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Cwmbran Celtic vs Trefelin Result & Analysis

Date: 21/09/2024
Time: 13:00
Final 3-4
Cwmbran Celtic
Cwmbran Celtic
Vs
32%
30%
37%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Trefelin
Trefelin
Wales: Welsh Cup
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cwmbran Celtic win✗ Miss
32.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Trefelin win✓ Hit
37.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Cwmbran CelticCwmbran Celtic

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-441W31W13L13L13L10W12L40W34L21WH·TRE17/04H·GOY20/04H·CAM27/07A·LLA06/08H·TRE10/08A·PEN17/08A·TAF23/08H·AMM26/08A·BAG07/09H·GOY14/09
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.232.172.531.601.932.73
vs Stronger (3)1.673.003.002.001.003.50
vs Similar (19)2.162.002.501.251.912.55
vs Weaker (8)2.622.252.502.003.003.00
Clean sheet %13% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Trefelin) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TrefelinTrefelin

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L14L00D10W23L31W31W22D20W01LH·BRI01/04A·CWM17/04A·CAM20/04H·CAE26/07H·PON06/08A·CWM10/08H·LLA16/08A·TRE23/08H·BAG26/08A·NEW07/09
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.701.501.871.201.531.80
vs Stronger (26)1.881.581.931.141.832.08
vs Similar (4)0.501.001.002.000.330.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Cwmbran Celtic) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.7%
Under 1.5
29.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
43.3%
Under 2.5
56.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
22.4%
Under 3.5
77.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.3%
No
49.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%
0-0
10.3%
0-1
10.0%
1-0
9.0%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.1%
2-0
6.0%
Cwmbran Celtic goals ↓
Trefelin goals →
01234
010%10.0%7.1%3.0%0.9%
19.0%14%8.2%3.4%1.1%
26.0%7.5%4.7%2.0%0.6%
32.3%2.9%1.8%0.8%0.2%
40.7%0.8%0.5%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cwmbran Celtic goals (down), columns = Trefelin goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
The New Saints
3.00
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2.50
llanelli AFC
2.40
Trearddur Bay
2.33
Caersws
2.25
Denbigh Town
2.25
Airbus UK
2.25
Swansea University
2.00
Llantwit Major
2.00
Goytre AFC
2.00
Llanrwst United
2.00
Cardiff Corinthians
2.00
Trethomas Bluebirds
2.00
Buckley Town
2.00
Rogerstone
2.00
Mold Alexandra
2.00
Pill AFC
2.00
Ammanford AFC
2.00
Flint Town United
2.00
Trefelin
2.00
Llandudno
2.00
Llanuwchllyn
1.75
Caerau (Ely)
1.75
Penydarren BGC
1.67
Morriston Town
1.67
Cambrian & Clydach
1.60
Gresford Athletic
1.50
Holyhead Hotspur
1.50
Aber Valley
1.50
Llangollen Town
1.50
Monmouth Town
1.50
Llay Miners Welfare
1.50
Llanrhaeadr
1.50
Bangor City 1876 FC
1.50
Cardiff MET
1.50
Porthmadog
1.50
Briton Ferry
1.50
Penrhiwceiber Rangers
1.50
Kinmel Bay
1.50
Cardiff Bay Warriors
1.50
Penrhyncoch
1.50
Newport Corinthians
1.50
Llanefydd
1.50
Llangefni Town
1.50
Cardiff Draconians
1.50
Cerrigydrudion
1.50
Bala Town
1.33
Colwyn Bay
1.33
Carmarthen Town
1.25
Barry Town
1.00
Treherbert
1.00
Newtown AFC
1.00
Abertillery Bluebirds
1.00
Afan Lido
1.00
Flint Mountain
1.00
Holywell
1.00
Goytre United
1.00
Caernarfon Town
1.00
Porthcawl Town Athletic
1.00
Haverfordwest County AFC
0.67
Clwb Cymric
0.50
Ruthin Town
0.50
New Inn
0.50
Rhyl
0.50
Risca United
0.00
Taffs Well
0.00
Pontypridd Town
0.00
Aberystwyth Town
0.00
Prestatyn Town
0.00
Carno
0.00
Penmaenmawr Phoenix
0.00
Newport City
0.00
Ynysygerwn
0.00
Penybont
0.00
Gaerwen
0.00
Cwmbran Town
0.00
Ely Rangers
0.00
Chepstow Town
0.00
St Asaph City
0.00
Llansannan
0.00
NFA
0.00
Llanberis
0.00
Builth Wells
0.00
Menai Bridge Tigers
0.00
St Joseph's
0.00
Llandudno Amateurs
0.00
Pencoed Athletic Amateur
0.00
Llwydcoed
0.00
Rhydymwyn
0.00
Corwen
0.00
Guilsfield
0.00
Cwmbran Celtic
0.00
Caldicot Town
0.00
Brickfield Rangers
0.00
Queens Park
0.00
Talysarn Celts
0.00
West End
0.00
Cwmamman United FC
0.00
Baglan Dragons
0.00
Cefn Albion
0.00
Cwmbran Celtic is 2.00 points worse than Trefelin in terms of average points per game (0.00 vs 2.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
The New Saints
5.83
Gresford Athletic
5.00
Buckley Town
4.50
Llangefni Town
4.50
Cardiff Corinthians
3.50
Caersws
3.50
Denbigh Town
3.50
Flint Town United
3.50
Trefelin
3.33
Llandudno
3.33
Barry Town
3.00
Caerau (Ely)
3.00
Porthmadog
3.00
Penrhiwceiber Rangers
3.00
Kinmel Bay
3.00
Cwmbran Celtic
3.00
Porthcawl Town Athletic
3.00
Airbus UK
2.75
Rogerstone
2.67
Llanrhaeadr
2.50
Rhyl
2.50
Swansea University
2.33
Llanrwst United
2.33
Penydarren BGC
2.33
llanelli AFC
2.20
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2.17
Ely Rangers
2.00
Monmouth Town
2.00
Builth Wells
2.00
Briton Ferry
2.00
Cardiff Bay Warriors
2.00
Carmarthen Town
1.75
Bala Town
1.67
Goytre AFC
1.67
Colwyn Bay
1.67
Mold Alexandra
1.67
Aber Valley
1.50
Llantwit Major
1.50
Llanuwchllyn
1.50
Bangor City 1876 FC
1.50
Penrhyncoch
1.50
Cardiff Draconians
1.50
Cerrigydrudion
1.50
Trearddur Bay
1.33
Afan Lido
1.33
Pill AFC
1.33
Cambrian & Clydach
1.20
Risca United
1.00
Holyhead Hotspur
1.00
Penmaenmawr Phoenix
1.00
Treherbert
1.00
Ynysygerwn
1.00
Llangollen Town
1.00
Gaerwen
1.00
Cwmbran Town
1.00
Ruthin Town
1.00
Abertillery Bluebirds
1.00
NFA
1.00
Llay Miners Welfare
1.00
Menai Bridge Tigers
1.00
Pencoed Athletic Amateur
1.00
Flint Mountain
1.00
Holywell
1.00
Morriston Town
1.00
Cardiff MET
1.00
Ammanford AFC
1.00
Caldicot Town
1.00
Brickfield Rangers
1.00
Queens Park
1.00
Talysarn Celts
1.00
Llanefydd
1.00
Cwmamman United FC
1.00
Baglan Dragons
1.00
Clwb Cymric
0.50
Trethomas Bluebirds
0.50
New Inn
0.50
Newport Corinthians
0.50
Haverfordwest County AFC
0.33
Taffs Well
0.00
Pontypridd Town
0.00
Aberystwyth Town
0.00
Prestatyn Town
0.00
Carno
0.00
Newtown AFC
0.00
Newport City
0.00
Penybont
0.00
Chepstow Town
0.00
St Asaph City
0.00
Llansannan
0.00
Llanberis
0.00
St Joseph's
0.00
Llandudno Amateurs
0.00
Llwydcoed
0.00
Rhydymwyn
0.00
Corwen
0.00
Guilsfield
0.00
Goytre United
0.00
Caernarfon Town
0.00
West End
0.00
Cefn Albion
0.00
Cwmbran Celtic is 0.33 goals worse than Trefelin in terms of goals scored per game (3.00 vs 3.33).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Holyhead Hotspur
0.00
Newtown AFC
0.00
Trethomas Bluebirds
0.00
Goytre United
0.00
Caernarfon Town
0.00
llanelli AFC
0.40
The New Saints
0.50
Ammanford AFC
0.50
Cardiff Draconians
0.50
Trearddur Bay
0.67
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0.67
Morriston Town
0.67
Taffs Well
1.00
Aberystwyth Town
1.00
Treherbert
1.00
Llantwit Major
1.00
Penybont
1.00
Chepstow Town
1.00
Abertillery Bluebirds
1.00
Llay Miners Welfare
1.00
Haverfordwest County AFC
1.00
Mold Alexandra
1.00
Flint Mountain
1.00
Llwydcoed
1.00
Holywell
1.00
Rhydymwyn
1.00
Corwen
1.00
Denbigh Town
1.00
Briton Ferry
1.00
Llanefydd
1.00
Cerrigydrudion
1.00
Bala Town
1.33
Swansea University
1.33
Afan Lido
1.33
Aber Valley
1.50
Ruthin Town
1.50
Monmouth Town
1.50
Llanrhaeadr
1.50
Caerau (Ely)
1.50
Bangor City 1876 FC
1.50
Cardiff MET
1.50
Porthmadog
1.50
Airbus UK
1.50
Flint Town United
1.50
Cambrian & Clydach
1.60
Llanrwst United
1.67
Penydarren BGC
1.67
Trefelin
1.67
Caersws
1.75
Pontypridd Town
2.00
Penmaenmawr Phoenix
2.00
Newport City
2.00
Clwb Cymric
2.00
Llanuwchllyn
2.00
Cardiff Corinthians
2.00
Carmarthen Town
2.00
St Asaph City
2.00
Llansannan
2.00
NFA
2.00
Buckley Town
2.00
Pill AFC
2.00
New Inn
2.00
Cardiff Bay Warriors
2.00
Caldicot Town
2.00
Penrhyncoch
2.00
Talysarn Celts
2.00
West End
2.00
Llandudno
2.00
Colwyn Bay
2.33
Gresford Athletic
2.50
Penrhiwceiber Rangers
2.50
Kinmel Bay
2.50
Newport Corinthians
2.50
Llangefni Town
2.50
Goytre AFC
2.67
Barry Town
3.00
Ynysygerwn
3.00
Cwmbran Town
3.00
Ely Rangers
3.00
St Joseph's
3.00
Pencoed Athletic Amateur
3.00
Brickfield Rangers
3.00
Cwmamman United FC
3.00
Porthcawl Town Athletic
3.00
Rogerstone
3.67
Risca United
4.00
Carno
4.00
Llanberis
4.00
Llandudno Amateurs
4.00
Cwmbran Celtic
4.00
Rhyl
4.00
Menai Bridge Tigers
5.00
Guilsfield
5.00
Baglan Dragons
5.00
Cefn Albion
5.00
Queens Park
6.00
Gaerwen
7.00
Builth Wells
7.00
Llangollen Town
8.00
Prestatyn Town
9.00
Cwmbran Celtic is 2.33 goals worse than Trefelin in terms of goals conceded per game (4.00 vs 1.67).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Cwmbran Celtic or Draw✗ Miss
62.5%
Avg Implied -
32%
30%
37%
covers Cwmbran Celtic + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Cwmbran Celtic or Trefelin✓ Hit
69.9%
Avg Implied -
32%
30%
37%
covers Cwmbran Celtic + Trefelin
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Trefelin✓ Hit
67.6%
Avg Implied -
32%
30%
37%
covers Draw + Trefelin
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Cwmbran Celtic over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
68.4%
Under
31.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cwmbran Celtic over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
32.1%
Under
67.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cwmbran Celtic over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
11.1%
Under
88.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cwmbran Celtic over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.0%
Under
97.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trefelin over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
71.6%
Under
28.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trefelin over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
35.8%
Under
64.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trefelin over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
13.3%
Under
86.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trefelin over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
3.9%
Under
96.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Cwmbran Celtic, so a minus line means Cwmbran Celtic give that many goals of a start and Trefelin receive them. At -1, Cwmbran Celtic must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Cwmbran Celtic win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Cwmbran Celtic)Actual: Trefelin
Cwmbran Celtic -2
4.4%
Draw -2
9.4%
Trefelin +2
86.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Cwmbran Celtic)Actual: Trefelin
Cwmbran Celtic -1
13.8%
Draw -1
18.6%
Trefelin +1
67.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Cwmbran Celtic)Actual: Draw
Cwmbran Celtic +1
62.5%
Draw +1
20.4%
Trefelin -1
17.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Cwmbran Celtic)Actual: Cwmbran Celtic
Cwmbran Celtic +2
82.9%
Draw +2
11.2%
Trefelin -2
5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Cwmbran CelticCwmbran Celtic

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W10W03L02L03L10W00D10W21W00DH·TRE17/04H·GOY20/04H·CAM27/07A·LLA06/08H·TRE10/08A·PEN17/08A·TAF23/08H·AMM26/08A·BAG07/09H·GOY14/09
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.031.271.001.071.07
vs Stronger (3)1.001.002.001.000.501.00
vs Similar (19)1.110.791.250.501.001.00
vs Weaker (8)1.381.621.171.672.001.50
Clean sheet %30% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Trefelin) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TrefelinTrefelin

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L13L00D00D21W30W01L01L10W00DH·BRI01/04A·CWM17/04A·CAM20/04H·CAE26/07H·PON06/08A·CWM10/08H·LLA16/08A·TRE23/08H·BAG26/08A·NEW07/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.700.930.670.600.73
vs Stronger (26)0.850.771.000.640.670.92
vs Similar (4)0.250.250.001.000.330.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Cwmbran Celtic) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cwmbran Celtic over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cwmbran Celtic over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cwmbran Celtic over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trefelin over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trefelin over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trefelin over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Cwmbran CelticCwmbran Celtic

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W21W10W11D10W00D12L30W13L21WH·TRE17/04H·GOY20/04H·CAM27/07A·LLA06/08H·TRE10/08A·PEN17/08A·TAF23/08H·AMM26/08A·BAG07/09H·GOY14/09
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.131.270.600.871.67
vs Stronger (3)0.672.001.001.000.502.50
vs Similar (19)1.051.211.250.750.911.55
vs Weaker (8)1.250.621.330.331.001.50
Clean sheet %43% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Trefelin) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TrefelinTrefelin

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L00D10W02L01L30W21W10W01LH·BRI01/04A·CWM17/04A·CAM20/04H·CAE26/07H·PON06/08A·CWM10/08H·LLA16/08A·TRE23/08H·BAG26/08A·NEW07/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.800.930.530.931.07
vs Stronger (26)1.040.810.930.501.171.17
vs Similar (4)0.250.751.001.000.000.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Cwmbran Celtic) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cwmbran Celtic over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cwmbran Celtic over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cwmbran Celtic over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trefelin over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trefelin over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trefelin over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.598.8%-------✗ Miss
Home under 3.5 goals97.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.596.4%-------✗ Miss
Away under 3.5 goals96.1%-------✗ Miss
Under 4.590.3%-------✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals88.9%-------✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals86.7%-------✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap86.2%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap82.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.577.6%-------✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals71.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.570.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (25)
€3m
HCA (23)
€1m
PEN (18)
€1m
CB (20)
€1m
CT (16)
€1m
BF (19)
€1m
BT (14)
€1m
GCS (9)
€1m
BT (12)
€1m
FTU (10)
€1m
CM (11)
€1m
C&C (4)
€0m
LLA (3)
€0m
NC (4)
€0m
HOL (3)
€0m
AT (2)
€0m
AA (3)
€0m
TRE (1)
€0m
RHY (1)
€0m
LA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (10)
€1m
PEN (8)
€1m
BF (7)
€0m
GCS (5)
€0m
HCA (7)
€0m
CB (5)
€0m
CT (3)
€0m
CM (5)
€0m
BT (4)
€0m
FTU (2)
€0m
BT (2)
€0m
HOL (1)
€0m
LLA (1)
€0m
RHY (1)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
NC (2)
€0m
AU (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
C&C (0)
€0m
TRE (0)
€0m
LA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (7)
€1m
CB (7)
€0m
HCA (7)
€0m
CT (4)
€0m
BT (5)
€0m
PEN (3)
€0m
BT (2)
€0m
CM (2)
€0m
FTU (3)
€0m
BF (2)
€0m
GCS (2)
€0m
TRE (1)
€0m
AA (2)
€0m
LA (2)
€0m
HOL (1)
€0m
AU (0)
€0m
C&C (0)
€0m
LLA (0)
€0m
RHY (0)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
NC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (8)
€1m
HCA (9)
€1m
CT (9)
€1m
BF (10)
€0m
PEN (7)
€0m
BT (7)
€0m
CB (8)
€0m
FTU (5)
€0m
BT (6)
€0m
CM (4)
€0m
C&C (4)
€0m
GCS (2)
€0m
LLA (2)
€0m
NC (2)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
HOL (1)
€0m
TRE (0)
€0m
LA (0)
€0m
RHY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
2
CC wins
1
Draws
2
TRE wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Cwmbran Celtic vs Trefelin · H/A from CC
DateH/AGameScore
10/08/24HCC Vs Trefelin1-3
17/04/24HCC Vs Trefelin4-1
23/09/23ATrefelin Vs CC1-2
15/04/23HCC Vs Trefelin1-1
01/10/22ATrefelin Vs CC3-1

Cwmbran CelticCwmbran Celtic

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/09/24HCC Vs Goytre United2-1
07/09/24ABaglan Dragons Vs CC4-3
26/08/24HCC Vs Ammanford AFC4-0
23/08/24ATaffs Well Vs CC2-1
17/08/24APenrhiwceiber Rangers Vs CC0-1
10/08/24HCC Vs Trefelin1-3
06/08/24Allanelli AFC Vs CC3-1
27/07/24HCC Vs Cambrian & Clydach1-3
20/04/24HCC Vs Goytre United3-1
17/04/24HCC Vs Trefelin4-1

TrefelinTrefelin

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/09/24ANewport City Vs TRE1-0
26/08/24HTRE Vs Baglan Dragons2-0
23/08/24ATrethomas Bluebirds Vs TRE2-2
16/08/24HTRE Vs Llantwit Major3-1
10/08/24ACwmbran Celtic Vs TRE1-3
06/08/24HTRE Vs Pontypridd Town2-3
26/07/24HTRE Vs Caerau (Ely)1-0
20/04/24ACambrian & Clydach Vs TRE0-0
17/04/24ACwmbran Celtic Vs TRE4-1
01/04/24HTRE Vs Briton Ferry0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Cwmbran Celtic
Cwmbran Celtic
Wales: Welsh Cup
Recent: 5 Wins / 0 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLW1.30
HomeWLLWW1.46
AwayDLWLL1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%38%33%
AVG goals3.923.624.25
Over 1.5 %92%92%92%
Over 2.5 %76%69%83%
Over 3.5 %50%46%54%
Scored2.022.042.00
Conceded1.901.582.25
BTTS82%81%83%
Clean Sheet12%15%8%
Corners---
Cards---
Trefelin
Trefelin
Wales: Welsh Cup
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWL1.10
HomeLWLWW1.07
AwayLDWDL1.13
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%26%30%
AVG goals3.483.373.61
Over 1.5 %88%89%87%
Over 2.5 %68%70%65%
Over 3.5 %48%48%48%
Scored1.421.441.39
Conceded2.061.932.22
BTTS66%67%65%
Clean Sheet14%11%17%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Colwyn BayColwyn Bay3081
87%
2.7
8822+66
3.7
87%
70%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.90.7
-
2Airbus UKAirbus UK3078
83%
2.6
10230+72
4.4
93%
73%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.41.0
-
3llanelli AFCllanelli AFC3064
60%
2.1
6425+39
3.0
87%
50%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.10.8
-
4Trethomas BluebirdsTrethomas Bluebirds3059
57%
2.0
5333+20
2.9
73%
53%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.1
-
5HolywellHolywell3057
60%
1.9
5641+15
3.2
87%
53%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.4
-
6Newport CityNewport City3054
53%
1.8
5032+18
2.7
73%
57%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.1
-
7TrefelinTrefelin3053
50%
1.8
5441+13
3.2
80%
60%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.4
-
8Pontypridd TownPontypridd Town3053
53%
1.8
5444+10
3.3
83%
63%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.5
-
9Cambrian & ClydachCambrian & Clydach3050
43%
1.7
5038+12
2.9
73%
53%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.3
-
10LlandudnoLlandudno3049
50%
1.6
6560+5
4.2
97%
77%
63%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.22.0
-
11Buckley TownBuckley Town3047
47%
1.6
4847+1
3.2
83%
67%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.6
-
12Carmarthen TownCarmarthen Town3045
40%
1.5
5544+11
3.3
83%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.5
-
13GuilsfieldGuilsfield3045
43%
1.5
5952+7
3.7
90%
70%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.7
-
14Flint MountainFlint Mountain3044
43%
1.5
6856+12
4.1
90%
73%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.9
-
15Mold AlexandraMold Alexandra3044
43%
1.5
5248+4
3.3
83%
73%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.6
-
16Baglan DragonsBaglan Dragons3043
37%
1.4
4434+10
2.6
73%
43%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.1
-
17Denbigh TownDenbigh Town3043
40%
1.4
6862+6
4.3
97%
77%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.32.1
-
18Llantwit MajorLlantwit Major3043
37%
1.4
3734+3
2.4
67%
37%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.1
-
19PenrhyncochPenrhyncoch3040
37%
1.3
4852-4
3.3
80%
63%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.7
-
20Gresford AthleticGresford Athletic3038
37%
1.3
4467-23
3.7
80%
63%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.2
-
21Ammanford AFCAmmanford AFC3036
37%
1.2
4750-3
3.2
87%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.7
-
22Afan LidoAfan Lido3034
27%
1.1
4451-7
3.2
87%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.7
-
23CaerswsCaersws3034
33%
1.1
4755-8
3.4
80%
63%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.8
-
24Caerau (Ely)Caerau (Ely)3032
30%
1.1
4243-1
2.8
80%
60%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.4
-
25Cwmbran CelticCwmbran Celtic3030
30%
1.0
3962-23
3.4
77%
60%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.1
-
26Ruthin TownRuthin Town3029
27%
1.0
4059-19
3.3
77%
53%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.0
-
27Bangor City 1876 FCBangor City 1876 FC3028
27%
0.9
4664-18
3.7
90%
73%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.1
-
28Penrhiwceiber RangersPenrhiwceiber Rangers3028
23%
0.9
3057-27
2.9
73%
53%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.9
-
29Goytre UnitedGoytre United3023
20%
0.8
4172-31
3.8
90%
73%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.4
-
30Taffs WellTaffs Well3015
10%
0.5
3276-44
3.6
93%
73%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.5
-
31Llay Miners WelfareLlay Miners Welfare3014
10%
0.5
3584-49
4.0
90%
70%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.8
-
32Prestatyn TownPrestatyn Town3013
13%
0.4
38105-67
4.8
90%
80%
70%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.33.5
-
Wales: FAW Championship 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Wales: FAW Championship stats & trends →

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