Dinamo Brest face a finely balanced test against ML Vitebsk, with the model favouring a home win. The expected total is 2.4 goals, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 14.1% chance. Dinamo’s home form shows they average 0.0 goals scored and concede 2.0 against stronger opponents, while Vitebsk’s away form is more promising, scoring 1.5 and conceding only 0.58 against weaker sides. The probabilities for the match result are 41% for a Dinamo win, 30% for a draw, and 29% for a Vitebsk win. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.6%), Under 6.5 (98.8%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.1%), Away under 3.5 goals (97.5%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.9%), Under 5.5 (96.2%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (96.2%), and Away under 2.5 2H goals (95.9%). Both sides are coming off draws, Dinamo against Baranovichi and Vitebsk against Bate Borisov, adding to the uncertainty of the encounter.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, Dinamo Brest, failed to deliver, as the away side claimed a 3-1 victory. The model had tipped a home win with a 41% probability, but that call was wrong. The final score of 1-3 matched the actual result of an away win. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Under 7.5 (99.6%) hit, Under 6.5 (98.8%) hit, Away under 3.5 goals (97.5%) hit, Away under 2.5 HT goals (96.8%) hit, Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.6%) hit, Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.5%) hit, Under 5.5 (96.2%) hit, while Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.3%) missed. Dinamo’s recent form, coming off a defeat, and Vitebsk’s recent win, set the stage for the upset.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Dinamo Brest win✗ Miss
41.1%
Avg Implied 27.0% · @ 3.38
Edge
+14.1%
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
3.75
Pinnacle
3.52
1xBet
3.44
Dafabet
3.35
Superbet
3.35
Draw✗ Miss
29.7%
Avg Implied 28.6% · @ 3.20
Edge
+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
3.35
Pinnacle
3.29
1xBet
3.28
Dafabet
3.25
Superbet
3.25
ML Vitebsk win✓ Hit
29.2%
Avg Implied 44.4% · @ 2.06
Edge
-15.2%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
2.12
1xBet
2.12
William Hil
2.10
Dafabet
2.10
SBO
2.02
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Dinamo Brest
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.03
1.93
0.80
1.13
1.27
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
2.67
0.00
2.00
0.50
3.00
vs Similar (25)
1.60
0.92
2.00
0.77
1.17
1.08
vs Weaker (2)
2.50
0.00
3.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (ML Vitebsk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ML Vitebsk
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
0.57
1.75
0.50
1.36
0.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
1.00
0.50
1.50
0.00
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (26)
1.65
0.58
1.79
0.57
1.50
0.58
Clean sheet %
57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Brest) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.2%
@ 1.29+0.2%
Under 1.5
28.8%
@ 3.16-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.31
Pinnacle
1.31
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
Under
Pinnacle
3.20
Marathonbet
3.18
Superbet
3.15
1xBet
3.12
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
43.9%
@ 1.98-3.6%
Under 2.5
56.1%
@ 1.79+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.99
Pinnacle
1.99
Superbet
1.97
Marathonbet
1.95
Under
Marathonbet
1.82
Pinnacle
1.81
1xBet
1.79
Superbet
1.74
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
22.9%
@ 3.31-4.7%
Under 3.5
77.1%
@ 1.26+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.40
1xBet
3.30
Marathonbet
3.24
Under
Superbet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
1xBet
1.25
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.4%
@ 1.78-1.5%
No
49.6%
@ 1.92+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.80
Superbet
1.78
1xBet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.77
No
1xBet
1.94
Superbet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.92
William Hil
1.91
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%@ 5.82+6.6%
1-0
10.5%@ 9.32+5.8%
0-0
10.0%@ 8.62+4.9%
2-1
8.6%@ 11.39+4.8%
0-1
8.3%@ 6.88+1.9%
2-0
7.9%@ 16.84+5.3%
1-2
7.0%@ 8.53+1.9%
0-2
5.2%@ 9.51+0.6%
Dinamo Brest goals ↓
ML Vitebsk goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
8.3%
5.2%
1.9%
0.5%
1
10%
14%
7.0%
2.6%
0.7%
2
7.9%
8.6%
4.7%
1.7%
0.5%
3
3.5%
3.9%
2.1%
0.8%
0.2%
4
1.2%
1.3%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dinamo Brest goals (down), columns = ML Vitebsk goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Isloch Minsk R.
2.67
FC Vitebsk
2.57
ML Vitebsk
2.00
Neman
1.67
Dinamo Brest
1.67
Bate Borisov
1.60
Dinamo Minsk
1.50
FC Minsk
1.50
Slavia Mozyr
1.40
FC Gomel
1.33
Baranovichi
1.29
Belshina
1.00
Naftan
0.67
Torpedo Zhodino
0.67
FC Dnepr Mogilev
0.57
Arsenal (Belarus)
0.43
Dinamo Brest is 0.33 points worse than ML Vitebsk in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 2.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dinamo Minsk
2.25
Dinamo Brest
2.00
FC Isloch Minsk R.
1.83
ML Vitebsk
1.50
Slavia Mozyr
1.40
FC Gomel
1.33
Baranovichi
1.29
FC Vitebsk
1.29
Naftan
1.17
FC Minsk
1.17
Bate Borisov
1.00
Neman
1.00
Belshina
0.83
FC Dnepr Mogilev
0.71
Arsenal (Belarus)
0.71
Torpedo Zhodino
0.67
Dinamo Brest is 0.50 goals better than ML Vitebsk in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Vitebsk
0.14
ML Vitebsk
0.50
FC Gomel
0.50
FC Isloch Minsk R.
0.67
Neman
0.67
Dinamo Minsk
0.75
Bate Borisov
1.00
Dinamo Brest
1.17
FC Minsk
1.17
Slavia Mozyr
1.20
Belshina
1.33
FC Dnepr Mogilev
1.43
Baranovichi
1.43
Torpedo Zhodino
1.67
Arsenal (Belarus)
2.43
Naftan
3.00
Dinamo Brest is 0.67 goals worse than ML Vitebsk in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 0.50).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
ML Vitebsk
63%
Dinamo Minsk
60%
Neman
58%
FC Gomel
55%
Torpedo Zhodino
54%
Dinamo Brest
52%
FC Dnepr Mogilev
50%
Slavia Mozyr
49%
Arsenal (Belarus)
48%
FC Minsk
48%
FC Isloch Minsk R.
47%
Bate Borisov
46%
FC Vitebsk
46%
Baranovichi
44%
Belshina
43%
Naftan
43%
Dinamo Brest is 11.0 percentage points worse than ML Vitebsk in terms of average possession (52% vs 63%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Dinamo Brest
For 7.0 · Against 4.0 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 1.0 · Total 2.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 15.8 · Total 28.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
ML Vitebsk
For 5.8 · Against 5.2 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 17.5 · Against 19.2 · Total 36.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Dinamo Brest
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.0
11.5
10.5
2.5
2.2
2.8
28.5
27.5
29.5
vs Stronger (5)
-
-
-
2.0
2.0
2.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (42)
11.0
11.5
10.5
2.6
2.3
2.9
28.5
27.5
29.5
vs Weaker (3)
-
-
-
1.7
1.0
3.0
-
-
-
% over line
100%
100%
100%
28%
15%
42%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
0%
0%
0%
72%
85%
58%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (ML Vitebsk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ML Vitebsk
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.0
11.7
9.0
0.3
0.4
0.2
36.8
39.3
29.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
8.5
8.0
9.0
2.8
3.0
2.5
39.0
49.0
29.0
vs Weaker (46)
13.5
13.5
-
0.1
0.2
0.0
34.5
34.5
-
% over line
50%
67%
0%
6%
8%
4%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
50%
33%
100%
94%
92%
96%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Dinamo Brest) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FC Gomel
11.8
Slavia Mozyr
11.2
Bate Borisov
11.2
Baranovichi
11.2
ML Vitebsk
11.0
Dinamo Brest
11.0
Belshina
10.8
FC Isloch Minsk R.
10.8
Torpedo Zhodino
10.7
Dinamo Minsk
10.6
Naftan
10.0
FC Vitebsk
9.8
FC Dnepr Mogilev
9.7
Arsenal (Belarus)
9.0
FC Minsk
8.6
Neman
8.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Belshina
4.8
ML Vitebsk
4.0
Bate Borisov
3.6
Slavia Mozyr
3.4
Arsenal (Belarus)
3.3
Dinamo Minsk
3.2
FC Gomel
3.1
FC Vitebsk
3.1
Naftan
3.1
Neman
2.9
FC Minsk
2.9
FC Dnepr Mogilev
2.8
Dinamo Brest
2.8
FC Isloch Minsk R.
2.8
Baranovichi
2.8
Torpedo Zhodino
2.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
ML Vitebsk
36.8
Torpedo Zhodino
30.0
FC Gomel
28.7
Dinamo Brest
28.5
Bate Borisov
28.2
Baranovichi
27.8
FC Isloch Minsk R.
27.5
Dinamo Minsk
26.1
Slavia Mozyr
24.8
FC Dnepr Mogilev
23.2
Belshina
23.0
Naftan
21.5
FC Vitebsk
20.2
Arsenal (Belarus)
19.7
Neman
19.0
FC Minsk
17.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
66.5%
@ 1.68+11.8%
Under 9.5
33.5%
@ 2.03-11.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.68
Under
Marathonbet
2.03
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
30.8%
Under 3.5
69.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
84.1%
Under 21.5
15.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Dinamo Brest or Draw✗ Miss
70.8%
Avg Implied 55.4% · @ 1.68
Edge
+15.5%
41%
30%
29%
covers Dinamo Brest + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
1.78
William Hil
1.70
1xBet
1.68
Superbet
1.65
SBO
1.57
Dinamo Brest or ML Vitebsk✓ Hit
70.3%
Avg Implied 71.6% · @ 1.30
Edge
-1.3%
41%
30%
29%
covers Dinamo Brest + ML Vitebsk
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.33
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.30
Superbet
1.29
SBO
1.25
Draw or ML Vitebsk✓ Hit
58.9%
Avg Implied 73.1% · @ 1.27
Edge
-14.2%
41%
30%
29%
covers Draw + ML Vitebsk
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.29
Superbet
1.28
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.25
SBO
1.25
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Dinamo Brest over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
73.9%
@ 1.43+8.9%
Under
26.1%
@ 2.65-8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.45
Marathonbet
1.43
Superbet
1.42
1xBet
1.40
Under
1xBet
2.68
Superbet
2.67
Pinnacle
2.65
Marathonbet
2.58
Dinamo Brest over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
38.8%
@ 3.07+8.4%
Under
61.2%
@ 1.34-8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.22
1xBet
3.05
Superbet
2.95
Under
1xBet
1.35
Superbet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.32
Dinamo Brest over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
15.3%
@ 7.97+3.7%
Under
84.7%
@ 1.04-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.60
1xBet
8.00
Superbet
7.30
Under
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.03
Dinamo Brest over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.7%
Under
95.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ML Vitebsk over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
66.5%
@ 1.22-9.0%
Under
33.5%
@ 3.76+9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Under
1xBet
3.84
Marathonbet
3.74
Superbet
3.70
ML Vitebsk over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
29.9%
@ 2.11-14.6%
Under
70.1%
@ 1.69+14.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.16
Superbet
2.15
Pinnacle
2.09
Marathonbet
2.05
Under
Marathonbet
1.74
Pinnacle
1.71
1xBet
1.67
Superbet
1.63
ML Vitebsk over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
9.8%
@ 4.53-10.6%
Under
90.2%
@ 1.17+10.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.70
Superbet
4.60
Marathonbet
4.30
Under
Marathonbet
1.18
1xBet
1.16
Superbet
1.16
ML Vitebsk over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.5%
@ 10.30-6.4%
Under
97.5%
@ 1.01+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
11.00
Marathonbet
9.60
Under
Marathonbet
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Dinamo Brest, so a minus line means Dinamo Brest give that many goals of a start and ML Vitebsk receive them. At -1, Dinamo Brest must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Dinamo Brest win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Dinamo Brest)Actual: ML Vitebsk
Dinamo Brest -2
7.1%
Draw -2
12.5%
ML Vitebsk +2
80.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Dinamo Brest)Actual: ML Vitebsk
Dinamo Brest -1
19.6%
@ 8.10+8.5%
Draw -1
21.5%
@ 5.35+4.6%
ML Vitebsk +1
58.9%
@ 1.25-13.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
8.10
Draw
Marathonbet
5.35
Away
Marathonbet
1.25
Handicap +1 (Dinamo Brest)Actual: ML Vitebsk
Dinamo Brest +1
70.8%
@ 1.78+20.8%
Draw +1
17.3%
@ 3.64-7.2%
ML Vitebsk -1
11.9%
@ 3.50-13.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.78
Draw
Marathonbet
3.64
Away
Marathonbet
3.50
Handicap +2 (Dinamo Brest)Actual: Draw
Dinamo Brest +2
88.1%
@ 1.23+15.6%
Draw +2
8.3%
@ 5.75-7.2%
ML Vitebsk -2
3.6%
@ 7.40-8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.23
Draw
Marathonbet
5.75
Away
Marathonbet
7.40
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Dinamo Brest
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.37
1.07
0.33
0.67
0.40
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
0.67
0.00
1.00
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (25)
0.84
0.36
1.08
0.31
0.58
0.42
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (ML Vitebsk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ML Vitebsk
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.23
1.06
0.19
0.57
0.29
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
1.00
0.50
1.50
0.00
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (26)
0.81
0.19
1.00
0.21
0.58
0.17
Clean sheet %
80% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Brest) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
69.2%
@ 1.40+3.1%
Under 0.5
30.8%
@ 2.73-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.41
Superbet
1.40
Pinnacle
1.39
William Hil
1.36
Under
William Hil
2.80
Pinnacle
2.79
Superbet
2.72
Marathonbet
2.69
1xBet
2.65
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
32.2%
@ 2.84-0.2%
Under 1.5
67.8%
@ 1.37+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.89
Superbet
2.85
Marathonbet
2.85
Pinnacle
2.83
William Hil
2.80
Under
Pinnacle
1.38
Superbet
1.37
Marathonbet
1.37
William Hil
1.36
1xBet
1.36
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
11.7%
@ 7.15-1.1%
Under 2.5
88.3%
@ 1.05+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
7.50
1xBet
7.20
Marathonbet
7.00
Superbet
6.90
Under
William Hil
1.07
Superbet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dinamo Brest over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
38.3%
@ 2.43+0.2%
Under
61.7%
@ 1.49-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.48
Marathonbet
2.46
1xBet
2.40
Superbet
2.37
Under
Superbet
1.51
Pinnacle
1.50
1xBet
1.49
Marathonbet
1.47
Dinamo Brest over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
9.8%
@ 9.30-0.1%
Under
90.2%
@ 1.02+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.50
1xBet
9.10
Under
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
Dinamo Brest over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.5%
Under
96.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ML Vitebsk over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
46.2%
@ 1.91-2.2%
Under
53.8%
@ 1.79+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.95
1xBet
1.94
Pinnacle
1.89
Marathonbet
1.87
Under
Pinnacle
1.85
Marathonbet
1.81
Superbet
1.76
1xBet
1.75
ML Vitebsk over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
14.3%
@ 5.85-1.5%
Under
85.7%
@ 1.09+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.05
Marathonbet
5.65
Under
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.08
ML Vitebsk over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.2%
Under
96.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Dinamo Brest
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.67
0.87
0.47
0.47
0.87
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
2.50
vs Similar (25)
0.76
0.56
0.92
0.46
0.58
0.67
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (ML Vitebsk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ML Vitebsk
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.33
0.69
0.31
0.79
0.36
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (26)
0.85
0.38
0.79
0.36
0.92
0.42
Clean sheet %
70% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Brest) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
78.0%
@ 1.24+3.8%
Under 0.5
22.0%
@ 3.56-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.25
William Hil
1.25
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Under
Marathonbet
3.66
1xBet
3.64
Superbet
3.55
William Hil
3.40
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
42.5%
@ 2.18-0.3%
Under 1.5
57.5%
@ 1.62+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.20
Superbet
2.20
1xBet
2.18
Marathonbet
2.14
Under
Marathonbet
1.66
1xBet
1.64
William Hil
1.60
Superbet
1.60
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
18.1%
@ 4.72-1.4%
Under 2.5
81.9%
@ 1.15+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
5.00
Superbet
4.70
1xBet
4.65
Marathonbet
4.55
Under
Superbet
1.15
William Hil
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dinamo Brest over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
45.3%
@ 1.98-1.2%
Under
54.7%
@ 1.73+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.03
Superbet
1.97
1xBet
1.95
Under
1xBet
1.76
Superbet
1.74
Marathonbet
1.68
Dinamo Brest over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
13.7%
@ 6.28-1.0%
Under
86.3%
@ 1.08+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.65
1xBet
5.90
Under
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.07
Dinamo Brest over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.4%
Under
96.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ML Vitebsk over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
55.2%
@ 1.67-0.3%
Under
44.8%
@ 2.08+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.70
1xBet
1.64
Under
1xBet
2.12
Superbet
2.05
ML Vitebsk over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
19.5%
@ 4.03-3.3%
Under
80.5%
@ 1.19+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.10
Marathonbet
3.95
Under
Marathonbet
1.20
1xBet
1.18
ML Vitebsk over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
3.7%
Under
96.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.5%
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+6.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
96.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5
96.2%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+5.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
95.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
93.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
92.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
90.2%
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
-
-
-
+0.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
90.2%
1.17
Marathonbet
1.18
1xBet
1.16
Superbet
1.16
-
-
+10.6%
✗ Miss
Under 4.5
90.0%
1.06
Superbet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
-
-
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.3%
1.05
William Hil
1.07
Superbet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
-
+1.1%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
88.1%
1.23
Marathonbet
1.23
-
-
-
-
+15.6%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 2H goals
86.3%
1.08
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.07
-
-
-
+1.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
85.7%
1.09
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.08
-
-
-
+1.5%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
84.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals
84.7%
1.04
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.03
-
-
-3.7%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
84.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
81.9%
1.15
Superbet
1.15
William Hil
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
-
+1.4%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 2H goals
80.5%
1.19
Marathonbet
1.20
1xBet
1.18
-
-
-
+3.3%
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
80.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
78.0%
1.24
Superbet
1.25
William Hil
1.25
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
-
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
77.3%
1.38
Marathonbet
1.38
-
-
-
-
+11.3%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
77.1%
1.26
Superbet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
1xBet
1.25
-
-
+4.7%
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals
73.9%
1.43
Pinnacle
1.45
Marathonbet
1.43
Superbet
1.42
1xBet
1.40
-
+8.9%
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
72.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
71.2%
1.29
Superbet
1.31
Pinnacle
1.31
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
-
+0.2%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
70.8%
1.68
Marathonbet
1.78
William Hil
1.70
1xBet
1.68
Superbet
1.65
SBO
1.57
+15.5%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
70.3%
1.30
William Hil
1.33
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.30
Superbet
1.29
SBO
1.25
-1.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
70.1%
1.69
Marathonbet
1.74
Pinnacle
1.71
1xBet
1.67
Superbet
1.63
-
+14.6%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (26)
€14m
DM (27)
€9m
DB (23)
€7m
TZ (31)
€5m
BB (26)
€4m
SM (25)
€4m
FG (23)
€4m
NEM (28)
€4m
FIM (23)
€4m
FM (25)
€3m
FDM (25)
€3m
FV (24)
€3m
BAR (21)
€2m
NAF (21)
€2m
BEL (16)
€2m
A( (17)
€2m
Dinamo Brest's squad is €7m less valuable than ML Vitebsk's (€7m vs €14m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (9)
€6m
DM (8)
€3m
DB (5)
€2m
FG (8)
€2m
FV (13)
€2m
TZ (10)
€2m
BB (8)
€1m
FDM (9)
€1m
NEM (9)
€1m
FM (9)
€1m
FIM (8)
€1m
BAR (8)
€1m
SM (5)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
A( (5)
€1m
NAF (4)
€0m
Dinamo Brest's attack is €4m less valuable than ML Vitebsk's (€2m vs €6m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (6)
€3m
DM (8)
€2m
NEM (9)
€2m
TZ (7)
€2m
BB (9)
€2m
DB (5)
€1m
SM (10)
€1m
FIM (8)
€1m
NAF (9)
€1m
FG (5)
€1m
FDM (6)
€1m
FM (5)
€1m
BAR (4)
€0m
A( (5)
€0m
BEL (2)
€0m
FV (3)
€0m
Dinamo Brest's midfield is €1m less valuable than ML Vitebsk's (€1m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (11)
€5m
DM (11)
€3m
DB (13)
€3m
TZ (14)
€2m
SM (10)
€2m
FIM (7)
€2m
FM (11)
€1m
FG (10)
€1m
BB (9)
€1m
FDM (10)
€1m
FV (8)
€1m
BAR (9)
€1m
NEM (10)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
A( (7)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
Dinamo Brest's defence is €2m less valuable than ML Vitebsk's (€3m vs €5m).
Belarus: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belarus: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Vitebsk
FC Isloch Minsk R.
Neman
FC Minsk
Baranovichi
FC Gomel
Bate Borisov
Slavia Mozyr
Dinamo Minsk
Belshina
FC Dnepr Mogilev
Torpedo Zhodino
Naftan
Arsenal (Belarus)