This opponent (Sirius) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sirius
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.17
1.47
2.47
0.93
1.87
2.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
2.04
1.58
2.09
0.82
2.00
2.23
vs Weaker (6)
2.67
1.00
3.50
1.25
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Degerfors IF) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.6%
Under 1.5
22.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.5%
Under 2.5
47.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.3%
Under 3.5
69.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.5%
No
45.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.4%
1-2
9.7%
0-1
9.6%
0-2
9.3%
0-0
7.4%
2-1
5.9%
1-3
5.6%
1-0
5.4%
Degerfors IF goals ↓
Sirius goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.4%
9.6%
9.3%
5.4%
2.3%
1
5.4%
12%
9.7%
5.6%
2.4%
2
3.4%
5.9%
5.1%
2.9%
1.3%
3
1.2%
2.1%
1.8%
1.0%
0.4%
4
0.3%
0.5%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Degerfors IF goals (down), columns = Sirius goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Sirius
2.21
Hammarby FF
1.89
Djurgardens IF
1.78
AIK Stockholm
1.72
BK Hacken
1.63
IF Elfsborg
1.63
Vasteras SK FK
1.53
Malmo FF
1.53
Gais
1.37
IF Brommapojkarna
1.26
IFK Goteborg
1.21
Mjallby AIF
1.18
Kalmar FF
1.00
Degerfors IF
0.84
Orgryte IS
0.74
Halmstad
0.58
Degerfors IF is 1.37 points worse than Sirius in terms of average points per game (0.84 vs 2.21).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Sirius
2.47
Hammarby FF
2.32
Djurgardens IF
2.28
BK Hacken
1.74
Malmo FF
1.74
AIK Stockholm
1.56
Vasteras SK FK
1.47
IF Elfsborg
1.42
IF Brommapojkarna
1.42
Mjallby AIF
1.41
Gais
1.32
IFK Goteborg
1.26
Orgryte IS
1.16
Kalmar FF
1.11
Degerfors IF
0.89
Halmstad
0.68
Degerfors IF is 1.58 goals worse than Sirius in terms of goals scored per game (0.89 vs 2.47).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Gais
0.95
Hammarby FF
0.95
IF Elfsborg
1.00
Djurgardens IF
1.06
Sirius
1.42
AIK Stockholm
1.50
BK Hacken
1.53
Kalmar FF
1.53
Malmo FF
1.58
Mjallby AIF
1.59
IF Brommapojkarna
1.63
Degerfors IF
1.63
Vasteras SK FK
1.74
Halmstad
1.84
IFK Goteborg
2.05
Orgryte IS
2.21
Degerfors IF is 0.21 goals worse than Sirius in terms of goals conceded per game (1.63 vs 1.42).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Hammarby FF
61%
Djurgardens IF
57%
Malmo FF
56%
Mjallby AIF
53%
BK Hacken
52%
AIK Stockholm
52%
IFK Goteborg
51%
Gais
50%
Sirius
48%
IF Elfsborg
48%
Vasteras SK FK
48%
Kalmar FF
47%
IF Brommapojkarna
47%
Degerfors IF
46%
Orgryte IS
43%
Halmstad
41%
Degerfors IF is 2.1 percentage points worse than Sirius in terms of average possession (46% vs 48%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Degerfors IF
For 3.8 · Against 6.6 · Total 10.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 12.8 · Total 25.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sirius
For 5.9 · Against 5.4 · Total 11.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.1 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 12.4 · Total 25.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Degerfors IF
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
10.3
10.7
2.7
2.6
2.8
24.6
25.6
23.5
vs Stronger (19)
9.6
10.6
8.7
3.5
3.7
3.4
24.0
24.4
23.6
vs Similar (31)
11.5
10.0
13.0
2.2
2.0
2.4
25.2
27.0
23.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
65%
59%
71%
42%
42%
42%
82%
88%
76%
% under line
35%
41%
29%
58%
58%
58%
18%
12%
24%
This opponent (Sirius) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sirius
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.4
11.1
11.7
2.6
2.3
2.8
24.7
24.3
25.1
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (40)
11.4
11.3
11.4
2.6
2.5
2.7
24.5
24.3
24.8
vs Weaker (10)
11.6
10.3
12.5
2.3
1.7
3.2
25.6
24.3
26.5
% over line
78%
71%
85%
36%
31%
42%
80%
76%
85%
% under line
22%
29%
15%
64%
69%
58%
20%
24%
15%
This opponent (Degerfors IF) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
IFK Goteborg
11.9
Sirius
11.7
IF Brommapojkarna
11.3
Orgryte IS
11.2
Mjallby AIF
11.0
Gais
11.0
Hammarby FF
10.9
IF Elfsborg
10.7
BK Hacken
10.7
Degerfors IF
10.7
Vasteras SK FK
10.5
Malmo FF
10.1
AIK Stockholm
9.9
Djurgardens IF
9.7
Kalmar FF
9.7
Halmstad
9.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Djurgardens IF
4.9
IFK Goteborg
4.2
BK Hacken
4.2
Gais
4.1
AIK Stockholm
4.0
Malmo FF
4.0
Degerfors IF
3.9
Hammarby FF
3.9
Mjallby AIF
3.7
IF Brommapojkarna
3.6
Sirius
3.5
Orgryte IS
3.5
IF Elfsborg
3.4
Halmstad
3.4
Vasteras SK FK
3.2
Kalmar FF
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Djurgardens IF
27.3
IFK Goteborg
26.5
Mjallby AIF
25.6
Gais
25.3
Sirius
24.7
Hammarby FF
24.7
IF Elfsborg
24.6
AIK Stockholm
24.3
Degerfors IF
24.2
Malmo FF
24.2
BK Hacken
24.0
IF Brommapojkarna
23.9
Vasteras SK FK
23.9
Kalmar FF
23.3
Halmstad
22.8
Orgryte IS
21.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
64.6%
Under 9.5
35.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
53.2%
Under 3.5
46.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
77.9%
Under 21.5
22.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Degerfors IF
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.93
0.20
0.87
0.53
1.00
vs Stronger (16)
0.31
0.94
0.12
0.75
0.50
1.12
vs Similar (14)
0.43
0.93
0.29
1.00
0.57
0.86
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Sirius) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sirius
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.43
1.27
0.33
0.80
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.88
0.50
0.91
0.45
0.85
0.54
vs Weaker (6)
1.67
0.17
2.25
0.00
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
73% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Degerfors IF) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Degerfors IF over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Degerfors IF over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Degerfors IF over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sirius over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sirius over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sirius over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Degerfors IF
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.87
0.47
0.60
1.07
1.13
vs Stronger (16)
0.69
1.00
0.38
0.75
1.00
1.25
vs Similar (14)
0.86
0.71
0.57
0.43
1.14
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Sirius) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sirius
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.03
1.20
0.60
1.07
1.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
1.17
1.08
1.18
0.36
1.15
1.69
vs Weaker (6)
1.00
0.83
1.25
1.25
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Degerfors IF) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Degerfors IF over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Degerfors IF over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Degerfors IF over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sirius over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sirius over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sirius over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
88.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
81.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
77.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
77.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Degerfors IF
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Marcus Rafferty20%
Erik Lindell17%
Juhani Pikkarainen17%
Nasiru Moro14%
Arman Taranis12%
Dijan Vukojevic11%
Daniel Sundgren8%
Yiriyon Gideon7%
Sebastian Ohlsson6%
Samba Diatara5%
Matvei Igonen0%
Nahom Girmai0%
Sebastian Ohlsson0%
Ludvig Fritzson0%
Bilal Hussein0%
Robin Dzabic0%
Kazper Karlsson0%
Ahmad Faqa0%
Elias Barsoum0%
Nikolai Skuseth0%
Alexander Lindgren0%
Olle Leonardsson0%
Karim Boutera0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Robin Dzabic38%
Alexander Lindgren33%
Daniel Sundgren31%
Karim Boutera25%
Nahom Girmai24%
Yiriyon Gideon20%
Sebastian Ohlsson18%
Kazper Karlsson18%
Erik Lindell17%
Ludvig Fritzson17%
Juhani Pikkarainen17%
Ahmad Faqa17%
Samba Diatara16%
Nasiru Moro14%
Matvei Igonen11%
Marcus Rafferty10%
Bilal Hussein9%
Olle Leonardsson8%
Arman Taranis6%
Elias Barsoum5%
Dijan Vukojevic0%
Sebastian Ohlsson0%
Nikolai Skuseth0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Daniel Sundgren23%
Nahom Girmai18%
Juhani Pikkarainen17%
Nikolai Skuseth14%
Robin Dzabic12%
Matvei Igonen5%
Dijan Vukojevic5%
Elias Barsoum5%
Samba Diatara5%
Nasiru Moro0%
Erik Lindell0%
Sebastian Ohlsson0%
Sebastian Ohlsson0%
Ludvig Fritzson0%
Bilal Hussein0%
Arman Taranis0%
Kazper Karlsson0%
Marcus Rafferty0%
Yiriyon Gideon0%
Ahmad Faqa0%
Alexander Lindgren0%
Olle Leonardsson0%
Karim Boutera0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Marcus Rafferty20%
Dijan Vukojevic16%
Yiriyon Gideon7%
Ludvig Fritzson6%
Nasiru Moro0%
Matvei Igonen0%
Nahom Girmai0%
Erik Lindell0%
Sebastian Ohlsson0%
Sebastian Ohlsson0%
Daniel Sundgren0%
Bilal Hussein0%
Juhani Pikkarainen0%
Arman Taranis0%
Robin Dzabic0%
Kazper Karlsson0%
Ahmad Faqa0%
Elias Barsoum0%
Nikolai Skuseth0%
Samba Diatara0%
Alexander Lindgren0%
Olle Leonardsson0%
Karim Boutera0%
Sirius
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
R. Ure67%
Isak Bjerkebo58%
Mohamed Soumah25%
August Ljungberg20%
Neo Jönsson18%
Tobias Anker12%
Henrik Castegren12%
M. Lindberg11%
V. Svensson11%
Victor Ekstrom10%
Odera Samuel Adindu7%
Oscar Krusnell0%
S. Sandberg0%
Joakim Persson0%
M. Heier0%
Noel Milleskog0%
D. Celic0%
C. Nildén0%
Matthias Nartey0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
M. Heier28%
Oscar Krusnell22%
Tobias Anker19%
Mohamed Soumah19%
Neo Jönsson18%
M. Lindberg11%
D. Celic11%
Victor Ekstrom10%
Joakim Persson8%
C. Nildén7%
Odera Samuel Adindu7%
V. Svensson5%
S. Sandberg0%
Henrik Castegren0%
Noel Milleskog0%
R. Ure0%
Isak Bjerkebo0%
August Ljungberg0%
Matthias Nartey0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Isak Bjerkebo26%
August Ljungberg20%
Neo Jönsson18%
Oscar Krusnell17%
Joakim Persson17%
M. Lindberg16%
V. Svensson16%
R. Ure13%
M. Heier11%
Tobias Anker6%
S. Sandberg0%
Henrik Castegren0%
Noel Milleskog0%
Mohamed Soumah0%
D. Celic0%
C. Nildén0%
Victor Ekstrom0%
Matthias Nartey0%
Odera Samuel Adindu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Isak Bjerkebo58%
R. Ure20%
August Ljungberg20%
Neo Jönsson18%
V. Svensson5%
Oscar Krusnell0%
S. Sandberg0%
Henrik Castegren0%
M. Lindberg0%
Joakim Persson0%
Tobias Anker0%
M. Heier0%
Noel Milleskog0%
Mohamed Soumah0%
D. Celic0%
C. Nildén0%
Victor Ekstrom0%
Matthias Nartey0%
Odera Samuel Adindu0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MF (28)
€35m
HF (22)
€35m
SIR (24)
€28m
DI (22)
€27m
MA (24)
€26m
AS (27)
€21m
IG (25)
€18m
IE (26)
€17m
BH (22)
€16m
GAI (29)
€13m
KF (21)
€10m
VSF (24)
€10m
IB (25)
€9m
HAL (20)
€8m
OI (26)
€8m
DI (23)
€6m
Degerfors IF's squad is €22m less valuable than Sirius's (€6m vs €28m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SIR (10)
€18m
HF (9)
€13m
MF (8)
€12m
IG (9)
€8m
AS (7)
€8m
DI (6)
€8m
MA (9)
€7m
BH (4)
€6m
IE (9)
€5m
GAI (10)
€5m
KF (8)
€4m
HAL (7)
€4m
IB (10)
€3m
VSF (8)
€3m
OI (7)
€2m
DI (5)
€1m
Degerfors IF's attack is €17m less valuable than Sirius's (€1m vs €18m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DI (6)
€14m
HF (4)
€11m
MF (7)
€11m
MA (6)
€11m
AS (9)
€7m
SIR (5)
€5m
IE (5)
€4m
IG (4)
€3m
GAI (8)
€3m
BH (6)
€3m
VSF (6)
€3m
DI (7)
€3m
KF (5)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
IB (4)
€2m
HAL (4)
€1m
Degerfors IF's midfield is €3m less valuable than Sirius's (€3m vs €5m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MF (13)
€12m
HF (9)
€10m
MA (9)
€8m
IE (12)
€7m
BH (12)
€7m
DI (10)
€6m
AS (11)
€6m
IG (12)
€6m
GAI (11)
€5m
OI (12)
€4m
SIR (9)
€4m
IB (11)
€4m
VSF (10)
€4m
KF (8)
€3m
HAL (9)
€3m
DI (11)
€3m
Degerfors IF's defence is €2m less valuable than Sirius's (€3m vs €4m).
Sweden: Allsvenskan 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Allsvenskan stats & trends →
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Hammarby FF
Djurgardens IF
IF Elfsborg
BK Hacken
AIK Stockholm
Malmo FF
Vasteras SK FK
Gais
IF Brommapojkarna
IFK Goteborg
Mjallby AIF
Kalmar FF
Orgryte IS
Halmstad