This opponent (Levski Krumovgrad) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Levski Krumovgrad
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
1.13
0.50
1.21
0.62
1.06
vs Stronger (8)
0.75
1.88
0.50
1.50
1.00
2.25
vs Similar (22)
0.50
0.86
0.50
1.10
0.50
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (CSKA 1948) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
65.6%
Under 1.5
34.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
37.4%
Under 2.5
62.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
17.8%
Under 3.5
82.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
44.6%
No
55.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%
1-0
12.8%
0-0
12.5%
0-1
9.1%
2-0 ✓
8.9%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
4.8%
CSKA 1948 goals ↓
Levski Krumovgrad goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
13%
9.1%
4.8%
1.5%
0.3%
1
13%
14%
6.1%
1.9%
0.4%
2
8.9%
8.3%
3.8%
1.2%
0.3%
3
3.8%
3.5%
1.6%
0.5%
0.1%
4
1.2%
1.1%
0.5%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = CSKA 1948 goals (down), columns = Levski Krumovgrad goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ludogorets
2.31
Levski Sofia
2.00
CSKA Sofia
1.78
Cherno More Varna
1.64
Arda Kardzhali
1.59
Botev Plovdiv
1.56
Spartak Varna
1.42
Beroe
1.36
Slavia Sofia
1.32
CSKA 1948
1.27
Lokomotiv Sofia
1.27
Septemvri Sofia
1.22
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1.08
Botev Vratsa
1.03
Levski Krumovgrad
0.89
Hebar 1918
0.57
Marek
0.00
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0.00
CSKA 1948 is 0.38 points better than Levski Krumovgrad in terms of average points per game (1.27 vs 0.89).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ludogorets
1.94
Levski Sofia
1.78
CSKA Sofia
1.59
Arda Kardzhali
1.49
Slavia Sofia
1.35
Spartak Varna
1.25
Cherno More Varna
1.22
CSKA 1948
1.22
Botev Plovdiv
1.19
Lokomotiv Sofia
1.16
Beroe
1.14
Septemvri Sofia
1.14
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1.05
Botev Vratsa
0.92
Hebar 1918
0.76
Levski Krumovgrad
0.54
Marek
0.00
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0.00
CSKA 1948 is 0.68 goals better than Levski Krumovgrad in terms of goals scored per game (1.22 vs 0.54).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ludogorets
0.61
CSKA Sofia
0.78
Levski Sofia
0.81
Cherno More Varna
0.83
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.00
Arda Kardzhali
1.14
Beroe
1.19
Botev Plovdiv
1.19
Levski Krumovgrad
1.22
CSKA 1948
1.27
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1.29
Lokomotiv Sofia
1.38
Slavia Sofia
1.41
Spartak Varna
1.47
Septemvri Sofia
1.51
Botev Vratsa
1.71
Hebar 1918
1.73
Marek
3.00
CSKA 1948 is 0.05 goals worse than Levski Krumovgrad in terms of goals conceded per game (1.27 vs 1.22).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
CSKA Sofia
63%
Ludogorets
60%
Levski Sofia
56%
Slavia Sofia
54%
Botev Plovdiv
53%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
51%
Cherno More Varna
50%
CSKA 1948
50%
Arda Kardzhali
48%
Septemvri Sofia
47%
Hebar 1918
45%
Lokomotiv Sofia
45%
Spartak Varna
44%
Beroe
44%
Levski Krumovgrad
43%
Botev Vratsa
41%
Marek
39%
CSKA 1948 is 7.0 percentage points better than Levski Krumovgrad in terms of average possession (50% vs 43%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
CSKA 1948
For 4.4 · Against 4.2 · Total 8.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 10.2 · Total 22.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Levski Krumovgrad
For 3.1 · Against 6.6 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 0.8 · Total 3.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.9 · Against 10.5 · Total 23.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
CSKA 1948
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.5
8.1
8.9
1.3
1.0
1.6
23.8
24.8
23.0
vs Stronger (5)
6.7
6.5
7.0
1.2
1.3
1.0
20.3
21.5
18.0
vs Similar (25)
7.9
5.3
9.0
1.9
1.0
2.6
24.7
25.7
24.3
vs Weaker (20)
11.5
12.0
10.0
0.7
0.9
0.3
24.2
26.0
19.0
% over line
29%
25%
33%
18%
12%
24%
65%
62%
67%
% under line
71%
75%
67%
82%
88%
76%
35%
38%
33%
This opponent (Levski Krumovgrad) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Levski Krumovgrad
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
10.9
8.8
2.1
2.6
1.7
25.7
26.0
25.5
vs Stronger (13)
9.5
10.0
9.2
2.1
1.8
2.2
26.0
25.5
26.2
vs Similar (37)
9.9
11.1
8.6
2.1
2.8
1.4
25.6
26.1
25.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
38%
50%
27%
28%
33%
23%
76%
70%
82%
% under line
62%
50%
73%
72%
67%
77%
24%
30%
18%
This opponent (CSKA 1948) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Botev Plovdiv
10.9
CSKA Sofia
10.9
Spartak Varna
10.0
Septemvri Sofia
9.7
Hebar 1918
9.6
Arda Kardzhali
9.5
Levski Krumovgrad
9.4
Lokomotiv Sofia
9.1
Pirin Blagoevgrad
9.1
Ludogorets
9.1
CSKA 1948
9.0
Slavia Sofia
9.0
Levski Sofia
8.7
Cherno More Varna
8.5
Beroe
8.5
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
8.3
Botev Vratsa
6.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Pirin Blagoevgrad
5.9
Beroe
5.8
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
5.6
CSKA Sofia
5.3
Arda Kardzhali
5.3
Hebar 1918
5.3
Cherno More Varna
5.2
Levski Sofia
5.2
Slavia Sofia
5.1
Spartak Varna
5.1
Botev Plovdiv
5.0
Botev Vratsa
5.0
Levski Krumovgrad
4.9
Ludogorets
4.8
Septemvri Sofia
4.6
Lokomotiv Sofia
4.6
CSKA 1948
4.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Levski Sofia
26.9
Levski Krumovgrad
26.4
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
25.9
Cherno More Varna
25.8
CSKA 1948
25.7
Botev Vratsa
25.5
Slavia Sofia
25.3
Lokomotiv Sofia
25.2
Pirin Blagoevgrad
24.7
Beroe
24.7
Arda Kardzhali
24.5
Spartak Varna
24.4
Hebar 1918
24.3
Septemvri Sofia
23.9
Botev Plovdiv
23.3
Ludogorets
22.9
CSKA Sofia
22.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
47.8%
Under 9.5
52.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
49.9%
Under 3.5
50.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
68.3%
Under 21.5
31.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
CSKA 1948
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.80
0.56
0.94
0.71
0.64
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
1.50
0.50
1.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (10)
0.60
0.70
0.40
1.00
0.80
0.40
vs Weaker (16)
0.75
0.69
0.67
0.89
0.86
0.43
Clean sheet %
47% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Levski Krumovgrad) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Levski Krumovgrad
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.67
0.21
0.64
0.44
0.69
vs Stronger (8)
0.38
1.00
0.25
0.75
0.50
1.25
vs Similar (22)
0.32
0.55
0.20
0.60
0.42
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (CSKA 1948) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
CSKA 1948 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSKA 1948 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSKA 1948 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levski Krumovgrad over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levski Krumovgrad over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levski Krumovgrad over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
CSKA 1948
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.67
0.62
0.75
0.64
0.57
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.25
1.00
2.00
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (10)
0.70
0.80
0.40
1.20
1.00
0.40
vs Weaker (16)
0.62
0.44
0.67
0.22
0.57
0.71
Clean sheet %
50% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Levski Krumovgrad) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Levski Krumovgrad
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.23
0.47
0.29
0.57
0.19
0.38
vs Stronger (8)
0.38
0.88
0.25
0.75
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.18
0.32
0.30
0.50
0.08
0.17
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (CSKA 1948) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
CSKA 1948 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSKA 1948 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSKA 1948 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levski Krumovgrad over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levski Krumovgrad over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levski Krumovgrad over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
83.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
82.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
81.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
75.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
CSKA 1948
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Thalis Cantanhede44%
Petar Vitanov40%
Radoslav Kirilov38%
Mario Ilievski25%
Yevhen Serdyuk11%
Emil Tsenov11%
Reyan Daskalov0%
Mario Petkov0%
Jonathan Carlos Pereira0%
Parvizdzhon Umarbaev0%
Birsent Karagaren0%
Steeve Furtado0%
Nedeljko Piščević0%
Octávio0%
Boris Dimitrov0%
Paolo Sciortino0%
Tom Rapnouil0%
Petar Marinov0%
William Fonkeu0%
Christopher Acheampong0%
Teodor Ivanov0%
Kufre Eta0%
Cassiano Bouzon0%
Marto Boychev0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mario Petkov33%
Kufre Eta33%
Reyan Daskalov29%
Yevhen Serdyuk22%
Petar Vitanov20%
Cassiano Bouzon20%
Birsent Karagaren18%
Paolo Sciortino14%
Mario Ilievski12%
Thalis Cantanhede11%
Emil Tsenov11%
Teodor Ivanov11%
Jonathan Carlos Pereira0%
Radoslav Kirilov0%
Parvizdzhon Umarbaev0%
Steeve Furtado0%
Nedeljko Piščević0%
Octávio0%
Boris Dimitrov0%
Tom Rapnouil0%
Petar Marinov0%
William Fonkeu0%
Christopher Acheampong0%
Marto Boychev0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Cassiano Bouzon30%
Jonathan Carlos Pereira14%
Steeve Furtado14%
Thalis Cantanhede11%
Reyan Daskalov0%
Mario Petkov0%
Petar Vitanov0%
Radoslav Kirilov0%
Parvizdzhon Umarbaev0%
Birsent Karagaren0%
Nedeljko Piščević0%
Yevhen Serdyuk0%
Octávio0%
Boris Dimitrov0%
Paolo Sciortino0%
Tom Rapnouil0%
Mario Ilievski0%
Emil Tsenov0%
Petar Marinov0%
William Fonkeu0%
Christopher Acheampong0%
Teodor Ivanov0%
Kufre Eta0%
Marto Boychev0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Thalis Cantanhede56%
Mario Ilievski25%
Petar Vitanov20%
Yevhen Serdyuk11%
Reyan Daskalov0%
Mario Petkov0%
Jonathan Carlos Pereira0%
Radoslav Kirilov0%
Parvizdzhon Umarbaev0%
Birsent Karagaren0%
Steeve Furtado0%
Nedeljko Piščević0%
Octávio0%
Boris Dimitrov0%
Paolo Sciortino0%
Tom Rapnouil0%
Emil Tsenov0%
Petar Marinov0%
William Fonkeu0%
Christopher Acheampong0%
Teodor Ivanov0%
Kufre Eta0%
Cassiano Bouzon0%
Marto Boychev0%
Levski Krumovgrad
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Cătălin Itu29%
Bozhidar Katsarov20%
Peter Guinari17%
Ibrahim Keita14%
Momchil Tsvetanov8%
Erol Dost8%
Serkan Yussein0%
Joachim Carcela-Gonzalez0%
Sanasi Sy0%
Arhan Isuf0%
Georgi Tartov0%
Dzhuneyt Ali0%
Lazar Marin0%
Stanislav Rabotov0%
Nasko Milev0%
Hristo Ivanov0%
Oktay Yusein0%
Yanko Georgiev0%
Vyacheslav Velev0%
Rafael Furtado0%
Patrick0%
Diego Raposo0%
Lucas Santana Dos Santos0%
Matej Šimić0%
Ayman Sellouf0%
Daniel de Pauli0%
Adrián Cova0%
Matheus Souza0%
Tiago Veiga0%
Imanol Alonso0%
Malick Fall0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dzhuneyt Ali60%
Lucas Santana Dos Santos40%
Malick Fall40%
Serkan Yussein33%
Joachim Carcela-Gonzalez33%
Matej Šimić33%
Lazar Marin30%
Cătălin Itu29%
Ibrahim Keita29%
Patrick25%
Bozhidar Katsarov20%
Daniel de Pauli20%
Erol Dost17%
Adrián Cova17%
Imanol Alonso17%
Peter Guinari17%
Georgi Tartov14%
Momchil Tsvetanov8%
Nasko Milev7%
Yanko Georgiev7%
Sanasi Sy0%
Arhan Isuf0%
Stanislav Rabotov0%
Hristo Ivanov0%
Oktay Yusein0%
Vyacheslav Velev0%
Rafael Furtado0%
Diego Raposo0%
Ayman Sellouf0%
Matheus Souza0%
Tiago Veiga0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Matej Šimić17%
Ibrahim Keita14%
Erol Dost8%
Serkan Yussein0%
Joachim Carcela-Gonzalez0%
Sanasi Sy0%
Bozhidar Katsarov0%
Arhan Isuf0%
Georgi Tartov0%
Dzhuneyt Ali0%
Lazar Marin0%
Stanislav Rabotov0%
Nasko Milev0%
Hristo Ivanov0%
Momchil Tsvetanov0%
Oktay Yusein0%
Yanko Georgiev0%
Cătălin Itu0%
Vyacheslav Velev0%
Rafael Furtado0%
Patrick0%
Diego Raposo0%
Lucas Santana Dos Santos0%
Ayman Sellouf0%
Daniel de Pauli0%
Adrián Cova0%
Matheus Souza0%
Tiago Veiga0%
Imanol Alonso0%
Peter Guinari0%
Malick Fall0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Cătălin Itu43%
Patrick25%
Serkan Yussein17%
Momchil Tsvetanov8%
Joachim Carcela-Gonzalez0%
Sanasi Sy0%
Bozhidar Katsarov0%
Arhan Isuf0%
Georgi Tartov0%
Dzhuneyt Ali0%
Lazar Marin0%
Stanislav Rabotov0%
Nasko Milev0%
Hristo Ivanov0%
Oktay Yusein0%
Yanko Georgiev0%
Vyacheslav Velev0%
Ibrahim Keita0%
Rafael Furtado0%
Erol Dost0%
Diego Raposo0%
Lucas Santana Dos Santos0%
Matej Šimić0%
Ayman Sellouf0%
Daniel de Pauli0%
Adrián Cova0%
Matheus Souza0%
Tiago Veiga0%
Imanol Alonso0%
Peter Guinari0%
Malick Fall0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Bulgaria: First League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bulgaria: First League stats & trends →