This opponent (Skövde AIK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Skövde AIK
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.00
1.33
1.67
1.00
2.33
1.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
2.00
1.33
1.67
1.00
2.33
1.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Dalkurd FF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.9%
Under 1.5
18.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
58.7%
Under 2.5
41.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
36.3%
Under 3.5
63.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
61.6%
No
38.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.0%
1-2
9.2%
2-1
7.4%
0-1
6.9%
0-2
6.8%
2-2
6.2%
0-0
5.8%
1-0
5.4%
Dalkurd FF goals ↓
Skövde AIK goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.8%
6.9%
6.8%
3.8%
1.6%
1
5.4%
12%
9.2%
5.2%
2.2%
2
4.4%
7.4%
6.2%
3.5%
1.5%
3
2.0%
3.3%
2.8%
1.6%
0.7%
4
0.7%
1.1%
1.0%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dalkurd FF goals (down), columns = Skövde AIK goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
IF Brommapojkarna
2.07
Halmstad
1.87
Osters IF
1.60
Sandviken
1.50
Trelleborg
1.50
Skövde AIK
1.47
Landskrona BoIS
1.47
IK brage
1.40
AFC Eskilstuna
1.33
Vasteras SK FK
1.33
Utsikten
1.23
Orebro SK
1.23
Jonkopings Sodra
1.20
Orgryte IS
1.19
Ostersunds FK
1.09
Norrby IF
1.03
Dalkurd FF
0.97
Falkenbergs FF
0.50
Dalkurd FF is 0.50 points worse than Skövde AIK in terms of average points per game (0.97 vs 1.47).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
IF Brommapojkarna
2.13
Halmstad
1.90
Vasteras SK FK
1.67
AFC Eskilstuna
1.60
Osters IF
1.57
Trelleborg
1.53
Orgryte IS
1.53
Sandviken
1.50
IK brage
1.47
Jonkopings Sodra
1.37
Skövde AIK
1.33
Landskrona BoIS
1.33
Utsikten
1.33
Dalkurd FF
1.23
Norrby IF
1.10
Orebro SK
1.10
Ostersunds FK
1.09
Falkenbergs FF
0.50
Dalkurd FF is 0.10 goals worse than Skövde AIK in terms of goals scored per game (1.23 vs 1.33).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Halmstad
1.07
Osters IF
1.17
Orebro SK
1.27
Skövde AIK
1.30
IF Brommapojkarna
1.33
IK brage
1.33
Landskrona BoIS
1.40
Ostersunds FK
1.41
Orgryte IS
1.47
Falkenbergs FF
1.50
AFC Eskilstuna
1.53
Utsikten
1.53
Norrby IF
1.57
Vasteras SK FK
1.63
Trelleborg
1.63
Jonkopings Sodra
1.70
Dalkurd FF
1.83
Sandviken
2.00
Dalkurd FF is 0.53 goals worse than Skövde AIK in terms of goals conceded per game (1.83 vs 1.30).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Utsikten
54%
Trelleborg
53%
Landskrona BoIS
52%
Vasteras SK FK
52%
Ostersunds FK
52%
Dalkurd FF
51%
Osters IF
51%
AFC Eskilstuna
51%
IF Brommapojkarna
51%
Jonkopings Sodra
50%
IK brage
49%
Halmstad
48%
Orebro SK
48%
Skövde AIK
48%
Norrby IF
47%
Orgryte IS
43%
Dalkurd FF is 3.6 percentage points better than Skövde AIK in terms of average possession (51% vs 48%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Dalkurd FF
For 4.4 · Against 8.4 · Total 12.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 10.2 · Total 23.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Skövde AIK
For 4.6 · Against 6.0 · Total 10.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 2.4 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.6 · Against 12.4 · Total 26.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Dalkurd FF
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (6)
12.8
13.7
11.5
3.3
3.7
3.0
23.2
21.3
26.0
vs Stronger (1)
14.0
14.0
-
2.0
2.0
-
16.0
16.0
-
vs Similar (5)
12.5
13.5
11.5
3.6
4.5
3.0
25.0
24.0
26.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
80%
100%
50%
67%
67%
67%
80%
67%
100%
% under line
20%
0%
50%
33%
33%
33%
20%
33%
0%
This opponent (Skövde AIK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Skövde AIK
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (6)
10.6
10.0
11.5
3.0
2.7
3.3
26.0
25.7
26.5
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
10.6
10.0
11.5
3.0
2.7
3.3
26.0
25.7
26.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
60%
33%
100%
33%
33%
33%
60%
67%
50%
% under line
40%
67%
0%
67%
67%
67%
40%
33%
50%
This opponent (Dalkurd FF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Halmstad
15.0
Norrby IF
12.8
Trelleborg
12.8
Dalkurd FF
12.8
Osters IF
12.7
Orebro SK
11.8
IF Brommapojkarna
11.6
Vasteras SK FK
11.6
Skövde AIK
10.6
Ostersunds FK
10.4
Jonkopings Sodra
10.2
Landskrona BoIS
9.5
Orgryte IS
9.4
AFC Eskilstuna
7.0
IK brage
6.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Ostersunds FK
4.6
Norrby IF
4.2
Dalkurd FF
4.0
Orgryte IS
4.0
AFC Eskilstuna
4.0
Orebro SK
4.0
IK brage
3.8
Trelleborg
3.6
Skövde AIK
3.6
Vasteras SK FK
3.6
Halmstad
3.5
Landskrona BoIS
3.2
Osters IF
3.0
Jonkopings Sodra
3.0
IF Brommapojkarna
2.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
AFC Eskilstuna
29.8
IK brage
28.5
Orgryte IS
27.3
Landskrona BoIS
26.4
Skövde AIK
26.0
Jonkopings Sodra
25.0
Norrby IF
24.8
Osters IF
23.6
Ostersunds FK
23.3
Dalkurd FF
23.2
Trelleborg
22.3
Halmstad
20.8
Orebro SK
20.8
IF Brommapojkarna
20.0
Vasteras SK FK
19.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
78.5%
Under 9.5
21.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
54.2%
Under 3.5
45.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
65.9%
Under 21.5
34.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Dalkurd FF
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.50
0.67
0.33
0.00
0.67
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (5)
0.40
0.40
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Skövde AIK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Skövde AIK
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.50
1.00
0.33
1.33
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
1.17
0.50
1.00
0.33
1.33
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Dalkurd FF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dalkurd FF over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dalkurd FF over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dalkurd FF over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skövde AIK over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skövde AIK over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skövde AIK over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Dalkurd FF
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (5)
0.00
0.80
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Skövde AIK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Skövde AIK
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.83
0.67
0.67
1.00
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
0.83
0.83
0.67
0.67
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Dalkurd FF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dalkurd FF over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dalkurd FF over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dalkurd FF over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skövde AIK over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skövde AIK over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skövde AIK over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 8.5 corners
86.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
81.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
80.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
80.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 9.5 corners
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
74.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Skövde AIK · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Hugo Engstrom36%
Mamudo Moro12%
Armend Suljev9%
Sargon Abraham8%
Emil Skillermo8%
Filip Schyberg7%
Marcus Mikhail7%
Adrian Zendejas0%
Stefan Alexander Ljubicic0%
Žiga Ovsenek0%
Elmar Abraham0%
Samuel Sorman0%
Gustav Broman0%
Elias Lindell0%
Edvin Tellgren0%
Fritiof Hellichius0%
Filip Drinic0%
Shirko Shhab0%
Alper Demirol0%
Mamadou Ousmane Diagne0%
Kenan Bilalovic0%
Alex Hall0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mamadou Ousmane Diagne73%
Filip Schyberg29%
Hugo Engstrom27%
Stefan Alexander Ljubicic18%
Filip Drinic18%
Adrian Zendejas17%
Mamudo Moro12%
Žiga Ovsenek12%
Fritiof Hellichius9%
Armend Suljev9%
Sargon Abraham8%
Samuel Sorman8%
Marcus Mikhail7%
Elmar Abraham0%
Gustav Broman0%
Elias Lindell0%
Edvin Tellgren0%
Shirko Shhab0%
Alper Demirol0%
Emil Skillermo0%
Kenan Bilalovic0%
Alex Hall0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Marcus Mikhail14%
Fritiof Hellichius9%
Mamadou Ousmane Diagne9%
Samuel Sorman8%
Sargon Abraham0%
Mamudo Moro0%
Adrian Zendejas0%
Stefan Alexander Ljubicic0%
Filip Schyberg0%
Žiga Ovsenek0%
Hugo Engstrom0%
Elmar Abraham0%
Gustav Broman0%
Elias Lindell0%
Edvin Tellgren0%
Filip Drinic0%
Armend Suljev0%
Shirko Shhab0%
Alper Demirol0%
Emil Skillermo0%
Kenan Bilalovic0%
Alex Hall0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Stefan Alexander Ljubicic27%
Shirko Shhab25%
Hugo Engstrom18%
Žiga Ovsenek12%
Armend Suljev9%
Sargon Abraham0%
Mamudo Moro0%
Adrian Zendejas0%
Filip Schyberg0%
Elmar Abraham0%
Samuel Sorman0%
Gustav Broman0%
Elias Lindell0%
Edvin Tellgren0%
Marcus Mikhail0%
Fritiof Hellichius0%
Filip Drinic0%
Alper Demirol0%
Emil Skillermo0%
Mamadou Ousmane Diagne0%
Kenan Bilalovic0%
Alex Hall0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Sweden: Superettan 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Superettan stats & trends →