Defensive solidity is the headline, with Degerfors IF conceding only 0.8 goals per match at home while Halmstad’s away defence has given up 1.14. The model favours a home win, giving Degerfors a 41% chance, a draw 31%, and Halmstad 28%. The expected total is 2.2 goals, with the most probable total being two goals at 28%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 14.5% probability. Degerfors’ home form shows 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded against similar opposition; Halmstad averages 1.0 scored and 1.14 conceded away. Suggested selections include Under 7.5 (99.8%), Under 6.5 (99.2%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.1%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.2%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (98.0%), Under 5.5 (97.4%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.8%), and Home under 3.5 goals (96.3%). Degerfors comes off a defeat, while Halmstad returns after a win, setting the stage for a tight, low-scoring encounter.
Advertisement
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Degerfors IF win
41.7%
Avg Implied 49.0% · @ 1.90
Edge
-7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
1.95
Dafabet
1.93
William Hil
1.91
Betano
1.91
Bet365
1.91
Draw
31.1%
Avg Implied 27.2% · @ 3.42
Edge
+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
3.55
Dafabet
3.55
Betfair
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Pinnacle
3.48
Halmstad win
27.2%
Avg Implied 23.8% · @ 3.91
Edge
+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
4.10
Pinnacle
4.07
Betano
4.00
Dafabet
4.00
Marathonbet
4.00
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Degerfors IF
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.43
1.07
1.29
1.50
1.56
vs Stronger (15)
0.93
1.60
0.67
1.56
1.33
1.67
vs Similar (15)
1.67
1.27
1.80
0.80
1.60
1.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
10% (-17pp vs league)
This opponent (Halmstad) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Halmstad
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
1.50
0.64
1.43
0.94
1.56
vs Stronger (14)
0.71
1.71
0.40
1.40
0.89
1.89
vs Similar (16)
0.88
1.31
0.78
1.44
1.00
1.14
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Degerfors IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
66.8%
@ 1.29-5.2%
Under 1.5
33.2%
@ 3.32+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.33
Betano
1.32
Pinnacle
1.31
Bet365
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Under
Unibet
3.50
Betfair
3.40
Bet365
3.40
Pinnacle
3.39
10Bet
3.35
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
38.7%
@ 1.96-9.3%
Under 2.5
61.3%
@ 1.81+9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
2.03
Pinnacle
2.01
Bet365
2.00
1xBet
1.98
Marathonbet
1.98
Under
Betfair
1.87
10Bet
1.85
Pinnacle
1.82
Unibet
1.82
Betano
1.82
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
18.8%
@ 3.39-8.6%
Under 3.5
81.2%
@ 1.28+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
3.60
Bet365
3.50
Pinnacle
3.50
10Bet
3.50
Betfair
3.40
Under
Betano
1.31
Pinnacle
1.30
Betfair
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Unibet
1.29
Both teams to score
Yes
46.0%
@ 1.78-6.0%
No
54.0%
@ 1.92+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Marathonbet
1.81
1xBet
1.81
Bet365
1.80
Betfair
1.80
BetVictor
1.78
No
Betfair
2.00
William Hil
1.95
Bet365
1.95
Betano
1.93
10Bet
1.91
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%@ 6.22+7.3%
1-0
12.2%@ 6.57+5.4%
0-0
12.0%@ 9.00+7.0%
0-1
9.1%@ 10.16+4.7%
2-0
8.5%@ 8.46+3.3%
2-1
8.3%@ 7.82+2.6%
1-2
6.4%@ 12.12+2.7%
0-2
5.1%@ 19.07+2.7%
Degerfors IF goals ↓
Halmstad goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
9.1%
5.1%
1.6%
0.4%
1
12%
14%
6.4%
2.1%
0.5%
2
8.5%
8.3%
4.0%
1.3%
0.3%
3
3.6%
3.5%
1.7%
0.6%
0.1%
4
1.1%
1.1%
0.5%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Degerfors IF goals (down), columns = Halmstad goals (across).
Advertisement
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Sirius
2.21
Hammarby FF
1.89
Djurgardens IF
1.84
AIK Stockholm
1.72
BK Hacken
1.63
IF Elfsborg
1.63
Malmo FF
1.53
Vasteras SK FK
1.53
Gais
1.37
IF Brommapojkarna
1.26
IFK Goteborg
1.21
Mjallby AIF
1.11
Kalmar FF
1.00
Degerfors IF
0.84
Orgryte IS
0.74
Halmstad
0.58
Degerfors IF is 0.26 points better than Halmstad in terms of average points per game (0.84 vs 0.58).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Sirius
2.47
Hammarby FF
2.32
Djurgardens IF
2.26
BK Hacken
1.74
Malmo FF
1.74
AIK Stockholm
1.56
Vasteras SK FK
1.47
IF Elfsborg
1.42
IF Brommapojkarna
1.42
Mjallby AIF
1.33
Gais
1.32
IFK Goteborg
1.26
Orgryte IS
1.16
Kalmar FF
1.11
Degerfors IF
0.89
Halmstad
0.68
Degerfors IF is 0.21 goals better than Halmstad in terms of goals scored per game (0.89 vs 0.68).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Gais
0.95
Hammarby FF
0.95
IF Elfsborg
1.00
Djurgardens IF
1.00
Sirius
1.42
AIK Stockholm
1.50
BK Hacken
1.53
Kalmar FF
1.53
Malmo FF
1.58
Mjallby AIF
1.61
IF Brommapojkarna
1.63
Degerfors IF
1.63
Vasteras SK FK
1.74
Halmstad
1.84
IFK Goteborg
2.05
Orgryte IS
2.21
Degerfors IF is 0.21 goals better than Halmstad in terms of goals conceded per game (1.63 vs 1.84).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Hammarby FF
61%
Djurgardens IF
56%
Malmo FF
56%
Mjallby AIF
53%
BK Hacken
52%
AIK Stockholm
52%
IFK Goteborg
51%
Gais
50%
Sirius
48%
IF Elfsborg
48%
Vasteras SK FK
48%
Kalmar FF
47%
IF Brommapojkarna
47%
Degerfors IF
46%
Orgryte IS
43%
Halmstad
41%
Degerfors IF is 5.1 percentage points better than Halmstad in terms of average possession (46% vs 41%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Degerfors IF
For 4.3 · Against 6.2 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.0 · Total 2.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 12.9 · Total 25.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Halmstad
For 5.5 · Against 7.4 · Total 12.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.2 · Total 2.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 9.1 · Total 20.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Degerfors IF
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
10.4
10.3
3.4
3.2
3.6
25.2
25.5
24.9
vs Stronger (27)
9.6
10.2
8.8
3.4
3.7
3.2
24.8
25.6
23.8
vs Similar (23)
11.6
10.9
12.0
3.3
2.3
3.9
25.8
25.4
26.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
56%
59%
52%
46%
38%
54%
82%
82%
83%
% under line
44%
41%
48%
54%
62%
46%
18%
18%
17%
This opponent (Halmstad) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Halmstad
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
9.4
11.2
3.0
3.0
2.9
23.0
23.7
22.2
vs Stronger (30)
10.2
9.9
10.5
3.3
2.7
3.7
23.1
22.9
23.2
vs Similar (20)
10.3
8.7
13.0
2.5
3.4
1.4
22.7
24.7
19.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
56%
48%
64%
42%
42%
42%
58%
57%
59%
% under line
44%
52%
36%
58%
58%
58%
42%
43%
41%
This opponent (Degerfors IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
IFK Goteborg
11.6
Sirius
11.1
Orgryte IS
10.7
BK Hacken
10.7
IF Brommapojkarna
10.7
Gais
10.4
AIK Stockholm
10.4
Degerfors IF
10.3
Djurgardens IF
10.2
Halmstad
10.2
Kalmar FF
10.2
IF Elfsborg
10.0
Vasteras SK FK
9.9
Hammarby FF
9.9
Mjallby AIF
9.8
Malmo FF
9.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Djurgardens IF
4.4
BK Hacken
4.3
IFK Goteborg
4.2
AIK Stockholm
4.2
Degerfors IF
3.9
Malmo FF
3.8
IF Brommapojkarna
3.7
Mjallby AIF
3.7
Gais
3.7
Vasteras SK FK
3.6
Hammarby FF
3.6
Halmstad
3.5
IF Elfsborg
3.5
Sirius
3.5
Kalmar FF
3.4
Orgryte IS
2.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Djurgardens IF
25.7
Malmo FF
25.7
IFK Goteborg
25.7
Sirius
25.4
Degerfors IF
25.4
Mjallby AIF
25.1
Vasteras SK FK
25.1
Gais
25.0
IF Brommapojkarna
24.6
BK Hacken
24.4
Hammarby FF
24.4
IF Elfsborg
24.3
AIK Stockholm
24.1
Kalmar FF
23.6
Halmstad
23.3
Orgryte IS
21.1
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
63.5%
@ 1.57+5.2%
Under 9.5
36.5%
@ 2.21-5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.60
Betano
1.60
Marathonbet
1.60
Unibet
1.50
Under
Unibet
2.35
Betano
2.25
Marathonbet
2.11
1xBet
2.11
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
41.9%
Under 3.5
58.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
65.6%
Under 21.5
34.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Degerfors IF or Draw
72.8%
Avg Implied 76.3% · @ 1.22
Edge
-3.5%
42%
31%
27%
covers Degerfors IF + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Betfair
1.25
William Hil
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
Degerfors IF or Halmstad
68.9%
Avg Implied 73.2% · @ 1.27
Edge
-4.3%
42%
31%
27%
covers Degerfors IF + Halmstad
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Betfair
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
1xBet
1.28
Draw or Halmstad
58.3%
Avg Implied 50.5% · @ 1.85
Edge
+7.8%
42%
31%
27%
covers Draw + Halmstad
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.91
SBO
1.89
1xBet
1.86
Marathonbet
1.86
Unibet
1.85
Advertisement
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Degerfors IF over/under 0.5
Over
71.7%
@ 1.19-6.1%
Under
28.3%
@ 4.17+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.20
BetVictor
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Under
BetVictor
4.33
Bet365
4.33
Unibet
4.25
1xBet
4.25
Betano
4.05
Degerfors IF over/under 1.5
Over
36.0%
@ 1.98-11.0%
Under
64.0%
@ 1.76+11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.10
Pinnacle
2.02
Bet365
2.00
BetVictor
2.00
Marathonbet
2.00
Under
Unibet
1.81
1xBet
1.81
Marathonbet
1.78
Betano
1.78
Pinnacle
1.78
Degerfors IF over/under 2.5
Over
13.5%
@ 4.12-9.1%
Under
86.5%
@ 1.20+9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.50
BetVictor
4.33
Bet365
4.33
Pinnacle
4.25
Marathonbet
4.15
Under
Betano
1.23
Unibet
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
1xBet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Degerfors IF over/under 3.5
Over
4.0%
@ 9.28-6.1%
Under
96.0%
@ 1.04+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
Betfair
9.50
Marathonbet
9.20
1xBet
8.90
Betano
7.80
Under
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01
Halmstad over/under 0.5
Over
62.2%
@ 1.48-0.8%
Under
37.8%
@ 2.51+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.50
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.47
Under
Pinnacle
2.68
Betfair
2.63
10Bet
2.50
Betano
2.50
Bet365
2.50
Halmstad over/under 1.5
Over
25.5%
@ 3.29-2.7%
Under
74.5%
@ 1.29+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.44
Pinnacle
3.42
Bet365
3.40
BetVictor
3.30
Betano
3.25
Under
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Unibet
1.29
Halmstad over/under 2.5
Over
7.5%
@ 9.00-2.8%
Under
92.5%
@ 1.04+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
1xBet
9.60
Marathonbet
9.40
Betfair
8.50
Betano
7.50
Under
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Halmstad over/under 3.5
Over
1.7%
@ 20.75-2.9%
Under
98.3%
@ 1.01+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
29.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Bet365
1.01
Betano
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Degerfors IF, so a minus line means Degerfors IF give that many goals of a start and Halmstad receive them. At -1, Degerfors IF must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Degerfors IF win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Degerfors IF)
Degerfors IF -2
6.7%
@ 7.46-5.3%
Draw -2
12.6%
@ 5.33-4.2%
Halmstad +2
80.7%
@ 1.26+9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
8.50
Bet365
8.00
10Bet
7.50
Marathonbet
6.90
Unibet
6.40
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.50
Betfair
5.50
10Bet
5.25
Unibet
4.90
Away
Unibet
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Betfair
1.22
Handicap -1 (Degerfors IF)
Degerfors IF -1
19.3%
@ 3.40-6.9%
Draw -1
22.4%
@ 3.55-2.7%
Halmstad +1
58.3%
@ 1.83+9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
3.60
Bet365
3.50
10Bet
3.45
Marathonbet
3.34
Unibet
3.10
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.60
Marathonbet
3.56
10Bet
3.45
Unibet
3.40
Away
Unibet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.86
10Bet
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Betfair
1.73
Handicap +1 (Degerfors IF)
Degerfors IF +1
72.8%
@ 1.23-0.6%
Draw +1
16.9%
@ 5.40+0.3%
Halmstad -1
10.3%
@ 8.95+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Unibet
1.21
Draw
Marathonbet
5.55
Bet365
5.50
Unibet
5.30
10Bet
5.25
Away
Bet365
10.00
Marathonbet
8.80
10Bet
8.50
Unibet
8.50
Handicap +2 (Degerfors IF)
Degerfors IF +2
89.7%
@ 1.06+0.6%
Draw +2
7.5%
@ 13.00+0.2%
Halmstad -2
2.8%
@ 26.00-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.06
Draw
Bet365
13.00
Away
Bet365
26.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Degerfors IF
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.60
0.36
0.57
0.50
0.62
vs Stronger (15)
0.27
0.67
0.11
0.67
0.50
0.67
vs Similar (15)
0.60
0.53
0.80
0.40
0.50
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Halmstad) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Halmstad
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.63
0.29
0.43
0.50
0.81
vs Stronger (14)
0.43
0.71
0.20
0.40
0.56
0.89
vs Similar (16)
0.38
0.56
0.33
0.44
0.43
0.71
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Degerfors IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
64.9%
@ 1.39-1.7%
Under 0.5
35.1%
@ 2.77+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.45
BetVictor
1.41
1xBet
1.40
10Bet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.40
Under
Pinnacle
2.91
Betfair
2.88
Unibet
2.85
William Hil
2.80
Bet365
2.75
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
29.2%
@ 2.83-3.6%
Under 1.5
70.8%
@ 1.38+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.97
Betano
2.92
Betfair
2.88
1xBet
2.88
Marathonbet
2.88
Under
Unibet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.39
BetVictor
1.39
10Bet
1.38
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
8.8%
@ 7.39-3.8%
Under 2.5
91.2%
@ 1.06+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
8.00
Bet365
8.00
William Hil
7.50
Betfair
7.50
Marathonbet
7.10
Under
Betano
1.09
William Hil
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.06
BetVictor
1.05
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Degerfors IF over/under 0.5 HT
Over
48.6%
@ 1.83-2.0%
Under
51.4%
@ 1.87+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.88
Marathonbet
1.84
1xBet
1.83
Pinnacle
1.83
10Bet
1.83
Under
Unibet
1.93
Pinnacle
1.93
10Bet
1.85
Betano
1.85
Marathonbet
1.84
Degerfors IF over/under 1.5 HT
Over
13.2%
@ 5.28-4.4%
Under
86.8%
@ 1.12+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.50
Marathonbet
5.50
Betano
5.10
10Bet
5.00
Under
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.10
Degerfors IF over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.3%
@ 13.00-4.9%
Under
97.7%
@ 1.01+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
15.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Halmstad over/under 0.5 HT
Over
36.3%
@ 2.55-0.1%
Under
63.7%
@ 1.46+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.69
Betano
2.57
10Bet
2.55
Marathonbet
2.55
1xBet
2.50
Under
1xBet
1.50
Betano
1.47
Unibet
1.46
10Bet
1.45
Pinnacle
1.44
Halmstad over/under 1.5 HT
Over
6.4%
@ 9.19-3.8%
Under
93.6%
@ 1.04+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.25
1xBet
9.50
10Bet
9.00
Betano
8.00
Under
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.04
10Bet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.01
Halmstad over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.1%
Under
98.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Degerfors IF
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.83
0.71
0.71
1.00
0.94
vs Stronger (15)
0.67
0.93
0.56
0.89
0.83
1.00
vs Similar (15)
1.07
0.73
1.00
0.40
1.10
0.90
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Halmstad) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Halmstad
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.87
0.36
1.00
0.44
0.75
vs Stronger (14)
0.29
1.00
0.20
1.00
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (16)
0.50
0.75
0.44
1.00
0.57
0.43
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Degerfors IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
72.5%
@ 1.25-2.1%
Under 0.5
27.5%
@ 3.67+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.29
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Under
Betano
3.80
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.66
1xBet
3.66
William Hil
3.50
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
38.7%
@ 2.15-4.7%
Under 1.5
61.3%
@ 1.65+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.20
William Hil
2.20
1xBet
2.16
Marathonbet
2.16
Betano
2.12
Under
Betano
1.70
Unibet
1.66
1xBet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.65
William Hil
1.62
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
15.3%
@ 4.73-4.4%
Under 2.5
84.7%
@ 1.16+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.00
William Hil
5.00
Marathonbet
4.65
1xBet
4.65
Betano
4.35
Under
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Degerfors IF over/under 0.5 2H
Over
53.2%
@ 1.56-6.1%
Under
46.8%
@ 2.28+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.57
Betano
1.57
1xBet
1.55
Under
Betano
2.30
1xBet
2.30
10Bet
2.25
Degerfors IF over/under 1.5 2H
Over
19.1%
@ 3.72-5.8%
Under
80.9%
@ 1.23+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.84
10Bet
3.80
Betano
3.65
1xBet
3.60
Under
Betano
1.26
1xBet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
Degerfors IF over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.6%
@ 9.50-5.1%
Under
95.4%
@ 1.03+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.50
10Bet
9.50
Betano
8.50
Under
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Halmstad over/under 0.5 2H
Over
42.8%
@ 2.08-1.7%
Under
57.2%
@ 1.67+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.16
Marathonbet
2.11
Betano
2.07
10Bet
2.00
Under
10Bet
1.73
Betano
1.70
Marathonbet
1.63
1xBet
1.62
Halmstad over/under 1.5 2H
Over
11.4%
@ 6.66-2.5%
Under
88.6%
@ 1.07+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.20
1xBet
7.20
10Bet
6.25
Betano
6.00
Under
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Halmstad over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.2%
@ 17.50-3.3%
Under
97.8%
@ 1.01+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
23.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Advertisement
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
99.2%
1.01
Betano
1.01
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+3.3%
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
98.3%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+2.9%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.8%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.3%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.7%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.9%
Under 5.5
97.3%
1.02
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Betfair
1.01
-
+4.6%
Home under 3.5 goals
96.0%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01
+6.1%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.4%
1.03
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+5.1%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
93.6%
1.04
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.04
10Bet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.01
-
+3.8%
Away under 2.5 goals
92.5%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.01
+2.8%
Under 4.5
92.3%
1.09
10Bet
1.11
Betano
1.11
Pinnacle
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Betfair
1.10
+6.6%
Under 2.5 HT goals
91.2%
1.06
Betano
1.09
William Hil
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.06
BetVictor
1.05
+3.8%
Home +2 handicap
89.7%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
+0.6%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
88.6%
1.07
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
-
+2.5%
Under 5.5 cards
88.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
86.8%
1.12
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.10
-
+4.4%
Home under 2.5 goals
86.5%
1.20
Betano
1.23
Unibet
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
1xBet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
+9.1%
Under 2.5 2H goals
84.7%
1.16
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
+4.4%
Under 3.5
81.2%
1.28
Betano
1.31
Pinnacle
1.30
Betfair
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Unibet
1.29
+8.6%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
80.9%
1.23
Betano
1.26
1xBet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
-
+5.8%
Away +2 handicap
80.7%
1.26
Unibet
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Betfair
1.22
+9.5%
Over 19.5 fouls
79.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5 cards
76.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 8.5 corners
74.8%
1.33
Betano
1.35
1xBet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Unibet
1.30
-
+5.9%
Away under 1.5 goals
74.5%
1.29
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Unibet
1.29
+2.7%
Home or Draw
72.8%
1.22
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Betfair
1.25
William Hil
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
-3.5%
Home +1 handicap
72.8%
1.23
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Unibet
1.21
-
-0.6%
Over 0.5 2H goals
72.5%
1.25
William Hil
1.29
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
-2.1%
Home over 0.5 goals
71.7%
1.19
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.20
BetVictor
1.18
Betfair
1.17
-6.1%
Under 1.5 HT goals
70.8%
1.38
Unibet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.39
BetVictor
1.39
10Bet
1.38
+3.6%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Degerfors IF
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Marcus Rafferty20%
Erik Lindell17%
Juhani Pikkarainen17%
Nasiru Moro14%
Arman Taranis12%
Dijan Vukojevic11%
Daniel Sundgren8%
Yiriyon Gideon7%
Sebastian Ohlsson6%
Samba Diatara5%
Matvei Igonen0%
Nahom Girmai0%
Sebastian Ohlsson0%
Ludvig Fritzson0%
Bilal Hussein0%
Robin Dzabic0%
Kazper Karlsson0%
Ahmad Faqa0%
Elias Barsoum0%
Nikolai Skuseth0%
Alexander Lindgren0%
Olle Leonardsson0%
Karim Boutera0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Robin Dzabic38%
Alexander Lindgren33%
Daniel Sundgren31%
Karim Boutera25%
Nahom Girmai24%
Yiriyon Gideon20%
Sebastian Ohlsson18%
Kazper Karlsson18%
Erik Lindell17%
Ludvig Fritzson17%
Juhani Pikkarainen17%
Ahmad Faqa17%
Samba Diatara16%
Nasiru Moro14%
Matvei Igonen11%
Marcus Rafferty10%
Bilal Hussein9%
Olle Leonardsson8%
Arman Taranis6%
Elias Barsoum5%
Dijan Vukojevic0%
Sebastian Ohlsson0%
Nikolai Skuseth0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Daniel Sundgren23%
Nahom Girmai18%
Juhani Pikkarainen17%
Nikolai Skuseth14%
Robin Dzabic12%
Matvei Igonen5%
Dijan Vukojevic5%
Elias Barsoum5%
Samba Diatara5%
Nasiru Moro0%
Erik Lindell0%
Sebastian Ohlsson0%
Sebastian Ohlsson0%
Ludvig Fritzson0%
Bilal Hussein0%
Arman Taranis0%
Kazper Karlsson0%
Marcus Rafferty0%
Yiriyon Gideon0%
Ahmad Faqa0%
Alexander Lindgren0%
Olle Leonardsson0%
Karim Boutera0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Marcus Rafferty20%
Dijan Vukojevic16%
Yiriyon Gideon7%
Ludvig Fritzson6%
Nasiru Moro0%
Matvei Igonen0%
Nahom Girmai0%
Erik Lindell0%
Sebastian Ohlsson0%
Sebastian Ohlsson0%
Daniel Sundgren0%
Bilal Hussein0%
Juhani Pikkarainen0%
Arman Taranis0%
Robin Dzabic0%
Kazper Karlsson0%
Ahmad Faqa0%
Elias Barsoum0%
Nikolai Skuseth0%
Samba Diatara0%
Alexander Lindgren0%
Olle Leonardsson0%
Karim Boutera0%
Halmstad
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Otso Liimatta22%
Rocco Ascone17%
Ludvig Arvidsson12%
Hussein Carneil11%
Omar Faraj11%
Pascal Gregor0%
Andre Boman0%
Gabriel Wallentin0%
Joel Allansson0%
Tim Rönning0%
Rami Kaib0%
Niilo Mäenpää0%
Filip Schyberg0%
Erko Tougjas0%
Gustav Friberg0%
Aleksander Nilsson0%
Emmanuel Yeboah0%
Marvin Illary0%
Oliver Kapsimalis0%
Malte Persson0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Rami Kaib35%
Filip Schyberg33%
Gustav Friberg25%
Otso Liimatta22%
Aleksander Nilsson22%
Rocco Ascone17%
Niilo Mäenpää14%
Erko Tougjas13%
Gabriel Wallentin8%
Oliver Kapsimalis7%
Pascal Gregor6%
Andre Boman6%
Tim Rönning6%
Hussein Carneil6%
Joel Allansson5%
Omar Faraj5%
Emmanuel Yeboah0%
Ludvig Arvidsson0%
Marvin Illary0%
Malte Persson0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Hussein Carneil11%
Ludvig Arvidsson6%
Rami Kaib6%
Marvin Illary6%
Andre Boman6%
Joel Allansson5%
Malte Persson5%
Pascal Gregor0%
Gabriel Wallentin0%
Tim Rönning0%
Niilo Mäenpää0%
Filip Schyberg0%
Rocco Ascone0%
Omar Faraj0%
Erko Tougjas0%
Gustav Friberg0%
Otso Liimatta0%
Aleksander Nilsson0%
Emmanuel Yeboah0%
Oliver Kapsimalis0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Hussein Carneil33%
Omar Faraj26%
Ludvig Arvidsson12%
Rami Kaib6%
Rocco Ascone6%
Malte Persson5%
Pascal Gregor0%
Andre Boman0%
Gabriel Wallentin0%
Joel Allansson0%
Tim Rönning0%
Niilo Mäenpää0%
Filip Schyberg0%
Erko Tougjas0%
Gustav Friberg0%
Otso Liimatta0%
Aleksander Nilsson0%
Emmanuel Yeboah0%
Marvin Illary0%
Oliver Kapsimalis0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Advertisement
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MF (28)
€35m
HF (22)
€35m
SIR (24)
€28m
DI (22)
€27m
MA (24)
€26m
AS (27)
€21m
IG (25)
€18m
IE (26)
€17m
BH (22)
€16m
GAI (29)
€13m
KF (21)
€10m
VSF (24)
€10m
IB (25)
€9m
HAL (20)
€8m
OI (26)
€8m
DI (23)
€6m
Degerfors IF's squad is €2m less valuable than Halmstad's (€6m vs €8m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SIR (10)
€18m
HF (9)
€13m
MF (8)
€12m
IG (9)
€8m
AS (7)
€8m
DI (6)
€8m
MA (9)
€7m
BH (4)
€6m
IE (9)
€5m
GAI (10)
€5m
KF (8)
€4m
HAL (7)
€4m
IB (10)
€3m
VSF (8)
€3m
OI (7)
€2m
DI (5)
€1m
Degerfors IF's attack is €3m less valuable than Halmstad's (€1m vs €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DI (6)
€14m
HF (4)
€11m
MF (7)
€11m
MA (6)
€11m
AS (9)
€7m
SIR (5)
€5m
IE (5)
€4m
IG (4)
€3m
GAI (8)
€3m
BH (6)
€3m
VSF (6)
€3m
DI (7)
€3m
KF (5)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
IB (4)
€2m
HAL (4)
€1m
Degerfors IF's midfield is €1m more valuable than Halmstad's (€3m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MF (13)
€12m
HF (9)
€10m
MA (9)
€8m
IE (12)
€7m
BH (12)
€7m
DI (10)
€6m
AS (11)
€6m
IG (12)
€6m
GAI (11)
€5m
OI (12)
€4m
SIR (9)
€4m
IB (11)
€4m
VSF (10)
€4m
KF (8)
€3m
HAL (9)
€3m
DI (11)
€3m
Degerfors IF and Halmstad have a similar defence value (both €3m).
Sweden: Allsvenskan 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Allsvenskan stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Sirius
Hammarby FF
Djurgardens IF
IF Elfsborg
BK Hacken
AIK Stockholm
Malmo FF
Vasteras SK FK
Gais
IF Brommapojkarna
IFK Goteborg
Mjallby AIF
Kalmar FF
Orgryte IS