Dinamo Minsk’s recent 0-1 loss to Baranovichi after two straight defeats still leaves them the clear favourite, the model assigning an 82% chance of a home win. Their home form against weaker opposition shows 1.75 goals scored and 0.62 conceded, while Naftan’s away record against stronger teams is 0.4 scored and 2.6 conceded, underscoring the venue advantage. The model picks a 2-0 win for Dinamo Minsk, a 13% probability for a draw and 5% for a Naftan win, with an expected 3.3 goals and a most likely total of three goals at 22%. The single most likely scoreline is 2-0, occurring with a 13.4% chance. Suggested selections include Away under 3.5 goals (99.7%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.1%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (98.8%), Home +2 handicap (98.8%), Under 7.5 (97.9%), Away under 2.5 goals (97.8%), Away under 1.5 HT goals (95.1%) and Home or Draw (95.0%) with a 3% edge.
Results analysis
Dinamo Minsk’s win extends their recent run, finishing the match 5-1 to secure the home victory the model had predicted. The pre-match favourite was a Home win with an 82% probability, and the model’s call was correct. The model’s selections performed strongly: Away under 3.5 goals hit at 99.7%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 99.5%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 98.8%, Home +2 handicap at 98.8%, Under 7.5 at 97.9%, Away under 2.5 goals at 97.8%, Away under 1.5 HT goals at 95.5%, and Home or Draw at 95.0%. All picks settled in favour of the predicted outcome.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Dinamo Minsk win✓ Hit
81.8%
Avg Implied 79.3% · @ 1.16
Edge
+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.17
Dafabet
1.16
Pinnacle
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
Superbet
1.16
Draw✗ Miss
13.2%
Avg Implied 13.9% · @ 6.62
Edge
-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
7.10
Dafabet
7.00
Pinnacle
6.83
Marathonbet
6.75
1xBet
6.75
Naftan win✗ Miss
5.0%
Avg Implied 6.8% · @ 13.50
Edge
-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
17.50
1xBet
16.00
William Hil
15.00
Dafabet
13.00
Pinnacle
12.33
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Dinamo Minsk
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
0.87
1.67
0.67
1.13
1.07
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (10)
1.10
0.90
1.83
0.83
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (18)
1.72
0.89
1.75
0.62
1.70
1.10
Clean sheet %
30% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Naftan) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Naftan
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.90
1.87
1.67
0.60
2.13
vs Stronger (11)
0.73
2.55
1.00
2.50
0.40
2.60
vs Similar (19)
1.53
1.53
2.44
1.11
0.70
1.90
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Minsk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.2%
@ 1.11+2.7%
Under 1.5
14.8%
@ 5.22-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Under
Superbet
5.40
Marathonbet
5.15
1xBet
5.10
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
64.9%
@ 1.43+0.8%
Under 2.5
35.1%
@ 2.56-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.44
Pinnacle
1.43
Marathonbet
1.43
Superbet
1.42
Under
Superbet
2.67
Pinnacle
2.62
Marathonbet
2.48
1xBet
2.45
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
42.9%
@ 2.16-0.4%
Under 3.5
57.1%
@ 1.65+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.20
1xBet
2.19
Marathonbet
2.19
Superbet
2.07
Under
Superbet
1.68
Marathonbet
1.65
1xBet
1.65
Pinnacle
1.63
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
42.4%
@ 2.16-0.4%
No
57.6%
@ 1.61+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
1xBet
2.22
Marathonbet
2.22
Superbet
2.10
William Hil
2.10
No
William Hil
1.65
Superbet
1.65
1xBet
1.59
Marathonbet
1.57
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
13.4%@ 5.94+6.0%
3-0
12.3%@ 6.42+5.5%
1-0
9.2%@ 7.92+3.6%
4-0
8.5%@ 9.04+3.6%
2-1
7.9%@ 9.01+3.1%
3-1
7.3%@ 10.34+3.0%
1-1
6.3%@ 12.19+2.7%
4-1
5.0%@ 14.98+2.1%
Dinamo Minsk goals ↓
Naftan goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.1%
1.5%
0.6%
0.1%
0.0%
1
9.2%
6.3%
1.7%
0.3%
0.0%
2
13%
7.9%
2.3%
0.5%
0.1%
3
12%
7.3%
2.2%
0.4%
0.1%
4
8.5%
5.0%
1.5%
0.3%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dinamo Minsk goals (down), columns = Naftan goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Isloch Minsk R.
2.67
FC Vitebsk
2.57
ML Vitebsk
2.00
Neman
1.67
Dinamo Brest
1.67
Bate Borisov
1.60
Dinamo Minsk
1.50
FC Minsk
1.50
Slavia Mozyr
1.40
FC Gomel
1.33
Baranovichi
1.29
Belshina
1.00
Naftan
0.67
Torpedo Zhodino
0.67
FC Dnepr Mogilev
0.57
Arsenal (Belarus)
0.43
Dinamo Minsk is 0.83 points better than Naftan in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 0.67).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dinamo Minsk
2.25
Dinamo Brest
2.00
FC Isloch Minsk R.
1.83
ML Vitebsk
1.50
Slavia Mozyr
1.40
FC Gomel
1.33
Baranovichi
1.29
FC Vitebsk
1.29
Naftan
1.17
FC Minsk
1.17
Bate Borisov
1.00
Neman
1.00
Belshina
0.83
FC Dnepr Mogilev
0.71
Arsenal (Belarus)
0.71
Torpedo Zhodino
0.67
Dinamo Minsk is 1.08 goals better than Naftan in terms of goals scored per game (2.25 vs 1.17).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Vitebsk
0.14
ML Vitebsk
0.50
FC Gomel
0.50
FC Isloch Minsk R.
0.67
Neman
0.67
Dinamo Minsk
0.75
Bate Borisov
1.00
Dinamo Brest
1.17
FC Minsk
1.17
Slavia Mozyr
1.20
Belshina
1.33
FC Dnepr Mogilev
1.43
Baranovichi
1.43
Torpedo Zhodino
1.67
Arsenal (Belarus)
2.43
Naftan
3.00
Dinamo Minsk is 2.25 goals better than Naftan in terms of goals conceded per game (0.75 vs 3.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
ML Vitebsk
63%
Dinamo Minsk
60%
Neman
58%
FC Gomel
55%
Torpedo Zhodino
54%
Dinamo Brest
52%
FC Dnepr Mogilev
50%
Slavia Mozyr
49%
Arsenal (Belarus)
48%
FC Minsk
48%
FC Isloch Minsk R.
47%
Bate Borisov
46%
FC Vitebsk
46%
Baranovichi
44%
Belshina
43%
Naftan
43%
Dinamo Minsk is 17.2 percentage points better than Naftan in terms of average possession (60% vs 43%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Dinamo Minsk
For 5.3 · Against 6.3 · Total 11.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.4 · Total 2.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 13.8 · Total 26.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Naftan
For 4.5 · Against 5.5 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 1.1 · Total 2.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.2 · Against 11.2 · Total 21.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Dinamo Minsk
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.3
10.4
12.5
2.6
2.4
2.8
27.4
29.0
25.5
vs Stronger (4)
9.5
8.0
11.0
4.5
4.5
4.5
23.5
25.0
22.0
vs Similar (14)
11.0
11.0
-
1.8
1.9
1.7
32.5
32.5
-
vs Weaker (32)
14.0
14.0
14.0
2.8
2.4
3.1
29.3
30.0
29.0
% over line
78%
60%
100%
38%
40%
36%
78%
80%
75%
% under line
22%
40%
0%
62%
60%
64%
22%
20%
25%
This opponent (Naftan) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Naftan
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
12.0
8.0
2.5
2.4
2.7
21.5
20.0
23.0
vs Stronger (17)
10.0
10.0
-
2.0
1.8
2.3
21.0
21.0
-
vs Similar (33)
10.0
14.0
8.0
2.8
2.8
2.9
21.7
19.0
23.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
50%
100%
0%
26%
27%
25%
25%
0%
50%
% under line
50%
0%
100%
74%
73%
75%
75%
100%
50%
This opponent (Dinamo Minsk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Bate Borisov
12.0
Baranovichi
11.8
FC Gomel
11.8
FC Isloch Minsk R.
11.0
ML Vitebsk
11.0
Dinamo Brest
11.0
Dinamo Minsk
10.9
Belshina
10.8
Slavia Mozyr
10.8
Torpedo Zhodino
10.2
Naftan
10.0
FC Dnepr Mogilev
10.0
FC Vitebsk
9.8
FC Minsk
9.7
Arsenal (Belarus)
9.0
Neman
8.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Belshina
4.8
ML Vitebsk
4.4
Bate Borisov
3.6
Slavia Mozyr
3.4
Arsenal (Belarus)
3.4
Dinamo Minsk
3.2
Neman
3.1
FC Gomel
3.1
FC Vitebsk
3.1
Naftan
3.1
FC Minsk
2.9
Dinamo Brest
2.9
FC Dnepr Mogilev
2.8
Baranovichi
2.8
FC Isloch Minsk R.
2.7
Torpedo Zhodino
2.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
ML Vitebsk
34.4
Torpedo Zhodino
30.5
FC Gomel
28.7
Baranovichi
28.2
Dinamo Brest
27.8
Slavia Mozyr
27.0
Dinamo Minsk
26.4
Bate Borisov
26.2
FC Isloch Minsk R.
25.8
Belshina
23.0
FC Dnepr Mogilev
22.5
Neman
21.8
Naftan
21.5
Arsenal (Belarus)
21.4
FC Vitebsk
20.2
FC Minsk
17.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
60.7%
@ 1.44-2.6%
Under 9.5
39.3%
@ 2.49+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.45
Marathonbet
1.43
Under
Marathonbet
2.50
1xBet
2.48
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
34.5%
Under 3.5
65.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
79.0%
Under 21.5
21.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Dinamo Minsk or Draw✓ Hit
95.0%
Avg Implied 92.6% · @ 1.02
Edge
+2.4%
82%
13%
5%
covers Dinamo Minsk + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.02
William Hil
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Dinamo Minsk or Naftan✓ Hit
86.8%
Avg Implied 87.3% · @ 1.08
Edge
-0.5%
82%
13%
5%
covers Dinamo Minsk + Naftan
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.11
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
Superbet
1.06
Draw or Naftan✗ Miss
18.2%
Avg Implied 20.1% · @ 4.71
Edge
-1.8%
82%
13%
5%
covers Draw + Naftan
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
4.90
1xBet
4.85
William Hil
4.80
Superbet
4.30
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Dinamo Minsk over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
93.6%
Under
6.4%
@ 11.20-93.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
1xBet
11.20
Dinamo Minsk over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
76.1%
@ 1.24+1.6%
Under
23.9%
@ 3.62-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Superbet
1.23
Under
Superbet
3.70
Marathonbet
3.58
1xBet
3.58
Dinamo Minsk over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
51.9%
@ 1.81+0.2%
Under
48.1%
@ 1.94-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.84
Marathonbet
1.83
Pinnacle
1.83
Superbet
1.74
Under
Superbet
1.97
Marathonbet
1.94
1xBet
1.93
Pinnacle
1.92
Dinamo Minsk over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
29.7%
@ 2.97-1.5%
Under
70.3%
@ 1.35+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.00
Marathonbet
3.00
Superbet
2.90
Under
Superbet
1.36
1xBet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.34
Naftan over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
44.7%
@ 2.06-0.4%
Under
55.3%
@ 1.69+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.10
Pinnacle
2.05
Superbet
1.97
Under
Superbet
1.74
Pinnacle
1.72
Marathonbet
1.64
1xBet
1.64
Naftan over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
11.9%
@ 7.00-1.5%
Under
88.1%
@ 1.08+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.60
1xBet
7.60
Superbet
5.80
Under
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
Naftan over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
2.2%
@ 19.00-97.8%
Under
97.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
19.00
Under
No market prices yet.
Naftan over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.3%
Under
99.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Dinamo Minsk, so a minus line means Dinamo Minsk give that many goals of a start and Naftan receive them. At -1, Dinamo Minsk must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Dinamo Minsk win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Dinamo Minsk)Actual: Dinamo Minsk
Dinamo Minsk -2
40.0%
@ 2.25+0.2%
Draw -2
22.3%
@ 4.15+0.7%
Naftan +2
37.7%
@ 2.32-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
2.25
Draw
Marathonbet
4.15
Away
Marathonbet
2.32
Handicap -1 (Dinamo Minsk)Actual: Dinamo Minsk
Dinamo Minsk -1
62.3%
@ 1.50+1.7%
Draw -1
19.5%
@ 4.33-1.4%
Naftan +1
18.2%
@ 4.90-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.50
Draw
Marathonbet
4.33
Away
Marathonbet
4.90
Handicap +1 (Dinamo Minsk)Actual: Dinamo Minsk
Dinamo Minsk +1
95.0%
Draw +1
3.7%
Naftan -1
1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Dinamo Minsk)Actual: Dinamo Minsk
Dinamo Minsk +2
98.8%
Draw +2
1.0%
Naftan -2
0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Dinamo Minsk
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.40
0.73
0.20
0.60
0.60
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (10)
0.50
0.50
0.83
0.50
0.00
0.50
vs Weaker (18)
0.83
0.33
0.75
0.00
0.90
0.60
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Naftan) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Naftan
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.07
0.93
1.00
0.27
1.13
vs Stronger (11)
0.45
1.36
0.50
1.67
0.40
1.00
vs Similar (19)
0.68
0.89
1.22
0.56
0.20
1.20
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Minsk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
77.1%
@ 1.23+1.9%
Under 0.5
22.9%
@ 3.70-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.24
1xBet
1.24
William Hil
1.22
Superbet
1.20
Under
Superbet
4.00
William Hil
3.80
Marathonbet
3.50
1xBet
3.50
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
46.3%
@ 2.13+2.5%
Under 1.5
53.7%
@ 1.66-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.22
Marathonbet
2.21
Pinnacle
2.17
William Hil
2.05
Superbet
2.00
Under
Superbet
1.73
William Hil
1.70
Pinnacle
1.63
Marathonbet
1.62
1xBet
1.62
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
21.0%
@ 4.59+0.8%
Under 2.5
79.0%
@ 1.16-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.90
Marathonbet
4.85
William Hil
4.50
Superbet
4.10
Under
Superbet
1.20
William Hil
1.18
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.13
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dinamo Minsk over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
71.7%
@ 1.32+1.6%
Under
28.3%
@ 3.10-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.32
Under
1xBet
3.10
Dinamo Minsk over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
33.9%
@ 2.59-1.9%
Under
66.1%
@ 1.45+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.72
Pinnacle
2.68
1xBet
2.50
Superbet
2.45
Under
Superbet
1.49
1xBet
1.47
Pinnacle
1.43
Marathonbet
1.39
Dinamo Minsk over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
10.6%
@ 5.90-4.8%
Under
89.4%
@ 1.08+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.90
Under
1xBet
1.08
Naftan over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
28.6%
@ 3.72+3.7%
Under
71.4%
@ 1.23-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.05
1xBet
3.60
Superbet
3.50
Under
Superbet
1.26
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.19
Naftan over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
4.5%
Under
95.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Naftan over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.5%
Under
99.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Dinamo Minsk
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.47
0.93
0.47
0.53
0.47
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (10)
0.60
0.40
1.00
0.33
0.00
0.50
vs Weaker (18)
0.89
0.56
1.00
0.62
0.80
0.50
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Naftan) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Naftan
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.83
0.93
0.67
0.33
1.00
vs Stronger (11)
0.27
1.18
0.50
0.83
0.00
1.60
vs Similar (19)
0.84
0.63
1.22
0.56
0.50
0.70
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Minsk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
86.9%
@ 1.12+4.4%
Under 0.5
13.1%
@ 5.28-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.17
Superbet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Under
Marathonbet
5.50
1xBet
5.45
Superbet
5.35
William Hil
4.80
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
53.0%
@ 1.67-2.6%
Under 1.5
47.0%
@ 2.09+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.70
1xBet
1.68
Marathonbet
1.67
Superbet
1.64
Under
Marathonbet
2.13
Superbet
2.12
1xBet
2.11
William Hil
2.00
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
28.9%
@ 3.03-1.5%
Under 2.5
71.1%
@ 1.32+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.20
1xBet
2.98
Marathonbet
2.98
Superbet
2.95
Under
Superbet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.32
1xBet
1.32
William Hil
1.30
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dinamo Minsk over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
77.0%
@ 1.19-0.9%
Under
23.0%
@ 4.20+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.19
Under
1xBet
4.20
Dinamo Minsk over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
40.7%
@ 1.98-6.1%
Under
59.3%
@ 1.74+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.98
1xBet
1.95
Under
1xBet
1.76
Superbet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.72
Dinamo Minsk over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
19.6%
@ 3.90-3.9%
Under
80.4%
@ 1.20+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.90
Under
1xBet
1.20
Naftan over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
31.4%
@ 3.02+0.8%
Under
68.6%
@ 1.33-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.20
1xBet
3.00
Superbet
2.87
Under
Superbet
1.37
1xBet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.29
Naftan over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
6.2%
Under
93.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Naftan over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.2%
Under
98.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 3.5 goals
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
97.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
97.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
95.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
95.0%
1.02
Superbet
1.02
William Hil
1.02
1xBet
1.02
-
-
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
95.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
94.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
93.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
93.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
92.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
89.4%
1.08
1xBet
1.08
-
-
-
-
+4.8%
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
89.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
88.1%
1.08
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
-
-
+1.5%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
87.8%
1.07
Superbet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
-
-
+2.3%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals
86.9%
1.12
William Hil
1.17
Superbet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
-
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
86.8%
1.08
William Hil
1.11
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
Superbet
1.06
-
-0.5%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
85.2%
1.11
Superbet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
-
-
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
82.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home win
81.8%
1.16
1xBet
1.17
Dafabet
1.16
Pinnacle
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
Superbet
1.16
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
80.4%
1.20
1xBet
1.20
-
-
-
-
+3.9%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
79.0%
1.16
Superbet
1.20
William Hil
1.18
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.13
-
-0.8%
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
79.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals
77.1%
1.23
Marathonbet
1.24
1xBet
1.24
William Hil
1.22
Superbet
1.20
-
+1.9%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 2H goals
77.0%
1.19
1xBet
1.19
-
-
-
-
-0.9%
✓ Hit
Home over 1.5 goals
76.1%
1.24
Marathonbet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Superbet
1.23
-
-
+1.6%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
75.5%
1.24
Superbet
1.28
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
-
-
+1.8%
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
72.4%
1.23
Marathonbet
1.23
1xBet
1.22
-
-
-
-1.3%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 HT goals
71.7%
1.32
1xBet
1.32
-
-
-
-
+1.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 0.5 HT goals
71.4%
1.23
Superbet
1.26
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.19
-
-
-3.7%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
71.1%
1.32
Superbet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.32
1xBet
1.32
William Hil
1.30
-
+1.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
70.3%
1.35
Superbet
1.36
1xBet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.34
-
-
+1.5%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Dinamo Minsk · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Steven Alfred33%
Raymond Adeola25%
Aleksei Gavrilovich20%
Gleb Zherdev20%
Daniil Kulikov0%
Aleksandr Selyava0%
Dmitri Podstrelov0%
Pavel Sedko0%
Sergei Politevich0%
Nikita Demchenko0%
Rai Lopes0%
Vadim Pigas0%
Vladislav Kalinin0%
Fedor Lapoukhov0%
Joseph Okoro0%
Trofim Melnichenko0%
Boni Amian0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Steven Alfred67%
Daniil Kulikov40%
Aleksei Gavrilovich40%
Vladislav Kalinin40%
Trofim Melnichenko25%
Dmitri Podstrelov20%
Gleb Zherdev20%
Pavel Sedko20%
Nikita Demchenko17%
Vadim Pigas17%
Aleksandr Selyava0%
Sergei Politevich0%
Rai Lopes0%
Raymond Adeola0%
Fedor Lapoukhov0%
Joseph Okoro0%
Boni Amian0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Rai Lopes17%
Vadim Pigas17%
Daniil Kulikov0%
Aleksandr Selyava0%
Aleksei Gavrilovich0%
Dmitri Podstrelov0%
Gleb Zherdev0%
Steven Alfred0%
Pavel Sedko0%
Sergei Politevich0%
Nikita Demchenko0%
Vladislav Kalinin0%
Raymond Adeola0%
Fedor Lapoukhov0%
Joseph Okoro0%
Trofim Melnichenko0%
Boni Amian0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Steven Alfred67%
Dmitri Podstrelov20%
Gleb Zherdev20%
Daniil Kulikov0%
Aleksandr Selyava0%
Aleksei Gavrilovich0%
Pavel Sedko0%
Sergei Politevich0%
Nikita Demchenko0%
Rai Lopes0%
Vadim Pigas0%
Vladislav Kalinin0%
Raymond Adeola0%
Fedor Lapoukhov0%
Joseph Okoro0%
Trofim Melnichenko0%
Boni Amian0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (26)
€14m
DM (27)
€9m
DB (23)
€7m
TZ (31)
€5m
BB (26)
€4m
SM (25)
€4m
FG (23)
€4m
NEM (28)
€4m
FIM (23)
€4m
FM (25)
€3m
FDM (25)
€3m
FV (24)
€3m
BAR (21)
€2m
NAF (21)
€2m
BEL (16)
€2m
A( (17)
€2m
Dinamo Minsk's squad is €7m more valuable than Naftan's (€9m vs €2m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (9)
€6m
DM (8)
€3m
DB (5)
€2m
FG (8)
€2m
FV (13)
€2m
TZ (10)
€2m
BB (8)
€1m
FDM (9)
€1m
NEM (9)
€1m
FM (9)
€1m
FIM (8)
€1m
BAR (8)
€1m
SM (5)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
A( (5)
€1m
NAF (4)
€0m
Dinamo Minsk's attack is €3m more valuable than Naftan's (€3m vs €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (6)
€3m
DM (8)
€2m
NEM (9)
€2m
TZ (7)
€2m
BB (9)
€2m
DB (5)
€1m
SM (10)
€1m
FIM (8)
€1m
NAF (9)
€1m
FG (5)
€1m
FDM (6)
€1m
FM (5)
€1m
BAR (4)
€0m
A( (5)
€0m
BEL (2)
€0m
FV (3)
€0m
Dinamo Minsk's midfield is €2m more valuable than Naftan's (€2m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (11)
€5m
DM (11)
€3m
DB (13)
€3m
TZ (14)
€2m
SM (10)
€2m
FIM (7)
€2m
FM (11)
€1m
FG (10)
€1m
BB (9)
€1m
FDM (10)
€1m
FV (8)
€1m
BAR (9)
€1m
NEM (10)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
A( (7)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
Dinamo Minsk's defence is €3m more valuable than Naftan's (€3m vs €1m).
Belarus: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belarus: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Vitebsk
FC Isloch Minsk R.
Dinamo Brest
Neman
FC Minsk
Baranovichi
FC Gomel
ML Vitebsk
Bate Borisov
Slavia Mozyr
Belshina
FC Dnepr Mogilev
Torpedo Zhodino
Arsenal (Belarus)