Digenis Morphou are favoured to win, with a 50% chance of triumph, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 25% chance of an ASIL Lysi victory. The model expects an average of three goals, but the most likely total is two, with a 23% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 11.7% chance. Digenis, playing at home against a similar-strength side, normally scores 1.62 goals and concedes 1.62; ASIL, on the road, averages 0.82 goals scored and 1.82 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (98.7%), Under 6.5 (96.4%), Away under 3.5 goals (96.4%), Under 5.5 (91.2%), Home +2 handicap (89.6%), Home under 3.5 goals (88.8%), Away under 2.5 goals (87.5%) and Home over 0.5 goals (83.8%). The home side’s recent form shows a draw after a 1-1 with AE Zakakiou, while ASIL came off a 1-4 loss to Nea Salamis.
Advertisement
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Digenis Morphou win
50.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
25.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
ASIL Lysi win
24.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Digenis Morphou
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
1.30
1.56
1.44
1.79
1.14
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
1.56
1.39
1.62
1.62
1.50
1.20
vs Weaker (12)
1.83
1.17
1.50
1.25
2.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (ASIL Lysi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ASIL Lysi
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.70
1.13
1.40
1.13
2.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.90
1.55
1.00
1.22
0.82
1.82
vs Weaker (10)
1.60
2.00
1.33
1.67
2.00
2.50
Clean sheet %
23% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Digenis Morphou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
81.7%
Under 1.5
18.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
58.6%
Under 2.5
41.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
36.2%
Under 3.5
63.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
60.1%
No
39.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
7.9%
1-0
7.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-1
5.9%
0-0
5.8%
Digenis Morphou goals ↓
ASIL Lysi goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.8%
4.8%
3.6%
1.5%
0.4%
1
7.6%
12%
6.5%
2.6%
0.8%
2
7.9%
9.7%
5.9%
2.4%
0.7%
3
4.8%
5.9%
3.6%
1.5%
0.4%
4
2.2%
2.7%
1.6%
0.7%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Digenis Morphou goals (down), columns = ASIL Lysi goals (across).
Advertisement
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ethnikos Achna
2.66
Akritas
2.54
Enosis
2.44
PAEEK
1.59
Halkanoras
1.55
Doxa
1.45
Ayia Napa
1.41
Ermis
1.37
Polemidion
1.37
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.37
APEA
1.34
Spartakos Kitiou
1.34
Digenis Morphou
1.34
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1.28
ASIL Lysi
1.07
MEAP Nisou
1.00
Digenis Morphou is 0.28 points better than ASIL Lysi in terms of average points per game (1.34 vs 1.07).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ethnikos Achna
2.62
Akritas
2.50
Enosis
2.40
Halkanoras
1.62
Digenis Morphou
1.55
PAEEK
1.45
Ayia Napa
1.45
Spartakos Kitiou
1.45
Ermis
1.35
Polemidion
1.35
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.35
APEA
1.31
Doxa
1.17
ASIL Lysi
1.10
MEAP Nisou
1.07
Iraklis Yerolakkou
0.93
Digenis Morphou is 0.45 goals better than ASIL Lysi in terms of goals scored per game (1.55 vs 1.10).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ethnikos Achna
0.70
Akritas
0.73
Enosis
0.76
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1.03
PAEEK
1.07
Doxa
1.21
Spartakos Kitiou
1.24
Halkanoras
1.28
APEA
1.31
Digenis Morphou
1.31
Ermis
1.35
Polemidion
1.35
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.35
Ayia Napa
1.48
ASIL Lysi
1.72
MEAP Nisou
1.72
Digenis Morphou is 0.41 goals better than ASIL Lysi in terms of goals conceded per game (1.31 vs 1.72).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Digenis Morphou or Draw
75.4%
Avg Implied -
50%
25%
25%
covers Digenis Morphou + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou or ASIL Lysi
74.9%
Avg Implied -
50%
25%
25%
covers Digenis Morphou + ASIL Lysi
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or ASIL Lysi
49.7%
Avg Implied -
50%
25%
25%
covers Draw + ASIL Lysi
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Advertisement
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Digenis Morphou over/under 0.5
Over
83.8%
Under
16.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou over/under 1.5
Over
54.2%
Under
45.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou over/under 2.5
Over
27.4%
Under
72.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou over/under 3.5
Over
11.2%
Under
88.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ASIL Lysi over/under 0.5
Over
70.5%
Under
29.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ASIL Lysi over/under 1.5
Over
34.5%
Under
65.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ASIL Lysi over/under 2.5
Over
12.5%
Under
87.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ASIL Lysi over/under 3.5
Over
3.6%
Under
96.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Digenis Morphou, so a minus line means Digenis Morphou give that many goals of a start and ASIL Lysi receive them. At -1, Digenis Morphou must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Digenis Morphou win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Digenis Morphou)
Digenis Morphou -2
13.0%
Draw -2
15.6%
ASIL Lysi +2
71.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Digenis Morphou)
Digenis Morphou -1
28.7%
Draw -1
21.6%
ASIL Lysi +1
49.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Digenis Morphou)
Digenis Morphou +1
75.4%
Draw +1
14.2%
ASIL Lysi -1
10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Digenis Morphou)
Digenis Morphou +2
89.6%
Draw +2
7.1%
ASIL Lysi -2
3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Digenis Morphou
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.63
0.44
0.75
0.64
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
0.28
0.67
0.12
0.88
0.40
0.50
vs Weaker (12)
0.92
0.58
0.75
0.62
1.25
0.50
Clean sheet %
57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (ASIL Lysi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ASIL Lysi
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.73
0.33
0.73
0.80
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.40
0.60
0.22
0.56
0.55
0.64
vs Weaker (10)
0.90
1.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Digenis Morphou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Digenis Morphou over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ASIL Lysi over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ASIL Lysi over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ASIL Lysi over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Digenis Morphou
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.67
1.12
0.69
1.14
0.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
1.28
0.72
1.50
0.75
1.10
0.70
vs Weaker (12)
0.92
0.58
0.75
0.62
1.25
0.50
Clean sheet %
37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (ASIL Lysi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ASIL Lysi
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.97
0.80
0.67
0.33
1.27
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.50
0.95
0.78
0.67
0.27
1.18
vs Weaker (10)
0.70
1.00
0.83
0.67
0.50
1.50
Clean sheet %
50% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Digenis Morphou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Digenis Morphou over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ASIL Lysi over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ASIL Lysi over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ASIL Lysi over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Advertisement
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
96.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
96.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
91.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
89.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
88.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
87.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
83.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
81.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
80.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
74.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
72.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
71.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Cyprus: 2. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 2. Division stats & trends →