PythiaFootballBETA
Cukaricki and Radnicki 1923 meet in the Serbia: Super Liga on August 1, 2026. The recent form of Cukaricki is a storyline, coming off a draw in their last match against Mladost Lucani, where they were unable to capitalize on a 2-2 score. In contrast, Radnicki 1923 is looking to build on a 3-0 win over Zemun.
The model predicts a Home win, with a 40% chance of Cukaricki taking the three points. The expected total number of goals is 2.1, with the most likely total being 2 goals. The most likely score is 1-1, occurring 14.6% of the time.
Cukaricki has a similar record at home, scoring 1.0 goals and conceding 1.0 goals per match against opponents of similar strength. Radnicki 1923, on the other hand, averages 0.62 goals scored and 1.0 goals conceded when playing away against similar opponents.
The model's selections include Over 21.5 fouls (96.4%), Under 3.5 cards (83.2% with a 9% edge), and Over 3.5 cards (72.5%). The probabilities for a home win, draw, and away win are 40%, 32%, and 28%, respectively.
Cukaricki's win extends their run of three draws in their last five matches, coming off a draw against Mladost Lucani. The final score was 3-0, confirming the actual result of Home win. The model's selection, Home win, was correct, with a pre-match probability of 40%.
The model's selection of Over 21.5 fouls hit, with a probability of 96.4%. Under 3.5 goals also hit, with a probability of 83.2%. Over 3.5 cards hit, with a probability of 72.5%.
Cukaricki| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.13 | 1.20 | 1.43 | 1.29 | 0.88 | 1.12 |
| vs Stronger (6) | 1.00 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| vs Similar (15) | 0.87 | 1.27 | 1.17 | 1.33 | 0.67 | 1.22 |
| vs Weaker (9) | 1.67 | 0.89 | 1.75 | 1.00 | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Clean sheet % | 23% (-6pp vs league) | |||||
Radnicki 1923| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.03 | 1.13 | 1.40 | 1.33 | 0.67 | 0.93 |
| vs Stronger (7) | 0.57 | 2.14 | 0.50 | 2.25 | 0.67 | 2.00 |
| vs Similar (19) | 1.00 | 0.84 | 1.50 | 1.10 | 0.44 | 0.56 |
| vs Weaker (4) | 2.00 | 0.75 | 4.00 | 0.00 | 1.33 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 37% (+7pp vs league) | |||||
| Radnicki 1923 goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 13% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 13% | 15% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| 2 | 8.4% | 7.9% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 3 | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
CukarickiRadnicki 1923Cukaricki| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 8.7 | 8.6 | 8.8 | 4.7 | 4.9 | 4.4 | 29.1 | 30.0 | 28.2 |
| vs Stronger (7) | 9.1 | 7.8 | 12.5 | 5.7 | 6.4 | 4.0 | 28.1 | 29.6 | 24.5 |
| vs Similar (23) | 8.0 | 7.5 | 8.4 | 4.7 | 5.1 | 4.4 | 28.3 | 28.7 | 28.0 |
| vs Weaker (20) | 9.3 | 10.2 | 8.4 | 4.2 | 3.9 | 4.5 | 30.4 | 31.7 | 29.3 |
| % over line | 43% | 36% | 50% | 72% | 64% | 80% | 90% | 96% | 83% |
| % under line | 57% | 64% | 50% | 28% | 36% | 20% | 10% | 4% | 17% |
Radnicki 1923| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 8.8 | 9.5 | 8.1 | 5.1 | 5.4 | 4.8 | 30.6 | 29.8 | 31.4 |
| vs Stronger (15) | 8.8 | 10.3 | 7.6 | 4.4 | 4.1 | 4.6 | 29.9 | 26.8 | 32.6 |
| vs Similar (28) | 9.1 | 9.2 | 8.9 | 5.4 | 6.1 | 4.5 | 31.2 | 32.3 | 29.9 |
| vs Weaker (7) | 7.7 | 9.3 | 6.5 | 5.6 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 29.4 | 23.7 | 33.8 |
| % over line | 45% | 50% | 39% | 74% | 77% | 71% | 96% | 96% | 96% |
| % under line | 55% | 50% | 61% | 26% | 23% | 29% | 4% | 4% | 4% |
Cukaricki| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.67 | 0.63 | 0.71 | 0.50 | 0.62 | 0.75 |
| vs Stronger (6) | 0.67 | 0.83 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| vs Similar (15) | 0.40 | 0.60 | 0.50 | 0.17 | 0.33 | 0.89 |
| vs Weaker (9) | 1.11 | 0.56 | 0.75 | 0.50 | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Clean sheet % | 47% (+17pp vs league) | |||||
Radnicki 1923| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.67 | 0.40 | 0.80 | 0.47 | 0.53 | 0.33 |
| vs Stronger (7) | 0.43 | 0.71 | 0.25 | 1.00 | 0.67 | 0.33 |
| vs Similar (19) | 0.68 | 0.26 | 0.90 | 0.30 | 0.44 | 0.22 |
| vs Weaker (4) | 1.00 | 0.50 | 2.00 | 0.00 | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| Clean sheet % | 67% (+37pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 19.5 fouls | 97.5% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ā Hit |
| Over 21.5 fouls | 93.8% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ā Hit |
| Over 23.5 fouls | 87.3% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ā Hit |
| Over 2.5 cards | 87.1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ā Hit |
| Under 11.5 corners | 86.5% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +3.0% | ā Hit |
| Under 3.5 | 83.2% | 1.23 | 1.27 | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.24 | 1.22 | +8.8% | ā Hit |
| Under 10.5 corners | 78.4% | 1.22 | 1.22 | 1.21 | - | - | - | +4.0% | ā Hit |
| Over 25.5 fouls | 77.3% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ā Miss |
| Over 3.5 cards | 72.7% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ā Hit |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/04/26 | H | 0-0 | |
| 17/12/25 | A | 3-2 | |
| 03/03/25 | H | 1-1 | |
| 05/10/24 | A | 1-1 | |
| 20/04/24 | A | 4-3 | |
| 03/12/23 | H | 4-1 | |
| 06/08/23 | A | 1-2 | |
| 28/05/23 | H | 2-1 |
Cukaricki| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/26 | A | 0-2 | |
| 19/07/26 | H | 0-1 | |
| 22/05/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 17/05/26 | H | 0-0 | |
| 08/05/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 04/05/26 | H | 1-2 | |
| 26/04/26 | A | 2-2 | |
| 22/04/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 18/04/26 | H | 2-2 | |
| 09/04/26 | H | 0-0 |
Radnicki 1923| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 24/05/26 | H | 2-2 | |
| 16/05/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 10/05/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 03/05/26 | H | 2-2 | |
| 27/04/26 | H | 4-0 | |
| 23/04/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 19/04/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 09/04/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 04/04/26 | H | 1-1 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value ā¬m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | Cukaricki | 5 | 10 | 60% | 2.0 | 9 | 3 | +6 | 2.4 | 80% | 40% | 20% | 9.6 | 60% | 5.6 | 100% | 28.0 | 80% | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 46% |
| 2 |  IMT Novi Beograd | 5 | 10 | 60% | 2.0 | 7 | 2 | +5 | 1.8 | 40% | 40% | 20% | 9.0 | 40% | 4.0 | 40% | 31.0 | 80% | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 48% |
| 3 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 3 | 9 | 100% | 3.0 | 10 | 1 | +9 | 3.7 | 100% | 67% | 67% | 8.3 | 0% | 3.7 | 67% | 20.3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.3 | 0.3 | 67% |
| 4 |  Vojvodina | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 3.0 | 100% | 60% | 40% | 9.2 | 40% | 4.8 | 60% | 26.6 | 80% | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 50% |
| 5 |  Mladost Lucani | 5 | 7 | 20% | 1.4 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 1.4 | 40% | 20% | 20% | 10.2 | 40% | 4.8 | 60% | 28.2 | 100% | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 41% |
| 6 |  Novi Pazar | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 2.0 | 60% | 20% | 20% | 10.2 | 40% | 4.6 | 80% | 24.8 | 100% | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 45% |
| 7 | Radnicki 1923 | 4 | 6 | 50% | 1.5 | 4 | 4 | +0 | 2.0 | 50% | 50% | 0% | 12.5 | 100% | 5.5 | 100% | 25.2 | 100% | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 52% |
| 8 |  ŽelezniÄar PanÄevo | 3 | 5 | 33% | 1.7 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 2.3 | 67% | 67% | 33% | 7.7 | 33% | 5.7 | 100% | 28.7 | 100% | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 54% |
| 9 |  Radnik Surdulica | 4 | 5 | 25% | 1.2 | 4 | 4 | +0 | 2.0 | 75% | 50% | 0% | 9.0 | 50% | 3.8 | 25% | 32.8 | 100% | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 46% |
| 10 |  OFK Beograd | 5 | 5 | 20% | 1.0 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3.0 | 80% | 60% | 60% | 7.6 | 20% | 5.8 | 80% | 30.2 | 100% | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 51% |
| 11 |  FK Partizan | 4 | 4 | 25% | 1.0 | 6 | 6 | +0 | 3.0 | 75% | 75% | 50% | 9.5 | 50% | 6.8 | 100% | 28.5 | 100% | 60 | 26 | 19 | 15 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 59% |
| 12 |  Radnicki NIS | 4 | 4 | 25% | 1.0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1.5 | 50% | 25% | 0% | 9.0 | 50% | 4.2 | 75% | 27.0 | 75% | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 50% |
| 13 |  Macva | 5 | 3 | 20% | 0.6 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 3.0 | 80% | 60% | 40% | 7.4 | 0% | 5.6 | 40% | 30.4 | 80% | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0.6 | 2.4 | - |
| 14 |  Zemun | 5 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 2 | 11 | -9 | 2.6 | 60% | 60% | 40% | 9.6 | 60% | 6.2 | 80% | 25.8 | 80% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0.4 | 2.2 | - |