Digenis Morphou are clear favourites, with the model assigning a 70% chance of a home win, 18% for a draw and 12% for Halkanoras to triumph. The prediction favours a 2-0 victory for Digenis, the most likely scoreline at 10% probability, while the expected total of 3.4 goals points to a 3-goal match. Digenis have scored an average of 1.5 goals and conceded 1.25 at home against weaker opposition, whereas Halkanoras, playing away against stronger teams, have netted 1.57 and allowed 1.21. The model’s selections echo this dominance: Away under 3.5 goals (98.4%), Under 7.5 (97.6%), Home +2 handicap (96.0%), Under 6.5 (94.1%), Away under 2.5 goals (93.0%), Home over 0.5 goals (91.5%), Home or Draw (88.3%) and Home +1 handicap (88.3%). Recent form shows Digenis emerging from a draw, while Halkanoras remain unbeaten in their last five. The venue advantage and scoring trends give Digenis a decisive edge.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Digenis Morphou win
65.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
20.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Halkanoras win
14.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Digenis Morphou
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
1.30
1.56
1.44
1.79
1.14
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
1.56
1.39
1.62
1.62
1.50
1.20
vs Weaker (12)
1.83
1.17
1.50
1.25
2.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Halkanoras) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Halkanoras
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.80
1.23
2.07
1.20
1.53
1.27
vs Stronger (28)
1.86
1.18
2.14
1.14
1.57
1.21
vs Similar (2)
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Digenis Morphou) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
84.2%
Under 1.5
15.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
62.8%
Under 2.5
37.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
40.6%
Under 3.5
59.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
56.8%
No
43.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.6%
1-0
8.0%
3-0
7.5%
3-1
7.4%
0-0
4.8%
2-2
4.8%
Digenis Morphou goals ↓
Halkanoras goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.8%
3.0%
1.9%
0.6%
0.2%
1
8.0%
9.6%
4.3%
1.4%
0.3%
2
10%
9.8%
4.8%
1.6%
0.4%
3
7.5%
7.4%
3.6%
1.2%
0.3%
4
4.3%
4.2%
2.0%
0.7%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Digenis Morphou goals (down), columns = Halkanoras goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ethnikos Achna
2.66
Akritas
2.54
Enosis
2.44
PAEEK
1.59
Halkanoras
1.55
Doxa
1.45
Ayia Napa
1.41
Ermis
1.37
Polemidion
1.37
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.37
APEA
1.34
Spartakos Kitiou
1.34
Digenis Morphou
1.34
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1.28
ASIL Lysi
1.07
MEAP Nisou
1.00
Digenis Morphou is 0.21 points worse than Halkanoras in terms of average points per game (1.34 vs 1.55).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ethnikos Achna
2.62
Akritas
2.50
Enosis
2.40
Halkanoras
1.62
Digenis Morphou
1.55
PAEEK
1.45
Ayia Napa
1.45
Spartakos Kitiou
1.45
Ermis
1.35
Polemidion
1.35
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.35
APEA
1.31
Doxa
1.17
ASIL Lysi
1.10
MEAP Nisou
1.07
Iraklis Yerolakkou
0.93
Digenis Morphou is 0.07 goals worse than Halkanoras in terms of goals scored per game (1.55 vs 1.62).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ethnikos Achna
0.70
Akritas
0.73
Enosis
0.76
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1.03
PAEEK
1.07
Doxa
1.21
Spartakos Kitiou
1.24
Halkanoras
1.28
APEA
1.31
Digenis Morphou
1.31
Ermis
1.35
Polemidion
1.35
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.35
Ayia Napa
1.48
ASIL Lysi
1.72
MEAP Nisou
1.72
Digenis Morphou is 0.03 goals worse than Halkanoras in terms of goals conceded per game (1.31 vs 1.28).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Digenis Morphou or Draw
85.9%
Avg Implied -
65%
21%
14%
covers Digenis Morphou + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou or Halkanoras
79.5%
Avg Implied -
65%
21%
14%
covers Digenis Morphou + Halkanoras
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Halkanoras
34.6%
Avg Implied -
65%
21%
14%
covers Draw + Halkanoras
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Digenis Morphou over/under 0.5
Over
89.5%
Under
10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou over/under 1.5
Over
65.9%
Under
34.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou over/under 2.5
Over
39.3%
Under
60.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou over/under 3.5
Over
19.2%
Under
80.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Halkanoras over/under 0.5
Over
62.4%
Under
37.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Halkanoras over/under 1.5
Over
25.6%
Under
74.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Halkanoras over/under 2.5
Over
7.6%
Under
92.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Halkanoras over/under 3.5
Over
1.8%
Under
98.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Digenis Morphou, so a minus line means Digenis Morphou give that many goals of a start and Halkanoras receive them. At -1, Digenis Morphou must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Digenis Morphou win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Digenis Morphou)
Digenis Morphou -2
23.4%
Draw -2
19.8%
Halkanoras +2
56.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Digenis Morphou)
Digenis Morphou -1
43.2%
Draw -1
22.2%
Halkanoras +1
34.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Digenis Morphou)
Digenis Morphou +1
85.9%
Draw +1
9.1%
Halkanoras -1
5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Digenis Morphou)
Digenis Morphou +2
95.0%
Draw +2
3.7%
Halkanoras -2
1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Digenis Morphou
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.63
0.44
0.75
0.64
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
0.28
0.67
0.12
0.88
0.40
0.50
vs Weaker (12)
0.92
0.58
0.75
0.62
1.25
0.50
Clean sheet %
57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Halkanoras) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Halkanoras
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.77
0.73
0.80
0.67
0.73
vs Stronger (28)
0.71
0.71
0.71
0.79
0.71
0.64
vs Similar (2)
0.50
1.50
1.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Digenis Morphou) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Digenis Morphou over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Halkanoras over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Halkanoras over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Halkanoras over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Digenis Morphou
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.67
1.12
0.69
1.14
0.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
1.28
0.72
1.50
0.75
1.10
0.70
vs Weaker (12)
0.92
0.58
0.75
0.62
1.25
0.50
Clean sheet %
37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Halkanoras) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Halkanoras
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.47
1.33
0.40
0.87
0.53
vs Stronger (28)
1.14
0.46
1.43
0.36
0.86
0.57
vs Similar (2)
0.50
0.50
0.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Digenis Morphou) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Digenis Morphou over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Halkanoras over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Halkanoras over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Halkanoras over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Away under 3.5 goals
98.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 7.5
98.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
95.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
95.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
92.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
89.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
89.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
85.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
85.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
84.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
80.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
79.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
74.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Cyprus: 2. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 2. Division stats & trends →