This opponent (Jonkopings Sodra) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Jonkopings Sodra
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.36
1.61
1.57
1.93
1.14
1.29
vs Stronger (2)
2.00
1.50
2.00
1.00
2.00
2.00
vs Similar (26)
1.31
1.62
1.54
2.00
1.08
1.23
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
14% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Dalkurd FF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.4%
Under 1.5
27.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
45.5%
Under 2.5
54.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
24.1%
Under 3.5
75.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.9%
No
48.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%
0-1
9.6%
0-0
9.5%
1-2
8.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.2%
2-0
5.7%
Dalkurd FF goals ↓
Jonkopings Sodra goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.5%
9.6%
7.2%
3.2%
1.1%
1
8.4%
14%
8.5%
3.7%
1.2%
2
5.7%
7.5%
5.0%
2.2%
0.7%
3
2.2%
2.9%
1.9%
0.9%
0.3%
4
0.6%
0.9%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dalkurd FF goals (down), columns = Jonkopings Sodra goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
IF Brommapojkarna
2.07
Halmstad
1.87
Osters IF
1.60
Sandviken
1.50
Trelleborg
1.50
Skövde AIK
1.47
Landskrona BoIS
1.47
IK brage
1.40
AFC Eskilstuna
1.33
Vasteras SK FK
1.33
Utsikten
1.23
Orebro SK
1.23
Jonkopings Sodra
1.20
Orgryte IS
1.19
Ostersunds FK
1.09
Norrby IF
1.03
Dalkurd FF
0.97
Falkenbergs FF
0.50
Dalkurd FF is 0.23 points worse than Jonkopings Sodra in terms of average points per game (0.97 vs 1.20).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
IF Brommapojkarna
2.13
Halmstad
1.90
Vasteras SK FK
1.67
AFC Eskilstuna
1.60
Osters IF
1.57
Trelleborg
1.53
Orgryte IS
1.53
Sandviken
1.50
IK brage
1.47
Jonkopings Sodra
1.37
Skövde AIK
1.33
Landskrona BoIS
1.33
Utsikten
1.33
Dalkurd FF
1.23
Norrby IF
1.10
Orebro SK
1.10
Ostersunds FK
1.09
Falkenbergs FF
0.50
Dalkurd FF is 0.13 goals worse than Jonkopings Sodra in terms of goals scored per game (1.23 vs 1.37).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Halmstad
1.07
Osters IF
1.17
Orebro SK
1.27
Skövde AIK
1.30
IF Brommapojkarna
1.33
IK brage
1.33
Landskrona BoIS
1.40
Ostersunds FK
1.41
Orgryte IS
1.47
Falkenbergs FF
1.50
AFC Eskilstuna
1.53
Utsikten
1.53
Norrby IF
1.57
Vasteras SK FK
1.63
Trelleborg
1.63
Jonkopings Sodra
1.70
Dalkurd FF
1.83
Sandviken
2.00
Dalkurd FF is 0.13 goals worse than Jonkopings Sodra in terms of goals conceded per game (1.83 vs 1.70).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Utsikten
54%
Trelleborg
53%
Landskrona BoIS
52%
Vasteras SK FK
52%
Ostersunds FK
52%
Dalkurd FF
51%
Osters IF
51%
AFC Eskilstuna
51%
IF Brommapojkarna
51%
Jonkopings Sodra
50%
IK brage
49%
Halmstad
48%
Orebro SK
48%
Skövde AIK
48%
Norrby IF
47%
Orgryte IS
43%
Dalkurd FF is 0.8 percentage points better than Jonkopings Sodra in terms of average possession (51% vs 50%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Dalkurd FF
For 5.0 · Against 6.6 · Total 11.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 12.6 · Total 24.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Jonkopings Sodra
For 3.8 · Against 4.3 · Total 8.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.6 · Against 12.6 · Total 26.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Dalkurd FF
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (28)
11.9
12.4
11.4
2.5
2.6
2.3
23.9
26.3
21.2
vs Stronger (6)
12.0
12.5
11.0
1.2
1.0
1.3
17.0
16.0
19.0
vs Similar (22)
11.9
12.4
11.4
2.8
3.1
2.5
25.4
29.3
21.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
72%
80%
62%
43%
43%
43%
65%
78%
50%
% under line
28%
20%
38%
57%
57%
57%
35%
22%
50%
This opponent (Jonkopings Sodra) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Jonkopings Sodra
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (28)
9.1
9.0
9.2
2.5
2.3
2.8
25.9
25.4
26.2
vs Stronger (2)
9.0
7.0
11.0
2.5
3.0
2.0
23.0
29.0
17.0
vs Similar (26)
9.1
9.2
9.0
2.5
2.2
2.8
26.5
24.5
27.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
39%
44%
33%
29%
29%
29%
77%
80%
75%
% under line
61%
56%
67%
71%
71%
71%
23%
20%
25%
This opponent (Dalkurd FF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Dalkurd FF
11.9
Halmstad
11.4
Vasteras SK FK
11.1
Orebro SK
11.1
Skövde AIK
10.8
Utsikten
10.8
Landskrona BoIS
10.6
Ostersunds FK
10.6
Trelleborg
10.4
Orgryte IS
10.3
Osters IF
10.2
Norrby IF
10.0
IF Brommapojkarna
9.8
AFC Eskilstuna
9.4
Jonkopings Sodra
9.1
IK brage
7.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Utsikten
5.6
Osters IF
4.8
Ostersunds FK
4.7
Orebro SK
4.6
Norrby IF
4.4
Trelleborg
4.4
AFC Eskilstuna
4.3
Orgryte IS
4.3
Jonkopings Sodra
3.9
Landskrona BoIS
3.8
Dalkurd FF
3.8
IK brage
3.7
Vasteras SK FK
3.5
IF Brommapojkarna
3.5
Skövde AIK
3.3
Halmstad
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Utsikten
29.5
Trelleborg
27.6
Orgryte IS
27.3
AFC Eskilstuna
26.9
Ostersunds FK
26.5
IK brage
26.5
Osters IF
26.3
Skövde AIK
26.2
Jonkopings Sodra
25.9
Landskrona BoIS
25.5
Orebro SK
24.8
Norrby IF
24.4
IF Brommapojkarna
24.2
Dalkurd FF
23.9
Halmstad
22.7
Vasteras SK FK
21.9
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
59.0%
Under 9.5
41.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
60.8%
Under 3.5
39.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
84.5%
Under 21.5
15.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Dalkurd FF
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.46
0.79
0.64
0.64
0.29
0.93
vs Stronger (6)
0.00
1.67
0.00
1.33
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (22)
0.59
0.55
0.82
0.45
0.36
0.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Jonkopings Sodra) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Jonkopings Sodra
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.46
0.71
0.57
0.93
0.36
0.50
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (26)
0.50
0.69
0.62
0.92
0.38
0.46
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
46% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Dalkurd FF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dalkurd FF over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dalkurd FF over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dalkurd FF over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jonkopings Sodra over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jonkopings Sodra over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jonkopings Sodra over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Dalkurd FF
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.61
1.04
0.64
0.86
0.57
1.21
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
1.33
0.33
1.00
0.33
1.67
vs Similar (22)
0.68
0.95
0.73
0.82
0.64
1.09
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
32% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Jonkopings Sodra) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Jonkopings Sodra
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.89
0.89
1.00
1.00
0.79
0.79
vs Stronger (2)
2.00
0.50
2.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (26)
0.81
0.92
0.92
1.08
0.69
0.77
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
36% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Dalkurd FF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dalkurd FF over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dalkurd FF over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dalkurd FF over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jonkopings Sodra over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jonkopings Sodra over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jonkopings Sodra over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
92.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
84.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
79.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
75.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
75.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 23.5 fouls
72.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Sweden: Superettan 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Superettan stats & trends →