CSKA 1948 vs Botev Vratsa Result & Analysis

CSKA 1948’s defensive record at home is solid, conceding only one goal on average against weaker opposition, while Botev Vratsa struggles away, allowing 1.67 goals per match versus stronger teams. The model therefore favours a CSKA 1948 victory, with a 42% chance of a win, 31% for a draw and 27% for a Botev Vratsa win. The expected total of 2.2 goals points to a tight, low-scoring affair, and the most probable scoreline is 1-1, a 14.4% probability. CSKA 1948 averages 1.75 goals scored at home, whereas Botev Vratsa averages just 0.17 away. The model’s selections include an 81.6% chance of Under 3.5 goals, a 79.7% chance of Under 11.5 corners, a 77.5% chance of Over 2.5 cards, a 77.1% chance of Under 5.5 cards, a 74.2% chance of Under 25.5 fouls and a 73.1% chance of Over 19.5 fouls.

The match saw CSKA 1948 extend a shaky run, while Botev Vratsa came off a win. The model’s favourite, a home win, proved correct as CSKA 1948 edged Botev Vratsa 2-1. The pre-match probability for a home victory was 42 %. The model’s single selection, Under 3.5 goals, had an 81.6 % chance and hit, with the final tally of three goals. The most likely scoreline was 1-1 at 14.4 %, followed by 1-0 at 12.4 % and 0-0 at 12.2 %. The predicted total of 2.2 goals fell just short of the actual three, but the overall outcome matched the model’s forecast.