Dinamo Makhachkala’s recent run of two straight defeats has left the home side looking tentative, while Baltika’s win over Rodina Moskva gives them a bright start to their away campaign. The model sees the match as finely balanced, with a 39% chance of a home win, a 28% chance of a draw and a 33% chance of an away win, favouring a Dinamo victory as the most likely result. The expected total of 2.8 goals points to a moderately high-scoring affair, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 13.2% probability. Dinamo, playing at home against a similarly-strengthened opponent, averages 1.29 goals scored and 1.14 conceded, whereas Baltika, on the road, averages 1.75 goals scored and only 0.62 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 11.5 corners at 99.8%, Under 10.5 corners at 99.3%, Under 7.5 at 99.2%, Under 9.5 corners at 98.3%, Under 6.5 at 97.6%, Under 8.5 corners at 96.0%, Away under 3.5 goals at 95.4%, and Home under 3.5 goals at 94.0%.
Advertisement
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Dinamo Makhachkala win
39.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
27.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Baltika win
33.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Dinamo Makhachkala
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
1.33
0.92
1.00
1.00
1.56
vs Stronger (13)
0.54
1.69
0.40
0.80
0.62
2.25
vs Similar (17)
1.29
1.06
1.29
1.14
1.30
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Baltika) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Baltika
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.87
1.18
0.88
1.08
0.85
vs Stronger (9)
0.78
1.11
0.80
0.80
0.75
1.50
vs Similar (18)
1.39
0.78
1.27
0.82
1.57
0.71
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.67
2.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Makhachkala) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
77.8%
Under 1.5
22.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
52.7%
Under 2.5
47.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
30.5%
Under 3.5
69.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
57.6%
No
42.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.1%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
7.9%
1-0
7.8%
0-0
7.4%
0-1
7.0%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
5.8%
Dinamo Makhachkala goals ↓
Baltika goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.4%
7.0%
5.4%
2.4%
0.8%
1
7.8%
13%
7.9%
3.5%
1.2%
2
6.6%
8.7%
5.8%
2.5%
0.8%
3
3.2%
4.2%
2.8%
1.2%
0.4%
4
1.2%
1.5%
1.0%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dinamo Makhachkala goals (down), columns = Baltika goals (across).
Advertisement
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Zenit
2.55
Volgar Astrakhan
2.33
Irkutsk
2.25
Broke Boys
2.25
Cherepovets
2.25
Kristall MEZ
2.25
Veles
2.25
Spartak Moscow
2.08
KDV
2.00
Dinamo Vologda
2.00
Luki-Energiya
2.00
Astrakhan
2.00
Tyumen
2.00
Rodina Moskva
2.00
Arsenal Tula
2.00
Enisey
2.00
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2.00
FC Krasnodar
1.92
CSKA Moscow
1.75
Torpedo Moskva
1.75
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.70
Lokomotiv
1.70
Chelyabinsk
1.67
Dynamo
1.58
Zenit Penza
1.50
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.50
Zvezda St. Petersburg
1.50
FK Spartak Tambov
1.50
Salyut-Belgorod
1.50
Chayka
1.50
2Drots
1.50
Ilpar
1.50
Znamya Noginsk
1.50
FK Sokol Saratov
1.50
KAMAZ
1.50
Ural
1.50
Fakel
1.33
FC Rostov
1.25
Krylia Sovetov
1.10
FC 10
1.04
Metallurg Asha
1.04
Izberbash
1.04
Chita
1.04
Iskra Smolensk
1.04
Bomik
1.04
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
1.04
FC Tosno
1.04
SKA Rostov
1.04
Izhevsk
1.04
Kirovets Voskhozhdenie
1.04
Anzhi
1.04
Spartak Nalchik
1.00
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1.00
Dinamo Bryansk
1.00
Torpedo Miass
1.00
Tver
1.00
Irtysh Omsk
1.00
Nart Cherkessk
1.00
Dinamo Kirov
1.00
Amkar
1.00
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
1.00
Druzhba
1.00
Tekstilshchik
1.00
Spartak Kostroma
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
Angust Nazran
1.00
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.00
Baltika
0.88
Rubin
0.86
FC Orenburg
0.78
FK Neftekhimik
0.75
Temp Barnaul
0.67
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
0.67
Akron
0.67
Akhmat
0.67
Dinamo Stavropol
0.50
Saturn Ramenskoye
0.50
Mashuk-KMV
0.50
Nizhny Novgorod
0.50
FC Sochi
0.33
Murom
0.00
Avangard Kursk
0.00
Chertanovo Moscow
0.00
Dinamo Barnaul
0.00
Kvant
0.00
Shumbrat
0.00
Kristall
0.00
Pobeda
0.00
Anri Vladivostok
0.00
Dinamo St. Petersburg
0.00
Orel
0.00
Dinamo Vladivostok
0.00
Novosibirsk
0.00
Torpedo Vladimir
0.00
Nosta
0.00
Kaluga
0.00
Ryazan
0.00
Leningradets
0.00
Ska-khabarovsk
0.00
Rotor Volgograd
0.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
0.00
Strogino
0.00
Dinamo Makhachkala is 0.82 points better than Baltika in terms of average points per game (1.70 vs 0.88).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Irkutsk
3.75
Zvezda St. Petersburg
2.50
Cherepovets
2.50
Tyumen
2.50
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2.50
KDV
2.33
Luki-Energiya
2.33
Zenit
2.09
FC Krasnodar
2.08
Murom
2.00
Orel
2.00
Salyut-Belgorod
2.00
Astrakhan
2.00
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
2.00
Kristall MEZ
2.00
Nosta
2.00
Ilpar
2.00
Veles
2.00
Volga Ulyanovsk
2.00
Spartak Moscow
1.85
Broke Boys
1.75
Torpedo Moskva
1.75
Lokomotiv
1.70
Arsenal Tula
1.60
Dynamo
1.58
CSKA Moscow
1.58
Znamya Noginsk
1.50
Rodina Moskva
1.50
Enisey
1.50
Krylia Sovetov
1.40
FC Rostov
1.38
Volgar Astrakhan
1.33
Akhmat
1.33
Fakel
1.33
FC Sochi
1.33
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.30
FC 10
1.10
Metallurg Asha
1.10
Izberbash
1.10
Chita
1.10
Iskra Smolensk
1.10
Bomik
1.10
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
1.10
FC Tosno
1.10
SKA Rostov
1.10
Izhevsk
1.10
Kirovets Voskhozhdenie
1.10
Anzhi
1.10
Dinamo Stavropol
1.00
Avangard Kursk
1.00
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.00
Chertanovo Moscow
1.00
Dinamo Barnaul
1.00
Kvant
1.00
Shumbrat
1.00
Kristall
1.00
Dinamo Vologda
1.00
FK Spartak Tambov
1.00
Dinamo Kirov
1.00
Amkar
1.00
Chayka
1.00
Akron
1.00
Druzhba
1.00
FK Sokol Saratov
1.00
Baltika
1.00
Chelyabinsk
1.00
FK Neftekhimik
1.00
KAMAZ
1.00
Ural
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
Angust Nazran
1.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
1.00
FC Orenburg
0.78
Rubin
0.71
Temp Barnaul
0.67
Tekstilshchik
0.67
Nizhny Novgorod
0.67
Zenit Penza
0.50
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
0.50
2Drots
0.50
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
0.33
Spartak Nalchik
0.00
Saturn Ramenskoye
0.00
Dinamo Bryansk
0.00
Torpedo Miass
0.00
Tver
0.00
Irtysh Omsk
0.00
Pobeda
0.00
Anri Vladivostok
0.00
Dinamo St. Petersburg
0.00
Mashuk-KMV
0.00
Dinamo Vladivostok
0.00
Novosibirsk
0.00
Nart Cherkessk
0.00
Torpedo Vladimir
0.00
Kaluga
0.00
Ryazan
0.00
Leningradets
0.00
Ska-khabarovsk
0.00
Spartak Kostroma
0.00
Strogino
0.00
Dinamo Makhachkala is 0.30 goals better than Baltika in terms of goals scored per game (1.30 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Spartak Nalchik
0.00
Dinamo Bryansk
0.00
Torpedo Miass
0.00
Tver
0.00
Irtysh Omsk
0.00
Nart Cherkessk
0.00
Rodina Moskva
0.00
Spartak Kostroma
0.00
Zenit Penza
0.50
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
0.50
Dinamo Vologda
0.50
2Drots
0.50
FK Sokol Saratov
0.50
KAMAZ
0.50
Volgar Astrakhan
0.67
Tekstilshchik
0.67
Chelyabinsk
0.67
Zenit
0.73
Irkutsk
0.75
FC Krasnodar
0.77
Arsenal Tula
0.80
Dynamo
0.92
Saturn Ramenskoye
1.00
KDV
1.00
Temp Barnaul
1.00
Pobeda
1.00
Dinamo St. Petersburg
1.00
FK Spartak Tambov
1.00
Salyut-Belgorod
1.00
Dinamo Kirov
1.00
Amkar
1.00
Tyumen
1.00
Torpedo Vladimir
1.00
Druzhba
1.00
Kaluga
1.00
Znamya Noginsk
1.00
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.00
Torpedo Moskva
1.00
Enisey
1.00
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.00
Ural
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
Angust Nazran
1.00
Strogino
1.00
Spartak Moscow
1.08
Broke Boys
1.25
Baltika
1.25
CSKA Moscow
1.25
Veles
1.25
Rubin
1.29
Lokomotiv
1.30
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.33
Astrakhan
1.33
Fakel
1.33
Dinamo Stavropol
1.50
Zvezda St. Petersburg
1.50
Mashuk-KMV
1.50
FC Rostov
1.50
Chayka
1.50
Kristall MEZ
1.50
FK Neftekhimik
1.50
FC 10
1.50
Metallurg Asha
1.50
Izberbash
1.50
Chita
1.50
Iskra Smolensk
1.50
Bomik
1.50
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
1.50
FC Tosno
1.50
SKA Rostov
1.50
Izhevsk
1.50
Kirovets Voskhozhdenie
1.50
Anzhi
1.50
Luki-Energiya
1.67
Akhmat
1.67
Cherepovets
1.75
Krylia Sovetov
1.90
Avangard Kursk
2.00
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
2.00
Chertanovo Moscow
2.00
Dinamo Barnaul
2.00
Novosibirsk
2.00
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
2.00
Rotor Volgograd
2.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
2.00
Volga Ulyanovsk
2.00
Akron
2.17
Nizhny Novgorod
2.17
Leningradets
2.50
FC Orenburg
2.56
Murom
3.00
Kvant
3.00
Shumbrat
3.00
Kristall
3.00
Orel
3.00
Dinamo Vladivostok
3.00
Nosta
3.00
Ilpar
3.00
Ryazan
3.00
Ska-khabarovsk
3.00
FC Sochi
3.00
Anri Vladivostok
4.00
Dinamo Makhachkala is 0.25 goals better than Baltika in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.25).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
CSKA Moscow
64%
Baltika
36%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Dinamo Makhachkala
For 3.5 · Against 5.3 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 13.0 · Total 25.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Baltika
For 4.1 · Against 4.3 · Total 8.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 1.6 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 17.1 · Against 10.7 · Total 27.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Dinamo Makhachkala
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
8.7
9.8
3.2
3.6
2.9
27.5
28.4
26.7
vs Stronger (21)
9.2
9.1
9.2
3.5
3.8
3.2
24.9
25.0
24.8
vs Similar (29)
9.4
8.4
10.2
3.0
3.5
2.7
29.3
31.4
27.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
55%
47%
62%
44%
52%
36%
87%
87%
87%
% under line
45%
53%
38%
56%
48%
64%
13%
13%
13%
This opponent (Baltika) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Baltika
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.2
7.8
8.6
3.9
4.1
3.5
30.4
29.8
31.0
vs Stronger (16)
10.6
10.8
10.4
4.4
4.6
4.3
28.8
29.6
28.0
vs Similar (29)
6.9
6.4
7.6
3.7
4.0
3.3
30.5
29.9
31.2
vs Weaker (5)
8.3
9.0
8.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
34.7
29.0
37.5
% over line
31%
35%
27%
56%
61%
50%
94%
94%
93%
% under line
69%
65%
73%
44%
39%
50%
6%
6%
7%
This opponent (Dinamo Makhachkala) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
KAMAZ
15.0
Rotor Volgograd
11.0
Chelyabinsk
11.0
Spartak Kostroma
10.5
Nizhny Novgorod
10.5
CSKA Moscow
10.3
Rodina Moskva
10.0
Dynamo
9.7
FC Orenburg
9.7
Zenit
9.7
Volgar Astrakhan
9.6
Krylia Sovetov
9.4
Akhmat
9.4
Arsenal Tula
9.3
Akron
9.3
FC Sochi
9.2
Fakel
9.2
Spartak Moscow
9.1
Tekstilshchik
9.0
Dinamo Makhachkala
8.9
Lokomotiv
8.9
Leningradets
8.9
Veles
8.8
FK Neftekhimik
8.7
FC UFA
8.7
FC Krasnodar
8.6
Torpedo Moskva
8.5
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
8.5
Rubin
8.4
Ural
8.4
FC Rostov
8.3
Baltika
8.2
Tyumen
7.4
Ska-khabarovsk
7.2
Volga Ulyanovsk
6.3
Enisey
5.5
KDV
4.0
Novosibirsk
4.0
Dinamo Bryansk
3.0
Znamya Noginsk
3.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Broke Boys
7.0
Tekstilshchik
5.5
Spartak Moscow
5.4
Baltika
5.1
FC Krasnodar
4.9
FC Rostov
4.8
Krylia Sovetov
4.7
Lokomotiv
4.6
Rubin
4.5
FC Orenburg
4.5
Nizhny Novgorod
4.5
Volga Ulyanovsk
4.5
Akhmat
4.5
KAMAZ
4.5
CSKA Moscow
4.5
Dynamo
4.4
FC Sochi
4.4
Veles
4.4
Chelyabinsk
4.3
Dinamo Makhachkala
4.3
FC UFA
4.3
Zenit
4.1
Spartak Kostroma
4.0
Fakel
4.0
Volgar Astrakhan
4.0
Akron
4.0
FK Sokol Saratov
4.0
Chayka
3.9
Arsenal Tula
3.9
Rotor Volgograd
3.8
Ural
3.8
Enisey
3.6
Ska-khabarovsk
3.6
Rodina Moskva
3.5
Torpedo Moskva
3.5
Leningradets
3.3
Tyumen
3.3
FK Neftekhimik
3.1
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
3.1
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3.1
KDV
3.0
Novosibirsk
3.0
Irkutsk
3.0
Mashuk-KMV
1.0
Luki-Energiya
1.0
Dinamo Bryansk
0.0
Znamya Noginsk
0.0
Chertanovo Moscow
0.0
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
0.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Torpedo Moskva
32.0
Spartak Moscow
30.3
Baltika
30.2
FC Orenburg
29.1
FC Rostov
29.1
Rubin
28.8
Nizhny Novgorod
28.6
Rotor Volgograd
28.5
Akhmat
28.5
FC Krasnodar
28.4
Dinamo Makhachkala
28.4
Rodina Moskva
28.2
Fakel
27.8
Dynamo
27.7
Lokomotiv
27.5
Akron
27.2
FC Sochi
27.1
FK Neftekhimik
27.0
FC UFA
27.0
Zenit
26.8
Ural
26.8
CSKA Moscow
26.7
Krylia Sovetov
26.3
Enisey
23.0
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
14.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
23.9%
Under 9.5
76.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
51.4%
Under 3.5
48.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
80.2%
Under 21.5
19.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Dinamo Makhachkala or Draw
66.9%
Avg Implied -
39%
28%
33%
covers Dinamo Makhachkala + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Makhachkala or Baltika
72.3%
Avg Implied -
39%
28%
33%
covers Dinamo Makhachkala + Baltika
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Baltika
60.8%
Avg Implied -
39%
28%
33%
covers Draw + Baltika
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Advertisement
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Dinamo Makhachkala over/under 0.5
Over
76.8%
Under
23.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Makhachkala over/under 1.5
Over
42.9%
Under
57.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Makhachkala over/under 2.5
Over
18.1%
Under
81.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Makhachkala over/under 3.5
Over
6.1%
Under
93.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baltika over/under 0.5
Over
73.4%
Under
26.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baltika over/under 1.5
Over
38.2%
Under
61.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baltika over/under 2.5
Over
14.9%
Under
85.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baltika over/under 3.5
Over
4.6%
Under
95.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Dinamo Makhachkala, so a minus line means Dinamo Makhachkala give that many goals of a start and Baltika receive them. At -1, Dinamo Makhachkala must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Dinamo Makhachkala win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Dinamo Makhachkala)
Dinamo Makhachkala -2
7.4%
Draw -2
12.0%
Baltika +2
80.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Dinamo Makhachkala)
Dinamo Makhachkala -1
19.4%
Draw -1
19.8%
Baltika +1
60.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Dinamo Makhachkala)
Dinamo Makhachkala +1
66.9%
Draw +1
17.9%
Baltika -1
15.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Dinamo Makhachkala)
Dinamo Makhachkala +2
84.8%
Draw +2
9.9%
Baltika -2
5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Dinamo Makhachkala
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.60
0.25
0.50
0.61
0.67
vs Stronger (13)
0.23
0.62
0.00
0.20
0.38
0.88
vs Similar (17)
0.65
0.59
0.43
0.71
0.80
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Baltika) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Baltika
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.40
0.41
0.47
0.54
0.31
vs Stronger (9)
0.44
0.56
0.40
0.40
0.50
0.75
vs Similar (18)
0.56
0.33
0.45
0.45
0.71
0.14
vs Weaker (3)
0.00
0.33
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Makhachkala) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dinamo Makhachkala over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Makhachkala over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Makhachkala over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baltika over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baltika over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baltika over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Dinamo Makhachkala
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.73
0.67
0.50
0.39
0.89
vs Stronger (13)
0.31
1.08
0.40
0.60
0.25
1.38
vs Similar (17)
0.65
0.47
0.86
0.43
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Baltika) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Baltika
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.47
0.76
0.41
0.54
0.54
vs Stronger (9)
0.33
0.56
0.40
0.40
0.25
0.75
vs Similar (18)
0.83
0.44
0.82
0.36
0.86
0.57
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.33
2.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Makhachkala) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dinamo Makhachkala over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Makhachkala over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Makhachkala over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baltika over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baltika over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baltika over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Advertisement
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
97.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
95.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
93.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
93.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
91.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
89.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
85.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 10.5 corners
85.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
85.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
84.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
82.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
81.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
80.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
80.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 9.5 corners
76.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
72.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
72.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Dinamo Makhachkala
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gamid Agalarov33%
Nikita Glushkov33%
Miro33%
Daniil Lesovoy17%
Aleksandr Sandrachuk17%
Andrés Alarcón17%
Soslan Kagermazov0%
Mutalip Alibekov0%
Temirkan Sundukov0%
Marat Apshatsev0%
Timur Magomedov0%
Houssem Eddine Mrezigue0%
Mohamed Azzi0%
Egor Smelov0%
Abdulpasha Dzhabrailov0%
Ilyas Akhmedov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Temirkan Sundukov33%
Marat Apshatsev33%
Andrés Alarcón33%
Ilyas Akhmedov33%
Mutalip Alibekov17%
Daniil Lesovoy17%
Gamid Agalarov17%
Miro17%
Soslan Kagermazov0%
Nikita Glushkov0%
Aleksandr Sandrachuk0%
Timur Magomedov0%
Houssem Eddine Mrezigue0%
Mohamed Azzi0%
Egor Smelov0%
Abdulpasha Dzhabrailov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nikita Glushkov33%
Daniil Lesovoy17%
Houssem Eddine Mrezigue17%
Soslan Kagermazov0%
Mutalip Alibekov0%
Gamid Agalarov0%
Temirkan Sundukov0%
Marat Apshatsev0%
Aleksandr Sandrachuk0%
Timur Magomedov0%
Mohamed Azzi0%
Andrés Alarcón0%
Egor Smelov0%
Miro0%
Abdulpasha Dzhabrailov0%
Ilyas Akhmedov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Temirkan Sundukov17%
Soslan Kagermazov0%
Mutalip Alibekov0%
Daniil Lesovoy0%
Gamid Agalarov0%
Nikita Glushkov0%
Marat Apshatsev0%
Aleksandr Sandrachuk0%
Timur Magomedov0%
Houssem Eddine Mrezigue0%
Mohamed Azzi0%
Andrés Alarcón0%
Egor Smelov0%
Miro0%
Abdulpasha Dzhabrailov0%
Ilyas Akhmedov0%
Baltika
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Brayan Gil40%
Nnamdi Chinonso Offor33%
Eldar Ćivić25%
Aymane Mourid20%
Andrey Mendel17%
Nikolay Titkov17%
Maksim Petrov17%
Sergey Varatynov17%
Evgeniy Latyshonok0%
Fahd Moufi0%
Mingiyan Beveev0%
Eduardo Anderson0%
Konstantin Shiltsov0%
Nathan Gassama0%
Ivan Belikov0%
Vladislav Pospelov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aymane Mourid60%
Mingiyan Beveev33%
Eduardo Anderson33%
Andrey Mendel33%
Nikolay Titkov33%
Maksim Petrov17%
Evgeniy Latyshonok0%
Fahd Moufi0%
Eldar Ćivić0%
Nnamdi Chinonso Offor0%
Brayan Gil0%
Konstantin Shiltsov0%
Nathan Gassama0%
Sergey Varatynov0%
Ivan Belikov0%
Vladislav Pospelov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nathan Gassama33%
Aymane Mourid20%
Nikolay Titkov17%
Maksim Petrov17%
Sergey Varatynov17%
Vladislav Pospelov17%
Evgeniy Latyshonok0%
Fahd Moufi0%
Mingiyan Beveev0%
Eldar Ćivić0%
Eduardo Anderson0%
Andrey Mendel0%
Nnamdi Chinonso Offor0%
Brayan Gil0%
Konstantin Shiltsov0%
Ivan Belikov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nnamdi Chinonso Offor50%
Aymane Mourid20%
Maksim Petrov17%
Evgeniy Latyshonok0%
Fahd Moufi0%
Mingiyan Beveev0%
Eldar Ćivić0%
Eduardo Anderson0%
Andrey Mendel0%
Brayan Gil0%
Nikolay Titkov0%
Konstantin Shiltsov0%
Nathan Gassama0%
Sergey Varatynov0%
Ivan Belikov0%
Vladislav Pospelov0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Advertisement
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (26)
€182m
SM (26)
€129m
FK (28)
€114m
CM (27)
€111m
DYN (28)
€110m
LOK (27)
€68m
RUB (27)
€45m
FR (28)
€32m
BAL (31)
€30m
AKH (25)
€30m
KS (27)
€26m
AKR (25)
€25m
DM (29)
€20m
FO (30)
€18m
NN (28)
€18m
RM (26)
€17m
FS (21)
€15m
FAK (26)
€14m
URA (21)
€11m
TM (23)
€11m
RV (25)
€9m
CHE (23)
€9m
AT (26)
€8m
SK (27)
€8m
SKA (27)
€6m
VU (24)
€6m
SY (24)
€6m
ENI (24)
€6m
FU (25)
€5m
LEN (22)
€5m
KAM (24)
€5m
VEL (23)
€5m
TEK (25)
€5m
FN (25)
€5m
Dinamo Makhachkala's squad is €11m less valuable than Baltika's (€20m vs €30m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (9)
€100m
SM (10)
€59m
DYN (8)
€45m
CM (11)
€37m
FK (9)
€34m
LOK (8)
€21m
AKH (11)
€17m
FR (11)
€14m
AKR (9)
€11m
BAL (10)
€10m
KS (11)
€9m
DM (13)
€9m
FO (12)
€8m
RUB (5)
€8m
RM (11)
€7m
NN (11)
€6m
TM (10)
€5m
FAK (10)
€5m
FS (8)
€5m
URA (8)
€4m
CHE (9)
€4m
AT (8)
€3m
RV (7)
€3m
SK (8)
€3m
VU (9)
€2m
ENI (7)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
TEK (9)
€2m
SY (9)
€2m
KAM (9)
€2m
FN (9)
€2m
FU (7)
€2m
VEL (7)
€2m
LEN (7)
€1m
Dinamo Makhachkala's attack is €1m less valuable than Baltika's (€9m vs €10m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CM (5)
€48m
SM (6)
€37m
FK (7)
€35m
ZEN (5)
€31m
DYN (7)
€24m
RUB (6)
€12m
LOK (7)
€8m
BAL (6)
€6m
AKR (6)
€6m
KS (4)
€6m
FR (5)
€5m
AKH (4)
€4m
RM (4)
€3m
FO (5)
€3m
DM (5)
€3m
NN (5)
€3m
URA (4)
€2m
RV (7)
€2m
AT (8)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
FAK (4)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
ENI (5)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
SK (7)
€2m
SY (5)
€1m
FS (2)
€1m
LEN (6)
€1m
TM (4)
€1m
VU (5)
€1m
CHE (2)
€1m
TEK (6)
€1m
FN (5)
€1m
KAM (4)
€1m
Dinamo Makhachkala's midfield is €3m less valuable than Baltika's (€3m vs €6m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (12)
€50m
FK (12)
€45m
DYN (13)
€42m
LOK (12)
€40m
SM (10)
€34m
CM (11)
€26m
RUB (16)
€25m
BAL (15)
€15m
FR (12)
€13m
KS (12)
€11m
FS (11)
€9m
AKH (10)
€9m
NN (12)
€9m
AKR (10)
€8m
DM (11)
€8m
FO (13)
€7m
FAK (12)
€7m
RM (11)
€7m
URA (9)
€4m
TM (9)
€4m
SK (12)
€4m
RV (11)
€4m
CHE (12)
€3m
AT (10)
€3m
VU (10)
€3m
SKA (11)
€3m
SY (10)
€2m
KAM (11)
€2m
LEN (9)
€2m
FN (11)
€2m
ENI (12)
€2m
TEK (10)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
Dinamo Makhachkala's defence is €7m less valuable than Baltika's (€8m vs €15m).
Russia: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Krasnodar
Spartak Moscow
Zenit
CSKA Moscow
Dynamo
Rubin
FC Orenburg
Akhmat
Krylia Sovetov
FC Rostov
Rodina Moskva
Lokomotiv
Akron
Fakel