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Digenis Morphou vs ASIL Lysi Result & Analysis

Date: 05/10/2024
Time: 13:00
Final 1-2
Digenis Morphou
Digenis Morphou
Vs
50%
27%
23%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
ASIL Lysi
ASIL Lysi
Cyprus: 2. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Digenis Morphou win✗ Miss
50.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
ASIL Lysi win✓ Hit
23.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Digenis MorphouDigenis Morphou

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-443W21W30W20W21W13L10W10W21W23LA·ENA09/03H·AHI16/03A·ERM30/03A·MEA07/04H·XYL14/04A·PAE20/04H·AKR27/04H·DOX14/09H·MEA20/09A·AE 28/09
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.531.031.501.121.570.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.541.231.501.501.571.00
vs Weaker (17)1.530.881.500.901.570.86
Clean sheet %43% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (ASIL Lysi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ASIL LysiASIL Lysi

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L13L04L20W40W32W43W10W04L01LH·OLY09/03A·OMO16/03H·OMO30/03A·KRA06/04H·PEY14/04H·AYI20/04A·ENO27/04H·OTH14/09A·AKR21/09H·HAL28/09
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.371.191.251.141.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)1.151.421.231.311.081.54
vs Weaker (4)1.251.001.001.002.001.00
Clean sheet %30% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Digenis Morphou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%8%015%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.2%
Under 1.5
22.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
51.9%
Under 2.5
48.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.7%
Under 3.5
70.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.8%
No
45.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-0
8.9%
0-0
7.5%
1-2 ✓
6.2%
0-1
5.7%
3-1
5.4%
Digenis Morphou goals ↓
ASIL Lysi goals →
01234
07.5%5.7%3.7%1.3%0.4%
19.5%13%6.2%2.2%0.6%
28.9%9.6%5.2%1.9%0.5%
35.0%5.4%2.9%1.0%0.3%
42.1%2.2%1.2%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Digenis Morphou goals (down), columns = ASIL Lysi goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Krasava Ypsonas
2.14
Olympiakos
1.97
Akritas
1.86
AE Zakakiou
1.72
Digenis Morphou
1.69
ASIL Lysi
1.48
Doxa
1.38
Spartakos Kitiou
1.31
Ayia Napa
1.31
Halkanoras
1.28
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.24
MEAP Nisou
1.24
PAEEK
1.21
Othellos
1.07
Ahironas / Onisilos
1.00
Peyia
0.86
Digenis Morphou is 0.21 points better than ASIL Lysi in terms of average points per game (1.69 vs 1.48).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Digenis Morphou
1.76
Halkanoras
1.72
Spartakos Kitiou
1.66
Akritas
1.66
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.59
Olympiakos
1.59
Krasava Ypsonas
1.59
Doxa
1.55
AE Zakakiou
1.31
ASIL Lysi
1.24
PAEEK
1.24
Ahironas / Onisilos
1.24
MEAP Nisou
1.21
Othellos
1.14
Ayia Napa
0.97
Peyia
0.72
Digenis Morphou is 0.52 goals better than ASIL Lysi in terms of goals scored per game (1.76 vs 1.24).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Krasava Ypsonas
0.59
Olympiakos
0.66
Akritas
1.00
AE Zakakiou
1.07
MEAP Nisou
1.21
Doxa
1.31
ASIL Lysi
1.34
PAEEK
1.34
Ayia Napa
1.41
Othellos
1.41
Digenis Morphou
1.55
Spartakos Kitiou
1.66
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.72
Halkanoras
1.76
Peyia
2.07
Ahironas / Onisilos
2.07
Digenis Morphou is 0.21 goals worse than ASIL Lysi in terms of goals conceded per game (1.55 vs 1.34).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Digenis MorphouDigenis Morphou

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-323L00D21W10W10W02L00D00D20W12LH·PAE24/02A·AKR02/03H·AHI16/03A·ERM30/03A·MEA07/04A·PAE20/04H·AKR27/04H·DOX14/09H·MEA20/09A·AE 28/09
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.430.870.470.530.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.790.361.000.170.620.50
vs Weaker (16)0.620.500.780.670.430.29
Clean sheet %70% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (ASIL Lysi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ASIL LysiASIL Lysi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D01L03L02L10W00D21W22D00D03LH·ENO02/03H·OLY09/03A·OMO16/03H·OMO30/03A·KRA06/04H·PEY14/04H·AYI20/04A·ENO27/04H·OTH14/09A·AKR21/09
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.630.470.530.400.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.380.650.380.540.380.77
vs Weaker (4)0.750.501.000.500.500.50
Clean sheet %60% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Digenis Morphou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Digenis Morphou over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ASIL Lysi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ASIL Lysi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ASIL Lysi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Digenis MorphouDigenis Morphou

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L00D20W10W11D10W10W01L11DH·PAE24/02A·AKR02/03H·AHI16/03A·ERM30/03A·MEA07/04A·PAE20/04H·AKR27/04H·DOX14/09H·MEA20/09A·AE 28/09
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.530.600.670.670.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.640.790.501.330.750.38
vs Weaker (16)0.620.310.670.220.570.43
Clean sheet %60% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (ASIL Lysi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ASIL LysiASIL Lysi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L01L10W02L10W40W11D21W10W01LH·ENO02/03H·OLY09/03A·OMO16/03H·OMO30/03A·KRA06/04H·PEY14/04H·AYI20/04A·ENO27/04H·OTH14/09A·AKR21/09
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.700.800.730.800.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.770.770.850.770.690.77
vs Weaker (4)1.000.250.500.501.500.00
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Digenis Morphou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Digenis Morphou over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ASIL Lysi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ASIL Lysi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ASIL Lysi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.577.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.570.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OLY (14)
€4m
KY (20)
€4m
AKR (5)
€1m
DOX (1)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KY (8)
€2m
OLY (4)
€1m
AKR (2)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KY (4)
€0m
OLY (2)
€0m
AKR (0)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OLY (8)
€2m
KY (8)
€1m
AKR (3)
€1m
DOX (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
DM wins
0
Draws
1
AL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Digenis Morphou vs ASIL Lysi · H/A from DM
DateH/AGameScore
17/12/23AASIL Lysi Vs DM2-1

Digenis MorphouDigenis Morphou

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/09/24AAE Zakakiou Vs DM3-2
20/09/24HDM Vs MEAP Nisou2-1
14/09/24HDM Vs Doxa1-0
27/04/24HDM Vs Akritas1-0
20/04/24APAEEK Vs DM3-1
14/04/24HDM Vs Xylotympou2-1
07/04/24AMEAP Nisou Vs DM0-2
30/03/24AErmis Vs DM0-3
16/03/24HDM Vs Ahironas / Onisilos2-1
09/03/24AENAD Vs DM3-4

ASIL LysiASIL Lysi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/09/24HAL Vs Halkanoras0-1
21/09/24AAkritas Vs AL4-0
14/09/24HAL Vs Othellos1-0
27/04/24AEnosis Vs AL3-4
20/04/24HAL Vs Ayia Napa3-2
14/04/24HAL Vs Peyia4-0
06/04/24AKrasava Ypsonas Vs AL0-2
30/03/24HAL Vs Omonia 29is Maiou0-4
16/03/24AOmonia Aradippou Vs AL3-1
09/03/24HAL Vs Olympiakos0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Digenis Morphou
Digenis Morphou
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 8 Wins / 0 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWL1.78
HomeWWWWW2.00
AwayWWWLL1.56
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %53%62%44%
AVG goals2.472.622.31
Over 1.5 %66%69%62%
Over 2.5 %53%62%44%
Over 3.5 %22%19%25%
Scored1.441.501.38
Conceded1.031.120.94
BTTS41%50%31%
Clean Sheet44%31%56%
Corners---
Cards---
ASIL Lysi
ASIL Lysi
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 0 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLL1.44
HomeLWWWL1.35
AwayWLWWL1.53
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %41%35%47%
AVG goals2.442.292.60
Over 1.5 %75%71%80%
Over 2.5 %44%47%40%
Over 3.5 %25%24%27%
Scored1.161.121.20
Conceded1.281.181.40
BTTS44%47%40%
Clean Sheet34%35%33%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Krasava YpsonasKrasava Ypsonas2962
66%
2.1
4617+29
2.2
59%
38%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2011.60.6
-
2OlympiakosOlympiakos2957
59%
2.0
4619+27
2.2
72%
41%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1021.60.7
-
3AkritasAkritas2954
59%
1.9
4829+19
2.7
69%
52%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.71.0
-
4AE ZakakiouAE Zakakiou2950
52%
1.7
3831+7
2.4
72%
38%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.1
-
5Digenis MorphouDigenis Morphou2949
52%
1.7
5145+6
3.3
83%
69%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.6
-
6ASIL LysiASIL Lysi2943
45%
1.5
3639-3
2.6
83%
55%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.3
-
7DoxaDoxa2940
41%
1.4
4538+7
2.9
72%
55%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.3
-
8Spartakos KitiouSpartakos Kitiou2938
41%
1.3
4848+0
3.3
72%
66%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.7
-
9Ayia NapaAyia Napa2938
38%
1.3
2841-13
2.4
66%
48%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.4
-
10HalkanorasHalkanoras2937
38%
1.3
5051-1
3.5
86%
72%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.8
-
11MEAP NisouMEAP Nisou2936
34%
1.2
3535+0
2.4
72%
41%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.2
-
12Anagennisi DeryneiaAnagennisi Deryneia2936
34%
1.2
4650-4
3.3
76%
69%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.7
-
13PAEEKPAEEK2935
31%
1.2
3639-3
2.6
76%
52%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.3
-
14OthellosOthellos2931
31%
1.1
3341-8
2.6
66%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.4
-
15Ahironas / OnisilosAhironas / Onisilos2929
31%
1.0
3660-24
3.3
79%
72%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.1
-
16PeyiaPeyia2925
24%
0.9
2160-39
2.8
69%
52%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.1
-
Cyprus: 2. Division 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 2. Division stats & trends →

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