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Digenis Morphou vs AE Zakakiou Result & Analysis

Date: 25/04/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 1-1
Digenis Morphou
Digenis Morphou
Vs
52%
26%
22%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
AE Zakakiou
AE Zakakiou
Cyprus: 2. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U
10 Top picks for this game11 Squad value12 Games History13 Overall Statistics14 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Digenis Morphou a 52% win probability against AE Zakakiou in the Cyprus: 2. Division on 2026-04-25, with 26% for the draw and 22% for AE Zakakiou. The model estimates around 2.9 total goals, with 2 the most likely total (25%) and 1-1 the most likely scoreline (12.2%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Over 1.5 (79%).

Results analysis

Digenis Morphou finished 1-1 against AE Zakakiou (Draw). Pythia had modelled a 52% home win, 26% draw and 22% away win. Picks that landed: Over 1.5 (79%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Digenis Morphou win✗ Miss
52.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
25.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
AE Zakakiou win✗ Miss
22.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Digenis MorphouDigenis Morphou

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-515L12L20W32W40W01L00D03L10W12LH·SPA07/02A·IRA14/02H·ETH21/02A·AE 28/02A·AHI07/03A·APE14/03H·HAL18/03A·SPA21/03H·IRA04/04A·ETH21/04
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.631.331.601.471.671.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.671.890.672.670.671.50
vs Weaker (21)2.051.101.831.172.331.00
Clean sheet %27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (AE Zakakiou) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AE ZakakiouAE Zakakiou

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D11D30W23L11D03L24L14L10W42WH·IRA08/02A·ETH14/02A·AHI21/02H·DIG28/02H·APE07/03A·HAL14/03H·SPA18/03A·IRA21/03H·ETH04/04H·AHI21/04
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.901.331.730.802.07
vs Stronger (3)1.673.002.003.001.503.00
vs Similar (21)1.141.761.251.501.002.11
vs Weaker (6)0.501.831.502.500.001.50
Clean sheet %17% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Digenis Morphou) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%25%7%014%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.9%
Under 1.5
21.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
54.4%
Under 2.5
45.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.1%
Under 3.5
67.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.2%
No
43.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
1-0
9.0%
2-0
8.9%
0-0
6.9%
1-2
6.0%
3-1
5.7%
2-2
5.3%
Digenis Morphou goals ↓
AE Zakakiou goals →
01234
06.9%5.2%3.4%1.2%0.3%
19.0%12%6.0%2.2%0.6%
28.9%9.8%5.3%1.9%0.5%
35.3%5.7%3.1%1.1%0.3%
42.3%2.5%1.4%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Digenis Morphou goals (down), columns = AE Zakakiou goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Nea Salamis
2.62
Karmiotissa
1.93
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.83
PAEEK
1.59
Halkanoras
1.55
Doxa
1.45
Ayia Napa
1.41
Digenis Morphou
1.34
Spartakos Kitiou
1.34
APEA
1.34
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1.28
ASIL Lysi
1.07
Ethnikos Latsion
1.03
MEAP Nisou
1.00
AE Zakakiou
0.90
Ahironas / Onisilos
0.28
Digenis Morphou is 0.45 points better than AE Zakakiou in terms of average points per game (1.34 vs 0.90).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Omonia 29is Maiou
2.07
Nea Salamis
1.93
Karmiotissa
1.86
Halkanoras
1.62
Digenis Morphou
1.55
Spartakos Kitiou
1.45
PAEEK
1.45
Ayia Napa
1.45
APEA
1.31
Doxa
1.17
ASIL Lysi
1.10
AE Zakakiou
1.10
MEAP Nisou
1.07
Ethnikos Latsion
0.97
Iraklis Yerolakkou
0.93
Ahironas / Onisilos
0.62
Digenis Morphou is 0.45 goals better than AE Zakakiou in terms of goals scored per game (1.55 vs 1.10).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Nea Salamis
0.52
Karmiotissa
0.90
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1.03
PAEEK
1.07
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.14
Doxa
1.21
Spartakos Kitiou
1.24
Halkanoras
1.28
Digenis Morphou
1.31
APEA
1.31
Ayia Napa
1.48
Ethnikos Latsion
1.59
ASIL Lysi
1.72
MEAP Nisou
1.72
AE Zakakiou
1.79
Ahironas / Onisilos
2.34
Digenis Morphou is 0.48 goals better than AE Zakakiou in terms of goals conceded per game (1.31 vs 1.79).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Digenis MorphouDigenis Morphou

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L11D10W01L20W00D00D02L00D02LH·SPA07/02A·IRA14/02H·ETH21/02A·AE 28/02A·AHI07/03A·APE14/03H·HAL18/03A·SPA21/03H·IRA04/04A·ETH21/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.670.470.800.600.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.331.000.331.670.330.67
vs Weaker (21)0.620.520.500.580.780.44
Clean sheet %53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (AE Zakakiou) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AE ZakakiouAE Zakakiou

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W20W10W11D00D12L11D00D31WH·IRA08/02A·ETH14/02A·AHI21/02H·DIG28/02H·APE07/03A·HAL14/03H·SPA18/03A·IRA21/03H·ETH04/04H·AHI21/04
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.530.870.600.530.47
vs Stronger (3)1.000.001.000.001.000.00
vs Similar (21)0.760.620.830.580.670.67
vs Weaker (6)0.330.501.001.000.000.25
Clean sheet %50% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Digenis Morphou) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Digenis Morphou over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AE Zakakiou over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AE Zakakiou over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AE Zakakiou over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 10. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.578.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 11. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NS (26)
€4m
O2M (28)
€2m
KAR (27)
€2m
PAE (34)
€0m
DOX (32)
€0m
AN (40)
€0m
HAL (36)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAR (0)
€0m
NS (0)
€0m
O2M (0)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAR (0)
€0m
NS (0)
€0m
O2M (0)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAR (0)
€0m
NS (0)
€0m
O2M (0)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 12. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
2
DM wins
0
Draws
3
AZ wins

Head-to-head

Digenis Morphou vs AE Zakakiou · H/A from DM
DateH/AGameScore
28/02/26AAE Zakakiou Vs DM2-3
13/12/25HDM Vs AE Zakakiou1-2
26/04/25HDM Vs AE Zakakiou5-1
28/02/25AAE Zakakiou Vs DM3-2
28/09/24AAE Zakakiou Vs DM3-2

Digenis MorphouDigenis Morphou

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/04/26AEthnikos Latsion Vs DM2-1
04/04/26HDM Vs Iraklis Yerolakkou1-0
21/03/26ASpartakos Kitiou Vs DM3-0
18/03/26HDM Vs Halkanoras0-0
14/03/26AAPEA Vs DM1-0
07/03/26AAhironas / Onisilos Vs DM0-4
28/02/26AAE Zakakiou Vs DM2-3
21/02/26HDM Vs Ethnikos Latsion2-0
14/02/26AIraklis Yerolakkou Vs DM2-1
07/02/26HDM Vs Spartakos Kitiou1-5

AE ZakakiouAE Zakakiou

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/04/26HAZ Vs Ahironas / Onisilos4-2
04/04/26HAZ Vs Ethnikos Latsion1-0
21/03/26AIraklis Yerolakkou Vs AZ4-1
18/03/26HAZ Vs Spartakos Kitiou2-4
14/03/26AHalkanoras Vs AZ3-0
07/03/26HAZ Vs APEA1-1
28/02/26HAZ Vs Digenis Morphou2-3
21/02/26AAhironas / Onisilos Vs AZ0-3
14/02/26AEthnikos Latsion Vs AZ1-1
08/02/26HAZ Vs Iraklis Yerolakkou0-0

📊 13. Overall Statistics

Digenis Morphou
Digenis Morphou
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLWL1.54
HomeDLWDW1.72
AwayWWLLL1.36
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%52%40%
AVG goals3.142.963.32
Over 1.5 %86%80%92%
Over 2.5 %62%52%72%
Over 3.5 %34%32%36%
Scored1.721.681.76
Conceded1.421.281.56
BTTS58%60%56%
Clean Sheet24%28%20%
Corners---
Cards---
AE Zakakiou
AE Zakakiou
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWW1.22
HomeLDLWW1.56
AwayLDWLL0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%44%24%
AVG goals2.602.762.44
Over 1.5 %72%72%72%
Over 2.5 %44%36%52%
Over 3.5 %24%32%16%
Scored1.141.520.76
Conceded1.461.241.68
BTTS40%44%36%
Clean Sheet32%44%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 14. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Nea SalamisNea Salamis2976
83%
2.6
5615+41
2.4
69%
45%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0001.90.5
-
2KarmiotissaKarmiotissa2956
55%
1.9
5426+28
2.8
72%
55%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.90.9
-
3Omonia 29is MaiouOmonia 29is Maiou2953
48%
1.8
6033+27
3.2
79%
59%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0002.11.1
-
4PAEEKPAEEK2946
41%
1.6
4231+11
2.5
72%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.1
-
5HalkanorasHalkanoras2945
45%
1.6
4737+10
2.9
72%
62%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.3
-
6DoxaDoxa2942
41%
1.4
3435-1
2.4
79%
41%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.2
-
7Ayia NapaAyia Napa2941
38%
1.4
4243-1
2.9
83%
45%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.5
-
8Digenis MorphouDigenis Morphou2939
38%
1.3
4538+7
2.9
86%
55%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.3
-
9Spartakos KitiouSpartakos Kitiou2939
34%
1.3
4236+6
2.7
83%
45%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.2
-
10APEAAPEA2939
38%
1.3
3838+0
2.6
76%
52%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.3
-
11Iraklis YerolakkouIraklis Yerolakkou2937
28%
1.3
2730-3
2.0
62%
31%
10%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.0
-
12ASIL LysiASIL Lysi2931
28%
1.1
3250-18
2.8
69%
48%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.7
-
13Ethnikos LatsionEthnikos Latsion2930
28%
1.0
2846-18
2.6
79%
41%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.6
-
14MEAP NisouMEAP Nisou2929
28%
1.0
3150-19
2.8
76%
48%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.7
-
15AE ZakakiouAE Zakakiou2926
21%
0.9
3252-20
2.9
79%
48%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
16Ahironas / OnisilosAhironas / Onisilos298
3%
0.3
1868-50
3.0
83%
55%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.62.3
-
Cyprus: 2. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 2. Division stats & trends →

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