CSKA Sofia II vs Spartak Pleven Result & Analysis

CSKA Sofia II are the clear favourites, with a 65% chance of victory, a 22% chance of a draw and only a 13% chance for Spartak Pleven to win. The model picks a home win as the most likely outcome, reflecting CSKA’s strong home form - 3.62 goals scored and 0.88 conceded against weaker opponents - while Spartak’s away record shows only 0.86 goals scored and 2.29 conceded against stronger teams. The expected total is 2.9 goals, with the most probable scoreline 2-0 at 12.1%. The single most likely total number of goals is 2, with a 24% probability. Suggested picks include Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.1%), Under 7.5 (99.1%), Away under 3.5 goals (99.1%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (98.1%), Under 6.5 (97.3%), Home +2 handicap (96.0%), Away under 2.5 goals (95.2%) and Home under 2.5 HT goals (93.8%). The recent form shows CSKA coming off a defeat, while Spartak is after three straight losses, further tilting the odds toward the home side.

CSKA Sofia II’s recent form, coming off a win, proved decisive as they finished 5-1 at home, confirming the model’s prediction of a home victory. The favourite, Home win, was chosen with a 65% probability and the outcome matched the forecast. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 99.1%, Under 7.5 hit at 99.1%, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 99.1%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 98.3%, Under 6.5 hit at 97.3%, Home +2 handicap hit at 96.0%, Away under 2.5 goals hit at 95.1%, and Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 93.4%. All probabilities were expressed as percentages, and every selection’s result was reported.