Csakvar and Szeged 2011 face a razor-thin contest, with the model favouring an away win at 37 %. The expected goal tally sits at 2.4, so a 2-goal match is most likely, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1 with a 14.3 % chance. Csakvar, playing at home against a similarly ranked side, averages 1.47 goals scored and 1.47 conceded, while Szeged 2011, on the road, scores 0.75 and concedes 1.0 against comparable opposition. Home win probability is 33 %, a draw 30 %, and an away win 37 %. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.7 %), Under 6.5 (98.8 %), Home under 3.5 goals (97.0 %), Under 5.5 (96.4 %), Away under 3.5 goals (96.2 %), Under 4.5 (90.3 %), Home under 2.5 goals (88.9 %), and Away under 2.5 goals (86.8 %). Both teams have recently struggled, with Csakvar losing two straight matches and Szeged 2011 coming off a win, adding to the uncertainty of the outcome.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Csakvar win
32.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
30.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Szeged 2011 win
37.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Csakvar
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.77
1.53
1.60
1.07
1.93
vs Stronger (5)
2.00
3.00
3.00
2.67
0.50
3.50
vs Similar (25)
1.16
1.52
1.17
1.33
1.15
1.69
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Szeged 2011) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Szeged 2011
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
1.20
0.86
1.36
0.75
1.06
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.80
1.20
0.86
1.36
0.75
1.06
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Csakvar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
70.6%
Under 1.5
29.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
43.2%
Under 2.5
56.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
22.3%
Under 3.5
77.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
50.2%
No
49.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%
0-0
10.3%
0-1
10.0%
1-0
9.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.0%
2-0
6.0%
Csakvar goals ↓
Szeged 2011 goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
10.0%
7.0%
2.9%
0.9%
1
9.1%
14%
8.1%
3.4%
1.1%
2
6.0%
7.5%
4.7%
2.0%
0.6%
3
2.3%
2.9%
1.8%
0.8%
0.2%
4
0.7%
0.8%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Csakvar goals (down), columns = Szeged 2011 goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Soroksar
2.67
Ajka
2.20
Kecskeméti TE
2.17
Kazincbarcikai
2.00
Tiszakecske FC
2.00
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.80
Karcag SE
1.67
Gyirmot SE
1.67
Szentlőrinc SE
1.40
Fehérvár FC
1.00
Szeged 2011
1.00
Diosgyori VTK
0.80
BVSC
0.80
Nagykanizsai ULE
0.50
Csakvar
0.50
Kozarmisleny FC
0.00
Csakvar is 0.50 points worse than Szeged 2011 in terms of average points per game (0.50 vs 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Soroksar
2.83
Karcag SE
2.00
Kecskeméti TE
2.00
Tiszakecske FC
2.00
Gyirmot SE
1.83
Kazincbarcikai
1.67
Ajka
1.60
Fehérvár FC
1.50
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.40
Szentlőrinc SE
1.20
Diosgyori VTK
1.00
Csakvar
1.00
Nagykanizsai ULE
0.83
Szeged 2011
0.80
BVSC
0.60
Kozarmisleny FC
0.50
Csakvar is 0.20 goals better than Szeged 2011 in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 0.80).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ajka
0.60
Soroksar
0.67
Kazincbarcikai
0.83
Kecskeméti TE
1.00
Szeged 2011
1.00
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.00
Tiszakecske FC
1.17
BVSC
1.20
Szentlőrinc SE
1.20
Karcag SE
1.33
Fehérvár FC
1.50
Nagykanizsai ULE
1.67
Gyirmot SE
2.00
Kozarmisleny FC
2.50
Diosgyori VTK
2.60
Csakvar
2.67
Csakvar is 1.67 goals worse than Szeged 2011 in terms of goals conceded per game (2.67 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Csakvar or Draw
62.8%
Avg Implied -
33%
30%
37%
covers Csakvar + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Csakvar or Szeged 2011
69.8%
Avg Implied -
33%
30%
37%
covers Csakvar + Szeged 2011
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Szeged 2011
67.4%
Avg Implied -
33%
30%
37%
covers Draw + Szeged 2011
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Csakvar over/under 0.5
Over
68.5%
Under
31.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Csakvar over/under 1.5
Over
32.1%
Under
67.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Csakvar over/under 2.5
Over
11.1%
Under
88.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Csakvar over/under 3.5
Over
3.0%
Under
97.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Szeged 2011 over/under 0.5
Over
71.4%
Under
28.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Szeged 2011 over/under 1.5
Over
35.6%
Under
64.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Szeged 2011 over/under 2.5
Over
13.2%
Under
86.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Szeged 2011 over/under 3.5
Over
3.8%
Under
96.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Csakvar, so a minus line means Csakvar give that many goals of a start and Szeged 2011 receive them. At -1, Csakvar must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Csakvar win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Csakvar)
Csakvar -2
4.4%
Draw -2
9.5%
Szeged 2011 +2
86.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Csakvar)
Csakvar -1
13.9%
Draw -1
18.7%
Szeged 2011 +1
67.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Csakvar)
Csakvar +1
62.8%
Draw +1
20.3%
Szeged 2011 -1
16.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Csakvar)
Csakvar +2
83.1%
Draw +2
11.1%
Szeged 2011 -2
5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Csakvar
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.90
0.80
0.80
0.53
1.00
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
2.00
1.00
1.67
0.50
2.50
vs Similar (25)
0.64
0.68
0.75
0.58
0.54
0.77
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Szeged 2011) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Szeged 2011
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.20
0.57
0.29
0.57
0.12
0.56
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.20
0.57
0.29
0.57
0.12
0.56
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Csakvar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
66.2%
Under 0.5
33.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
30.0%
Under 1.5
70.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
10.2%
Under 2.5
89.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Csakvar over/under 0.5 HT
Over
45.5%
Under
54.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Csakvar over/under 1.5 HT
Over
11.2%
Under
88.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Csakvar over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.7%
Under
98.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Szeged 2011 over/under 0.5 HT
Over
38.4%
Under
61.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Szeged 2011 over/under 1.5 HT
Over
9.7%
Under
90.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Szeged 2011 over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.0%
Under
98.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Csakvar
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.87
0.73
0.80
0.53
0.93
vs Stronger (5)
1.20
1.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.52
0.84
0.42
0.75
0.62
0.92
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Szeged 2011) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Szeged 2011
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.63
0.57
0.79
0.62
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.60
0.63
0.57
0.79
0.62
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Csakvar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
75.2%
Under 0.5
24.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
37.9%
Under 1.5
62.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
15.3%
Under 2.5
84.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Csakvar over/under 0.5 2H
Over
50.8%
Under
49.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Csakvar over/under 1.5 2H
Over
13.8%
Under
86.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Csakvar over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.3%
Under
96.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Szeged 2011 over/under 0.5 2H
Over
50.0%
Under
50.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Szeged 2011 over/under 1.5 2H
Over
14.6%
Under
85.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Szeged 2011 over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.0%
Under
97.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
97.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
96.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
96.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
90.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
88.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
88.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
86.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
86.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
86.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
85.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
84.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
83.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
75.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 1.5 HT goals
70.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KT (22)
€3m
DV (18)
€3m
FF (22)
€2m
KAZ (19)
€2m
S2 (23)
€2m
MEZ (17)
€2m
BVS (17)
€2m
AJK (20)
€2m
KF (19)
€2m
TF (18)
€1m
SS (19)
€1m
SOR (17)
€1m
KS (16)
€1m
CSA (11)
€1m
Csakvar's squad is €1m less valuable than Szeged 2011's (€1m vs €2m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KT (9)
€1m
FF (10)
€1m
MEZ (7)
€1m
DV (5)
€1m
SOR (7)
€1m
TF (8)
€1m
KAZ (7)
€1m
SS (7)
€1m
AJK (5)
€1m
KS (7)
€0m
BVS (5)
€0m
KF (6)
€0m
S2 (6)
€0m
CSA (3)
€0m
Csakvar and Szeged 2011 have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DV (4)
€1m
BVS (5)
€1m
KAZ (4)
€0m
S2 (5)
€0m
KT (2)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
FF (3)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
KF (4)
€0m
MEZ (1)
€0m
SOR (4)
€0m
AJK (2)
€0m
KS (1)
€0m
Csakvar and Szeged 2011 have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DV (9)
€1m
KT (11)
€1m
KAZ (8)
€1m
S2 (12)
€1m
FF (9)
€1m
MEZ (9)
€1m
AJK (13)
€1m
KF (9)
€1m
BVS (7)
€1m
SS (8)
€0m
SOR (6)
€0m
KS (8)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
Csakvar and Szeged 2011 have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Hungary: NB II 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB II stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Soroksar
Kecskeméti TE
Tiszakecske FC
Kazincbarcikai
Ajka
Karcag SE
Gyirmot SE
Mezokovesd-zsory
Szentlőrinc SE
Fehérvár FC
BVSC
Diosgyori VTK
Nagykanizsai ULE
Kozarmisleny FC