Dinamo Brest is expected to emerge victorious against FC Isloch Minsk R., with a 52% chance of winning at home. The match is likely to be a closely contested one, with a 25% probability of a draw and a 23% chance of FC Isloch Minsk R. winning. The expected total number of goals is 2.9, with the most likely score being 2 goals in total.
Dinamo Brest has been in excellent form at home, scoring an average of 2.14 goals and conceding 1.14, particularly against stronger opponents. FC Isloch Minsk R. has also been performing well away from home, scoring 2 goals on average and conceding 0.8, especially against weaker opponents. The model's selection is the Home win, with the most likely score being 1-1, occurring with a probability of 11.9%.
The model also suggests selecting Under 21.5 fouls (100% probability), Under 9.5 corners (100% probability), and Over 1.5 goals (80% probability). Dinamo Brest has a 52% chance of winning, a 25% chance of drawing, and a 23% chance of losing. The suggested picks have the following probabilities: Under 21.5 fouls (100%), Under 9.5 corners (100%), and Over 1.5 (80%).
The upset of the day came when FC Isloch Minsk R. defeated Dinamo Brest 1-2, extending their run of form. This result was a surprise, as the pre-match favourite, a home win, did not come through. The model's selection, a home win, was incorrect, with a pre-match probability of 54%. The model's call was wrong.
In addition to the home win, the model suggested two other selections: Over 1.5 goals, which hit, and Over 21.5 fouls, which also hit, both with probabilities of 79.7% and 74.7% respectively.
Dinamo Brest| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.60 | 0.97 | 2.07 | 0.73 | 1.13 | 1.20 |
| vs Stronger (3) | 0.33 | 2.67 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 0.50 | 3.00 |
| vs Similar (25) | 1.68 | 0.84 | 2.15 | 0.69 | 1.17 | 1.00 |
| vs Weaker (2) | 2.50 | 0.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 40% (+8pp vs league) | |||||
FC Isloch Minsk R.| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.60 | 0.90 | 1.71 | 0.64 | 1.50 | 1.12 |
| vs Stronger (4) | 1.00 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 1.50 | 1.00 | 2.50 |
| vs Similar (20) | 1.70 | 0.80 | 2.11 | 0.67 | 1.36 | 0.91 |
| vs Weaker (6) | 1.67 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2.33 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 50% (+18pp vs league) | |||||
| FC Isloch Minsk R. goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 8.9% | 12% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| 2 | 9.1% | 9.8% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| 3 | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Dinamo Brest
FC Isloch Minsk R.
Dinamo Brest| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 10.5 | 10.0 | 11.0 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 2.8 | 28.5 | 24.0 | 33.0 |
| vs Stronger (5) | - | - | - | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (42) | 10.5 | 10.0 | 11.0 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 2.9 | 28.5 | 24.0 | 33.0 |
| vs Weaker (3) | - | - | - | 1.7 | 1.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - |
| % over line | 100% | 100% | 100% | 28% | 15% | 42% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| % under line | 0% | 0% | 0% | 72% | 85% | 58% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
FC Isloch Minsk R.| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 8.5 | - | 8.5 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 25.0 | - | 25.0 |
| vs Stronger (6) | - | - | - | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.3 | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (35) | 9.0 | - | 9.0 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 26.0 | - | 26.0 |
| vs Weaker (9) | 8.0 | - | 8.0 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.7 | 24.0 | - | 24.0 |
| % over line | 0% | - | 0% | 26% | 29% | 23% | 100% | - | 100% |
| % under line | 100% | - | 100% | 74% | 71% | 77% | 0% | - | 0% |
Dinamo Brest| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.90 | 0.30 | 1.13 | 0.20 | 0.67 | 0.40 |
| vs Stronger (3) | 0.33 | 0.67 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| vs Similar (25) | 0.88 | 0.28 | 1.15 | 0.15 | 0.58 | 0.42 |
| vs Weaker (2) | 2.00 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 70% (+38pp vs league) | |||||
FC Isloch Minsk R.| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.73 | 0.43 | 0.86 | 0.29 | 0.62 | 0.56 |
| vs Stronger (4) | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| vs Similar (20) | 0.75 | 0.40 | 1.00 | 0.33 | 0.55 | 0.45 |
| vs Weaker (6) | 1.17 | 0.17 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.33 | 0.33 |
| Clean sheet % | 63% (+32pp vs league) | |||||
Dinamo Brest| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.70 | 0.67 | 0.93 | 0.53 | 0.47 | 0.80 |
| vs Stronger (3) | 0.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2.50 |
| vs Similar (25) | 0.80 | 0.56 | 1.00 | 0.54 | 0.58 | 0.58 |
| vs Weaker (2) | 0.50 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 53% (+22pp vs league) | |||||
FC Isloch Minsk R.| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.87 | 0.47 | 0.86 | 0.36 | 0.88 | 0.56 |
| vs Stronger (4) | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (20) | 0.95 | 0.40 | 1.11 | 0.33 | 0.82 | 0.45 |
| vs Weaker (6) | 0.50 | 0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.67 |
| Clean sheet % | 63% (+32pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 cards | 92.7% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Over 19.5 fouls | 84.6% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Under 4.5 cards | 83.4% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Over 1.5 | 79.7% | 1.23 | 1.25 | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | +5.6% | ✓ Hit |
| Home or Draw | 78.8% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✗ Miss |
| Home or Away | 75.0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Under 11.5 corners | 73.3% | 1.47 | 1.48 | 1.46 | - | - | - | +11.2% | ✗ Miss |
| Over 21.5 fouls | 72.3% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10/25 | A | 1-1 | |
| 30/05/25 | H | 1-2 | |
| 04/08/24 | H | 3-2 | |
| 15/03/24 | A | 1-1 | |
| 12/08/23 | H | 0-1 | |
| 01/04/23 | A | 3-0 | |
| 13/08/22 | A | 1-2 | |
| 02/04/22 | H | 2-2 |
Dinamo Brest| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/26 | A | 0-1 | |
| 02/08/26 | H | 4-0 | |
| 11/07/26 | H | 4-1 | |
| 29/11/25 | A | 0-2 | |
| 23/11/25 | H | 0-2 | |
| 07/11/25 | A | 3-0 | |
| 31/10/25 | H | 1-0 | |
| 26/10/25 | A | 1-1 | |
| 17/10/25 | H | 2-1 | |
| 03/10/25 | A | 1-0 |
FC Isloch Minsk R.| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/26 | A | 3-4 | |
| 05/07/26 | A | 0-2 | |
| 29/11/25 | H | 2-0 | |
| 23/11/25 | A | 0-0 | |
| 09/11/25 | H | 0-0 | |
| 01/11/25 | A | 3-1 | |
| 26/10/25 | H | 1-1 | |
| 17/10/25 | A | 0-1 | |
| 05/10/25 | H | 0-0 | |
| 28/09/25 | A | 2-1 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | FC Vitebsk | 7 | 18 | 86% | 2.6 | 9 | 1 | +8 | 1.4 | 29% | 14% | 0% | 9.8 | 50% | 2.8 | 0% | 20.2 | 25% | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 46% |
| 2 | FC Isloch Minsk R. | 6 | 16 | 83% | 2.7 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 2.5 | 67% | 33% | 17% | 11.6 | 80% | 3.2 | 20% | 26.2 | 75% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 47% |
| 3 | Dinamo Brest | 6 | 10 | 50% | 1.7 | 12 | 7 | +5 | 3.2 | 83% | 67% | 50% | 11.0 | 100% | 3.4 | 40% | 27.8 | 100% | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 52% |
| 4 | Neman | 6 | 10 | 50% | 1.7 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 1.7 | 50% | 17% | 0% | 9.4 | 60% | 3.0 | 20% | 27.7 | 67% | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 58% |
| 5 | FC Minsk | 6 | 9 | 50% | 1.5 | 7 | 7 | +0 | 2.3 | 67% | 67% | 0% | 11.2 | 60% | 1.8 | 0% | 19.4 | 20% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 48% |
| 6 | Baranovichi | 7 | 9 | 29% | 1.3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 2.7 | 71% | 29% | 29% | 11.8 | 80% | 2.8 | 25% | 28.2 | 100% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 44% |
| 7 | FC Gomel | 6 | 8 | 33% | 1.3 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 1.8 | 33% | 17% | 17% | 11.8 | 75% | 3.2 | 50% | 28.7 | 100% | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 55% |
| 8 | ML Vitebsk | 4 | 8 | 50% | 2.0 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 2.0 | 75% | 25% | 25% | 13.2 | 100% | 3.8 | 75% | 27.8 | 75% | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 63% |
| 9 | Bate Borisov | 5 | 8 | 40% | 1.6 | 5 | 5 | +0 | 2.0 | 60% | 40% | 20% | 11.8 | 100% | 3.7 | 33% | 25.3 | 67% | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 46% |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 2.6 | 60% | 60% | 40% | 10.2 | 50% | 4.2 | 75% | 26.5 | 75% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 49% |
| 11 | Dinamo Minsk | 4 | 6 | 50% | 1.5 | 9 | 3 | +6 | 3.0 | 50% | 50% | 50% | 12.2 | 100% | 3.0 | 33% | 27.8 | 75% | 9 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 60% |
| 12 | Belshina | 6 | 6 | 17% | 1.0 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 2.2 | 83% | 17% | 17% | 11.4 | 80% | 2.6 | 40% | 21.8 | 60% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 43% |
| 13 | FC Dnepr Mogilev | 7 | 4 | 0% | 0.6 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 2.1 | 57% | 43% | 14% | 10.5 | 83% | 2.7 | 17% | 22.5 | 50% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 50% |
| 14 | Torpedo Zhodino | 6 | 4 | 17% | 0.7 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 2.3 | 50% | 33% | 33% | 10.2 | 75% | 3.2 | 75% | 30.5 | 100% | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 54% |
| 15 | Naftan | 6 | 4 | 17% | 0.7 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 4.2 | 100% | 67% | 50% | 10.2 | 60% | 1.8 | 0% | 21.4 | 20% | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | 3.0 | 43% |
| 16 | Arsenal (Belarus) | 7 | 3 | 14% | 0.4 | 5 | 17 | -12 | 3.1 | 86% | 71% | 29% | 8.1 | 14% | 1.6 | 14% | 20.2 | 33% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.7 | 2.4 | 48% |