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Dinamo Minsk II vs Volna Result & Analysis

Date: 23/11/2024
Time: 11:00
Final 4-0
Dinamo Minsk II
Dinamo Minsk II
Vs
35%
28%
37%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Volna
Volna
Belarus: 1. Division
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Dinamo Minsk II and Volna face each other in a tightly contested Belarus 1. Division fixture where the odds are almost even. The model favours an away win, with a 37% chance, while a home win sits at 35% and a draw at 28%. The expected total of 2.8 goals points to a modestly high-scoring affair, with the most probable total being 2 goals at 25%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.3% probability. Dinamo Minsk II, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, averages 1.64 goals scored and 1.45 conceded, whereas Volna, on the road, averages 1.91 goals scored and 1.45 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 1.5 goals at 77.3% and Under 3.5 goals at 70.2%. Both teams have shown recent form swings: Dinamo Minsk II are on a two-game winning run after a 3-2 win over Smorgon, while Volna have endured three straight defeats, losing 0-2 to Ostrovets FC.

Results analysis

Dinamo Minsk II extended a two-game winning run with a 4-0 triumph over Volna, overturning the pre-match favourite. The model had tipped an away win at 37% probability, but the prediction was wrong. Its other selections were mixed: Over 1.5 goals, with a 77.3% chance, hit the mark as the match produced four goals, while Under 3.5, at 70.2%, missed as the scoreline exceeded that threshold. The most likely score of 1-1 fell short, and the expected total of 2.8 goals was surpassed. Dinamo’s home form, marked by a recent win streak, proved decisive against a Volna side that had suffered three straight defeats.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dinamo Minsk II win✓ Hit
35.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Volna win✗ Miss
36.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Dinamo Minsk IIDinamo Minsk II

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L50W21W11D22D00D13L01L22D20WH·SHA06/09A·BAT11/09A·FC 29/09A·LID05/10H·ORS11/10H·LOK16/10A·BUM01/11A·SLO05/11H·BEL08/11A·TOR17/11
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.201.501.141.691.25
vs Stronger (3)0.670.330.500.001.001.00
vs Similar (25)1.761.361.641.451.861.29
vs Weaker (2)1.000.502.000.000.001.00
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Volna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VolnaVolna

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-532W30W21W12L23L21W01L50W31W20WH·FC 20/09A·LOK25/09A·NIV29/09H·ML 05/10A·BAR12/10H·MOL20/10A·OST27/10H·SHA02/11A·BAT10/11H·LOK17/11
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.131.202.441.061.791.36
vs Stronger (4)1.501.001.501.001.501.00
vs Similar (24)2.121.252.311.081.911.45
vs Weaker (2)3.501.006.001.001.001.00
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Minsk II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%8%015%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.3%
Under 1.5
22.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
51.9%
Under 2.5
48.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
29.8%
Under 3.5
70.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
57.1%
No
42.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
7.6%
0-0
7.6%
1-0
7.5%
0-2
6.1%
2-0
5.9%
Dinamo Minsk II goals ↓
Volna goals →
01234
07.6%7.6%6.1%2.8%1.0%
17.5%13%8.4%3.9%1.3%
25.9%8.2%5.7%2.6%0.9%
32.7%3.7%2.6%1.2%0.4%
40.9%1.3%0.9%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dinamo Minsk II goals (down), columns = Volna goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
2.24
Belshina
2.18
ML Vitebsk
2.15
Niva
2.06
Volna
1.94
Dinamo Minsk II
1.53
Lida
1.53
BATE II
1.44
Bumprom
1.41
Orsha
1.32
Ostrovets FC
1.26
Lokomotiv Gomel
1.03
Baranovichi
1.00
ABFF U17
0.97
Shakhtyor Petrikov
0.91
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0.85
Slonim
0.76
Torpedo BelAZ II
0.62
Dinamo Minsk II is 0.41 points worse than Volna in terms of average points per game (1.53 vs 1.94).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Belshina
2.47
ML Vitebsk
2.21
Niva
2.15
Volna
2.06
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
1.82
Dinamo Minsk II
1.59
Bumprom
1.47
Lida
1.41
Orsha
1.35
BATE II
1.35
Ostrovets FC
1.29
Lokomotiv Gomel
1.24
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1.06
Torpedo BelAZ II
1.00
Shakhtyor Petrikov
0.97
ABFF U17
0.91
Baranovichi
0.88
Slonim
0.76
Dinamo Minsk II is 0.47 goals worse than Volna in terms of goals scored per game (1.59 vs 2.06).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
0.76
ML Vitebsk
0.79
Niva
1.00
Bumprom
1.09
Dinamo Minsk II
1.15
Lida
1.18
Belshina
1.24
Volna
1.26
Lokomotiv Gomel
1.47
Orsha
1.50
ABFF U17
1.53
BATE II
1.59
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1.62
Ostrovets FC
1.68
Baranovichi
1.76
Shakhtyor Petrikov
1.79
Slonim
1.91
Torpedo BelAZ II
2.68
Dinamo Minsk II is 0.12 goals better than Volna in terms of goals conceded per game (1.15 vs 1.26).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Dinamo Minsk IIDinamo Minsk II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L20W00D00D11D00D11D00D11D20WH·SHA06/09A·BAT11/09A·FC 29/09A·LID05/10H·ORS11/10H·LOK16/10A·BUM01/11A·SLO05/11H·BEL08/11A·TOR17/11
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.430.790.431.000.44
vs Stronger (3)0.330.330.000.001.001.00
vs Similar (25)1.000.480.910.551.070.43
vs Weaker (2)0.500.001.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Volna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VolnaVolna

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W00D20W11D23L10W00D00D20W10WH·FC 20/09A·LOK25/09A·NIV29/09H·ML 05/10A·BAR12/10H·MOL20/10A·OST27/10H·SHA02/11A·BAT10/11H·LOK17/11
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.571.060.560.790.57
vs Stronger (4)0.500.501.000.500.000.50
vs Similar (24)1.000.581.080.540.910.64
vs Weaker (2)1.000.501.001.001.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Minsk II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dinamo Minsk II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Minsk II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Minsk II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Volna over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Volna over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Volna over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Dinamo Minsk IIDinamo Minsk II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D30W21W11D11D00D02L01L11D00DH·SHA06/09A·BAT11/09A·FC 29/09A·LID05/10H·ORS11/10H·LOK16/10A·BUM01/11A·SLO05/11H·BEL08/11A·TOR17/11
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.770.710.710.690.81
vs Stronger (3)0.330.000.500.000.000.00
vs Similar (25)0.760.880.730.910.790.86
vs Weaker (2)0.500.501.000.000.001.00
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Volna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VolnaVolna

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L30W01L01L00D11D01L50W11D10WH·FC 20/09A·LOK25/09A·NIV29/09H·ML 05/10A·BAR12/10H·MOL20/10A·OST27/10H·SHA02/11A·BAT10/11H·LOK17/11
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.631.380.501.000.79
vs Stronger (4)1.000.500.500.501.500.50
vs Similar (24)1.120.671.230.541.000.82
vs Weaker (2)2.500.505.000.000.001.00
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Minsk II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dinamo Minsk II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Minsk II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Minsk II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Volna over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Volna over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Volna over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.577.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.570.2%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (26)
€14m
BAR (21)
€2m
BEL (16)
€2m
NIV (21)
€2m
BUM (20)
€2m
DMI (27)
€1m
M4 (22)
€1m
VOL (18)
€1m
OF (22)
€1m
LID (18)
€1m
SLO (20)
€1m
BI (20)
€1m
ORS (19)
€1m
Dinamo Minsk II and Volna have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (9)
€6m
BAR (8)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
NIV (5)
€1m
BUM (7)
€1m
VOL (6)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
M4 (6)
€0m
OF (6)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
BI (4)
€0m
LID (2)
€0m
DMI (2)
€0m
Dinamo Minsk II and Volna have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (6)
€3m
DMI (11)
€1m
LID (7)
€1m
NIV (7)
€1m
BAR (4)
€0m
M4 (7)
€0m
BI (7)
€0m
VOL (6)
€0m
OF (7)
€0m
ORS (9)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
BEL (2)
€0m
BUM (4)
€0m
Dinamo Minsk II and Volna have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (11)
€5m
BAR (9)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
DMI (14)
€1m
BUM (9)
€1m
OF (9)
€1m
NIV (9)
€1m
M4 (9)
€1m
VOL (6)
€0m
LID (9)
€0m
SLO (8)
€0m
BI (9)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
Dinamo Minsk II and Volna have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
DMI wins
0
Draws
0
VOL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Dinamo Minsk II vs Volna · H/A from DMI
DateH/AGameScore
01/08/24AVolna Vs DMI1-2

Dinamo Minsk IIDinamo Minsk II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/11/24ATorpedo BelAZ II Vs DMI0-2
08/11/24HDMI Vs Belshina2-2
05/11/24ASlonim Vs DMI1-0
01/11/24ABumprom Vs DMI3-1
16/10/24HDMI Vs Lokomotiv Gomel0-0
11/10/24HDMI Vs Orsha2-2
05/10/24ALida Vs DMI1-1
29/09/24AFC Energetik-Bgu Minsk Vs DMI1-2
11/09/24ABATE II Vs DMI0-5
06/09/24HDMI Vs Shakhtyor Petrikov0-1

VolnaVolna

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/11/24HVOL Vs Lokomotiv Gomel2-0
10/11/24ABATE II Vs VOL1-3
02/11/24HVOL Vs Shakhtyor Petrikov5-0
27/10/24AOstrovets FC Vs VOL1-0
20/10/24HVOL Vs Molodechno-DYuSSh 42-1
12/10/24ABaranovichi Vs VOL3-2
05/10/24HVOL Vs ML Vitebsk1-2
29/09/24ANiva Vs VOL1-2
25/09/24ALokomotiv Gomel Vs VOL0-3
20/09/24HVOL Vs FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk3-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Dinamo Minsk II
Dinamo Minsk II
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLDW1.53
HomeDLDDD1.33
AwayWDLLW1.71
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%33%53%
AVG goals2.752.672.82
Over 1.5 %78%73%82%
Over 2.5 %59%60%59%
Over 3.5 %25%27%24%
Scored1.561.471.65
Conceded1.191.201.18
BTTS50%47%53%
Clean Sheet38%40%35%
Corners---
Cards---
Volna
Volna
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 7 Wins / 0 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWW1.68
HomeWLWWW1.92
AwayWWLLW1.42
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%62%42%
AVG goals3.243.463.00
Over 1.5 %88%96%79%
Over 2.5 %70%81%58%
Over 3.5 %34%35%33%
Scored1.802.041.54
Conceded1.441.421.46
BTTS58%58%58%
Clean Sheet24%31%17%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Molodechno-DYuSSh 4Molodechno-DYuSSh 43476
68%
2.2
6226+36
2.6
71%
44%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.80.8
-
2BelshinaBelshina3474
68%
2.2
8442+42
3.7
88%
68%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.51.2
-
3ML VitebskML Vitebsk3473
68%
2.1
7527+48
3.0
71%
59%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
14
6352.20.8
-
4NivaNiva3470
62%
2.1
7334+39
3.1
71%
56%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1112.11.0
-
5VolnaVolna3466
62%
1.9
7043+27
3.3
94%
74%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.11.3
-
6Dinamo Minsk IIDinamo Minsk II3452
44%
1.5
5439+15
2.7
76%
59%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0111.61.1
-
7LidaLida3452
44%
1.5
4840+8
2.6
68%
41%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0101.41.2
-
8BATE IIBATE II3449
41%
1.4
4654-8
2.9
76%
56%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.6
-
9BumpromBumprom3448
38%
1.4
5037+13
2.6
62%
56%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.1
-
10OrshaOrsha3445
32%
1.3
4651-5
2.9
82%
38%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.5
-
11Ostrovets FCOstrovets FC3443
35%
1.3
4457-13
3.0
76%
59%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.31.7
-
12Lokomotiv GomelLokomotiv Gomel3435
24%
1.0
4250-8
2.7
88%
47%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.5
-
13BaranovichiBaranovichi3434
26%
1.0
3060-30
2.6
74%
56%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.91.8
-
14ABFF U17ABFF U173433
26%
1.0
3152-21
2.4
74%
47%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.5
-
15Shakhtyor PetrikovShakhtyor Petrikov3431
26%
0.9
3361-28
2.8
68%
53%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.8
-
16FC Energetik-Bgu MinskFC Energetik-Bgu Minsk3429
21%
0.9
3655-19
2.7
65%
41%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.6
-
17SlonimSlonim3426
18%
0.8
2665-39
2.7
65%
47%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.81.9
-
18Torpedo BelAZ IITorpedo BelAZ II3421
18%
0.6
3491-57
3.7
85%
65%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.7
-
Belarus: 1. Division 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belarus: 1. Division stats & trends →

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