CSKA Moscow is the clear favourite, with the model assigning a 67 % chance of a home win, 20 % for a draw and 13 % for an Akron victory. The 3.2 expected total goals and a 22 % probability that the match will finish with three goals underline the belief that CSKA will dominate. The single most likely scoreline is 2-0, with a 10.8 % chance, reflecting CSKA’s strong home form - averaging 1.5 goals scored and 0.67 conceded against weaker opposition - while Akron, playing away against stronger teams, averages 1.33 scored and 2.5 conceded. The model’s selection list includes Under 11.5 corners at 99.6 %, Under 10.5 corners at 98.9 %, Away under 3.5 goals at 98.6 % (hit), Under 7.5 at 98.4 % (hit), Under 9.5 corners at 97.3 %, Under 6.5 at 95.8 % (hit), Home +2 handicap at 95.6 % (hit) and Under 8.5 corners at 94.0 %. These picks highlight the expectation of a low-corner, low-goal affair dominated by CSKA’s home advantage.
Results analysis
The upset came as CSKA Moscow, the pre-match favourite with a 67 % chance of victory, fell short, losing 0-1 to Akron. The model’s call was wrong, and the final result was an away win. The match stayed under the predicted 3.2 goals, with only one goal scored. Akron’s lone strike was enough to secure the win, while CSKA’s 0-goal tally matched the model’s 67 % home-win probability but not the actual outcome. The model’s selections all hit: Away under 3.5 goals at 98.6 %, Under 7.5 at 98.4 %, Under 6.5 at 95.8 %, and Home +2 handicap at 95.6 %. The game extended CSKA’s recent win streak but ended in a disappointing defeat.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
CSKA Moscow win✗ Miss
66.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
20.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Akron win✓ Hit
12.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
CSKA Moscow
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.17
1.62
1.06
1.00
1.29
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
3.00
1.00
3.00
-
-
vs Similar (8)
1.25
2.00
2.33
2.00
0.60
2.00
vs Weaker (21)
1.38
0.76
1.50
0.67
1.22
0.89
Clean sheet %
23% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Akron) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Akron
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
2.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
2.00
0.93
2.07
1.12
1.94
vs Stronger (12)
1.08
2.33
0.83
2.17
1.33
2.50
vs Similar (18)
1.00
1.78
1.00
2.00
1.00
1.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
83.3%
Under 1.5
16.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
61.2%
Under 2.5
38.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
38.9%
Under 3.5
61.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.3%
No
45.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.5%
1-0
8.7%
3-0
8.1%
3-1
7.3%
0-0
5.1%
4-0
4.6%
CSKA Moscow goals ↓
Akron goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.1%
3.0%
1.7%
0.5%
0.1%
1
8.7%
9.5%
3.9%
1.2%
0.3%
2
11%
9.8%
4.4%
1.3%
0.3%
3
8.1%
7.3%
3.3%
1.0%
0.2%
4
4.6%
4.1%
1.9%
0.6%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = CSKA Moscow goals (down), columns = Akron goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Zenit
2.55
Volgar Astrakhan
2.33
Irkutsk
2.25
Broke Boys
2.25
Cherepovets
2.25
Kristall MEZ
2.25
Veles
2.25
Spartak Moscow
2.08
KDV
2.00
Dinamo Vologda
2.00
Luki-Energiya
2.00
Astrakhan
2.00
Tyumen
2.00
Rodina Moskva
2.00
Enisey
2.00
Arsenal Tula
2.00
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2.00
FC Krasnodar
1.92
CSKA Moscow
1.75
Torpedo Moskva
1.75
Lokomotiv
1.70
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.70
Chelyabinsk
1.67
Dynamo
1.58
Zenit Penza
1.50
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.50
Zvezda St. Petersburg
1.50
FK Spartak Tambov
1.50
Salyut-Belgorod
1.50
Chayka
1.50
2Drots
1.50
Ilpar
1.50
Znamya Noginsk
1.50
FK Sokol Saratov
1.50
KAMAZ
1.50
Ural
1.50
Fakel
1.33
FC Rostov
1.25
Krylia Sovetov
1.10
FC 10
1.04
Metallurg Asha
1.04
Chita
1.04
Izberbash
1.04
Iskra Smolensk
1.04
Bomik
1.04
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
1.04
FC Tosno
1.04
SKA Rostov
1.04
Izhevsk
1.04
Kirovets Voskhozhdenie
1.04
Anzhi
1.04
Spartak Nalchik
1.00
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1.00
Dinamo Bryansk
1.00
Irtysh Omsk
1.00
Tver
1.00
Torpedo Miass
1.00
Nart Cherkessk
1.00
Dinamo Kirov
1.00
Amkar
1.00
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
1.00
Druzhba
1.00
Tekstilshchik
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
Spartak Kostroma
1.00
Angust Nazran
1.00
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.00
Baltika
0.88
Rubin
0.86
FC Orenburg
0.78
FK Neftekhimik
0.75
Temp Barnaul
0.67
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
0.67
Akron
0.67
Akhmat
0.67
Dinamo Stavropol
0.50
Saturn Ramenskoye
0.50
Mashuk-KMV
0.50
Nizhny Novgorod
0.50
FC Sochi
0.33
Murom
0.00
Avangard Kursk
0.00
Chertanovo Moscow
0.00
Dinamo Barnaul
0.00
Kvant
0.00
Shumbrat
0.00
Kristall
0.00
Pobeda
0.00
Anri Vladivostok
0.00
Dinamo St. Petersburg
0.00
Orel
0.00
Dinamo Vladivostok
0.00
Novosibirsk
0.00
Torpedo Vladimir
0.00
Nosta
0.00
Kaluga
0.00
Ryazan
0.00
Ska-khabarovsk
0.00
Leningradets
0.00
Rotor Volgograd
0.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
0.00
Strogino
0.00
CSKA Moscow is 1.08 points better than Akron in terms of average points per game (1.75 vs 0.67).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Irkutsk
3.75
Zvezda St. Petersburg
2.50
Cherepovets
2.50
Tyumen
2.50
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2.50
KDV
2.33
Luki-Energiya
2.33
Zenit
2.09
FC Krasnodar
2.08
Murom
2.00
Orel
2.00
Salyut-Belgorod
2.00
Astrakhan
2.00
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
2.00
Kristall MEZ
2.00
Nosta
2.00
Ilpar
2.00
Veles
2.00
Volga Ulyanovsk
2.00
Spartak Moscow
1.85
Broke Boys
1.75
Torpedo Moskva
1.75
Lokomotiv
1.70
Arsenal Tula
1.60
Dynamo
1.58
CSKA Moscow
1.58
Znamya Noginsk
1.50
Rodina Moskva
1.50
Enisey
1.50
Krylia Sovetov
1.40
FC Rostov
1.38
Volgar Astrakhan
1.33
Akhmat
1.33
Fakel
1.33
FC Sochi
1.33
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.30
FC 10
1.10
Metallurg Asha
1.10
Chita
1.10
Izberbash
1.10
Iskra Smolensk
1.10
Bomik
1.10
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
1.10
FC Tosno
1.10
SKA Rostov
1.10
Izhevsk
1.10
Kirovets Voskhozhdenie
1.10
Anzhi
1.10
Dinamo Stavropol
1.00
Avangard Kursk
1.00
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.00
Chertanovo Moscow
1.00
Dinamo Barnaul
1.00
Kvant
1.00
Shumbrat
1.00
Kristall
1.00
Dinamo Vologda
1.00
FK Spartak Tambov
1.00
Dinamo Kirov
1.00
Amkar
1.00
Chayka
1.00
Akron
1.00
Druzhba
1.00
FK Sokol Saratov
1.00
Baltika
1.00
KAMAZ
1.00
Chelyabinsk
1.00
FK Neftekhimik
1.00
Ural
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
Angust Nazran
1.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
1.00
FC Orenburg
0.78
Rubin
0.71
Temp Barnaul
0.67
Tekstilshchik
0.67
Nizhny Novgorod
0.67
Zenit Penza
0.50
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
0.50
2Drots
0.50
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
0.33
Spartak Nalchik
0.00
Saturn Ramenskoye
0.00
Dinamo Bryansk
0.00
Irtysh Omsk
0.00
Tver
0.00
Torpedo Miass
0.00
Pobeda
0.00
Anri Vladivostok
0.00
Dinamo St. Petersburg
0.00
Mashuk-KMV
0.00
Dinamo Vladivostok
0.00
Novosibirsk
0.00
Nart Cherkessk
0.00
Torpedo Vladimir
0.00
Kaluga
0.00
Ryazan
0.00
Ska-khabarovsk
0.00
Leningradets
0.00
Spartak Kostroma
0.00
Strogino
0.00
CSKA Moscow is 0.58 goals better than Akron in terms of goals scored per game (1.58 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Spartak Nalchik
0.00
Dinamo Bryansk
0.00
Irtysh Omsk
0.00
Tver
0.00
Torpedo Miass
0.00
Nart Cherkessk
0.00
Rodina Moskva
0.00
Spartak Kostroma
0.00
Zenit Penza
0.50
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
0.50
Dinamo Vologda
0.50
2Drots
0.50
FK Sokol Saratov
0.50
KAMAZ
0.50
Volgar Astrakhan
0.67
Chelyabinsk
0.67
Tekstilshchik
0.67
Zenit
0.73
Irkutsk
0.75
FC Krasnodar
0.77
Arsenal Tula
0.80
Dynamo
0.92
Saturn Ramenskoye
1.00
KDV
1.00
Temp Barnaul
1.00
Pobeda
1.00
Dinamo St. Petersburg
1.00
FK Spartak Tambov
1.00
Salyut-Belgorod
1.00
Dinamo Kirov
1.00
Amkar
1.00
Tyumen
1.00
Torpedo Vladimir
1.00
Druzhba
1.00
Kaluga
1.00
Znamya Noginsk
1.00
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.00
Enisey
1.00
Torpedo Moskva
1.00
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.00
Ural
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
Angust Nazran
1.00
Strogino
1.00
Spartak Moscow
1.08
Broke Boys
1.25
CSKA Moscow
1.25
Baltika
1.25
Veles
1.25
Rubin
1.29
Lokomotiv
1.30
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.33
Astrakhan
1.33
Fakel
1.33
Dinamo Stavropol
1.50
Zvezda St. Petersburg
1.50
Mashuk-KMV
1.50
FC Rostov
1.50
Chayka
1.50
Kristall MEZ
1.50
FK Neftekhimik
1.50
FC 10
1.50
Metallurg Asha
1.50
Chita
1.50
Izberbash
1.50
Iskra Smolensk
1.50
Bomik
1.50
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
1.50
FC Tosno
1.50
SKA Rostov
1.50
Izhevsk
1.50
Kirovets Voskhozhdenie
1.50
Anzhi
1.50
Luki-Energiya
1.67
Akhmat
1.67
Cherepovets
1.75
Krylia Sovetov
1.90
Avangard Kursk
2.00
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
2.00
Chertanovo Moscow
2.00
Dinamo Barnaul
2.00
Novosibirsk
2.00
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
2.00
Rotor Volgograd
2.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
2.00
Volga Ulyanovsk
2.00
Akron
2.17
Nizhny Novgorod
2.17
Leningradets
2.50
FC Orenburg
2.56
Murom
3.00
Kvant
3.00
Shumbrat
3.00
Kristall
3.00
Orel
3.00
Dinamo Vladivostok
3.00
Nosta
3.00
Ilpar
3.00
Ryazan
3.00
Ska-khabarovsk
3.00
FC Sochi
3.00
Anri Vladivostok
4.00
CSKA Moscow is 0.92 goals better than Akron in terms of goals conceded per game (1.25 vs 2.17).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
CSKA Moscow
64%
Baltika
36%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
CSKA Moscow
For 3.9 · Against 5.5 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 13.3 · Total 24.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Akron
For 4.3 · Against 3.6 · Total 7.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 13.3 · Total 25.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
CSKA Moscow
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
10.5
10.4
4.1
3.8
4.4
26.5
26.2
26.9
vs Stronger (2)
9.5
9.0
10.0
4.0
5.0
3.0
26.0
23.0
29.0
vs Similar (15)
9.7
11.0
8.6
4.6
4.7
4.6
25.7
25.0
26.2
vs Weaker (33)
10.8
10.5
11.4
3.9
3.4
4.5
26.9
26.8
27.1
% over line
57%
57%
56%
50%
40%
60%
84%
76%
94%
% under line
43%
43%
44%
50%
60%
40%
16%
24%
6%
This opponent (Akron) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Akron
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
9.4
9.1
3.7
3.1
4.4
27.4
27.8
27.1
vs Stronger (21)
9.8
9.1
10.4
3.7
3.3
4.1
26.6
27.2
25.9
vs Similar (29)
8.9
9.5
8.2
3.8
3.1
4.6
28.0
28.1
27.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
43%
45%
40%
46%
26%
70%
88%
86%
90%
% under line
57%
55%
60%
54%
74%
30%
12%
14%
10%
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Tekstilshchik
12.0
Rodina Moskva
11.8
Arsenal Tula
11.0
Rotor Volgograd
11.0
Chelyabinsk
11.0
Spartak Kostroma
10.5
Nizhny Novgorod
10.5
CSKA Moscow
10.4
FC Orenburg
10.2
Dynamo
10.1
Zenit
9.7
Volgar Astrakhan
9.6
Akhmat
9.5
Krylia Sovetov
9.4
Akron
9.2
FC Sochi
9.2
Fakel
9.2
Spartak Moscow
9.2
Lokomotiv
9.2
Veles
9.0
Ural
9.0
Dinamo Makhachkala
9.0
FC UFA
8.7
Rubin
8.6
Torpedo Moskva
8.5
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
8.5
Leningradets
8.5
FC Rostov
8.4
FC Krasnodar
8.4
Baltika
8.2
FK Neftekhimik
7.5
Tyumen
7.4
Ska-khabarovsk
7.2
Volga Ulyanovsk
6.3
Enisey
5.5
KDV
4.0
Novosibirsk
4.0
Dinamo Bryansk
3.0
Znamya Noginsk
3.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Broke Boys
7.0
Spartak Moscow
5.2
Baltika
5.1
FC Krasnodar
5.0
Tekstilshchik
5.0
FC Rostov
4.9
CSKA Moscow
4.8
Lokomotiv
4.6
Rubin
4.6
FC Orenburg
4.6
Krylia Sovetov
4.6
Dinamo Makhachkala
4.5
Nizhny Novgorod
4.5
Volga Ulyanovsk
4.5
Akhmat
4.5
KAMAZ
4.5
Dynamo
4.4
Fakel
4.4
FC Sochi
4.4
Chelyabinsk
4.3
FC UFA
4.3
Veles
4.2
Spartak Kostroma
4.0
Zenit
4.0
Volgar Astrakhan
4.0
FK Sokol Saratov
4.0
Chayka
3.9
Arsenal Tula
3.9
Akron
3.8
Rotor Volgograd
3.8
Ural
3.8
Enisey
3.6
Ska-khabarovsk
3.6
Torpedo Moskva
3.5
Leningradets
3.4
Tyumen
3.3
FK Neftekhimik
3.1
Rodina Moskva
3.1
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
3.1
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3.1
KDV
3.0
Novosibirsk
3.0
Irkutsk
3.0
Mashuk-KMV
1.0
Luki-Energiya
1.0
Dinamo Bryansk
0.0
Znamya Noginsk
0.0
Chertanovo Moscow
0.0
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
0.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Torpedo Moskva
32.0
Baltika
30.3
Spartak Moscow
29.9
Dinamo Makhachkala
29.6
FC Krasnodar
29.2
Akhmat
29.0
FC Rostov
28.9
Rubin
28.8
Nizhny Novgorod
28.6
Rotor Volgograd
28.5
FC Orenburg
28.3
Fakel
27.7
Dynamo
27.6
Rodina Moskva
27.5
Akron
27.4
Lokomotiv
27.4
Zenit
27.2
FC Sochi
27.1
Ural
26.8
CSKA Moscow
26.6
Krylia Sovetov
26.3
Enisey
23.0
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
14.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
2.7%
Under 9.5
97.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
46.1%
Under 3.5
53.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
67.3%
Under 21.5
32.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
CSKA Moscow or Draw✗ Miss
87.1%
Avg Implied -
67%
20%
13%
covers CSKA Moscow + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
CSKA Moscow or Akron✓ Hit
79.8%
Avg Implied -
67%
20%
13%
covers CSKA Moscow + Akron
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Akron✓ Hit
33.1%
Avg Implied -
67%
20%
13%
covers Draw + Akron
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
CSKA Moscow over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
89.5%
Under
10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSKA Moscow over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
65.9%
Under
34.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSKA Moscow over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
39.2%
Under
60.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSKA Moscow over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
19.2%
Under
80.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akron over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
59.7%
Under
40.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akron over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
23.0%
Under
77.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akron over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
6.4%
Under
93.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akron over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.4%
Under
98.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to CSKA Moscow, so a minus line means CSKA Moscow give that many goals of a start and Akron receive them. At -1, CSKA Moscow must win by two or more to land; a one-goal CSKA Moscow win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (CSKA Moscow)Actual: Akron
CSKA Moscow -2
24.3%
Draw -2
20.3%
Akron +2
55.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (CSKA Moscow)Actual: Akron
CSKA Moscow -1
44.5%
Draw -1
22.4%
Akron +1
33.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (CSKA Moscow)Actual: Draw
CSKA Moscow +1
87.1%
Draw +1
8.5%
Akron -1
4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (CSKA Moscow)Actual: CSKA Moscow
CSKA Moscow +2
95.6%
Draw +2
3.3%
Akron -2
1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
CSKA Moscow
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.53
0.56
0.56
0.36
0.50
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.38
0.88
0.33
1.00
0.40
0.80
vs Weaker (21)
0.48
0.38
0.58
0.42
0.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Akron) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Akron
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
1.27
0.43
1.29
0.19
1.25
vs Stronger (12)
0.42
1.50
0.50
1.17
0.33
1.83
vs Similar (18)
0.22
1.11
0.38
1.38
0.10
0.90
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
CSKA Moscow over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSKA Moscow over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSKA Moscow over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akron over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akron over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akron over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
CSKA Moscow
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.63
1.06
0.50
0.64
0.79
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.88
1.12
2.00
1.00
0.20
1.20
vs Weaker (21)
0.90
0.38
0.92
0.25
0.89
0.56
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Akron) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Akron
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.73
0.50
0.79
0.94
0.69
vs Stronger (12)
0.67
0.83
0.33
1.00
1.00
0.67
vs Similar (18)
0.78
0.67
0.62
0.62
0.90
0.70
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
CSKA Moscow over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSKA Moscow over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSKA Moscow over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akron over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akron over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akron over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 11.5 corners
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 10.5 corners
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
98.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 9.5 corners
97.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
95.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
95.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 8.5 corners
94.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
93.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
89.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
89.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home or Draw
87.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap
87.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
85.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
83.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
81.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
80.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
79.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
78.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
77.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
72.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
CSKA Moscow
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Luciano Gondou33%
Henrique Carmo25%
Matheus Alves20%
Ivan Oblyakov17%
Kirill Danilov17%
Kirill Glebov17%
Matija Popović17%
Milan Gajić0%
Dmitriy Barinov0%
Moisés0%
João Victor0%
Danil Krugovoy0%
Vladislav Torop0%
Tamerlan Musaev0%
Danila Kozlov0%
Matvey Kislyak0%
Imran Firov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Luciano Gondou33%
Imran Firov25%
Matheus Alves20%
João Victor17%
Vladislav Torop17%
Kirill Danilov17%
Milan Gajić0%
Dmitriy Barinov0%
Ivan Oblyakov0%
Moisés0%
Danil Krugovoy0%
Tamerlan Musaev0%
Kirill Glebov0%
Danila Kozlov0%
Matvey Kislyak0%
Matija Popović0%
Henrique Carmo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Milan Gajić25%
Matheus Alves20%
Danil Krugovoy17%
Luciano Gondou17%
Kirill Glebov17%
Matvey Kislyak17%
Dmitriy Barinov0%
Ivan Oblyakov0%
Moisés0%
João Victor0%
Vladislav Torop0%
Tamerlan Musaev0%
Kirill Danilov0%
Danila Kozlov0%
Imran Firov0%
Matija Popović0%
Henrique Carmo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Luciano Gondou33%
Ivan Oblyakov17%
Kirill Danilov17%
Matija Popović17%
Milan Gajić0%
Dmitriy Barinov0%
Moisés0%
João Victor0%
Danil Krugovoy0%
Vladislav Torop0%
Tamerlan Musaev0%
Kirill Glebov0%
Danila Kozlov0%
Matvey Kislyak0%
Matheus Alves0%
Imran Firov0%
Henrique Carmo0%
Akron
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gilson Tavares33%
Yomar Rocha20%
Kevin Arevalo20%
Stefan Lončar17%
Arseniy Dmitriev17%
Kristijan Bistrović0%
Konstantin Maradishvili0%
Roberto Fernández0%
Joao Escoval0%
Khetag Khosonov0%
Vyacheslav Bardybakhin0%
Slobodan Tedić0%
Vitali Gudiev0%
Marat Bokoev0%
Yuriy Zheleznov0%
Aleksa Đurasović0%
Dudu0%
Nikita Bazilevskiy0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kristijan Bistrović50%
Joao Escoval40%
Arseniy Dmitriev33%
Dudu25%
Nikita Bazilevskiy25%
Roberto Fernández20%
Stefan Lončar17%
Vyacheslav Bardybakhin17%
Gilson Tavares17%
Konstantin Maradishvili0%
Khetag Khosonov0%
Slobodan Tedić0%
Vitali Gudiev0%
Marat Bokoev0%
Yuriy Zheleznov0%
Aleksa Đurasović0%
Yomar Rocha0%
Kevin Arevalo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dudu25%
Roberto Fernández20%
Konstantin Maradishvili17%
Stefan Lončar17%
Gilson Tavares17%
Kristijan Bistrović0%
Joao Escoval0%
Khetag Khosonov0%
Vyacheslav Bardybakhin0%
Slobodan Tedić0%
Vitali Gudiev0%
Marat Bokoev0%
Yuriy Zheleznov0%
Aleksa Đurasović0%
Yomar Rocha0%
Arseniy Dmitriev0%
Nikita Bazilevskiy0%
Kevin Arevalo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Stefan Lončar33%
Gilson Tavares33%
Kevin Arevalo20%
Kristijan Bistrović0%
Konstantin Maradishvili0%
Roberto Fernández0%
Joao Escoval0%
Khetag Khosonov0%
Vyacheslav Bardybakhin0%
Slobodan Tedić0%
Vitali Gudiev0%
Marat Bokoev0%
Yuriy Zheleznov0%
Aleksa Đurasović0%
Yomar Rocha0%
Dudu0%
Arseniy Dmitriev0%
Nikita Bazilevskiy0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (26)
€182m
SM (26)
€129m
FK (28)
€114m
CM (27)
€111m
DYN (28)
€110m
LOK (27)
€68m
RUB (27)
€45m
FR (28)
€32m
BAL (31)
€30m
AKH (25)
€30m
KS (27)
€26m
AKR (25)
€25m
DM (29)
€20m
FO (30)
€18m
NN (28)
€18m
RM (26)
€17m
FS (21)
€15m
FAK (26)
€14m
URA (21)
€11m
TM (23)
€11m
RV (25)
€9m
CHE (23)
€9m
AT (26)
€8m
SK (27)
€8m
SKA (27)
€6m
VU (24)
€6m
SY (24)
€6m
ENI (24)
€6m
FU (25)
€5m
LEN (22)
€5m
KAM (24)
€5m
VEL (23)
€5m
TEK (25)
€5m
FN (25)
€5m
CSKA Moscow's squad is €86m more valuable than Akron's (€111m vs €25m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (9)
€100m
SM (10)
€59m
DYN (8)
€45m
CM (11)
€37m
FK (9)
€34m
LOK (8)
€21m
AKH (11)
€17m
FR (11)
€14m
AKR (9)
€11m
BAL (10)
€10m
KS (11)
€9m
DM (13)
€9m
FO (12)
€8m
RUB (5)
€8m
RM (11)
€7m
NN (11)
€6m
TM (10)
€5m
FAK (10)
€5m
FS (8)
€5m
URA (8)
€4m
CHE (9)
€4m
AT (8)
€3m
RV (7)
€3m
SK (8)
€3m
VU (9)
€2m
ENI (7)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
TEK (9)
€2m
SY (9)
€2m
KAM (9)
€2m
FN (9)
€2m
FU (7)
€2m
VEL (7)
€2m
LEN (7)
€1m
CSKA Moscow's attack is €26m more valuable than Akron's (€37m vs €11m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CM (5)
€48m
SM (6)
€37m
FK (7)
€35m
ZEN (5)
€31m
DYN (7)
€24m
RUB (6)
€12m
LOK (7)
€8m
BAL (6)
€6m
AKR (6)
€6m
KS (4)
€6m
FR (5)
€5m
AKH (4)
€4m
RM (4)
€3m
FO (5)
€3m
DM (5)
€3m
NN (5)
€3m
URA (4)
€2m
RV (7)
€2m
AT (8)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
FAK (4)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
ENI (5)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
SK (7)
€2m
SY (5)
€1m
FS (2)
€1m
LEN (6)
€1m
TM (4)
€1m
VU (5)
€1m
CHE (2)
€1m
TEK (6)
€1m
FN (5)
€1m
KAM (4)
€1m
CSKA Moscow's midfield is €42m more valuable than Akron's (€48m vs €6m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (12)
€50m
FK (12)
€45m
DYN (13)
€42m
LOK (12)
€40m
SM (10)
€34m
CM (11)
€26m
RUB (16)
€25m
BAL (15)
€15m
FR (12)
€13m
KS (12)
€11m
FS (11)
€9m
AKH (10)
€9m
NN (12)
€9m
AKR (10)
€8m
DM (11)
€8m
FO (13)
€7m
FAK (12)
€7m
RM (11)
€7m
URA (9)
€4m
TM (9)
€4m
SK (12)
€4m
RV (11)
€4m
CHE (12)
€3m
AT (10)
€3m
VU (10)
€3m
SKA (11)
€3m
SY (10)
€2m
KAM (11)
€2m
LEN (9)
€2m
FN (11)
€2m
ENI (12)
€2m
TEK (10)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
CSKA Moscow's defence is €17m more valuable than Akron's (€26m vs €8m).
Russia: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Krasnodar
Spartak Moscow
Zenit
Baltika
Dynamo
Rubin
Dinamo Makhachkala
FC Orenburg
Akhmat
Krylia Sovetov
FC Rostov
Rodina Moskva
Lokomotiv
Fakel