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Digenis Morphou vs APEA Prediction & Stats

Date: 19/09/2026
Time: 16:00
Digenis Morphou
Digenis Morphou
Vs
39%
29%
32%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
APEA
APEA
Cyprus: 2. Division
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

The encounter between Digenis Morphou and APEA is a tight one, with the model favouring a home win but leaving room for a draw or an away triumph. The predicted probabilities are 39 % for a Digenis win, 29 % for a draw and 32 % for an APEA victory, making the home side the slight favourite. On average the match should see 2.6 goals, with the most likely total of two goals occurring 27 % of the time. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, with a 13.9 % chance.

Digenis, playing at home against an opponent of similar strength, averages 1.43 goals scored and 1.71 conceded. APEA, on the road, averages 1.0 goal scored and 0.9 conceded against comparable teams. The model’s suggested selections are: Under 7.5 goals 99.5 %, Under 6.5 goals 98.4 %, Away under 3.5 goals 96.5 %, Under 5.5 goals 95.4 %, Home under 3.5 goals 95.2 %, Under 4.5 goals 88.4 %, Away under 2.5 goals 87.8 % and Home +2 handicap 85.9 %. Each selection is presented with its exact probability, reflecting the model’s confidence in these outcomes.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Digenis Morphou win
38.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
29.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
APEA win
32.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Digenis MorphouDigenis Morphou

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L20W32W40W01L00D03L10W12L11DA·IRA14/02H·ETH21/02A·AE 28/02A·AHI07/03A·APE14/03H·HAL18/03A·SPA21/03H·IRA04/04A·ETH21/04H·AE 25/04
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.301.561.441.791.14
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)1.561.391.621.621.501.20
vs Weaker (12)1.831.171.501.252.501.00
Clean sheet %27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (APEA) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

APEAAPEA

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L01L10W11D10W11D13L40W20W21WA·SPA14/02H·IRA21/02A·ETH28/02A·AE 07/03H·DIG14/03A·AHI18/03A·HAL21/03H·SPA04/04A·IRA21/04H·ETH25/04
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.311.311.531.401.071.21
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)1.351.091.581.251.090.91
vs Weaker (6)1.172.171.332.001.002.33
Clean sheet %28% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Digenis Morphou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%017%127%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
73.6%
Under 1.5
26.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
47.0%
Under 2.5
53.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
25.4%
Under 3.5
74.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
53.1%
No
46.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%
1-0
9.2%
0-0
9.1%
2-1
8.5%
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
5.7%
Digenis Morphou goals ↓
APEA goals →
01234
09.1%8.2%5.7%2.3%0.7%
19.2%14%7.6%3.1%0.9%
27.0%8.5%5.1%2.1%0.6%
33.1%3.8%2.3%0.9%0.3%
41.1%1.3%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Digenis Morphou goals (down), columns = APEA goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Ethnikos Achna
2.66
Akritas
2.54
Enosis
2.44
PAEEK
1.59
Halkanoras
1.55
Doxa
1.45
Ayia Napa
1.41
Ermis
1.37
Polemidion
1.37
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.37
APEA
1.34
Spartakos Kitiou
1.34
Digenis Morphou
1.34
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1.28
ASIL Lysi
1.07
MEAP Nisou
1.00
Digenis Morphou and APEA are level in average points per game (both 1.34).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Ethnikos Achna
2.62
Akritas
2.50
Enosis
2.40
Halkanoras
1.62
Digenis Morphou
1.55
PAEEK
1.45
Ayia Napa
1.45
Spartakos Kitiou
1.45
Ermis
1.35
Polemidion
1.35
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.35
APEA
1.31
Doxa
1.17
ASIL Lysi
1.10
MEAP Nisou
1.07
Iraklis Yerolakkou
0.93
Digenis Morphou is 0.24 goals better than APEA in terms of goals scored per game (1.55 vs 1.31).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Ethnikos Achna
0.70
Akritas
0.73
Enosis
0.76
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1.03
PAEEK
1.07
Doxa
1.21
Spartakos Kitiou
1.24
Halkanoras
1.28
APEA
1.31
Digenis Morphou
1.31
Ermis
1.35
Polemidion
1.35
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.35
Ayia Napa
1.48
ASIL Lysi
1.72
MEAP Nisou
1.72
Digenis Morphou and APEA are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.31).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Digenis Morphou or Draw
67.7%
Avg Implied -
39%
29%
32%
covers Digenis Morphou + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou or APEA
70.9%
Avg Implied -
39%
29%
32%
covers Digenis Morphou + APEA
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or APEA
61.4%
Avg Implied -
39%
29%
32%
covers Draw + APEA
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Digenis Morphou over/under 0.5
Over
73.9%
Under
26.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou over/under 1.5
Over
38.9%
Under
61.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou over/under 2.5
Over
15.3%
Under
84.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou over/under 3.5
Over
4.8%
Under
95.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
APEA over/under 0.5
Over
70.1%
Under
29.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
APEA over/under 1.5
Over
34.1%
Under
65.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
APEA over/under 2.5
Over
12.2%
Under
87.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
APEA over/under 3.5
Over
3.5%
Under
96.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Digenis Morphou, so a minus line means Digenis Morphou give that many goals of a start and APEA receive them. At -1, Digenis Morphou must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Digenis Morphou win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Digenis Morphou)
Digenis Morphou -2
6.6%
Draw -2
11.7%
APEA +2
81.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Digenis Morphou)
Digenis Morphou -1
18.3%
Draw -1
20.3%
APEA +1
61.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Digenis Morphou)
Digenis Morphou +1
67.7%
Draw +1
18.2%
APEA -1
14.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Digenis Morphou)
Digenis Morphou +2
85.9%
Draw +2
9.5%
APEA -2
4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Digenis MorphouDigenis Morphou

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D10W01L20W00D00D02L00D02L00DA·IRA14/02H·ETH21/02A·AE 28/02A·AHI07/03A·APE14/03H·HAL18/03A·SPA21/03H·IRA04/04A·ETH21/04H·AE 25/04
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.630.440.750.640.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.280.670.120.880.400.50
vs Weaker (12)0.920.580.750.621.250.50
Clean sheet %57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (APEA) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

APEAAPEA

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D10W11D00D11D10W10W20W01LA·SPA14/02H·IRA21/02A·ETH28/02A·AE 07/03H·DIG14/03A·AHI18/03A·HAL21/03H·SPA04/04A·IRA21/04H·ETH25/04
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.550.690.470.670.640.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.570.650.420.670.730.64
vs Weaker (6)0.500.830.670.670.331.00
Clean sheet %41% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Digenis Morphou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Digenis Morphou over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
APEA over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
APEA over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
APEA over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Digenis MorphouDigenis Morphou

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W31W20W01L00D01L10W10W11DA·IRA14/02H·ETH21/02A·AE 28/02A·AHI07/03A·APE14/03H·HAL18/03A·SPA21/03H·IRA04/04A·ETH21/04H·AE 25/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.671.120.691.140.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)1.280.721.500.751.100.70
vs Weaker (12)0.920.580.750.621.250.50
Clean sheet %37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (APEA) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

APEAAPEA

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L00D00D10W00D03L30W00D20WA·SPA14/02H·IRA21/02A·ETH28/02A·AE 07/03H·DIG14/03A·AHI18/03A·HAL21/03H·SPA04/04A·IRA21/04H·ETH25/04
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.760.621.070.730.430.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.780.431.170.580.360.27
vs Weaker (6)0.671.330.671.330.671.33
Clean sheet %59% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Digenis Morphou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Digenis Morphou over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
APEA over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
APEA over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
APEA over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.5%-------
Under 6.598.4%-------
Away under 3.5 goals96.5%-------
Under 5.595.4%-------
Home under 3.5 goals95.2%-------
Under 4.588.4%-------
Away under 2.5 goals87.8%-------
Home +2 handicap85.9%-------
Home under 2.5 goals84.7%-------
Away +2 handicap81.7%-------
Under 3.574.6%-------
Home over 0.5 goals73.9%-------
Over 1.573.6%-------
Home or Away70.9%-------
Away over 0.5 goals70.1%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ENO (9)
€1m
AKR (5)
€1m
EA (2)
€0m
DOX (1)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ENO (3)
€0m
AKR (2)
€0m
EA (1)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ENO (2)
€0m
AKR (0)
€0m
EA (0)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ENO (4)
€1m
AKR (3)
€1m
EA (1)
€0m
DOX (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
1
DM wins
1
Draws
1
APE wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Digenis Morphou vs APEA · H/A from DM
DateH/AGameScore
14/03/26AAPEA Vs DM1-0
25/01/26HDM Vs APEA1-1
05/10/25AAPEA Vs DM0-4

Digenis MorphouDigenis Morphou

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/04/26HDM Vs AE Zakakiou1-1
21/04/26AEthnikos Latsion Vs DM2-1
04/04/26HDM Vs Iraklis Yerolakkou1-0
21/03/26ASpartakos Kitiou Vs DM3-0
18/03/26HDM Vs Halkanoras0-0
14/03/26AAPEA Vs DM1-0
07/03/26AAhironas / Onisilos Vs DM0-4
28/02/26AAE Zakakiou Vs DM2-3
21/02/26HDM Vs Ethnikos Latsion2-0
14/02/26AIraklis Yerolakkou Vs DM2-1

APEAAPEA

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/04/26HAPE Vs Ethnikos Latsion2-1
21/04/26AIraklis Yerolakkou Vs APE0-2
04/04/26HAPE Vs Spartakos Kitiou4-0
21/03/26AHalkanoras Vs APE3-1
18/03/26AAhironas / Onisilos Vs APE1-1
14/03/26HAPE Vs Digenis Morphou1-0
07/03/26AAE Zakakiou Vs APE1-1
28/02/26AEthnikos Latsion Vs APE0-1
21/02/26HAPE Vs Iraklis Yerolakkou0-1
14/02/26ASpartakos Kitiou Vs APE2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Digenis Morphou
Digenis Morphou
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWLD1.50
HomeLWDWD1.64
AwayWWLLL1.36
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%48%40%
AVG goals3.163.003.32
Over 1.5 %88%84%92%
Over 2.5 %62%52%72%
Over 3.5 %34%32%36%
Scored1.721.681.76
Conceded1.441.321.56
BTTS60%64%56%
Clean Sheet22%24%20%
Corners---
Cards---
APEA
APEA
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWWW1.34
HomeLLWWW1.33
AwayWDDLW1.36
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%40%36%
AVG goals2.622.932.29
Over 1.5 %76%73%79%
Over 2.5 %52%73%29%
Over 3.5 %24%33%14%
Scored1.311.531.07
Conceded1.311.401.21
BTTS48%40%57%
Clean Sheet28%33%21%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1DoxaDoxa00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
2EnosisEnosis00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.00.0
-
3Ayia NapaAyia Napa00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
4Digenis MorphouDigenis Morphou00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
5Spartakos KitiouSpartakos Kitiou00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
6Ethnikos AchnaEthnikos Achna00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
7Anagennisi DeryneiaAnagennisi Deryneia00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
8Iraklis YerolakkouIraklis Yerolakkou00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
9HalkanorasHalkanoras00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
10PolemidionPolemidion00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
11APEAAPEA00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
12ASIL LysiASIL Lysi00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
13AkritasAkritas00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.00.0
-
14ErmisErmis00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
15PAEEKPAEEK00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
16MEAP NisouMEAP Nisou00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Cyprus: 2. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 2. Division stats & trends →

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