This opponent (Novi Pazar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Novi Pazar
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.13
1.13
0.67
1.13
1.60
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
2.50
1.00
2.00
0.33
2.67
vs Similar (26)
1.23
0.92
1.14
0.57
1.33
1.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Cukaricki) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.2%
Under 1.5
22.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.2%
Under 2.5
47.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
30.0%
Under 3.5
70.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
46.4%
No
53.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
12.9%
1-0
11.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
8.7%
0-0
7.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-0 ✓
4.4%
Cukaricki goals ↓
Novi Pazar goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.3%
3.7%
1.7%
0.4%
0.1%
1
12%
10%
3.5%
0.9%
0.2%
2
13%
9.6%
3.6%
0.9%
0.2%
3
8.7%
6.4%
2.4%
0.6%
0.1%
4
4.4%
3.3%
1.2%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cukaricki goals (down), columns = Novi Pazar goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
2.62
Cukaricki
2.03
TSC Backa Topola
2.03
FK Partizan
1.92
Vojvodina
1.70
Indjija
1.50
Novi Pazar
1.38
FK Vozdovac
1.24
Radnicki 1923
1.14
Kolubara
1.11
Napredak
1.05
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
1.05
Mladost Lucani
1.03
Javor
1.00
Radnik Surdulica
1.00
Radnicki NIS
0.97
Mladost Novi Sad
0.81
Grafičar
0.50
Cukaricki is 0.65 points better than Novi Pazar in terms of average points per game (2.03 vs 1.38).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
2.59
FK Partizan
1.84
TSC Backa Topola
1.78
Cukaricki
1.76
Vojvodina
1.59
Indjija
1.50
Novi Pazar
1.08
Mladost Lucani
1.08
Radnicki NIS
1.05
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
1.03
Radnicki 1923
1.00
Javor
0.95
Radnik Surdulica
0.79
FK Vozdovac
0.78
Kolubara
0.76
Napredak
0.73
Mladost Novi Sad
0.68
Grafičar
0.50
Cukaricki is 0.68 goals better than Novi Pazar in terms of goals scored per game (1.76 vs 1.08).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FK Crvena Zvezda
0.51
TSC Backa Topola
0.86
FK Partizan
0.92
Vojvodina
0.95
Napredak
1.00
Cukaricki
1.03
Radnicki 1923
1.16
Radnik Surdulica
1.31
Novi Pazar
1.32
Mladost Novi Sad
1.32
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
1.32
FK Vozdovac
1.41
Grafičar
1.50
Javor
1.51
Kolubara
1.54
Mladost Lucani
1.54
Radnicki NIS
1.64
Indjija
2.00
Cukaricki is 0.30 goals better than Novi Pazar in terms of goals conceded per game (1.03 vs 1.32).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FK Crvena Zvezda
61%
TSC Backa Topola
56%
Radnicki 1923
56%
Napredak
54%
Radnicki NIS
52%
Mladost Lucani
51%
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
50%
Vojvodina
49%
Cukaricki
49%
Kolubara
45%
Novi Pazar
43%
FK Partizan
43%
Radnik Surdulica
39%
Mladost Novi Sad
38%
Javor
36%
Cukaricki is 6.0 percentage points better than Novi Pazar in terms of average possession (49% vs 43%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Cukaricki
For 5.6 · Against 3.1 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 7.2 · Against 6.7 · Total 13.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Novi Pazar
For 5.1 · Against 3.8 · Total 8.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 7.7 · Against 9.3 · Total 17.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Cukaricki
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (38)
8.7
8.4
8.9
2.0
2.0
1.9
15.6
10.8
18.4
vs Stronger (6)
8.0
6.0
10.0
1.5
2.7
0.3
9.7
4.0
12.5
vs Similar (18)
9.2
9.5
9.2
1.5
0.8
2.2
17.9
13.0
20.8
vs Weaker (14)
8.3
8.5
8.0
2.8
3.3
2.3
-
-
-
% over line
53%
33%
70%
26%
26%
26%
36%
25%
43%
% under line
47%
67%
30%
74%
74%
74%
64%
75%
57%
This opponent (Novi Pazar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Novi Pazar
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (34)
8.7
8.0
9.4
2.2
2.6
1.9
17.0
15.6
18.4
vs Stronger (5)
13.0
-
13.0
1.6
2.0
1.3
4.0
-
4.0
vs Similar (29)
8.4
8.0
8.9
2.3
2.7
2.0
20.2
15.6
28.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
47%
29%
62%
35%
41%
29%
40%
40%
40%
% under line
53%
71%
38%
65%
59%
71%
60%
60%
60%
This opponent (Cukaricki) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
10.3
FK Partizan
10.0
Radnik Surdulica
9.7
FK Vozdovac
9.5
Kolubara
9.2
Napredak
9.2
Mladost Novi Sad
9.1
Radnicki NIS
9.0
Novi Pazar
8.7
Cukaricki
8.7
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
8.6
Radnicki 1923
8.4
Vojvodina
8.2
TSC Backa Topola
7.8
Mladost Lucani
7.7
Javor
6.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
TSC Backa Topola
6.5
Radnicki NIS
6.1
Radnicki 1923
5.2
Kolubara
5.2
FK Partizan
5.2
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
5.2
Vojvodina
5.1
FK Vozdovac
5.1
Novi Pazar
5.1
Mladost Lucani
4.9
Javor
4.9
Mladost Novi Sad
4.9
FK Crvena Zvezda
4.4
Napredak
4.1
Radnik Surdulica
4.0
Cukaricki
3.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Napredak
22.8
TSC Backa Topola
22.5
Radnicki NIS
22.4
FK Crvena Zvezda
21.9
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
21.8
Javor
20.2
Radnicki 1923
19.9
FK Partizan
18.8
Novi Pazar
17.0
Vojvodina
15.8
Cukaricki
15.6
Radnik Surdulica
15.0
Mladost Novi Sad
14.3
FK Vozdovac
14.2
Mladost Lucani
14.0
Kolubara
13.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
40.0%
Under 9.5
60.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
66.2%
Under 3.5
33.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
5.7%
Under 21.5
94.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Cukaricki
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.60
0.86
0.36
0.69
0.81
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
1.00
0.33
0.33
0.33
1.67
vs Similar (15)
0.80
0.47
0.86
0.29
0.75
0.62
vs Weaker (9)
1.00
0.56
1.25
0.50
0.80
0.60
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Novi Pazar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Novi Pazar
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.47
0.40
0.20
0.53
0.73
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (26)
0.46
0.38
0.36
0.14
0.58
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Cukaricki) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cukaricki over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cukaricki over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cukaricki over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Novi Pazar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Novi Pazar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Novi Pazar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Cukaricki
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.57
1.07
0.36
0.81
0.75
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
1.00
0.33
0.33
0.33
1.67
vs Similar (15)
1.00
0.67
1.14
0.57
0.88
0.75
vs Weaker (9)
1.22
0.11
1.50
0.00
1.00
0.20
Clean sheet %
57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Novi Pazar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Novi Pazar
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.67
0.73
0.47
0.60
0.87
vs Stronger (4)
0.00
1.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.67
vs Similar (26)
0.77
0.54
0.79
0.43
0.75
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Cukaricki) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cukaricki over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cukaricki over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cukaricki over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Novi Pazar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Novi Pazar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Novi Pazar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
97.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 21.5 fouls
94.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 19.5 fouls
86.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
82.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
81.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
71.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
70.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Cukaricki
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Luka Adžić33%
Stefan Kovač33%
Novak Mićović0%
Samuel Owusu0%
Đorđe Ivanović0%
Muhammed Badammosi0%
Mihajlo Spasojevic0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Muhammed Badammosi67%
Đorđe Ivanović33%
Luka Adžić0%
Novak Mićović0%
Stefan Kovač0%
Samuel Owusu0%
Mihajlo Spasojevic0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Luka Adžić33%
Novak Mićović0%
Stefan Kovač0%
Samuel Owusu0%
Đorđe Ivanović0%
Muhammed Badammosi0%
Mihajlo Spasojevic0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Luka Adžić0%
Novak Mićović0%
Stefan Kovač0%
Samuel Owusu0%
Đorđe Ivanović0%
Muhammed Badammosi0%
Mihajlo Spasojevic0%
Novi Pazar · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Vieiri Kotzebue25%
Fejsal Mulić20%
Kaheim Dixon20%
Ivan Davidović14%
Dominic Sadi14%
Tomislav Dadić0%
Aleksandar Miljković0%
Jovan Marinković0%
Jonny0%
Bojan Adžić0%
Dimitrije Janković0%
Papa Amady Gadio0%
Mihajlo Petrović0%
Nikola Skrobonja0%
Bogdan Matijašević0%
Skima Togbe0%
Ahmed Hadzimujovic0%
Miloje Preković0%
Veljko Mirosavić0%
Dauda Agwom0%
Nikola Stanković0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Papa Amady Gadio40%
Nikola Skrobonja33%
Jovan Marinković29%
Ahmed Hadzimujovic29%
Dauda Agwom29%
Skima Togbe25%
Tomislav Dadić20%
Fejsal Mulić20%
Kaheim Dixon20%
Nikola Stanković20%
Jonny17%
Aleksandar Miljković14%
Ivan Davidović14%
Vieiri Kotzebue0%
Dominic Sadi0%
Bojan Adžić0%
Dimitrije Janković0%
Mihajlo Petrović0%
Bogdan Matijašević0%
Miloje Preković0%
Veljko Mirosavić0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Fejsal Mulić20%
Kaheim Dixon20%
Dominic Sadi14%
Dauda Agwom14%
Tomislav Dadić0%
Aleksandar Miljković0%
Jovan Marinković0%
Jonny0%
Vieiri Kotzebue0%
Ivan Davidović0%
Bojan Adžić0%
Dimitrije Janković0%
Papa Amady Gadio0%
Mihajlo Petrović0%
Nikola Skrobonja0%
Bogdan Matijašević0%
Skima Togbe0%
Ahmed Hadzimujovic0%
Miloje Preković0%
Veljko Mirosavić0%
Nikola Stanković0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Fejsal Mulić60%
Dominic Sadi29%
Jonny17%
Tomislav Dadić0%
Aleksandar Miljković0%
Jovan Marinković0%
Vieiri Kotzebue0%
Ivan Davidović0%
Bojan Adžić0%
Dimitrije Janković0%
Kaheim Dixon0%
Papa Amady Gadio0%
Mihajlo Petrović0%
Nikola Skrobonja0%
Bogdan Matijašević0%
Skima Togbe0%
Ahmed Hadzimujovic0%
Miloje Preković0%
Veljko Mirosavić0%
Dauda Agwom0%
Nikola Stanković0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (32)
€115m
FP (30)
€48m
VOJ (29)
€30m
RN (26)
€11m
TBT (24)
€10m
NP (21)
€10m
CUK (23)
€10m
R1 (26)
€9m
RS (26)
€9m
ML (28)
€8m
NAP (24)
€7m
JAV (21)
€5m
FSZ (21)
€4m
GRA (19)
€4m
FV (20)
€3m
Cukaricki and Novi Pazar have a similar squad value (both €10m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (13)
€62m
FP (15)
€24m
VOJ (15)
€13m
TBT (9)
€5m
RN (11)
€4m
ML (10)
€4m
R1 (10)
€4m
CUK (8)
€4m
NP (9)
€3m
RS (10)
€3m
JAV (9)
€2m
NAP (9)
€2m
FSZ (8)
€2m
GRA (8)
€1m
FV (9)
€1m
Cukaricki and Novi Pazar have a similar attack value (both €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (6)
€21m
FP (2)
€11m
VOJ (4)
€7m
R1 (6)
€3m
NP (3)
€2m
CUK (5)
€2m
RS (5)
€2m
TBT (4)
€1m
ML (6)
€1m
RN (3)
€1m
JAV (2)
€1m
FSZ (4)
€1m
NAP (3)
€1m
FV (3)
€1m
GRA (3)
€1m
Cukaricki and Novi Pazar have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (13)
€33m
FP (13)
€14m
VOJ (10)
€9m
RN (12)
€5m
NP (9)
€5m
NAP (12)
€5m
RS (11)
€4m
TBT (11)
€4m
CUK (10)
€3m
JAV (10)
€3m
R1 (10)
€3m
ML (12)
€2m
FSZ (9)
€2m
GRA (8)
€2m
FV (8)
€1m
Cukaricki's defence is €2m less valuable than Novi Pazar's (€3m vs €5m).
Serbia: Super Liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Serbia: Super Liga stats & trends →
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FK Crvena Zvezda
TSC Backa Topola
FK Partizan
Vojvodina
FK Vozdovac
Radnicki 1923
Kolubara
Napredak
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
Radnik Surdulica
Mladost Lucani
Radnicki NIS
Javor
Mladost Novi Sad
Indjija
Grafičar