSA1-2

Kozarmisleny FCKozarmisleny FC

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/04/25HKF Vs Mezokovesd-zsory0-1
20/04/25ASoroksar Vs KF3-1
13/04/25HKF Vs Ajka1-0
06/04/25HKF Vs Kazincbarcikai2-1
30/03/25ATatabánya Vs KF0-2
16/03/25HKF Vs Budafoki LC2-0
10/03/25AVasas Vs KF3-1
03/03/25HKF Vs Kisvarda FC2-3
24/02/25ABudapest Honved Vs KF5-0
16/02/25ASzeged 2011 Vs KF2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Csakvar
Csakvar
Hungary: NB II
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLD1.12
HomeWLDLL1.17
AwayWWLLD1.07
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%35%26%
AVG goals2.842.912.78
Over 1.5 %80%70%89%
Over 2.5 %62%61%63%
Over 3.5 %30%35%26%
Scored1.241.221.26
Conceded1.601.701.52
BTTS64%61%67%
Clean Sheet14%13%15%
Corners---
Cards---
Kozarmisleny FC
Kozarmisleny FC
Hungary: NB II
Recent: 4 Wins / 0 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLL1.48
HomeLWWWL1.69
AwayLLLWL1.25
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%50%33%
AVG goals2.902.693.12
Over 1.5 %82%77%88%
Over 2.5 %46%38%54%
Over 3.5 %32%27%38%
Scored1.481.541.42
Conceded1.421.151.71
BTTS50%42%58%
Clean Sheet32%35%29%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Kisvarda FCKisvarda FC3058
57%
1.9
5744+13
3.4
87%
63%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.91.5
-
2KazincbarcikaiKazincbarcikai3053
47%
1.8
5130+21
2.7
73%
47%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.71.0
-
3VasasVasas3052
53%
1.7
4735+12
2.7
70%
60%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3221.61.2
-
4Szentlőrinc SESzentlőrinc SE3047
40%
1.6
4432+12
2.5
77%
40%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.51.1
-
5Kozarmisleny FCKozarmisleny FC3047
43%
1.6
4542+3
2.9
83%
40%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.51.4
-
6Mezokovesd-zsoryMezokovesd-zsory3044
40%
1.5
4435+9
2.6
77%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.2
-
7Szeged 2011Szeged 20113042
33%
1.4
3632+4
2.3
70%
40%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.21.1
-
8Budapest HonvedBudapest Honved3040
37%
1.3
4139+2
2.7
77%
53%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1131.41.3
-
9BVSCBVSC3038
27%
1.3
3132-1
2.1
57%
40%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.01.1
-
10CsakvarCsakvar3036
33%
1.2
4150-9
3.0
87%
70%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.7
-
11SoroksarSoroksar3035
30%
1.2
4247-5
3.0
80%
60%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.41.6
-
12AjkaAjka3035
27%
1.2
3138-7
2.3
67%
40%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.3
-
13Budafoki LCBudafoki LC3035
30%
1.2
4453-9
3.2
87%
67%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.8
-
14Bekescsaba 1912Bekescsaba 19123033
27%
1.1
3038-8
2.3
67%
40%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
15Gyirmot SEGyirmot SE3031
23%
1.0
4146-5
2.9
83%
50%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.5
-
16TatabányaTatabánya3024
20%
0.8
2860-32
2.9
73%
53%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.0
-
Hungary: NB II 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB II stats & trends →

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