CSKA 1948 are tipped to edge Lokomotiv Plovdiv, with a 51 % chance of a home win, 29 % for a draw and 20 % for an away victory. The model predicts an average of 2.3 goals, most likely a 2-goal total, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-0 for CSKA 1948, a 13.8 % probability. CSKA 1948, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, average 1.0 goal scored and 1.0 conceded per match. Lokomotiv Plovdiv, on the road, average 0.89 goals scored and 1.22 conceded against comparable teams. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.8 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.1 %), Under 6.5 (99.1 % with a 2 % edge), Away under 3.5 goals (99.0 %), Away under 2.5 2H goals (98.3 %), Under 5.5 (97.1 % with a 3 % edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (95.7 %), and Away under 2.5 goals (95.1 % with a 4 % edge). CSKA 1948 are coming off a defeat to Septemvri Sofia, while Lokomotiv Plovdiv return after three straight losses, setting the stage for a tight, low-scoring encounter.
Results analysis
The win extends CSKA 1948’s recent run, ending a five-match winning streak with a 2-0 triumph over Lokomotiv Plovdiv. The model’s pre-match favourite was a home win at 50%, and that call proved correct. The final score of 2-0 matched the actual result, confirming the prediction. The model’s suggested picks all hit: Under 7.5 at 99.8%, Under 6.5 at 99.2%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 99.0%, Away under 3.5 goals at 99.0%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 98.6%, Under 5.5 at 97.2%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 95.8%, and Away under 2.5 goals at 94.8%. Each probability was expressed as a percentage, and every selection’s outcome was reported.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
CSKA 1948 win✓ Hit
49.7%
Avg Implied 61.0% · @ 1.51
Edge
-11.3%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.55
Dafabet
1.54
Superbet
1.54
Draw✗ Miss
29.6%
Avg Implied 23.8% · @ 3.88
Edge
+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.07
Dafabet
4.00
BetVictor
4.00
1xBet
3.98
Unibet
3.95
Lokomotiv Plovdiv win✗ Miss
20.7%
Avg Implied 15.2% · @ 6.06
Edge
+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
7.00
Pinnacle
6.70
1xBet
6.60
10Bet
6.20
Marathonbet
6.05
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
CSKA 1948
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
0.93
1.13
0.93
1.67
0.93
vs Stronger (8)
0.75
1.25
0.75
1.00
0.75
1.50
vs Similar (12)
1.50
0.83
0.86
0.86
2.40
0.80
vs Weaker (10)
1.80
0.80
2.00
1.00
1.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
33% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokomotiv Plovdiv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
1.13
0.86
1.07
0.75
1.19
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
1.17
-
-
0.33
1.17
vs Similar (24)
0.92
1.12
0.86
1.07
1.00
1.20
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (CSKA 1948) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
67.1%
@ 1.30-4.4%
Under 1.5
32.9%
@ 3.26+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.32
Pinnacle
1.32
Superbet
1.31
Betfair
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Under
Bet365
3.40
BetVictor
3.40
Betfair
3.40
Pinnacle
3.34
Betano
3.20
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
39.2%
@ 1.95-8.9%
Under 2.5
60.8%
@ 1.80+8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
2.00
Pinnacle
2.00
Marathonbet
1.97
10Bet
1.95
Bet365
1.95
Under
Bet365
1.85
Pinnacle
1.84
1xBet
1.82
Betano
1.82
Betfair
1.80
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.1%
@ 3.33-8.8%
Under 3.5
80.9%
@ 1.29+8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.45
Pinnacle
3.44
Bet365
3.40
Betfair
3.40
BetVictor
3.40
Under
Betano
1.31
Pinnacle
1.31
Bet365
1.30
Betfair
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
44.1%
@ 2.02-1.5%
No
55.9%
@ 1.70+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
2.10
Betfair
2.05
BetVictor
2.05
Superbet
2.05
1xBet
2.03
No
William Hil
1.73
Betfair
1.73
Betano
1.72
Unibet
1.71
Marathonbet
1.70
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
13.7%@ 5.51+5.9%
1-1
13.7%@ 6.88+7.4%
0-0
11.7%@ 8.60+6.8%
2-0 ✓
10.6%@ 6.11+3.6%
2-1
8.8%@ 7.51+3.1%
0-1
7.5%@ 12.75+4.1%
1-2
5.2%@ 17.20+2.7%
3-0
5.0%@ 9.61+0.6%
CSKA 1948 goals ↓
Lokomotiv Plovdiv goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
7.5%
3.6%
1.0%
0.2%
1
14%
14%
5.2%
1.4%
0.3%
2
11%
8.8%
3.7%
1.0%
0.2%
3
5.0%
4.2%
1.7%
0.5%
0.1%
4
1.8%
1.5%
0.6%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = CSKA 1948 goals (down), columns = Lokomotiv Plovdiv goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Levski Sofia
3.00
CSKA Sofia
2.67
CSKA 1948
2.50
Ludogorets
2.43
Arda Kardzhali
2.29
Spartak Varna
1.17
Septemvri Sofia
1.14
Botev Plovdiv
1.00
Slavia Sofia
1.00
Botev Vratsa
0.57
Dunav Ruse
0.57
Cherno More Varna
0.57
Lokomotiv Sofia
0.50
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0.43
CSKA 1948 is 2.07 points better than Lokomotiv Plovdiv in terms of average points per game (2.50 vs 0.43).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Levski Sofia
2.86
CSKA Sofia
2.67
CSKA 1948
2.17
Ludogorets
1.71
Arda Kardzhali
1.57
Lokomotiv Sofia
1.17
Spartak Varna
1.17
Botev Plovdiv
1.14
Cherno More Varna
1.14
Dunav Ruse
1.00
Slavia Sofia
1.00
Septemvri Sofia
0.71
Botev Vratsa
0.57
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0.43
CSKA 1948 is 1.74 goals better than Lokomotiv Plovdiv in terms of goals scored per game (2.17 vs 0.43).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arda Kardzhali
0.57
Levski Sofia
0.57
CSKA Sofia
0.67
Ludogorets
0.71
CSKA 1948
0.83
Slavia Sofia
0.86
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1.43
Septemvri Sofia
1.43
Botev Plovdiv
1.71
Spartak Varna
1.83
Lokomotiv Sofia
2.00
Dunav Ruse
2.00
Botev Vratsa
2.14
Cherno More Varna
2.29
CSKA 1948 is 0.60 goals better than Lokomotiv Plovdiv in terms of goals conceded per game (0.83 vs 1.43).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Levski Sofia
63%
Slavia Sofia
37%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
CSKA 1948
For 4.9 · Against 4.5 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 10.0 · Total 21.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
For 3.3 · Against 4.9 · Total 8.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 9.8 · Total 22.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
CSKA 1948
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.6
9.7
2.5
2.2
2.8
21.8
23.4
20.5
vs Stronger (10)
9.8
7.5
11.3
1.7
1.4
2.0
21.8
26.0
19.0
vs Similar (20)
8.4
7.2
9.3
2.8
2.7
2.8
22.8
25.4
20.9
vs Weaker (20)
11.0
12.3
9.4
2.6
2.1
3.2
20.8
20.8
20.8
% over line
50%
46%
53%
36%
31%
42%
46%
69%
27%
% under line
50%
54%
47%
64%
69%
58%
54%
31%
73%
This opponent (Lokomotiv Plovdiv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.0
8.2
7.8
2.4
2.4
2.4
24.3
24.2
24.4
vs Stronger (9)
9.0
11.0
8.3
2.1
1.7
2.3
22.0
19.0
23.0
vs Similar (40)
7.5
8.0
6.7
2.5
2.5
2.4
25.0
24.7
25.6
vs Weaker (1)
14.0
-
14.0
3.0
-
3.0
20.0
-
20.0
% over line
33%
38%
27%
38%
44%
32%
67%
62%
73%
% under line
67%
62%
73%
62%
56%
68%
33%
38%
27%
This opponent (CSKA 1948) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Slavia Sofia
10.3
Botev Plovdiv
10.1
Spartak Varna
10.1
CSKA Sofia
9.7
Levski Sofia
9.6
Botev Vratsa
9.5
Ludogorets
9.4
CSKA 1948
9.3
Lokomotiv Sofia
9.3
Cherno More Varna
9.0
Septemvri Sofia
9.0
Arda Kardzhali
8.8
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Arda Kardzhali
5.2
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
5.1
Septemvri Sofia
4.9
Botev Vratsa
4.9
Cherno More Varna
4.9
Spartak Varna
4.9
Ludogorets
4.8
CSKA Sofia
4.7
Slavia Sofia
4.7
Levski Sofia
4.6
Botev Plovdiv
4.5
CSKA 1948
4.2
Lokomotiv Sofia
4.1
Dunav Ruse
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Cherno More Varna
25.3
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
25.0
Levski Sofia
24.6
Botev Vratsa
24.6
Arda Kardzhali
24.2
Slavia Sofia
23.8
Lokomotiv Sofia
23.8
Septemvri Sofia
23.0
Spartak Varna
22.9
CSKA 1948
22.7
CSKA Sofia
22.5
Ludogorets
22.4
Botev Plovdiv
22.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
37.4%
@ 2.00-9.0%
Under 9.5
62.6%
@ 1.73+9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.05
Pinnacle
2.04
Marathonbet
2.02
1xBet
2.01
Superbet
2.00
Under
Unibet
1.79
Superbet
1.73
Pinnacle
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Betano
1.72
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
68.4%
@ 1.69+14.5%
Under 3.5
31.6%
@ 1.98-14.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.71
Betano
1.67
Under
Betano
1.98
Superbet
1.97
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
62.6%
Under 21.5
37.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
CSKA 1948 or Draw✓ Hit
79.3%
Avg Implied 84.5% · @ 1.10
Edge
-5.3%
50%
30%
21%
covers CSKA 1948 + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.11
BetVictor
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
CSKA 1948 or Lokomotiv Plovdiv✓ Hit
70.4%
Avg Implied 76.9% · @ 1.21
Edge
-6.5%
50%
30%
21%
covers CSKA 1948 + Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.24
Marathonbet
1.23
William Hil
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Draw or Lokomotiv Plovdiv✗ Miss
50.3%
Avg Implied 38.6% · @ 2.40
Edge
+11.7%
50%
30%
21%
covers Draw + Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
2.55
William Hil
2.50
Betano
2.50
1xBet
2.49
10Bet
2.45
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
CSKA 1948 over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
75.9%
@ 1.13-6.1%
Under
24.1%
@ 5.12+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.14
Betfair
1.14
Bet365
1.14
10Bet
1.12
Under
BetVictor
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
1xBet
5.30
Superbet
4.90
CSKA 1948 over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
41.6%
@ 1.70-12.9%
Under
58.4%
@ 2.04+12.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.75
Superbet
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Pinnacle
1.73
Betano
1.72
Under
Pinnacle
2.11
Betfair
2.10
BetVictor
2.10
1xBet
2.05
Betano
2.05
CSKA 1948 over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
17.2%
@ 3.16-12.1%
Under
82.8%
@ 1.31+12.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.28
Bet365
3.25
Marathonbet
3.20
Unibet
3.20
Betfair
3.20
Under
1xBet
1.35
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
Superbet
1.31
CSKA 1948 over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.6%
@ 6.55-8.6%
Under
94.4%
@ 1.09+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
7.00
Betfair
7.00
Betano
6.10
1xBet
6.10
Under
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Betfair
1.07
Lokomotiv Plovdiv over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
56.5%
@ 1.75+3.6%
Under
43.5%
@ 1.97-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.85
Bet365
1.80
BetVictor
1.80
Pinnacle
1.78
Betano
1.75
Under
Betfair
2.10
Pinnacle
2.05
Betano
2.02
Unibet
2.00
Superbet
1.97
Lokomotiv Plovdiv over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
20.3%
@ 4.70+0.7%
Under
79.7%
@ 1.15-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
BetVictor
5.00
Marathonbet
4.80
1xBet
4.70
Superbet
4.65
Under
Betano
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Lokomotiv Plovdiv over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
5.2%
@ 12.50-2.3%
Under
94.8%
@ 1.02+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
19.00
Superbet
14.00
Marathonbet
11.00
1xBet
11.00
Betfair
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
Betfair
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Lokomotiv Plovdiv over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.0%
@ 51.00-99.0%
Under
99.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
51.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to CSKA 1948, so a minus line means CSKA 1948 give that many goals of a start and Lokomotiv Plovdiv receive them. At -1, CSKA 1948 must win by two or more to land; a one-goal CSKA 1948 win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (CSKA 1948)Actual: Draw
CSKA 1948 -2
9.8%
@ 4.86-8.6%
Draw -2
15.5%
@ 4.41-4.8%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv +2
74.8%
@ 1.45+13.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Unibet
4.80
Marathonbet
4.65
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Marathonbet
4.45
Unibet
4.20
Away
Bet365
1.50
Betfair
1.44
Marathonbet
1.44
Unibet
1.43
Handicap -1 (CSKA 1948)Actual: CSKA 1948
CSKA 1948 -1
25.2%
@ 2.48-10.7%
Draw -1
24.4%
@ 3.37-2.0%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv +1
50.3%
@ 2.36+12.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
2.60
Unibet
2.50
10Bet
2.45
Marathonbet
2.45
Betfair
2.40
Draw
Bet365
3.60
Betfair
3.50
Marathonbet
3.26
10Bet
3.25
Unibet
3.25
Away
10Bet
2.45
Betfair
2.40
Marathonbet
2.36
Bet365
2.30
Unibet
2.30
Handicap +1 (CSKA 1948)Actual: CSKA 1948
CSKA 1948 +1
79.3%
@ 1.12+0.9%
Draw +1
13.8%
@ 6.32-0.1%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv -1
7.0%
@ 11.30-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Unibet
1.12
Draw
Bet365
8.00
Unibet
6.50
Marathonbet
4.45
Away
Bet365
15.00
Unibet
12.00
Marathonbet
6.90
Handicap +2 (CSKA 1948)Actual: CSKA 1948
CSKA 1948 +2
93.0%
@ 1.02+0.3%
Draw +2
5.3%
@ 19.00+0.3%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv -2
1.7%
@ 41.00-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.02
Draw
Bet365
19.00
Away
Bet365
41.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
CSKA 1948
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.40
0.47
0.47
0.87
0.33
vs Stronger (8)
0.50
0.50
0.25
0.25
0.75
0.75
vs Similar (12)
0.83
0.42
0.29
0.43
1.60
0.40
vs Weaker (10)
0.60
0.30
1.00
0.75
0.33
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokomotiv Plovdiv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.53
0.36
0.50
0.31
0.56
vs Stronger (6)
0.00
0.50
-
-
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (24)
0.42
0.54
0.36
0.50
0.50
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (CSKA 1948) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
70.4%
@ 1.39+3.6%
Under 0.5
29.6%
@ 2.79-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.45
Pinnacle
1.41
BetVictor
1.41
Bet365
1.40
Marathonbet
1.39
Under
Pinnacle
2.90
Unibet
2.88
Betfair
2.88
Superbet
2.82
William Hil
2.80
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
33.5%
@ 2.80+0.4%
Under 1.5
66.5%
@ 1.38-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.04
Betano
2.92
Betfair
2.88
Marathonbet
2.81
Superbet
2.77
Under
Bet365
1.40
William Hil
1.40
BetVictor
1.39
Betano
1.39
Superbet
1.39
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
11.3%
@ 7.08-1.8%
Under 2.5
88.7%
@ 1.07+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
8.00
Bet365
8.00
William Hil
7.50
Betfair
7.00
Marathonbet
6.60
Under
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.08
William Hil
1.07
Betfair
1.07
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
CSKA 1948 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
54.4%
@ 1.69-0.7%
Under
45.6%
@ 2.06+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.73
Betano
1.72
Pinnacle
1.69
Superbet
1.67
Unibet
1.66
Under
Pinnacle
2.14
1xBet
2.10
Superbet
2.07
Betano
2.05
Unibet
2.05
CSKA 1948 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
16.4%
@ 4.42-4.7%
Under
83.6%
@ 1.18+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.50
Marathonbet
4.45
Betano
4.30
Under
Betano
1.20
Marathonbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
CSKA 1948 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
4.2%
@ 9.75-5.4%
Under
95.8%
@ 1.03+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Lokomotiv Plovdiv over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
33.5%
@ 3.08+3.5%
Under
66.5%
@ 1.32-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.36
Betano
3.10
1xBet
3.10
Superbet
3.05
Marathonbet
3.04
Under
Unibet
1.35
Betano
1.33
Superbet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
Pinnacle
1.32
Lokomotiv Plovdiv over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.0%
@ 11.67-1.1%
Under
93.0%
@ 1.03+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
12.50
Marathonbet
12.50
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
Lokomotiv Plovdiv over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.0%
Under
99.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
CSKA 1948
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.53
0.67
0.47
0.80
0.60
vs Stronger (8)
0.25
0.75
0.50
0.75
0.00
0.75
vs Similar (12)
0.67
0.42
0.57
0.43
0.80
0.40
vs Weaker (10)
1.20
0.50
1.00
0.25
1.33
0.67
Clean sheet %
53% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokomotiv Plovdiv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.60
0.50
0.57
0.44
0.62
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
0.67
-
-
0.33
0.67
vs Similar (24)
0.50
0.58
0.50
0.57
0.50
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (CSKA 1948) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
76.6%
@ 1.24+2.2%
Under 0.5
23.4%
@ 3.61-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Betano
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
Under
Betano
3.80
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.60
1xBet
3.58
Marathonbet
3.52
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
40.4%
@ 2.16-2.6%
Under 1.5
59.6%
@ 1.63+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.20
William Hil
2.20
Marathonbet
2.19
Superbet
2.17
1xBet
2.16
Under
Betano
1.70
1xBet
1.64
Unibet
1.62
Bet365
1.62
10Bet
1.62
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
15.7%
@ 4.69-4.1%
Under 2.5
84.3%
@ 1.16+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Superbet
4.70
Marathonbet
4.60
1xBet
4.50
Under
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
William Hil
1.14
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
CSKA 1948 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
61.5%
@ 1.47-1.7%
Under
38.5%
@ 2.52+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.49
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.45
Under
Betano
2.57
1xBet
2.55
Superbet
2.45
CSKA 1948 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
22.9%
@ 3.14-6.7%
Under
77.1%
@ 1.31+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.26
1xBet
3.10
Betano
3.05
Under
Betano
1.34
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.29
CSKA 1948 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.3%
@ 7.60-6.9%
Under
94.7%
@ 1.05+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.20
Betano
7.00
Under
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.03
Lokomotiv Plovdiv over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
37.3%
@ 2.56+1.0%
Under
62.7%
@ 1.46-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.60
Marathonbet
2.58
Superbet
2.57
Betano
2.47
Under
Betano
1.50
Superbet
1.45
1xBet
1.44
Marathonbet
1.43
Lokomotiv Plovdiv over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
9.9%
@ 9.23-0.2%
Under
90.1%
@ 1.03+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
Marathonbet
9.90
Betano
7.80
Under
Betano
1.06
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Lokomotiv Plovdiv over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.4%
Under
98.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.2%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
97.2%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Betfair
1.01
-
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
95.8%
1.03
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
-
+5.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
94.8%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Betfair
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
+2.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
94.7%
1.05
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.03
-
-
-
+6.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
94.4%
1.09
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Betfair
1.07
-
+8.6%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
93.0%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+0.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
93.0%
1.03
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
-
+1.1%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
92.2%
1.08
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.10
Pinnacle
1.10
Unibet
1.09
Superbet
1.08
+6.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
90.1%
1.03
Betano
1.06
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+0.2%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.7%
1.07
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.08
William Hil
1.07
Betfair
1.07
+1.8%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
84.3%
1.30
Betano
1.30
-
-
-
-
+14.6%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
84.3%
1.16
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
William Hil
1.14
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
83.6%
1.18
Betano
1.20
Marathonbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
-
-
+4.7%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
83.1%
1.25
Unibet
1.30
Superbet
1.30
Betano
1.24
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.20
+9.7%
-
Home under 2.5 goals
82.8%
1.31
1xBet
1.35
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
Superbet
1.31
+12.1%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
80.9%
1.29
Betano
1.31
Pinnacle
1.31
Bet365
1.30
Betfair
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
+8.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
79.7%
1.15
Betano
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
-0.7%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
79.3%
1.10
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.11
BetVictor
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
-5.3%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
79.3%
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Unibet
1.12
-
-
+0.9%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
77.1%
1.31
Betano
1.34
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.29
-
-
+6.7%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
76.6%
1.24
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Betano
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
+2.2%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
75.9%
1.13
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.14
Betfair
1.14
Bet365
1.14
10Bet
1.12
-6.1%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
74.8%
1.45
Bet365
1.50
Betfair
1.44
Marathonbet
1.44
Unibet
1.43
-
+13.4%
✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners
74.0%
1.44
Unibet
1.50
Superbet
1.47
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.41
Marathonbet
1.38
+9.9%
-
Over 0.5 HT goals
70.4%
1.39
Betano
1.45
Pinnacle
1.41
BetVictor
1.41
Bet365
1.40
Marathonbet
1.39
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
70.4%
1.21
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.24
Marathonbet
1.23
William Hil
1.22
1xBet
1.21
-6.5%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
CSKA 1948 · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mamadou Diallo43%
Atanas Iliev20%
Emil Tsenov20%
Brian Sobrero14%
Borislav Tsonev12%
Dragan Grivić12%
Elias Franco10%
Florian Krebs10%
José Martínez8%
Lasha Dvali7%
Georgi Rusev6%
Petar Vitanov0%
Yohann Magnin0%
Andre Hoffmann0%
Zé Vitor0%
Wagninho0%
Ognjen Gašević0%
Frédéric Maciel0%
Juanmi Carrión0%
Dimitar Sheytanov0%
Egor Parkhomenko0%
Fourat Soltani0%
Diego Medina0%
Petar Marinov0%
Adama Ardile Traoré0%
William Fonkeu0%
Marto Boychev0%
Jean David Aka0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Emil Tsenov40%
Dragan Grivić38%
Egor Parkhomenko38%
Zé Vitor33%
Wagninho33%
Fourat Soltani33%
William Fonkeu33%
Adama Ardile Traoré29%
Lasha Dvali21%
Andre Hoffmann20%
Elias Franco20%
Florian Krebs20%
Mamadou Diallo19%
Georgi Rusev19%
Borislav Tsonev19%
Ognjen Gašević14%
Yohann Magnin13%
Juanmi Carrión12%
Frédéric Maciel11%
Dimitar Sheytanov9%
Brian Sobrero9%
Petar Vitanov7%
Diego Medina7%
Marto Boychev6%
Atanas Iliev5%
José Martínez0%
Petar Marinov0%
Jean David Aka0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Georgi Rusev25%
Borislav Tsonev19%
Frédéric Maciel16%
Lasha Dvali14%
Dragan Grivić12%
Florian Krebs10%
Elias Franco5%
Brian Sobrero5%
Atanas Iliev0%
Petar Vitanov0%
Yohann Magnin0%
Mamadou Diallo0%
Andre Hoffmann0%
Zé Vitor0%
Wagninho0%
Ognjen Gašević0%
Juanmi Carrión0%
José Martínez0%
Dimitar Sheytanov0%
Egor Parkhomenko0%
Fourat Soltani0%
Emil Tsenov0%
Diego Medina0%
Petar Marinov0%
Adama Ardile Traoré0%
William Fonkeu0%
Marto Boychev0%
Jean David Aka0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mamadou Diallo33%
Georgi Rusev19%
Borislav Tsonev12%
Elias Franco10%
Atanas Iliev5%
Brian Sobrero5%
Petar Vitanov0%
Yohann Magnin0%
Andre Hoffmann0%
Lasha Dvali0%
Zé Vitor0%
Wagninho0%
Dragan Grivić0%
Ognjen Gašević0%
Frédéric Maciel0%
Juanmi Carrión0%
Florian Krebs0%
José Martínez0%
Dimitar Sheytanov0%
Egor Parkhomenko0%
Fourat Soltani0%
Emil Tsenov0%
Diego Medina0%
Petar Marinov0%
Adama Ardile Traoré0%
William Fonkeu0%
Marto Boychev0%
Jean David Aka0%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Joël Zwarts38%
Dimitar Iliev20%
Juan Perea18%
Petar Andreev17%
Sevi Idriz17%
Miha Trdan14%
Francisco Politino11%
Julien Lamy10%
Adrián Cova10%
Lucas Ryan10%
Todor Pavlov6%
Parvizdzhon Umarbaev6%
Cătălin Itu6%
Nikolay Nikolaev0%
Zapro Dinev0%
Andrei Chindriş0%
Bojan Milosavljević0%
Martin Ruskov0%
Martin Atanasov0%
Ivaylo Ivanov0%
Petar Zovko0%
Efe Ali0%
Georgi Brankov Chorbadzhiyski0%
Enzo Espinoza0%
Francisco Politino0%
Axel Velev0%
Efe Ali0%
Ivaylo Ivanov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Georgi Brankov Chorbadzhiyski40%
Ivaylo Ivanov33%
Enzo Espinoza33%
Parvizdzhon Umarbaev28%
Cătălin Itu28%
Juan Perea27%
Zapro Dinev25%
Adrián Cova25%
Sevi Idriz25%
Ivaylo Ivanov24%
Bojan Milosavljević22%
Lucas Ryan20%
Martin Ruskov17%
Petar Andreev17%
Miha Trdan14%
Efe Ali14%
Todor Pavlov12%
Francisco Politino11%
Andrei Chindriş11%
Martin Atanasov11%
Julien Lamy10%
Nikolay Nikolaev0%
Dimitar Iliev0%
Joël Zwarts0%
Petar Zovko0%
Efe Ali0%
Francisco Politino0%
Axel Velev0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ivaylo Ivanov33%
Dimitar Iliev20%
Julien Lamy20%
Parvizdzhon Umarbaev17%
Petar Andreev17%
Joël Zwarts12%
Todor Pavlov6%
Cătălin Itu6%
Francisco Politino0%
Nikolay Nikolaev0%
Zapro Dinev0%
Andrei Chindriş0%
Bojan Milosavljević0%
Martin Ruskov0%
Martin Atanasov0%
Adrián Cova0%
Petar Zovko0%
Efe Ali0%
Georgi Brankov Chorbadzhiyski0%
Juan Perea0%
Lucas Ryan0%
Enzo Espinoza0%
Miha Trdan0%
Francisco Politino0%
Axel Velev0%
Efe Ali0%
Ivaylo Ivanov0%
Sevi Idriz0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Georgi Brankov Chorbadzhiyski20%
Juan Perea18%
Joël Zwarts12%
Cătălin Itu11%
Sevi Idriz8%
Parvizdzhon Umarbaev6%
Julien Lamy5%
Adrián Cova5%
Francisco Politino0%
Nikolay Nikolaev0%
Zapro Dinev0%
Dimitar Iliev0%
Andrei Chindriş0%
Bojan Milosavljević0%
Martin Ruskov0%
Martin Atanasov0%
Ivaylo Ivanov0%
Petar Zovko0%
Efe Ali0%
Lucas Ryan0%
Todor Pavlov0%
Petar Andreev0%
Enzo Espinoza0%
Miha Trdan0%
Francisco Politino0%
Axel Velev0%
Efe Ali0%
Ivaylo Ivanov0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LUD (29)
€46m
LS (27)
€38m
CS (25)
€26m
C1 (30)
€18m
BP (29)
€11m
AK (20)
€10m
LP (23)
€9m
LS (25)
€8m
SS (25)
€7m
CMV (22)
€6m
SV (22)
€6m
BV (23)
€6m
DR (22)
€4m
SS (20)
€3m
CSKA 1948's squad is €10m more valuable than Lokomotiv Plovdiv's (€18m vs €9m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LUD (12)
€27m
LS (10)
€11m
CS (9)
€10m
C1 (14)
€9m
BP (12)
€5m
AK (7)
€3m
LS (11)
€3m
CMV (8)
€3m
LP (8)
€3m
SS (11)
€2m
BV (8)
€2m
SV (7)
€2m
DR (6)
€1m
SS (8)
€1m
CSKA 1948's attack is €7m more valuable than Lokomotiv Plovdiv's (€9m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LS (5)
€8m
CS (6)
€6m
LUD (4)
€6m
AK (3)
€3m
LS (6)
€2m
C1 (4)
€2m
BP (6)
€2m
LP (5)
€2m
SS (4)
€2m
BV (5)
€1m
CMV (5)
€1m
DR (5)
€1m
SV (4)
€1m
SS (4)
€1m
CSKA 1948 and Lokomotiv Plovdiv have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LS (12)
€19m
LUD (13)
€13m
CS (10)
€10m
C1 (12)
€7m
BP (11)
€4m
LP (10)
€4m
AK (10)
€3m
SS (10)
€3m
LS (8)
€3m
SV (11)
€3m
CMV (9)
€2m
BV (10)
€2m
DR (11)
€2m
SS (8)
€2m
CSKA 1948's defence is €3m more valuable than Lokomotiv Plovdiv's (€7m vs €4m).
Bulgaria: First League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bulgaria: First League stats & trends →
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Levski Sofia
Ludogorets
CSKA Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
Septemvri Sofia
Slavia Sofia
Botev Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
Dunav Ruse
Cherno More Varna
Botev Vratsa
Lokomotiv Sofia