Dinamo Makhachkala are favoured to win, with a 47% chance of triumph, a 30% chance of a draw and a 23% chance of Rodina Moskva winning. The model expects an average of 2.3 goals, with the most likely total being two goals at 28%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.9% probability. Dinamo’s home form shows they average 1.38 goals scored and concede 1.00 against similar opposition, while Rodina’s away form is stronger, scoring 1.83 and conceding only 0.67. The suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.7%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.0%), Under 6.5 (99.0%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.6%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (98.2%), Under 5.5 (96.9%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.7%) and Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.0%) with a 7% edge. Dinamo’s recent form shows a loss to FC Krasnodar, while Rodina came off two defeats before a 1-3 loss to Dynamo.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Dinamo Makhachkala win
48.6%
Avg Implied 52.7% · @ 1.79
Edge
-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
1.84
Superbet
1.83
1xBet
1.82
Marathonbet
1.77
SBO
1.77
Draw
29.4%
Avg Implied 25.5% · @ 3.70
Edge
+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
4.04
Pinnacle
3.98
Marathonbet
3.94
Dafabet
3.60
Superbet
3.50
Rodina Moskva win
22.0%
Avg Implied 21.8% · @ 4.34
Edge
+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
4.61
Marathonbet
4.50
Pinnacle
4.49
Dafabet
4.40
Superbet
4.20
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Dinamo Makhachkala
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
1.33
0.92
1.00
1.00
1.56
vs Stronger (13)
0.54
1.69
0.40
0.80
0.62
2.25
vs Similar (17)
1.29
1.06
1.29
1.14
1.30
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Rodina Moskva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rodina Moskva
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.4
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
2.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.73
1.30
1.67
1.27
1.80
1.33
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
2.50
-
-
1.00
2.50
vs Similar (17)
1.88
1.24
1.80
1.60
2.00
0.71
vs Weaker (9)
1.78
0.89
1.40
0.60
2.25
1.25
Clean sheet %
33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Makhachkala) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
68.7%
@ 1.30-3.0%
Under 1.5
31.3%
@ 3.29+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.32
Pinnacle
1.31
Marathonbet
1.28
1xBet
1.28
Under
Pinnacle
3.43
Superbet
3.25
1xBet
3.24
Marathonbet
3.24
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
41.0%
@ 1.99-7.1%
Under 2.5
59.0%
@ 1.84+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.03
SBO
2.02
Superbet
2.00
Pinnacle
1.96
Marathonbet
1.95
Under
1xBet
1.92
Pinnacle
1.88
Marathonbet
1.86
SBO
1.80
Superbet
1.76
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
20.5%
@ 3.40-6.8%
Under 3.5
79.5%
@ 1.28+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.62
Superbet
3.45
1xBet
3.30
Marathonbet
3.24
Under
Superbet
1.28
Pinnacle
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Both teams to score
Yes
46.1%
@ 1.85-3.9%
No
53.9%
@ 1.85+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.87
1xBet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.84
No
1xBet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.86
Superbet
1.83
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%@ 6.54+7.1%
1-0
12.8%@ 6.01+5.6%
0-0
11.0%@ 9.12+6.3%
2-0
10.1%@ 7.51+4.3%
2-1
9.0%@ 7.77+3.3%
0-1
7.4%@ 10.94+3.5%
1-2
5.5%@ 14.22+2.5%
3-0
4.8%@ 13.73+1.7%
Dinamo Makhachkala goals ↓
Rodina Moskva goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
7.4%
3.9%
1.1%
0.3%
1
13%
14%
5.5%
1.6%
0.4%
2
10%
9.0%
4.0%
1.2%
0.3%
3
4.8%
4.3%
1.9%
0.6%
0.1%
4
1.7%
1.5%
0.7%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dinamo Makhachkala goals (down), columns = Rodina Moskva goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Krasnodar
3.00
Spartak Moscow
2.17
CSKA Moscow
2.00
Zenit
2.00
Dynamo
1.67
Baltika
1.67
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.50
Rubin
1.50
FC Orenburg
1.17
Krylia Sovetov
1.00
Akhmat
1.00
FC Rostov
0.83
Rodina Moskva
0.67
Akron
0.50
Lokomotiv
0.50
Fakel
0.33
Dinamo Makhachkala is 0.83 points better than Rodina Moskva in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 0.67).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Zenit
2.17
Spartak Moscow
1.83
FC Krasnodar
1.83
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.67
Baltika
1.67
CSKA Moscow
1.50
Akhmat
1.50
Rubin
1.50
Krylia Sovetov
1.33
Dynamo
1.33
Rodina Moskva
1.33
FC Rostov
1.17
Akron
1.00
Lokomotiv
0.83
FC Orenburg
0.83
Fakel
0.50
Dinamo Makhachkala is 0.33 goals better than Rodina Moskva in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 1.33).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Krasnodar
0.67
Zenit
0.67
Spartak Moscow
0.83
CSKA Moscow
1.00
Baltika
1.00
Fakel
1.17
Dynamo
1.17
FC Orenburg
1.17
Akhmat
1.33
Lokomotiv
1.33
Rubin
1.33
Krylia Sovetov
1.67
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.67
FC Rostov
1.67
Akron
2.50
Rodina Moskva
2.83
Dinamo Makhachkala is 1.17 goals better than Rodina Moskva in terms of goals conceded per game (1.67 vs 2.83).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Dynamo
63%
Spartak Moscow
62%
Zenit
60%
CSKA Moscow
57%
FC Krasnodar
57%
Akron
54%
Lokomotiv
51%
FC Rostov
49%
Fakel
48%
Akhmat
47%
Rubin
47%
Krylia Sovetov
46%
Rodina Moskva
44%
Dinamo Makhachkala
40%
FC Orenburg
39%
Baltika
36%
Dinamo Makhachkala is 4.0 percentage points worse than Rodina Moskva in terms of average possession (40% vs 44%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Dinamo Makhachkala
For 3.5 · Against 5.3 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 13.0 · Total 25.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Rodina Moskva
For 2.3 · Against 7.7 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.5 · Against 13.7 · Total 28.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Dinamo Makhachkala
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
8.3
9.4
4.0
4.7
3.5
28.0
29.1
26.9
vs Stronger (20)
8.7
8.6
8.9
3.8
4.6
3.0
25.1
25.8
24.3
vs Similar (30)
9.0
8.1
9.7
4.2
4.7
3.8
29.7
31.8
28.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
50%
44%
55%
54%
65%
44%
89%
89%
89%
% under line
50%
56%
45%
46%
35%
56%
11%
11%
11%
This opponent (Rodina Moskva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rodina Moskva
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
8.0
11.5
2.7
2.7
2.7
28.2
33.3
23.0
vs Stronger (4)
11.5
-
11.5
4.5
-
4.5
23.0
-
23.0
vs Similar (29)
8.0
8.0
-
2.5
2.9
1.8
33.3
33.3
-
vs Weaker (17)
-
-
-
2.6
2.1
3.0
-
-
-
% over line
43%
33%
50%
38%
40%
36%
83%
100%
67%
% under line
57%
67%
50%
62%
60%
64%
17%
0%
33%
This opponent (Dinamo Makhachkala) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
CSKA Moscow
10.3
Rodina Moskva
10.0
Dynamo
9.7
FC Orenburg
9.7
Zenit
9.7
Krylia Sovetov
9.4
Akhmat
9.4
Akron
9.3
Fakel
9.2
Spartak Moscow
9.1
Dinamo Makhachkala
8.9
Lokomotiv
8.9
FC Krasnodar
8.6
Rubin
8.4
FC Rostov
8.3
Baltika
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Spartak Moscow
5.4
Baltika
5.1
FC Krasnodar
4.9
FC Rostov
4.8
Krylia Sovetov
4.7
Lokomotiv
4.6
Rubin
4.5
FC Orenburg
4.5
Akhmat
4.5
CSKA Moscow
4.5
Dynamo
4.4
Dinamo Makhachkala
4.3
Zenit
4.1
Fakel
4.0
Akron
4.0
Rodina Moskva
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Spartak Moscow
30.3
Baltika
30.2
FC Orenburg
29.1
FC Rostov
29.1
Rubin
28.8
Akhmat
28.5
FC Krasnodar
28.4
Dinamo Makhachkala
28.4
Rodina Moskva
28.2
Fakel
27.8
Dynamo
27.7
Lokomotiv
27.5
Akron
27.2
Zenit
26.8
CSKA Moscow
26.7
Krylia Sovetov
26.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
46.1%
@ 1.96-1.3%
Under 9.5
53.9%
@ 1.76+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.98
1xBet
1.95
Superbet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.95
Under
Pinnacle
1.81
Superbet
1.76
1xBet
1.76
Marathonbet
1.73
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
67.1%
Under 3.5
32.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
85.9%
Under 21.5
14.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Dinamo Makhachkala or Draw
78.0%
Avg Implied 78.9% · @ 1.20
Edge
-0.9%
49%
29%
22%
covers Dinamo Makhachkala + Draw
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.22
Superbet
1.20
SBO
1.13
Dinamo Makhachkala or Rodina Moskva
70.6%
Avg Implied 74.8% · @ 1.26
Edge
-4.2%
49%
29%
22%
covers Dinamo Makhachkala + Rodina Moskva
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
1.28
Superbet
1.28
1xBet
1.28
SBO
1.21
Draw or Rodina Moskva
51.4%
Avg Implied 46.3% · @ 2.04
Edge
+5.1%
49%
29%
22%
covers Draw + Rodina Moskva
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
2.11
Marathonbet
2.11
SBO
2.03
Superbet
1.92
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Dinamo Makhachkala over/under 0.5
Over
76.2%
@ 1.18-2.9%
Under
23.8%
@ 4.47+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.20
1xBet
1.16
Under
1xBet
4.65
Superbet
4.30
Dinamo Makhachkala over/under 1.5
Over
42.0%
@ 1.91-7.6%
Under
58.0%
@ 1.88+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.95
1xBet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.89
Pinnacle
1.88
Under
Pinnacle
1.93
Marathonbet
1.89
1xBet
1.88
Superbet
1.80
Dinamo Makhachkala over/under 2.5
Over
17.5%
@ 3.86-6.7%
Under
82.5%
@ 1.23+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.00
Pinnacle
3.92
1xBet
3.80
Marathonbet
3.72
Under
Marathonbet
1.24
Pinnacle
1.24
1xBet
1.23
Superbet
1.22
Dinamo Makhachkala over/under 3.5
Over
5.8%
@ 8.33-5.3%
Under
94.2%
@ 1.04+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
8.80
1xBet
8.20
Marathonbet
8.00
Under
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
Rodina Moskva over/under 0.5
Over
58.8%
@ 1.54-1.8%
Under
41.2%
@ 2.37+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.56
Superbet
1.54
Marathonbet
1.53
1xBet
1.53
Under
Pinnacle
2.42
Superbet
2.37
1xBet
2.34
Marathonbet
2.34
Rodina Moskva over/under 1.5
Over
22.3%
@ 3.69-3.1%
Under
77.7%
@ 1.26+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.86
1xBet
3.70
Marathonbet
3.62
Superbet
3.60
Under
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.26
Superbet
1.26
Pinnacle
1.24
Rodina Moskva over/under 2.5
Over
6.1%
@ 9.77-3.4%
Under
93.9%
@ 1.03+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.90
Marathonbet
9.80
Superbet
9.60
Under
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
Rodina Moskva over/under 3.5
Over
1.3%
@ 29.00-98.7%
Under
98.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
29.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Dinamo Makhachkala, so a minus line means Dinamo Makhachkala give that many goals of a start and Rodina Moskva receive them. At -1, Dinamo Makhachkala must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Dinamo Makhachkala win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Dinamo Makhachkala)
Dinamo Makhachkala -2
9.6%
@ 6.20-4.8%
Draw -2
15.1%
@ 5.00-2.7%
Rodina Moskva +2
75.3%
@ 1.32+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
6.40
Marathonbet
6.00
Draw
Marathonbet
5.00
Superbet
5.00
Away
Marathonbet
1.33
Superbet
1.31
Handicap -1 (Dinamo Makhachkala)
Dinamo Makhachkala -1
24.7%
@ 3.10-4.4%
Draw -1
23.9%
@ 3.42-2.5%
Rodina Moskva +1
51.4%
@ 2.03+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
3.15
Marathonbet
3.05
Draw
Superbet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.34
Away
Marathonbet
2.11
Superbet
1.95
Handicap +1 (Dinamo Makhachkala)
Dinamo Makhachkala +1
78.0%
@ 1.22+3.9%
Draw +1
14.3%
@ 5.70-1.6%
Rodina Moskva -1
7.7%
@ 9.00-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.22
Draw
Marathonbet
5.70
Away
Marathonbet
9.00
Handicap +2 (Dinamo Makhachkala)
Dinamo Makhachkala +2
92.3%
Draw +2
5.8%
Rodina Moskva -2
1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Dinamo Makhachkala
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.60
0.25
0.50
0.61
0.67
vs Stronger (13)
0.23
0.62
0.00
0.20
0.38
0.88
vs Similar (17)
0.65
0.59
0.43
0.71
0.80
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Rodina Moskva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rodina Moskva
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.33
0.93
0.33
1.33
0.33
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.00
-
-
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (17)
1.24
0.24
0.90
0.40
1.71
0.00
vs Weaker (9)
1.22
0.22
1.00
0.20
1.50
0.25
Clean sheet %
70% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Makhachkala) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
67.0%
@ 1.39-0.6%
Under 0.5
33.0%
@ 2.89+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.40
Pinnacle
1.39
1xBet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.38
Under
1xBet
2.93
Marathonbet
2.93
Pinnacle
2.90
Superbet
2.80
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
30.9%
@ 2.88-1.7%
Under 1.5
69.1%
@ 1.39+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.97
Marathonbet
2.85
Superbet
2.85
1xBet
2.85
Under
Marathonbet
1.40
1xBet
1.40
Superbet
1.39
Pinnacle
1.37
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
11.2%
@ 6.90-2.2%
Under 2.5
88.8%
@ 1.07+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
7.00
1xBet
6.90
Marathonbet
6.80
Under
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dinamo Makhachkala over/under 0.5 HT
Over
51.4%
@ 1.77-0.9%
Under
48.6%
@ 1.95+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.80
Pinnacle
1.79
1xBet
1.76
Marathonbet
1.75
Under
Pinnacle
1.98
Marathonbet
1.96
1xBet
1.95
Superbet
1.90
Dinamo Makhachkala over/under 1.5 HT
Over
15.2%
@ 4.95-3.5%
Under
84.8%
@ 1.14+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.00
Marathonbet
4.95
Superbet
4.90
Under
Superbet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.13
Dinamo Makhachkala over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.7%
@ 15.00-2.6%
Under
96.3%
@ 1.01+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
15.00
Under
Superbet
1.01
Rodina Moskva over/under 0.5 HT
Over
31.5%
@ 2.68-3.3%
Under
68.5%
@ 1.43+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.86
Superbet
2.65
1xBet
2.62
Marathonbet
2.58
Under
Marathonbet
1.44
Superbet
1.43
1xBet
1.43
Pinnacle
1.40
Rodina Moskva over/under 1.5 HT
Over
6.2%
@ 10.08-3.0%
Under
93.8%
@ 1.02+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.25
1xBet
10.20
Superbet
9.80
Under
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
Rodina Moskva over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.6%
@ 40.00-99.4%
Under
99.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
40.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Dinamo Makhachkala
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.73
0.67
0.50
0.39
0.89
vs Stronger (13)
0.31
1.08
0.40
0.60
0.25
1.38
vs Similar (17)
0.65
0.47
0.86
0.43
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Rodina Moskva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rodina Moskva
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.97
0.73
0.93
0.47
1.00
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.50
-
-
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (17)
0.65
1.00
0.90
1.20
0.29
0.71
vs Weaker (9)
0.56
0.67
0.40
0.40
0.75
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Makhachkala) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
74.7%
@ 1.25+0.1%
Under 0.5
25.3%
@ 3.67-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.26
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.24
Under
1xBet
3.70
Marathonbet
3.70
Superbet
3.60
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
39.7%
@ 2.21-3.0%
Under 1.5
60.3%
@ 1.65+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.22
1xBet
2.22
Marathonbet
2.20
Under
Marathonbet
1.67
1xBet
1.66
Superbet
1.62
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
15.4%
@ 4.75-4.2%
Under 2.5
84.6%
@ 1.16+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.80
1xBet
4.75
Marathonbet
4.70
Under
1xBet
1.16
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dinamo Makhachkala over/under 0.5 2H
Over
60.3%
@ 1.57+1.2%
Under
39.7%
@ 2.27-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.59
1xBet
1.55
Under
1xBet
2.32
Superbet
2.22
Dinamo Makhachkala over/under 1.5 2H
Over
20.7%
@ 3.68-4.4%
Under
79.3%
@ 1.23+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.80
Marathonbet
3.64
1xBet
3.60
Under
Marathonbet
1.24
1xBet
1.24
Superbet
1.22
Dinamo Makhachkala over/under 2.5 2H
Over
5.5%
@ 9.85-3.8%
Under
94.5%
@ 1.02+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
10.00
1xBet
9.70
Under
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Rodina Moskva over/under 0.5 2H
Over
36.6%
@ 2.23-5.0%
Under
63.4%
@ 1.59+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.28
Marathonbet
2.21
Superbet
2.20
Under
Superbet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.59
1xBet
1.57
Rodina Moskva over/under 1.5 2H
Over
9.3%
@ 7.50-3.0%
Under
90.7%
@ 1.05+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.90
Marathonbet
7.50
Superbet
7.10
Under
Superbet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Rodina Moskva over/under 2.5 2H
Over
1.9%
@ 26.00-98.1%
Under
98.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
26.00
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
96.9%
1.02
Superbet
1.02
-
-
-
-
+3.7%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.3%
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.6%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
94.5%
1.02
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.8%
Home under 3.5 goals
94.2%
1.04
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
-
-
+5.3%
Away under 2.5 goals
93.9%
1.03
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
-
-
+3.4%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
93.8%
1.02
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
-
-
+3.0%
Over 19.5 fouls
93.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
92.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
91.4%
1.07
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
-
-
+6.0%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
90.7%
1.05
Superbet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
-
-
+3.0%
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.8%
1.07
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
-
-
+2.2%
Over 21.5 fouls
85.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
84.8%
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.13
-
-
+3.5%
Under 2.5 2H goals
84.6%
1.16
1xBet
1.16
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
-
-
+4.2%
Over 2.5 cards
83.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
82.5%
1.23
Marathonbet
1.24
Pinnacle
1.24
1xBet
1.23
Superbet
1.22
-
+6.7%
Under 3.5
79.5%
1.28
Superbet
1.28
Pinnacle
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
1xBet
1.27
-
+6.8%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
79.3%
1.23
Marathonbet
1.24
1xBet
1.24
Superbet
1.22
-
-
+4.4%
Home or Draw
78.0%
1.20
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.22
Superbet
1.20
SBO
1.13
-
-0.9%
Home +1 handicap
78.0%
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
-
-
-
-
+3.9%
Away under 1.5 goals
77.7%
1.26
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.26
Superbet
1.26
Pinnacle
1.24
-
+3.1%
Under 11.5 corners
76.6%
1.25
Superbet
1.31
1xBet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.22
-
-
+3.7%
Home over 0.5 goals
76.2%
1.18
Superbet
1.20
1xBet
1.16
-
-
-
-2.9%
Away +2 handicap
75.3%
1.32
Marathonbet
1.33
Superbet
1.31
-
-
-
+7.6%
Over 23.5 fouls
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
74.7%
1.25
Superbet
1.26
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.24
-
-
+0.1%
Home or Away
70.6%
1.26
Marathonbet
1.28
Superbet
1.28
1xBet
1.28
SBO
1.21
-
-4.2%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Dinamo Makhachkala
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gamid Agalarov33%
Nikita Glushkov33%
Miro33%
Daniil Lesovoy17%
Aleksandr Sandrachuk17%
Andrés Alarcón17%
Soslan Kagermazov0%
Mutalip Alibekov0%
Temirkan Sundukov0%
Marat Apshatsev0%
Timur Magomedov0%
Houssem Eddine Mrezigue0%
Mohamed Azzi0%
Egor Smelov0%
Abdulpasha Dzhabrailov0%
Ilyas Akhmedov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Temirkan Sundukov33%
Marat Apshatsev33%
Andrés Alarcón33%
Ilyas Akhmedov33%
Mutalip Alibekov17%
Daniil Lesovoy17%
Gamid Agalarov17%
Miro17%
Soslan Kagermazov0%
Nikita Glushkov0%
Aleksandr Sandrachuk0%
Timur Magomedov0%
Houssem Eddine Mrezigue0%
Mohamed Azzi0%
Egor Smelov0%
Abdulpasha Dzhabrailov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nikita Glushkov33%
Daniil Lesovoy17%
Houssem Eddine Mrezigue17%
Soslan Kagermazov0%
Mutalip Alibekov0%
Gamid Agalarov0%
Temirkan Sundukov0%
Marat Apshatsev0%
Aleksandr Sandrachuk0%
Timur Magomedov0%
Mohamed Azzi0%
Andrés Alarcón0%
Egor Smelov0%
Miro0%
Abdulpasha Dzhabrailov0%
Ilyas Akhmedov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Temirkan Sundukov17%
Soslan Kagermazov0%
Mutalip Alibekov0%
Daniil Lesovoy0%
Gamid Agalarov0%
Nikita Glushkov0%
Marat Apshatsev0%
Aleksandr Sandrachuk0%
Timur Magomedov0%
Houssem Eddine Mrezigue0%
Mohamed Azzi0%
Andrés Alarcón0%
Egor Smelov0%
Miro0%
Abdulpasha Dzhabrailov0%
Ilyas Akhmedov0%
Rodina Moskva
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Iker Pozo33%
Artur Gharibyan20%
Artem Maksimenko17%
Leon Musaev0%
Yordy Reyna0%
Artem Sokol0%
Leo Goglichidze0%
Soltmurad Bakaev0%
Andrey Egorychev0%
Artem Meshchaninov0%
Dmitriy Tananeev0%
Mitja Križan0%
Ruslan Fishchenko0%
Ivan Timoshenko0%
Sergey Volkov0%
Kirill Ushatov0%
Magomedkhabib Abdusalamov0%
Stanislav Bessmertniy0%
Ilya Dyatlov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ilya Dyatlov50%
Andrey Egorychev33%
Dmitriy Tananeev33%
Iker Pozo33%
Ruslan Fishchenko20%
Yordy Reyna17%
Artem Meshchaninov17%
Ivan Timoshenko17%
Stanislav Bessmertniy17%
Leon Musaev0%
Artem Sokol0%
Leo Goglichidze0%
Soltmurad Bakaev0%
Mitja Križan0%
Artem Maksimenko0%
Sergey Volkov0%
Kirill Ushatov0%
Magomedkhabib Abdusalamov0%
Artur Gharibyan0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Artur Gharibyan20%
Soltmurad Bakaev17%
Artem Maksimenko17%
Iker Pozo17%
Stanislav Bessmertniy17%
Leon Musaev0%
Yordy Reyna0%
Artem Sokol0%
Leo Goglichidze0%
Andrey Egorychev0%
Artem Meshchaninov0%
Dmitriy Tananeev0%
Mitja Križan0%
Ruslan Fishchenko0%
Ivan Timoshenko0%
Sergey Volkov0%
Kirill Ushatov0%
Magomedkhabib Abdusalamov0%
Ilya Dyatlov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Soltmurad Bakaev17%
Artem Maksimenko17%
Leon Musaev0%
Yordy Reyna0%
Artem Sokol0%
Leo Goglichidze0%
Andrey Egorychev0%
Artem Meshchaninov0%
Dmitriy Tananeev0%
Mitja Križan0%
Iker Pozo0%
Ruslan Fishchenko0%
Ivan Timoshenko0%
Sergey Volkov0%
Kirill Ushatov0%
Magomedkhabib Abdusalamov0%
Stanislav Bessmertniy0%
Ilya Dyatlov0%
Artur Gharibyan0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (26)
€182m
SM (26)
€129m
FK (28)
€114m
CM (27)
€111m
DYN (28)
€110m
LOK (27)
€68m
RUB (27)
€45m
FR (28)
€32m
BAL (31)
€30m
AKH (25)
€30m
KS (27)
€26m
AKR (25)
€25m
DM (29)
€20m
FO (30)
€18m
RM (26)
€17m
FAK (26)
€14m
Dinamo Makhachkala's squad is €3m more valuable than Rodina Moskva's (€20m vs €17m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (9)
€100m
SM (10)
€59m
DYN (8)
€45m
CM (11)
€37m
FK (9)
€34m
LOK (8)
€21m
AKH (11)
€17m
FR (11)
€14m
AKR (9)
€11m
BAL (10)
€10m
KS (11)
€9m
DM (13)
€9m
FO (12)
€8m
RUB (5)
€8m
RM (11)
€7m
FAK (10)
€5m
Dinamo Makhachkala's attack is €2m more valuable than Rodina Moskva's (€9m vs €7m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CM (5)
€48m
SM (6)
€37m
FK (7)
€35m
ZEN (5)
€31m
DYN (7)
€24m
RUB (6)
€12m
LOK (7)
€8m
BAL (6)
€6m
AKR (6)
€6m
KS (4)
€6m
FR (5)
€5m
AKH (4)
€4m
RM (4)
€3m
FO (5)
€3m
DM (5)
€3m
FAK (4)
€2m
Dinamo Makhachkala and Rodina Moskva have a similar midfield value (both €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (12)
€50m
FK (12)
€45m
DYN (13)
€42m
LOK (12)
€40m
SM (10)
€34m
CM (11)
€26m
RUB (16)
€25m
BAL (15)
€15m
FR (12)
€13m
KS (12)
€11m
AKH (10)
€9m
AKR (10)
€8m
DM (11)
€8m
FO (13)
€7m
FAK (12)
€7m
RM (11)
€7m
Dinamo Makhachkala's defence is €1m more valuable than Rodina Moskva's (€8m vs €7m).
Russia: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Krasnodar
Spartak Moscow
Zenit
CSKA Moscow
Baltika
Dynamo
Rubin
FC Orenburg
Akhmat
Krylia Sovetov
FC Rostov
Lokomotiv
Akron
Fakel