This opponent (FK Crvena Zvezda) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FK Crvena Zvezda
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.44
0.81
3.07
0.50
1.77
1.15
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
1.00
2.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
3.00
vs Weaker (23)
2.70
0.61
3.42
0.42
1.91
0.82
Clean sheet %
48% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Cukaricki) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.3%
Under 1.5
23.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
50.5%
Under 2.5
49.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.5%
Under 3.5
71.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.8%
No
45.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.1%
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.3%
0-2 ✓
8.2%
0-0
7.9%
2-1
6.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-2
5.3%
Cukaricki goals ↓
FK Crvena Zvezda goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.9%
9.4%
8.2%
4.3%
1.7%
1
6.4%
13%
9.3%
4.9%
1.9%
2
4.3%
6.8%
5.3%
2.8%
1.1%
3
1.6%
2.6%
2.0%
1.0%
0.4%
4
0.5%
0.7%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cukaricki goals (down), columns = FK Crvena Zvezda goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
2.62
Cukaricki
2.03
TSC Backa Topola
2.03
FK Partizan
1.92
Vojvodina
1.70
Indjija
1.50
Novi Pazar
1.38
FK Vozdovac
1.24
Radnicki 1923
1.14
Kolubara
1.11
Napredak
1.05
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
1.05
Mladost Lucani
1.03
Javor
1.00
Radnik Surdulica
1.00
Radnicki NIS
0.97
Mladost Novi Sad
0.81
Grafičar
0.50
Cukaricki is 0.59 points worse than FK Crvena Zvezda in terms of average points per game (2.03 vs 2.62).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
2.59
FK Partizan
1.84
TSC Backa Topola
1.78
Cukaricki
1.76
Vojvodina
1.59
Indjija
1.50
Novi Pazar
1.08
Mladost Lucani
1.08
Radnicki NIS
1.05
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
1.03
Radnicki 1923
1.00
Javor
0.95
Radnik Surdulica
0.79
FK Vozdovac
0.78
Kolubara
0.76
Napredak
0.73
Mladost Novi Sad
0.68
Grafičar
0.50
Cukaricki is 0.84 goals worse than FK Crvena Zvezda in terms of goals scored per game (1.76 vs 2.59).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FK Crvena Zvezda
0.51
TSC Backa Topola
0.86
FK Partizan
0.92
Vojvodina
0.95
Napredak
1.00
Cukaricki
1.03
Radnicki 1923
1.16
Radnik Surdulica
1.31
Novi Pazar
1.32
Mladost Novi Sad
1.32
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
1.32
FK Vozdovac
1.41
Grafičar
1.50
Javor
1.51
Kolubara
1.54
Mladost Lucani
1.54
Radnicki NIS
1.64
Indjija
2.00
Cukaricki is 0.51 goals worse than FK Crvena Zvezda in terms of goals conceded per game (1.03 vs 0.51).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FK Crvena Zvezda
61%
TSC Backa Topola
56%
Radnicki 1923
56%
Napredak
54%
Radnicki NIS
52%
Mladost Lucani
51%
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
50%
Vojvodina
49%
Cukaricki
49%
Kolubara
45%
Novi Pazar
43%
FK Partizan
43%
Radnik Surdulica
39%
Mladost Novi Sad
38%
Javor
36%
Cukaricki is 11.8 percentage points worse than FK Crvena Zvezda in terms of average possession (49% vs 61%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Cukaricki
For 5.0 · Against 3.7 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 12.0 · Total 24.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FK Crvena Zvezda
For 4.1 · Against 5.0 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.5 · Against 13.8 · Total 28.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Cukaricki
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (21)
8.7
8.0
9.2
1.8
1.7
1.8
24.5
33.0
16.0
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
10.2
9.0
10.7
1.3
0.5
2.2
24.5
33.0
16.0
vs Weaker (9)
7.4
7.7
7.0
2.6
3.5
1.8
-
-
-
% over line
56%
25%
80%
24%
20%
27%
50%
100%
0%
% under line
44%
75%
20%
76%
80%
73%
50%
0%
100%
This opponent (FK Crvena Zvezda) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FK Crvena Zvezda
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (27)
10.4
10.0
10.8
2.2
2.1
2.4
28.2
28.2
28.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
9.0
9.5
8.5
5.0
4.0
6.0
25.5
26.5
24.5
vs Weaker (23)
10.9
10.2
12.0
1.7
1.8
1.7
31.0
30.0
32.0
% over line
50%
50%
50%
33%
29%
38%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
50%
50%
50%
67%
71%
62%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Cukaricki) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Kolubara
11.2
Radnicki NIS
10.8
FK Partizan
10.8
FK Crvena Zvezda
10.4
Mladost Lucani
9.6
Vojvodina
9.3
FK Vozdovac
8.8
Radnik Surdulica
8.8
Cukaricki
8.7
Napredak
8.2
Novi Pazar
8.0
Radnicki 1923
7.8
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
7.8
Mladost Novi Sad
7.4
TSC Backa Topola
7.0
Javor
6.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Radnicki NIS
9.0
TSC Backa Topola
7.8
Mladost Novi Sad
6.8
FK Vozdovac
6.6
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
6.0
Novi Pazar
5.8
Vojvodina
5.7
FK Partizan
5.5
Mladost Lucani
5.3
Javor
5.2
Kolubara
4.8
FK Crvena Zvezda
4.6
Napredak
4.5
Cukaricki
4.1
Radnik Surdulica
3.5
Radnicki 1923
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
28.2
Cukaricki
24.5
FK Partizan
22.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
39.2%
Under 9.5
60.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
79.0%
Under 3.5
21.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
84.9%
Under 21.5
15.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Cukaricki
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.05
0.76
1.00
0.70
1.09
0.82
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (11)
0.91
0.91
0.83
1.00
1.00
0.80
vs Weaker (9)
1.22
0.56
1.25
0.25
1.20
0.80
Clean sheet %
48% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Crvena Zvezda) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FK Crvena Zvezda
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.26
0.37
1.79
0.29
0.69
0.46
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
0.25
1.00
0.50
0.50
0.00
1.50
vs Weaker (23)
1.43
0.26
2.00
0.25
0.82
0.27
Clean sheet %
67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Cukaricki) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cukaricki over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cukaricki over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cukaricki over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Crvena Zvezda over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Crvena Zvezda over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Crvena Zvezda over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Cukaricki
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.48
1.10
0.50
0.91
0.45
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
2.00
-
-
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (11)
0.91
0.73
1.00
0.83
0.80
0.60
vs Weaker (9)
1.11
0.00
1.25
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
71% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Crvena Zvezda) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FK Crvena Zvezda
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.19
0.44
1.29
0.21
1.08
0.69
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
0.75
1.00
0.50
0.50
1.00
1.50
vs Weaker (23)
1.26
0.35
1.42
0.17
1.09
0.55
Clean sheet %
63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Cukaricki) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cukaricki over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cukaricki over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cukaricki over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Crvena Zvezda over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Crvena Zvezda over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Crvena Zvezda over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
92.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
90.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
84.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
81.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
79.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
76.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 10.5 corners
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
71.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Cukaricki
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Luka Adžić33%
Stefan Kovač33%
Novak Mićović0%
Samuel Owusu0%
Đorđe Ivanović0%
Muhammed Badammosi0%
Mihajlo Spasojevic0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Muhammed Badammosi67%
Đorđe Ivanović33%
Luka Adžić0%
Novak Mićović0%
Stefan Kovač0%
Samuel Owusu0%
Mihajlo Spasojevic0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Luka Adžić33%
Novak Mićović0%
Stefan Kovač0%
Samuel Owusu0%
Đorđe Ivanović0%
Muhammed Badammosi0%
Mihajlo Spasojevic0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Luka Adžić0%
Novak Mićović0%
Stefan Kovač0%
Samuel Owusu0%
Đorđe Ivanović0%
Muhammed Badammosi0%
Mihajlo Spasojevic0%
FK Crvena Zvezda
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Aleksandar Pešić33%
Aleksandar Katai33%
Guélor Kanga33%
Veljko Nikolić33%
Stefan Mitrović29%
Mirko Ivanić14%
Osman Bukari12%
Milan Borjan0%
Marko Gobeljić0%
Nemanja Milunović0%
Milan Rodić0%
El Fardou Ben0%
Aleksandar Dragović0%
Sékou Sanogo0%
Slavoljub Srnić0%
Kings Kangwa0%
Strahinja Eraković0%
Ibrahim Mustapha0%
Jovan Mijatović0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aleksandar Dragović50%
Milan Rodić33%
Sékou Sanogo33%
Aleksandar Pešić22%
Aleksandar Katai22%
Guélor Kanga22%
Nemanja Milunović14%
Mirko Ivanić14%
Slavoljub Srnić14%
Kings Kangwa14%
Osman Bukari12%
Strahinja Eraković11%
Milan Borjan0%
Marko Gobeljić0%
El Fardou Ben0%
Veljko Nikolić0%
Stefan Mitrović0%
Ibrahim Mustapha0%
Jovan Mijatović0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Marko Gobeljić33%
Aleksandar Pešić33%
Osman Bukari25%
Guélor Kanga22%
Ibrahim Mustapha20%
Mirko Ivanić14%
Milan Rodić11%
Aleksandar Katai11%
Milan Borjan0%
Nemanja Milunović0%
El Fardou Ben0%
Aleksandar Dragović0%
Sékou Sanogo0%
Slavoljub Srnić0%
Veljko Nikolić0%
Kings Kangwa0%
Strahinja Eraković0%
Stefan Mitrović0%
Jovan Mijatović0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Aleksandar Pešić44%
Aleksandar Katai33%
Mirko Ivanić14%
Stefan Mitrović14%
Osman Bukari12%
Guélor Kanga11%
Milan Borjan0%
Marko Gobeljić0%
Nemanja Milunović0%
Milan Rodić0%
El Fardou Ben0%
Aleksandar Dragović0%
Sékou Sanogo0%
Slavoljub Srnić0%
Veljko Nikolić0%
Kings Kangwa0%
Strahinja Eraković0%
Ibrahim Mustapha0%
Jovan Mijatović0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (32)
€115m
FP (30)
€48m
VOJ (29)
€30m
RN (26)
€11m
TBT (24)
€10m
NP (21)
€10m
CUK (23)
€10m
R1 (26)
€9m
RS (26)
€9m
ML (28)
€8m
NAP (24)
€7m
JAV (21)
€5m
FSZ (21)
€4m
GRA (19)
€4m
FV (20)
€3m
Cukaricki's squad is €106m less valuable than FK Crvena Zvezda's (€10m vs €115m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (13)
€62m
FP (15)
€24m
VOJ (15)
€13m
TBT (9)
€5m
RN (11)
€4m
ML (10)
€4m
R1 (10)
€4m
CUK (8)
€4m
NP (9)
€3m
RS (10)
€3m
JAV (9)
€2m
NAP (9)
€2m
FSZ (8)
€2m
GRA (8)
€1m
FV (9)
€1m
Cukaricki's attack is €58m less valuable than FK Crvena Zvezda's (€4m vs €62m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (6)
€21m
FP (2)
€11m
VOJ (4)
€7m
R1 (6)
€3m
NP (3)
€2m
CUK (5)
€2m
RS (5)
€2m
TBT (4)
€1m
ML (6)
€1m
RN (3)
€1m
JAV (2)
€1m
FSZ (4)
€1m
NAP (3)
€1m
FV (3)
€1m
GRA (3)
€1m
Cukaricki's midfield is €18m less valuable than FK Crvena Zvezda's (€2m vs €21m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (13)
€33m
FP (13)
€14m
VOJ (10)
€9m
RN (12)
€5m
NP (9)
€5m
NAP (12)
€5m
RS (11)
€4m
TBT (11)
€4m
CUK (10)
€3m
JAV (10)
€3m
R1 (10)
€3m
ML (12)
€2m
FSZ (9)
€2m
GRA (8)
€2m
FV (8)
€1m
Cukaricki's defence is €30m less valuable than FK Crvena Zvezda's (€3m vs €33m).
Serbia: Super Liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Serbia: Super Liga stats & trends →
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TSC Backa Topola
FK Partizan
Vojvodina
Novi Pazar
FK Vozdovac
Radnicki 1923
Kolubara
Napredak
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
Radnik Surdulica
Mladost Lucani
Radnicki NIS
Javor
Mladost Novi Sad
Indjija
Grafičar