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Dergview vs H&W Welders Result & Analysis

Date: 03/02/2024
Time: 15:00
Final 0-5
Dergview
Dergview
Vs
42%
26%
32%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
H&W Welders
H&W Welders
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Dergview win✗ Miss
42.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
H&W Welders win✓ Hit
32.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

DergviewDergview

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L22D23L03L03L10W00D13L23L11DA·KNO25/11H·INS01/12A·DUN05/12A·ANN16/12A·BAN23/12H·BAL26/12A·INS30/12H·BAL13/01A·POR20/01H·BAN27/01
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.971.461.231.122.53
vs Stronger (2)0.002.000.001.000.003.00
vs Similar (24)1.422.001.701.501.212.36
vs Weaker (4)1.001.751.000.001.003.50
Clean sheet %17% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (H&W Welders) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

H&W WeldersH&W Welders

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L13L41W21W22D21W41W12L04L31WH·ARD18/11A·BAL25/11H·KNO02/12A·BAL16/12H·NEW22/12H·DUN27/12A·BAL01/01H·POR13/01A·BAL20/01H·NEW27/01
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.001.772.471.531.382.08
vs Stronger (18)2.061.502.501.501.501.50
vs Similar (8)1.882.002.171.501.003.50
vs Weaker (4)2.002.504.002.001.332.67
Clean sheet %13% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Dergview) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.8%
Under 1.5
17.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
60.2%
Under 2.5
39.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
37.8%
Under 3.5
62.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
63.1%
No
36.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.7%
2-2
6.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-0
6.2%
0-0
5.5%
0-1
5.3%
Dergview goals ↓
H&W Welders goals →
01234
05.5%5.3%4.6%2.2%0.8%
16.4%12%7.7%3.7%1.3%
26.2%9.0%6.5%3.1%1.1%
33.5%5.0%3.6%1.7%0.6%
41.4%2.1%1.5%0.7%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dergview goals (down), columns = H&W Welders goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Portadown
1.87
Institute
1.82
Annagh United
1.79
Bangor
1.79
Dundela
1.76
Ballyclare Comrades
1.61
H&W Welders
1.47
Newington Youth
1.37
Ballinamallard United
1.34
Armagh City
1.00
Ards
0.97
Dergview
0.72
Knockbreda
0.47
Dergview is 0.75 points worse than H&W Welders in terms of average points per game (0.72 vs 1.47).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Bangor
2.03
Dundela
1.95
Portadown
1.95
Ballyclare Comrades
1.92
H&W Welders
1.84
Newington Youth
1.71
Annagh United
1.61
Ards
1.58
Institute
1.58
Ballinamallard United
1.34
Dergview
1.07
Armagh City
1.00
Knockbreda
0.89
Dergview is 0.77 goals worse than H&W Welders in terms of goals scored per game (1.07 vs 1.84).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Armagh City
1.00
Institute
1.13
Bangor
1.16
Annagh United
1.32
Ballinamallard United
1.34
Portadown
1.39
Dundela
1.58
Ballyclare Comrades
1.58
H&W Welders
1.66
Newington Youth
1.79
Ards
1.82
Dergview
2.02
Knockbreda
2.63
Dergview is 0.37 goals worse than H&W Welders in terms of goals conceded per game (2.02 vs 1.66).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

DergviewDergview

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L10W11D01L00D10W00D01L11D00DA·POR11/11H·INS01/12A·DUN05/12A·ANN16/12A·BAN23/12H·BAL26/12A·INS30/12H·BAL13/01A·POR20/01H·BAN27/01
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.870.620.540.531.12
vs Stronger (2)0.001.000.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (24)0.620.880.700.600.571.07
vs Weaker (4)0.500.750.500.000.501.50
Clean sheet %33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (H&W Welders) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

H&W WeldersH&W Welders

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L11D10W20W00D10W30W01L02L31WH·ARD18/11A·BAL25/11H·KNO02/12A·BAL16/12H·NEW22/12H·DUN27/12A·BAL01/01H·POR13/01A·BAL20/01H·NEW27/01
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.831.070.820.940.851.23
vs Stronger (18)0.941.060.901.101.001.00
vs Similar (8)0.621.000.830.670.002.00
vs Weaker (4)0.751.250.001.001.001.33
Clean sheet %33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Dergview) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dergview over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dergview over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dergview over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
H&W Welders over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
H&W Welders over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
H&W Welders over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

DergviewDergview

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D12L12L02L03L00D00D12L12L11DA·POR11/11H·INS01/12A·DUN05/12A·ANN16/12A·BAN23/12H·BAL26/12A·INS30/12H·BAL13/01A·POR20/01H·BAN27/01
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.731.100.850.850.651.29
vs Stronger (2)0.001.000.000.000.002.00
vs Similar (24)0.831.121.001.100.711.14
vs Weaker (4)0.501.000.500.000.502.00
Clean sheet %40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (H&W Welders) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

H&W WeldersH&W Welders

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D02L31W01L22D11D11D11D02L00DH·ARD18/11A·BAL25/11H·KNO02/12A·BAL16/12H·NEW22/12H·DUN27/12A·BAL01/01H·POR13/01A·BAL20/01H·NEW27/01
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.701.650.590.540.85
vs Stronger (18)1.110.441.600.400.500.50
vs Similar (8)1.251.001.330.831.001.50
vs Weaker (4)1.251.254.001.000.331.33
Clean sheet %47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Dergview) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dergview over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dergview over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dergview over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
H&W Welders over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
H&W Welders over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
H&W Welders over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.582.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAN (20)
€2m
POR (16)
€1m
AC (2)
€0m
HW (4)
€0m
BU (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
POR (6)
€1m
BAN (4)
€0m
AC (2)
€0m
HW (1)
€0m
BU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAN (5)
€1m
POR (3)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
BU (0)
€0m
HW (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAN (11)
€1m
POR (7)
€1m
HW (3)
€0m
BU (1)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
2
DER wins
0
Draws
3
HW wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Dergview vs H&W Welders · H/A from DER
DateH/AGameScore
19/08/23AH&W Welders Vs DER2-3
08/04/23HDER Vs H&W Welders2-0
28/01/23AH&W Welders Vs DER3-0
20/12/22AH&W Welders Vs DER3-2
03/12/22HDER Vs H&W Welders2-3

DergviewDergview

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/01/24HDER Vs Bangor1-1
20/01/24APortadown Vs DER3-2
13/01/24HDER Vs Ballyclare Comrades1-3
30/12/23AInstitute Vs DER0-0
26/12/23HDER Vs Ballinamallard United1-0
23/12/23ABangor Vs DER3-0
16/12/23AAnnagh United Vs DER3-0
05/12/23ADundela Vs DER3-2
01/12/23HDER Vs Institute2-2
25/11/23AKnockbreda Vs DER2-0

H&W WeldersH&W Welders

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/01/24HHW Vs Newington Youth3-1
20/01/24ABallinamallard United Vs HW4-0
13/01/24HHW Vs Portadown1-2
01/01/24ABallyclare Comrades Vs HW1-4
27/12/23HHW Vs Dundela2-1
22/12/23HHW Vs Newington Youth2-2
16/12/23ABallinamallard United Vs HW1-2
02/12/23HHW Vs Knockbreda4-1
25/11/23ABallyclare Comrades Vs HW3-1
18/11/23HHW Vs Ards0-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Dergview
Dergview
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLLD1.06
HomeLDWLD1.57
AwayLLLDL0.63
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%48%11%
AVG goals3.383.003.70
Over 1.5 %88%83%93%
Over 2.5 %70%65%74%
Over 3.5 %44%30%56%
Scored1.521.701.37
Conceded1.861.302.33
BTTS62%57%67%
Clean Sheet20%30%11%
Corners---
Cards---
H&W Welders
H&W Welders
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLW1.74
HomeWDWLW2.18
AwayDLWWL1.18
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%68%36%
AVG goals3.643.963.23
Over 1.5 %86%86%86%
Over 2.5 %76%82%68%
Over 3.5 %48%57%36%
Scored2.042.501.45
Conceded1.601.461.77
BTTS72%75%68%
Clean Sheet20%21%18%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PortadownPortadown3871
58%
1.9
7453+21
3.3
87%
68%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.91.4
-
2InstituteInstitute3869
53%
1.8
6043+17
2.7
71%
50%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.1
-
3BangorBangor3868
53%
1.8
7744+33
3.2
87%
76%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0112.01.2
-
4Annagh UnitedAnnagh United3868
53%
1.8
6150+11
2.9
74%
55%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.3
-
5DundelaDundela3867
55%
1.8
7460+14
3.5
82%
71%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.6
-
6Ballyclare ComradesBallyclare Comrades3861
47%
1.6
7360+13
3.5
89%
76%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.6
-
7H&W WeldersH&W Welders3856
45%
1.5
7063+7
3.5
89%
76%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.7
-
8Newington YouthNewington Youth3852
42%
1.4
6568-3
3.5
97%
76%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.8
-
9Ballinamallard UnitedBallinamallard United3851
39%
1.3
5151+0
2.7
71%
58%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.3
-
10ArdsArds3837
24%
1.0
6069-9
3.4
84%
68%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.8
-
11DergviewDergview4029
15%
0.7
4381-38
3.1
85%
57%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.0
-
12KnockbredaKnockbreda3818
13%
0.5
34100-66
3.5
95%
68%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.6
-
13Armagh CityArmagh City22
0%
1.0
22+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
Northern-Ireland: Championship 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Northern-Ireland: Championship stats & trends →

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