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Digenis Morphou vs MEAP Nisou Result & Analysis

Date: 20/09/2024
Time: 15:00
Final 2-1
Digenis Morphou
Digenis Morphou
Vs
42%
29%
29%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
MEAP Nisou
MEAP Nisou
Cyprus: 2. Division
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Digenis Morphou are the clear favourites, with a 42% chance of victory, a 29% chance of a draw and a 29% chance of a MEAP Nisou win. The model expects 2.5 goals on average, with the most likely total being 2 goals at 27%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.9% probability. Digenis, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, averages 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded, while MEAP Nisou on the road averages 1.31 scored and 1.38 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 3.5 goals at 75% and Over 1.5 goals at 73.2%. The home win probability is 42%, the draw probability 29% and the away win probability 29%. All figures are taken directly from the model’s output.

Results analysis

The Pythia model’s prediction proved accurate as Digenis Morphou secured a 2-1 home win, extending their recent form with a draw and a win in the last five matches. The model’s favourite was a Home win, assigned a 42% probability, and it was correct. The total-goals market also hit its mark: the model’s Under 3.5 selection, at 75% probability, was fulfilled, while the Over 1.5 pick, with a 73.2% chance, also landed. The most likely scoreline of 1-1, at 13.9%, did not materialise, but the overall outcome matched the model’s forecast, underscoring its reliability for this fixture.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Digenis Morphou win✓ Hit
41.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
MEAP Nisou win✗ Miss
29.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Digenis MorphouDigenis Morphou

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-433D01L43W21W30W20W21W13L10W10WH·PAE24/02A·AKR02/03A·ENA09/03H·AHI16/03A·ERM30/03A·MEA07/04H·XYL14/04A·PAE20/04H·AKR27/04H·DOX14/09
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.400.971.471.131.330.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.331.001.401.601.290.57
vs Weaker (18)1.440.941.500.901.381.00
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (MEAP Nisou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MEAP NisouMEAP Nisou

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D11D11D10W11D02L21W52W03L32WH·XYL24/02A·PAE02/03A·AKR09/03H·ENA16/03A·AHI31/03H·DIG07/04A·ERM14/04A·XYL20/04H·PAE27/04H·HAL15/09
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.330.871.401.271.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)1.081.200.831.001.311.38
vs Weaker (5)1.002.001.003.001.000.50
Clean sheet %20% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Digenis Morphou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%222%314%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.2%
Under 1.5
26.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
46.5%
Under 2.5
53.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.0%
Under 3.5
75.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.4%
No
47.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%
1-0
9.8%
0-0
9.2%
2-1 ✓
8.8%
0-1
7.8%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
5.1%
Digenis Morphou goals ↓
MEAP Nisou goals →
01234
09.2%7.8%5.1%1.9%0.6%
19.8%14%7.2%2.7%0.8%
27.7%8.8%5.0%1.9%0.5%
33.6%4.1%2.3%0.9%0.3%
41.3%1.4%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Digenis Morphou goals (down), columns = MEAP Nisou goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Krasava Ypsonas
2.14
Olympiakos
1.97
Akritas
1.86
AE Zakakiou
1.72
Digenis Morphou
1.69
ASIL Lysi
1.48
Doxa
1.38
Spartakos Kitiou
1.31
Ayia Napa
1.31
Halkanoras
1.28
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.24
MEAP Nisou
1.24
PAEEK
1.21
Othellos
1.07
Ahironas / Onisilos
1.00
Peyia
0.86
Digenis Morphou is 0.45 points better than MEAP Nisou in terms of average points per game (1.69 vs 1.24).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Digenis Morphou
1.76
Halkanoras
1.72
Spartakos Kitiou
1.66
Akritas
1.66
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.59
Olympiakos
1.59
Krasava Ypsonas
1.59
Doxa
1.55
AE Zakakiou
1.31
ASIL Lysi
1.24
PAEEK
1.24
Ahironas / Onisilos
1.24
MEAP Nisou
1.21
Othellos
1.14
Ayia Napa
0.97
Peyia
0.72
Digenis Morphou is 0.55 goals better than MEAP Nisou in terms of goals scored per game (1.76 vs 1.21).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Krasava Ypsonas
0.59
Olympiakos
0.66
Akritas
1.00
AE Zakakiou
1.07
MEAP Nisou
1.21
Doxa
1.31
ASIL Lysi
1.34
PAEEK
1.34
Ayia Napa
1.41
Othellos
1.41
Digenis Morphou
1.55
Spartakos Kitiou
1.66
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.72
Halkanoras
1.76
Peyia
2.07
Ahironas / Onisilos
2.07
Digenis Morphou is 0.34 goals worse than MEAP Nisou in terms of goals conceded per game (1.55 vs 1.21).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Digenis MorphouDigenis Morphou

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W20W23L00D21W10W10W02L00D00DH·MEA11/02A·XYL18/02H·PAE24/02A·AKR02/03H·AHI16/03A·ERM30/03A·MEA07/04A·PAE20/04H·AKR27/04H·DOX14/09
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.640.390.790.500.500.29
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.670.250.800.200.570.29
vs Weaker (16)0.620.500.780.670.430.29
Clean sheet %71% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (MEAP Nisou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MEAP NisouMEAP Nisou

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L00D10W01L00D00D01L01L40W03LA·DIG11/02H·ERM17/02H·XYL24/02A·PAE02/03A·AKR09/03H·ENA16/03A·AHI31/03H·DIG07/04A·XYL20/04H·PAE27/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.700.400.930.530.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.540.580.460.690.620.46
vs Weaker (4)0.001.500.002.500.000.50
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Digenis Morphou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Digenis Morphou over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MEAP Nisou over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MEAP Nisou over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MEAP Nisou over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Digenis MorphouDigenis Morphou

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W00D10W01L00D20W10W11D10W10WH·MEA11/02A·XYL18/02H·PAE24/02A·AKR02/03H·AHI16/03A·ERM30/03A·MEA07/04A·PAE20/04H·AKR27/04H·DOX14/09
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.640.500.640.640.640.36
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.670.750.601.400.710.29
vs Weaker (16)0.620.310.670.220.570.43
Clean sheet %64% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (MEAP Nisou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MEAP NisouMEAP Nisou

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L00D01L10W11D10W10W01L12L00DA·DIG11/02H·ERM17/02H·XYL24/02A·PAE02/03A·AKR09/03H·ENA16/03A·AHI31/03H·DIG07/04A·XYL20/04H·PAE27/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.670.530.600.670.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.620.690.620.540.620.85
vs Weaker (4)0.500.500.001.001.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Digenis Morphou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Digenis Morphou over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MEAP Nisou over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MEAP Nisou over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MEAP Nisou over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.575.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.573.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OLY (14)
€4m
KY (20)
€4m
AKR (5)
€1m
DOX (1)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KY (8)
€2m
OLY (4)
€1m
AKR (2)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KY (4)
€0m
OLY (2)
€0m
AKR (0)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OLY (8)
€2m
KY (8)
€1m
AKR (3)
€1m
DOX (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
2
DM wins
1
Draws
0
MN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Digenis Morphou vs MEAP Nisou · H/A from DM
DateH/AGameScore
07/04/24AMEAP Nisou Vs DM0-2
11/02/24HDM Vs MEAP Nisou3-1
23/09/23AMEAP Nisou Vs DM0-0

Digenis MorphouDigenis Morphou

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/09/24HDM Vs Doxa1-0
27/04/24HDM Vs Akritas1-0
20/04/24APAEEK Vs DM3-1
14/04/24HDM Vs Xylotympou2-1
07/04/24AMEAP Nisou Vs DM0-2
30/03/24AErmis Vs DM0-3
16/03/24HDM Vs Ahironas / Onisilos2-1
09/03/24AENAD Vs DM3-4
02/03/24AAkritas Vs DM1-0
24/02/24HDM Vs PAEEK3-3

MEAP NisouMEAP Nisou

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/09/24HMN Vs Halkanoras3-2
27/04/24HMN Vs PAEEK0-3
20/04/24AXylotympou Vs MN2-5
14/04/24AErmis Vs MN1-2
07/04/24HMN Vs Digenis Morphou0-2
31/03/24AAhironas / Onisilos Vs MN1-1
16/03/24HMN Vs ENAD1-0
09/03/24AAkritas Vs MN1-1
02/03/24APAEEK Vs MN1-1
24/02/24HMN Vs Xylotympou1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Digenis Morphou
Digenis Morphou
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWW1.80
HomeDWWWW1.93
AwayLWWWL1.67
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %53%60%47%
AVG goals2.372.602.13
Over 1.5 %63%67%60%
Over 2.5 %50%60%40%
Over 3.5 %20%20%20%
Scored1.401.471.33
Conceded0.971.130.80
BTTS37%47%27%
Clean Sheet47%33%60%
Corners---
Cards---
MEAP Nisou
MEAP Nisou
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWLW1.00
HomeDWLLW0.72
AwayDDDWW1.28
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%16%36%
AVG goals2.402.442.36
Over 1.5 %58%64%52%
Over 2.5 %40%44%36%
Over 3.5 %24%24%24%
Scored0.900.801.00
Conceded1.501.641.36
BTTS42%40%44%
Clean Sheet20%16%24%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Krasava YpsonasKrasava Ypsonas2962
66%
2.1
4617+29
2.2
59%
38%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2011.60.6
-
2OlympiakosOlympiakos2957
59%
2.0
4619+27
2.2
72%
41%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1021.60.7
-
3AkritasAkritas2954
59%
1.9
4829+19
2.7
69%
52%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.71.0
-
4AE ZakakiouAE Zakakiou2950
52%
1.7
3831+7
2.4
72%
38%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.1
-
5Digenis MorphouDigenis Morphou2949
52%
1.7
5145+6
3.3
83%
69%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.6
-
6ASIL LysiASIL Lysi2943
45%
1.5
3639-3
2.6
83%
55%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.3
-
7DoxaDoxa2940
41%
1.4
4538+7
2.9
72%
55%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.3
-
8Spartakos KitiouSpartakos Kitiou2938
41%
1.3
4848+0
3.3
72%
66%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.7
-
9Ayia NapaAyia Napa2938
38%
1.3
2841-13
2.4
66%
48%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.4
-
10HalkanorasHalkanoras2937
38%
1.3
5051-1
3.5
86%
72%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.8
-
11MEAP NisouMEAP Nisou2936
34%
1.2
3535+0
2.4
72%
41%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.2
-
12Anagennisi DeryneiaAnagennisi Deryneia2936
34%
1.2
4650-4
3.3
76%
69%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.7
-
13PAEEKPAEEK2935
31%
1.2
3639-3
2.6
76%
52%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.3
-
14OthellosOthellos2931
31%
1.1
3341-8
2.6
66%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.4
-
15Ahironas / OnisilosAhironas / Onisilos2929
31%
1.0
3660-24
3.3
79%
72%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.1
-
16PeyiaPeyia2925
24%
0.9
2160-39
2.8
69%
52%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
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Cyprus: 2. Division 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 2. Division stats & trends →

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