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Cukaricki vs IMT Novi Beograd Result & Analysis

Date: 19/07/2026
Time: 17:00
Final 0-1
Cukaricki
Cukaricki
Vs
41%
28%
32%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
IMT Novi Beograd
IMT Novi Beograd
Serbia: Super Liga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Cukaricki a 41% win probability against IMT Novi Beograd in the Serbia: Super Liga on 2026-07-19, with 28% for the draw and 32% for IMT Novi Beograd. The model estimates around 2.7 total goals, with 2 the most likely total (25%) and 1-1 the most likely scoreline (13.3%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Over 21.5 fouls (91%), Over 1.5 (77%), Under 3.5 (70%).

Results analysis

Cukaricki finished 0-1 against IMT Novi Beograd (Away win). Pythia had modelled a 41% home win, 28% draw and 32% away win. Picks that landed: Over 21.5 fouls (91%), Under 3.5 (70%). Missed: Over 1.5 (77%).

šŸŽÆ 1. Model Analysis

Cukaricki wināœ— Miss
40.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Drawāœ— Miss
27.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
IMT Novi Beograd wināœ“ Hit
31.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

āš½ 2. Goal Analysis

CukarickiCukaricki

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-332W00D00D22D00D22D12L01L00D00DH·Å½EL22/03A·FK 05/04H·RAD09/04H·RAD18/04A·OFK22/04A·NOV26/04H·FK 04/05A·VOJ08/05H·FK 17/05A·Å½EL22/05
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.271.711.360.811.19
vs Stronger (6)1.001.501.501.500.001.50
vs Similar (15)1.131.331.831.500.671.22
vs Weaker (9)1.561.001.751.001.401.00
Clean sheet %20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (IMT Novi Beograd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IMT Novi BeogradIMT Novi Beograd

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-333D00D31W11D10W20W00D00D10W11DA·OFK22/03H·VOJ04/04A·TSC08/04H·MLA19/04A·NAP23/04H·RAD27/04A·JAV03/05H·RAD10/05A·FK 16/05H·TSC24/05
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.131.000.751.141.57
vs Stronger (3)1.002.671.001.001.006.00
vs Similar (12)1.331.330.831.001.831.67
vs Weaker (15)0.870.671.120.500.570.86
Clean sheet %43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Cukaricki) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%8%015%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
77.0%
Under 1.5
23.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
51.6%
Under 2.5
48.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.5%
Under 3.5
70.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
56.6%
No
43.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.3%
2-1
8.8%
1-0
8.3%
1-2
7.7%
0-0
7.7%
0-1 āœ“
7.0%
2-0
7.0%
2-2
5.6%
Cukaricki goals ↓
IMT Novi Beograd goals →
01234
07.7%7.0%5.2%2.2%0.7%
18.3%13%7.7%3.3%1.0%
27.0%8.8%5.6%2.4%0.8%
33.4%4.3%2.8%1.2%0.4%
41.2%1.6%1.0%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cukaricki goals (down), columns = IMT Novi Beograd goals (across).

šŸ’Ŗ 3. Team Strengths Analysis

šŸ† Total PPG

Points / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
2.32
Vojvodina
2.05
FK Partizan
1.97
Železničar Pančevo
1.59
Novi Pazar
1.41
IMT Novi Beograd
1.35
Radnicki NIS
1.32
OFK Beograd
1.32
Mladost Lucani
1.24
Radnik Surdulica
1.24
Radnicki 1923
1.22
Cukaricki
1.22
Zemun
1.15
Macva
1.14
Cukaricki is 0.14 points worse than IMT Novi Beograd in terms of average points per game (1.22 vs 1.35).

āš”ļø Attack

Goals scored / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
2.70
FK Partizan
1.95
Vojvodina
1.78
Železničar Pančevo
1.35
OFK Beograd
1.32
Cukaricki
1.27
Radnicki NIS
1.24
Novi Pazar
1.24
Radnik Surdulica
1.19
Zemun
1.13
Macva
1.12
Radnicki 1923
1.11
IMT Novi Beograd
1.11
Mladost Lucani
0.89
Cukaricki is 0.16 goals better than IMT Novi Beograd in terms of goals scored per game (1.27 vs 1.11).

šŸ›”ļø Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FK Crvena Zvezda
0.84
Vojvodina
0.95
Železničar Pančevo
1.00
Radnicki 1923
1.14
FK Partizan
1.22
OFK Beograd
1.27
Radnik Surdulica
1.30
Radnicki NIS
1.32
Cukaricki
1.35
IMT Novi Beograd
1.38
Mladost Lucani
1.41
Novi Pazar
1.46
Zemun
1.57
Macva
1.58
Cukaricki is 0.03 goals better than IMT Novi Beograd in terms of goals conceded per game (1.35 vs 1.38).

ā±ļø Possession

Avg possession %
FK Crvena Zvezda
67%
FK Partizan
59%
Železničar Pančevo
54%
Radnicki 1923
52%
OFK Beograd
51%
Vojvodina
50%
Radnicki NIS
50%
IMT Novi Beograd
48%
Cukaricki
46%
Radnik Surdulica
46%
Novi Pazar
45%
Mladost Lucani
41%
Cukaricki is 2.0 percentage points worse than IMT Novi Beograd in terms of average possession (46% vs 48%).

šŸŽ² 4. Props Analysis

CukarickiCukaricki

For 3.3 · Against 5.2 · Total 8.5

šŸš© Corners

1404103251158542563312614566136116126A·Å½ELH·FK A·VOJH·FK A·NOVA·OFKH·RADH·RADA·FK H·Å½EL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 1.5 · Total 4.3

šŸŸØ Cards

701424223131231151341644445267A·Å½ELH·FK A·VOJH·FK A·NOVA·OFKH·RADH·RADA·FK H·Å½EL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.6 · Against 13.0 · Total 28.6

āš ļø Fouls

36013916121814161212121516191717121715131122283228243136293224A·Å½ELH·FK A·VOJH·FK A·NOVA·OFKH·RADH·RADA·FK H·Å½EL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

IMT Novi BeogradIMT Novi Beograd

For 4.5 · Against 3.6 · Total 8.1

šŸš© Corners

12025248345535334522493761198877612H·TSCA·FK H·RADA·JAVH·RADA·NAPH·MLAA·TSCH·VOJA·OFK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.8

šŸŸØ Cards

801343212215531134344732268277H·TSCA·FK H·RADA·JAVH·RADA·NAPH·MLAA·TSCH·VOJA·OFK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.8 · Against 12.5 · Total 28.3

āš ļø Fouls

400616201019121591671615151217112119131422303124233127284027H·TSCA·FK H·RADA·JAVH·RADA·NAPH·MLAA·TSCH·VOJA·OFK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

CukarickiCukaricki

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.78.68.84.75.04.429.630.328.8
vs Stronger (7)9.17.812.55.76.44.028.129.624.5
vs Similar (24)8.17.68.54.85.24.528.829.528.2
vs Weaker (19)9.210.28.24.23.94.531.131.730.6
% over line43%36%50%72%64%80%92%96%88%
% under line57%64%50%28%36%20%8%4%12%
This opponent (IMT Novi Beograd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IMT Novi BeogradIMT Novi Beograd

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.78.39.14.44.24.629.128.729.6
vs Stronger (5)11.412.510.73.03.52.725.225.025.3
vs Similar (21)8.77.99.84.24.24.229.429.229.7
vs Weaker (24)8.18.08.24.84.35.329.828.930.6
% over line30%31%29%62%62%62%96%100%92%
% under line70%69%71%38%38%38%4%0%8%
This opponent (Cukaricki) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

šŸš© Total Corners

Match total corners / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
10.3
Mladost Lucani
9.6
Vojvodina
9.2
OFK Beograd
9.1
Macva
9.0
Novi Pazar
8.9
FK Partizan
8.9
Radnik Surdulica
8.8
Radnicki 1923
8.8
IMT Novi Beograd
8.7
Cukaricki
8.7
Železničar Pančevo
8.6
Radnicki NIS
8.5
Zemun
5.0

šŸŸØ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Zemun
6.0
Radnicki 1923
5.5
Radnik Surdulica
5.2
Vojvodina
5.0
Radnicki NIS
4.9
Cukaricki
4.9
OFK Beograd
4.7
FK Partizan
4.6
IMT Novi Beograd
4.5
Novi Pazar
4.4
Železničar Pančevo
4.4
Mladost Lucani
4.2
FK Crvena Zvezda
3.6
Macva
2.0

āš ļø Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Radnicki 1923
31.1
Radnik Surdulica
30.2
Cukaricki
29.6
Radnicki NIS
29.4
OFK Beograd
29.1
IMT Novi Beograd
29.1
Železničar Pančevo
27.8
Vojvodina
27.6
Novi Pazar
27.6
FK Partizan
26.5
Mladost Lucani
25.7
Zemun
25.0
FK Crvena Zvezda
24.0
Macva
19.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
33.5%
Under 9.5
66.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
69.8%
Under 3.5
30.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
90.7%
Under 21.5
9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

šŸ”€ 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

šŸ”¢ 6. Odd / Even

šŸ„… 7. Home & Away Over/Under

āš–ļø 8. Handicap

šŸ”„ 9. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 21.5 fouls90.7%-------āœ“ Hit
Over 1.577.0%-------āœ— Miss
Under 3.570.5%-------āœ“ Hit

šŸ’° 10. Squad value

šŸ’° Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (31)
€60m
OB (36)
€29m
ŽP (36)
€24m
VOJ (27)
€23m
CUK (37)
€20m
INB (44)
€19m
NP (34)
€18m
RS (38)
€15m
RN (34)
€14m
R1 (32)
€13m
ML (33)
€8m
ZEM (22)
€5m
MAC (19)
€4m
Cukaricki and IMT Novi Beograd have a similar squad value (both €20m).

āš”ļø Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (12)
€26m
CUK (13)
€12m
OB (13)
€11m
ŽP (14)
€11m
VOJ (13)
€9m
RS (17)
€9m
INB (22)
€8m
NP (18)
€8m
R1 (12)
€7m
RN (17)
€7m
ML (13)
€5m
ZEM (9)
€2m
MAC (7)
€2m
Cukaricki's attack is €3m more valuable than IMT Novi Beograd's (€12m vs €8m).

šŸ§  Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (4)
€19m
OB (8)
€8m
ŽP (9)
€6m
INB (4)
€5m
VOJ (4)
€5m
NP (4)
€3m
CUK (7)
€3m
R1 (6)
€2m
RS (7)
€2m
RN (5)
€1m
ZEM (5)
€1m
ML (6)
€1m
MAC (3)
€1m
Cukaricki's midfield is €3m less valuable than IMT Novi Beograd's (€3m vs €5m).

šŸ›”ļø Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (15)
€15m
OB (15)
€10m
VOJ (10)
€9m
NP (12)
€7m
ŽP (13)
€7m
RN (12)
€6m
INB (18)
€6m
CUK (17)
€5m
RS (14)
€4m
R1 (14)
€4m
ML (14)
€2m
MAC (9)
€2m
ZEM (8)
€1m
Cukaricki and IMT Novi Beograd have a similar defence value (both €5m).

šŸ¤ 11. Games History

Head-to-head

Cukaricki vs IMT Novi Beograd · H/A from CUK
DateH/AGameScore
28/11/25HCUK Vs IMT Novi Beograd1-1
27/07/25AIMT Novi Beograd Vs CUK1-3
12/05/25HCUK Vs IMT Novi Beograd1-1
07/04/25HCUK Vs IMT Novi Beograd0-2
09/11/24AIMT Novi Beograd Vs CUK1-1
18/12/23HCUK Vs IMT Novi Beograd0-1
18/08/23AIMT Novi Beograd Vs CUK3-0

CukarickiCukaricki

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/05/26AŽelezničar Pančevo Vs CUK0-0
17/05/26HCUK Vs FK Partizan0-0
08/05/26AVojvodina Vs CUK1-0
04/05/26HCUK Vs FK Crvena Zvezda1-2
26/04/26ANovi Pazar Vs CUK2-2
22/04/26AOFK Beograd Vs CUK0-0
18/04/26HCUK Vs Radnik Surdulica2-2
09/04/26HCUK Vs Radnicki 19230-0
05/04/26AFK Partizan Vs CUK0-0
22/03/26HCUK Vs Železničar Pančevo3-2

IMT Novi BeogradIMT Novi Beograd

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/05/26HINB Vs TSC Backa Topola1-1
16/05/26AFK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV Vs INB0-1
10/05/26HINB Vs Radnicki 19230-0
03/05/26AJavor Vs INB0-0
27/04/26HINB Vs Radnicki NIS2-0
23/04/26ANapredak Vs INB0-1
19/04/26HINB Vs Mladost Lucani1-1
08/04/26ATSC Backa Topola Vs INB1-3
04/04/26HINB Vs Vojvodina0-0
22/03/26AOFK Beograd Vs INB3-3

šŸ“Š 12. Overall Statistics

Cukaricki
Cukaricki
Serbia: Super Liga
Recent: 1 Wins / 7 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLDD1.18
HomeWDDLD1.32
AwayDDDLD1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%28%24%
AVG goals2.602.722.48
Over 1.5 %74%76%72%
Over 2.5 %50%48%52%
Over 3.5 %34%40%28%
Scored1.241.401.08
Conceded1.361.321.40
BTTS66%72%60%
Clean Sheet20%20%20%
Corners8.678.608.75
Cards4.904.964.83
IMT Novi Beograd
IMT Novi Beograd
Serbia: Super Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDWD1.44
HomeDDWDD1.50
AwayDWWDW1.38
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%38%38%
AVG goals2.542.232.88
Over 1.5 %72%65%79%
Over 2.5 %42%35%50%
Over 3.5 %28%23%33%
Scored1.221.191.25
Conceded1.321.041.62
BTTS54%50%58%
Clean Sheet36%46%25%
Corners8.708.319.12
Cards4.474.194.78

šŸ† 13. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ā‚¬mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CukarickiCukaricki510
60%
2.0
93+6
2.4
80%
40%
20%
9.6
60%
5.6
100%
28.0
80%
20
12351.80.6
46%
2IMT Novi BeogradIMT Novi Beograd510
60%
2.0
72+5
1.8
40%
40%
20%
9.0
40%
4.0
40%
31.0
80%
19
8561.40.4
48%
3FK Crvena ZvezdaFK Crvena Zvezda39
100%
3.0
101+9
3.7
100%
67%
67%
8.3
0%
3.7
67%
20.3
33%
0
0003.30.3
67%
4VojvodinaVojvodina59
60%
1.8
96+3
3.0
100%
60%
40%
9.2
40%
4.8
60%
26.6
80%
23
9591.81.2
50%
5Mladost LucaniMladost Lucani57
20%
1.4
43+1
1.4
40%
20%
20%
10.2
40%
4.8
60%
28.2
100%
8
5120.80.6
41%
6Novi PazarNovi Pazar57
40%
1.4
46-2
2.0
60%
20%
20%
10.2
40%
4.6
80%
24.8
100%
18
8370.81.2
45%
7Radnicki 1923Radnicki 192346
50%
1.5
44+0
2.0
50%
50%
0%
12.5
100%
5.5
100%
25.2
100%
13
7241.01.0
52%
8Železničar PančevoŽelezničar Pančevo35
33%
1.7
43+1
2.3
67%
67%
33%
7.7
33%
5.7
100%
28.7
100%
24
11671.31.0
54%
9Radnik SurdulicaRadnik Surdulica45
25%
1.2
44+0
2.0
75%
50%
0%
9.0
50%
3.8
25%
32.8
100%
15
9241.01.0
46%
10OFK BeogradOFK Beograd55
20%
1.0
69-3
3.0
80%
60%
60%
7.6
20%
5.8
80%
30.2
100%
29
118101.21.8
51%
11FK PartizanFK Partizan44
25%
1.0
66+0
3.0
75%
75%
50%
9.5
50%
6.8
100%
28.5
100%
60
2619151.51.5
59%
12Radnicki NISRadnicki NIS44
25%
1.0
24-2
1.5
50%
25%
0%
9.0
50%
4.2
75%
27.0
75%
14
7160.51.0
50%
13MacvaMacva53
20%
0.6
312-9
3.0
80%
60%
40%
7.4
0%
5.6
40%
30.4
80%
4
2120.62.4
-
14ZemunZemun51
0%
0.2
211-9
2.6
60%
60%
40%
9.6
60%
6.2
80%
25.8
80%
5
2110.42.2
-
Serbia: Super Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Serbia: Super Liga stats & trends →

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