Digenis Morphou are the clear favourites, with a 42% chance of victory, a 29% chance of a draw and a 29% chance of a MEAP Nisou win. The model expects 2.5 goals on average, with the most likely total being 2 goals at 27%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.9% probability. Digenis, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, averages 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded, while MEAP Nisou on the road averages 1.31 scored and 1.38 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 3.5 goals at 75% and Over 1.5 goals at 73.2%. The home win probability is 42%, the draw probability 29% and the away win probability 29%. All figures are taken directly from the model’s output.
Results analysis
The Pythia model’s prediction proved accurate as Digenis Morphou secured a 2-1 home win, extending their recent form with a draw and a win in the last five matches. The model’s favourite was a Home win, assigned a 42% probability, and it was correct. The total-goals market also hit its mark: the model’s Under 3.5 selection, at 75% probability, was fulfilled, while the Over 1.5 pick, with a 73.2% chance, also landed. The most likely scoreline of 1-1, at 13.9%, did not materialise, but the overall outcome matched the model’s forecast, underscoring its reliability for this fixture.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Digenis Morphou win✓ Hit
41.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
MEAP Nisou win✗ Miss
29.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Digenis Morphou
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
0.97
1.47
1.13
1.33
0.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
1.33
1.00
1.40
1.60
1.29
0.57
vs Weaker (18)
1.44
0.94
1.50
0.90
1.38
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (MEAP Nisou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
MEAP Nisou
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.33
0.87
1.40
1.27
1.27
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
1.08
1.20
0.83
1.00
1.31
1.38
vs Weaker (5)
1.00
2.00
1.00
3.00
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
20% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Digenis Morphou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.2%
Under 1.5
26.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
46.5%
Under 2.5
53.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.0%
Under 3.5
75.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.4%
No
47.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%
1-0
9.8%
0-0
9.2%
2-1 ✓
8.8%
0-1
7.8%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
5.1%
Digenis Morphou goals ↓
MEAP Nisou goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.2%
7.8%
5.1%
1.9%
0.6%
1
9.8%
14%
7.2%
2.7%
0.8%
2
7.7%
8.8%
5.0%
1.9%
0.5%
3
3.6%
4.1%
2.3%
0.9%
0.3%
4
1.3%
1.4%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Digenis Morphou goals (down), columns = MEAP Nisou goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Krasava Ypsonas
2.14
Olympiakos
1.97
Akritas
1.86
AE Zakakiou
1.72
Digenis Morphou
1.69
ASIL Lysi
1.48
Doxa
1.38
Spartakos Kitiou
1.31
Ayia Napa
1.31
Halkanoras
1.28
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.24
MEAP Nisou
1.24
PAEEK
1.21
Othellos
1.07
Ahironas / Onisilos
1.00
Peyia
0.86
Digenis Morphou is 0.45 points better than MEAP Nisou in terms of average points per game (1.69 vs 1.24).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Digenis Morphou
1.76
Halkanoras
1.72
Spartakos Kitiou
1.66
Akritas
1.66
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.59
Olympiakos
1.59
Krasava Ypsonas
1.59
Doxa
1.55
AE Zakakiou
1.31
ASIL Lysi
1.24
PAEEK
1.24
Ahironas / Onisilos
1.24
MEAP Nisou
1.21
Othellos
1.14
Ayia Napa
0.97
Peyia
0.72
Digenis Morphou is 0.55 goals better than MEAP Nisou in terms of goals scored per game (1.76 vs 1.21).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Krasava Ypsonas
0.59
Olympiakos
0.66
Akritas
1.00
AE Zakakiou
1.07
MEAP Nisou
1.21
Doxa
1.31
ASIL Lysi
1.34
PAEEK
1.34
Ayia Napa
1.41
Othellos
1.41
Digenis Morphou
1.55
Spartakos Kitiou
1.66
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.72
Halkanoras
1.76
Peyia
2.07
Ahironas / Onisilos
2.07
Digenis Morphou is 0.34 goals worse than MEAP Nisou in terms of goals conceded per game (1.55 vs 1.21).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Digenis Morphou
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.64
0.39
0.79
0.50
0.50
0.29
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
0.67
0.25
0.80
0.20
0.57
0.29
vs Weaker (16)
0.62
0.50
0.78
0.67
0.43
0.29
Clean sheet %
71% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (MEAP Nisou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
MEAP Nisou
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.70
0.40
0.93
0.53
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.54
0.58
0.46
0.69
0.62
0.46
vs Weaker (4)
0.00
1.50
0.00
2.50
0.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Digenis Morphou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Digenis Morphou over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MEAP Nisou over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MEAP Nisou over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MEAP Nisou over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Digenis Morphou
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.64
0.50
0.64
0.64
0.64
0.36
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
0.67
0.75
0.60
1.40
0.71
0.29
vs Weaker (16)
0.62
0.31
0.67
0.22
0.57
0.43
Clean sheet %
64% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (MEAP Nisou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
MEAP Nisou
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.67
0.53
0.60
0.67
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.62
0.69
0.62
0.54
0.62
0.85
vs Weaker (4)
0.50
0.50
0.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Digenis Morphou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Digenis Morphou over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MEAP Nisou over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MEAP Nisou over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MEAP Nisou over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
75.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
73.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Cyprus: 2. Division 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 2. Division stats & trends →