Dinamo Minsk, coming off a defeat to SC Braga, hosts Torpedo Zhodino, which has suffered three consecutive losses. The model predicts a home win, favouring Dinamo Minsk to win with a 49% probability, followed by a draw at 30%, and an away win at 20%. The expected total goals are 2.2, with a most likely total of 2 goals.
The most likely score is 1-0 in favour of Dinamo Minsk, with a 14.3% probability. At home, Dinamo Minsk scores an average of 1.83 goals and concedes 0.75, while Torpedo Zhodino, away, scores 0.33 goals and concedes 2.33 against a stronger opponent.
The model's selections include Under 9.5 corners (100%), Under 21.5 fouls (100%), Under 3.5 (82.2% with a 29% edge), and Under 3.5 cards (77.2%). Dinamo Minsk has a 49% chance of winning, a 30% chance of drawing, and a 20% chance of losing. The model's selections for the match are Under 9.5 corners, Under 21.5 fouls, Under 3.5, and Under 3.5 cards.
Results analysis
Dinamo Minsk’s recent form, highlighted by a 4-0 win over Torpedo Zhodino, set the stage for a home victory that the model predicted with a 49 % probability. The final score of 4-0 confirmed the favoured result, and the model’s call was correct. The model’s selection of “Away under 2.5 HT goals” at 99.3 % hit, as did “Away under 3.5 goals” (99.1 %), “Home under 2.5 HT goals” (95.5 %), “Away under 2.5 goals” (95.3 %) and “Away under 1.5 HT goals” (94.8 %). “Under 5.5 cards” (94.3 %) also hit, and “Home +2 handicap” (93.3 %) was a success. Only “Home under 3.5 goals” (94.9 %) missed, while the other selections performed as expected.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Dinamo Minsk win✓ Hit
49.3%
Avg Implied 55.4% · @ 1.65
Edge
-6.1%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.67
William Hil
1.67
888Sport
1.67
Superbet
1.67
Dafabet
1.66
Draw✗ Miss
30.2%
Avg Implied 26.2% · @ 3.49
Edge
+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
3.60
1xBet
3.60
Superbet
3.55
Dafabet
3.55
Pinnacle
3.52
Torpedo Zhodino win✗ Miss
20.5%
Avg Implied 18.4% · @ 4.97
Edge
+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
5.30
1xBet
5.23
Pinnacle
5.07
Dafabet
5.00
Superbet
4.90
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Dinamo Minsk
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
0.87
1.67
0.73
1.20
1.00
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (9)
0.78
1.00
1.40
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (19)
1.89
0.84
2.00
0.67
1.80
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo Zhodino) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Torpedo Zhodino
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.17
1.56
1.19
1.29
1.14
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (18)
1.00
1.39
1.20
1.20
0.75
1.62
vs Weaker (11)
2.18
0.91
2.17
1.17
2.20
0.60
Clean sheet %
20% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Minsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
65.2%
@ 1.29-5.9%
Under 1.5
34.8%
@ 3.19+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.37
888Sport
1.29
Superbet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
Under
888Sport
3.30
Superbet
3.30
Marathonbet
3.24
1xBet
3.24
Pinnacle
2.89
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
37.1%
@ 1.94-11.1%
Under 2.5
62.9%
@ 1.81+11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.98
Marathonbet
1.97
1xBet
1.97
Superbet
1.92
888Sport
1.91
Under
SBO
1.87
Marathonbet
1.81
Pinnacle
1.81
1xBet
1.81
888Sport
1.80
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
17.6%
@ 3.26-10.5%
Under 3.5
82.4%
@ 1.27+10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
3.30
Superbet
3.25
1xBet
3.24
Marathonbet
3.24
Under
Superbet
1.29
888Sport
1.29
Marathonbet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
42.4%
@ 1.88-6.8%
No
57.6%
@ 1.82+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.90
1xBet
1.89
Marathonbet
1.89
William Hil
1.85
888Sport
1.85
No
William Hil
1.83
888Sport
1.83
Superbet
1.82
1xBet
1.81
Marathonbet
1.79
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
14.4%@ 5.92+6.9%
1-1
13.7%@ 6.24+6.7%
0-0
12.6%@ 9.04+7.7%
2-0
10.8%@ 7.25+4.7%
2-1
8.6%@ 7.51+2.7%
0-1
7.8%@ 12.20+4.2%
1-2
5.0%@ 15.90+2.2%
3-0
5.0%@ 12.56+1.4%
Dinamo Minsk goals ↓
Torpedo Zhodino goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
13%
7.8%
3.6%
1.0%
0.2%
1
14%
14%
5.0%
1.3%
0.3%
2
11%
8.6%
3.4%
0.9%
0.2%
3
5.0%
4.0%
1.6%
0.4%
0.1%
4
1.7%
1.4%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dinamo Minsk goals (down), columns = Torpedo Zhodino goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Isloch Minsk R.
2.67
FC Vitebsk
2.57
ML Vitebsk
2.00
Neman
1.67
Dinamo Brest
1.67
Bate Borisov
1.60
Dinamo Minsk
1.50
FC Minsk
1.50
Slavia Mozyr
1.40
FC Gomel
1.33
Baranovichi
1.29
Belshina
1.00
Naftan
0.67
Torpedo Zhodino
0.67
FC Dnepr Mogilev
0.57
Arsenal (Belarus)
0.43
Dinamo Minsk is 0.83 points better than Torpedo Zhodino in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 0.67).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dinamo Minsk
2.25
Dinamo Brest
2.00
FC Isloch Minsk R.
1.83
ML Vitebsk
1.50
Slavia Mozyr
1.40
FC Gomel
1.33
Baranovichi
1.29
FC Vitebsk
1.29
Naftan
1.17
FC Minsk
1.17
Bate Borisov
1.00
Neman
1.00
Belshina
0.83
FC Dnepr Mogilev
0.71
Arsenal (Belarus)
0.71
Torpedo Zhodino
0.67
Dinamo Minsk is 1.58 goals better than Torpedo Zhodino in terms of goals scored per game (2.25 vs 0.67).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Vitebsk
0.14
ML Vitebsk
0.50
FC Gomel
0.50
FC Isloch Minsk R.
0.67
Neman
0.67
Dinamo Minsk
0.75
Bate Borisov
1.00
Dinamo Brest
1.17
FC Minsk
1.17
Slavia Mozyr
1.20
Belshina
1.33
FC Dnepr Mogilev
1.43
Baranovichi
1.43
Torpedo Zhodino
1.67
Arsenal (Belarus)
2.43
Naftan
3.00
Dinamo Minsk is 0.92 goals better than Torpedo Zhodino in terms of goals conceded per game (0.75 vs 1.67).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
ML Vitebsk
63%
Dinamo Minsk
60%
Neman
58%
FC Gomel
55%
Torpedo Zhodino
54%
Dinamo Brest
52%
FC Dnepr Mogilev
50%
Slavia Mozyr
49%
Arsenal (Belarus)
48%
FC Minsk
48%
FC Isloch Minsk R.
47%
Bate Borisov
46%
FC Vitebsk
46%
Baranovichi
44%
Belshina
43%
Naftan
43%
Dinamo Minsk is 5.8 percentage points better than Torpedo Zhodino in terms of average possession (60% vs 54%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Dinamo Minsk
For 4.7 · Against 6.0 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.5 · Total 2.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.3 · Against 11.3 · Total 23.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Torpedo Zhodino
For 4.0 · Against 7.0 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 1.4 · Total 2.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 18.0 · Against 15.0 · Total 33.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Dinamo Minsk
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
9.0
11.0
2.7
2.5
2.9
25.7
28.0
24.0
vs Stronger (4)
9.5
8.0
11.0
4.5
4.5
4.5
23.5
25.0
22.0
vs Similar (14)
9.0
11.0
7.0
1.9
1.5
2.1
28.5
34.0
23.0
vs Weaker (32)
15.0
-
15.0
2.9
2.6
3.1
29.0
-
29.0
% over line
57%
33%
75%
40%
40%
40%
71%
67%
75%
% under line
43%
67%
25%
60%
60%
60%
29%
33%
25%
This opponent (Torpedo Zhodino) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Torpedo Zhodino
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.0
11.0
-
2.0
2.2
1.8
33.0
33.0
-
vs Stronger (3)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
11.0
11.0
-
2.6
2.5
2.6
33.0
33.0
-
vs Weaker (17)
-
-
-
1.4
1.7
1.2
-
-
-
% over line
100%
100%
-
24%
24%
24%
100%
100%
-
% under line
0%
0%
-
76%
76%
76%
0%
0%
-
This opponent (Dinamo Minsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Baranovichi
11.7
Bate Borisov
11.3
Dinamo Brest
11.3
Torpedo Zhodino
11.0
ML Vitebsk
11.0
Naftan
11.0
Belshina
10.9
Dinamo Minsk
10.3
Slavia Mozyr
10.0
FC Isloch Minsk R.
10.0
FC Gomel
10.0
FC Dnepr Mogilev
9.6
Arsenal (Belarus)
9.2
Neman
8.3
FC Vitebsk
8.0
FC Minsk
7.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Belshina
5.0
ML Vitebsk
3.7
Bate Borisov
3.6
Arsenal (Belarus)
3.4
Slavia Mozyr
3.3
FC Vitebsk
3.2
Naftan
3.1
Dinamo Minsk
3.1
Neman
3.0
FC Gomel
3.0
FC Dnepr Mogilev
2.9
FC Minsk
2.8
FC Isloch Minsk R.
2.7
Dinamo Brest
2.7
Baranovichi
2.7
Torpedo Zhodino
2.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
ML Vitebsk
37.7
Torpedo Zhodino
33.0
Dinamo Brest
29.3
FC Gomel
29.0
Baranovichi
28.3
FC Isloch Minsk R.
27.0
Bate Borisov
26.3
Dinamo Minsk
25.2
Belshina
24.0
Slavia Mozyr
23.7
FC Dnepr Mogilev
22.5
FC Vitebsk
22.5
Naftan
22.0
Arsenal (Belarus)
20.6
Neman
18.5
FC Minsk
17.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
52.6%
@ 1.99+6.1%
Under 9.5
47.4%
@ 1.73-6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.99
Marathonbet
1.98
Under
1xBet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.72
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
28.6%
Under 3.5
71.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
70.2%
Under 21.5
29.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Dinamo Minsk or Draw✓ Hit
79.5%
Avg Implied 82.1% · @ 1.13
Edge
-2.5%
49%
30%
20%
covers Dinamo Minsk + Draw
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
1.15
William Hil
1.15
Superbet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
Dinamo Minsk or Torpedo Zhodino✓ Hit
69.8%
Avg Implied 73.8% · @ 1.26
Edge
-4.0%
49%
30%
20%
covers Dinamo Minsk + Torpedo Zhodino
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Marathonbet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
Superbet
1.25
Draw or Torpedo Zhodino✗ Miss
50.7%
Avg Implied 44.1% · @ 2.11
Edge
+6.6%
49%
30%
20%
covers Draw + Torpedo Zhodino
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
2.15
Marathonbet
2.15
888Sport
2.10
William Hil
2.10
SBO
2.09
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Dinamo Minsk over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
74.8%
@ 1.15-5.9%
Under
25.2%
@ 4.80+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.16
888Sport
1.15
1xBet
1.13
Under
1xBet
4.95
888Sport
4.80
Superbet
4.65
Dinamo Minsk over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
40.1%
@ 1.82-11.4%
Under
59.9%
@ 1.92+11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.83
Marathonbet
1.83
Pinnacle
1.82
Superbet
1.80
888Sport
1.80
Under
1xBet
1.94
Marathonbet
1.94
Pinnacle
1.93
888Sport
1.91
Superbet
1.90
Dinamo Minsk over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
16.1%
@ 3.52-10.1%
Under
83.9%
@ 1.26+10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
3.60
Marathonbet
3.50
1xBet
3.50
Superbet
3.50
Under
Superbet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
888Sport
1.25
Dinamo Minsk over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
5.1%
@ 7.93-6.5%
Under
94.9%
@ 1.04+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
8.00
Marathonbet
7.90
1xBet
7.90
Under
888Sport
1.06
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Torpedo Zhodino over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
55.0%
@ 1.60-2.8%
Under
45.0%
@ 2.19+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.63
Marathonbet
1.61
1xBet
1.61
Superbet
1.60
888Sport
1.57
Under
888Sport
2.25
Pinnacle
2.22
Superbet
2.20
1xBet
2.15
Marathonbet
2.15
Torpedo Zhodino over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
19.1%
@ 4.10-3.7%
Under
80.9%
@ 1.21+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.30
1xBet
4.30
Superbet
3.90
888Sport
3.90
Under
Superbet
1.22
888Sport
1.22
Marathonbet
1.20
1xBet
1.20
Torpedo Zhodino over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
4.7%
@ 12.67-2.8%
Under
95.3%
@ 1.03+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
15.00
888Sport
13.00
Superbet
10.00
Under
888Sport
1.03
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Torpedo Zhodino over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.9%
Under
99.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Dinamo Minsk, so a minus line means Dinamo Minsk give that many goals of a start and Torpedo Zhodino receive them. At -1, Dinamo Minsk must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Dinamo Minsk win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Dinamo Minsk)Actual: Dinamo Minsk
Dinamo Minsk -2
9.3%
@ 5.60-6.7%
Draw -2
15.3%
@ 5.00-2.6%
Torpedo Zhodino +2
75.4%
@ 1.36+9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
5.60
Draw
Marathonbet
5.00
Away
Marathonbet
1.36
Handicap -1 (Dinamo Minsk)Actual: Dinamo Minsk
Dinamo Minsk -1
24.6%
@ 2.75-7.9%
Draw -1
24.7%
@ 3.48-1.0%
Torpedo Zhodino +1
50.7%
@ 2.15+9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
2.75
Draw
Marathonbet
3.48
Away
Marathonbet
2.15
Handicap +1 (Dinamo Minsk)Actual: Dinamo Minsk
Dinamo Minsk +1
79.5%
@ 1.13+8.9%
Draw +1
13.8%
@ 4.50-4.0%
Torpedo Zhodino -1
6.7%
@ 6.90-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.13
Draw
Marathonbet
4.50
Away
Marathonbet
6.90
Handicap +2 (Dinamo Minsk)Actual: Dinamo Minsk
Dinamo Minsk +2
93.3%
Draw +2
5.1%
Torpedo Zhodino -2
1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Dinamo Minsk
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.43
0.80
0.27
0.60
0.60
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (9)
0.44
0.56
0.80
0.60
0.00
0.50
vs Weaker (19)
0.89
0.37
0.89
0.11
0.90
0.60
Clean sheet %
60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo Zhodino) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Torpedo Zhodino
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.50
0.75
0.56
0.50
0.43
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (18)
0.61
0.56
0.70
0.50
0.50
0.62
vs Weaker (11)
0.73
0.45
0.83
0.67
0.60
0.20
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Minsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
71.6%
@ 1.39+4.8%
Under 0.5
28.4%
@ 2.79-4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.41
Marathonbet
1.41
Pinnacle
1.38
Superbet
1.37
William Hil
1.36
Under
William Hil
2.88
Superbet
2.85
Pinnacle
2.84
1xBet
2.69
Marathonbet
2.69
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
36.0%
@ 2.82+3.1%
Under 1.5
64.0%
@ 1.38-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.89
Marathonbet
2.89
William Hil
2.80
Pinnacle
2.79
Superbet
2.72
Under
Superbet
1.40
William Hil
1.40
Pinnacle
1.39
1xBet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
9.9%
@ 7.20-2.9%
Under 2.5
90.1%
@ 1.05+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
7.50
Marathonbet
7.40
1xBet
7.40
Superbet
6.50
Under
William Hil
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dinamo Minsk over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
57.8%
Under
42.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Minsk over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
17.7%
Under
82.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Minsk over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
4.5%
Under
95.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Zhodino over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
32.7%
Under
67.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Zhodino over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
5.2%
Under
94.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Zhodino over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.7%
Under
99.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Dinamo Minsk
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.43
0.87
0.47
0.60
0.40
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (9)
0.33
0.44
0.60
0.40
0.00
0.50
vs Weaker (19)
1.00
0.47
1.11
0.56
0.90
0.40
Clean sheet %
57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo Zhodino) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Torpedo Zhodino
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.67
0.81
0.62
0.79
0.71
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (18)
0.39
0.83
0.50
0.70
0.25
1.00
vs Weaker (11)
1.45
0.45
1.33
0.50
1.60
0.40
Clean sheet %
37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Minsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dinamo Minsk over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Minsk over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Minsk over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Zhodino over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Zhodino over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Zhodino over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
95.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
95.3%
1.03
888Sport
1.03
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
-
-
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
94.9%
1.04
888Sport
1.06
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
-
-
+6.5%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 HT goals
94.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
94.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
93.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
90.1%
1.05
William Hil
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
-
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
86.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
83.9%
1.26
Superbet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
888Sport
1.25
-
+10.1%
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
83.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
82.4%
1.27
Superbet
1.29
888Sport
1.29
Marathonbet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
-
+10.5%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 HT goals
82.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
80.9%
1.21
Superbet
1.22
888Sport
1.22
Marathonbet
1.20
1xBet
1.20
-
+3.7%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
79.5%
1.13
888Sport
1.15
William Hil
1.15
Superbet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
-2.5%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
79.5%
1.13
Marathonbet
1.13
-
-
-
-
+8.9%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
75.4%
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
-
-
-
-
+9.4%
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals
74.8%
1.15
Superbet
1.16
888Sport
1.15
1xBet
1.13
-
-
-5.9%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
71.6%
1.39
1xBet
1.41
Marathonbet
1.41
Pinnacle
1.38
Superbet
1.37
William Hil
1.36
+4.8%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5 cards
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
71.1%
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.21
-
-
-
-3.3%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
70.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Dinamo Minsk · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Steven Alfred33%
Raymond Adeola25%
Aleksei Gavrilovich20%
Gleb Zherdev20%
Daniil Kulikov0%
Aleksandr Selyava0%
Dmitri Podstrelov0%
Pavel Sedko0%
Sergei Politevich0%
Nikita Demchenko0%
Rai Lopes0%
Vadim Pigas0%
Vladislav Kalinin0%
Fedor Lapoukhov0%
Joseph Okoro0%
Trofim Melnichenko0%
Boni Amian0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Steven Alfred67%
Daniil Kulikov40%
Aleksei Gavrilovich40%
Vladislav Kalinin40%
Trofim Melnichenko25%
Dmitri Podstrelov20%
Gleb Zherdev20%
Pavel Sedko20%
Nikita Demchenko17%
Vadim Pigas17%
Aleksandr Selyava0%
Sergei Politevich0%
Rai Lopes0%
Raymond Adeola0%
Fedor Lapoukhov0%
Joseph Okoro0%
Boni Amian0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Rai Lopes17%
Vadim Pigas17%
Daniil Kulikov0%
Aleksandr Selyava0%
Aleksei Gavrilovich0%
Dmitri Podstrelov0%
Gleb Zherdev0%
Steven Alfred0%
Pavel Sedko0%
Sergei Politevich0%
Nikita Demchenko0%
Vladislav Kalinin0%
Raymond Adeola0%
Fedor Lapoukhov0%
Joseph Okoro0%
Trofim Melnichenko0%
Boni Amian0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Steven Alfred67%
Dmitri Podstrelov20%
Gleb Zherdev20%
Daniil Kulikov0%
Aleksandr Selyava0%
Aleksei Gavrilovich0%
Pavel Sedko0%
Sergei Politevich0%
Nikita Demchenko0%
Rai Lopes0%
Vadim Pigas0%
Vladislav Kalinin0%
Raymond Adeola0%
Fedor Lapoukhov0%
Joseph Okoro0%
Trofim Melnichenko0%
Boni Amian0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (26)
€14m
DM (27)
€9m
DB (23)
€7m
TZ (31)
€5m
BB (26)
€4m
SM (25)
€4m
FG (23)
€4m
NEM (28)
€4m
FIM (23)
€4m
FM (25)
€3m
FDM (25)
€3m
FV (24)
€3m
BAR (21)
€2m
NAF (21)
€2m
BEL (16)
€2m
A( (17)
€2m
Dinamo Minsk's squad is €3m more valuable than Torpedo Zhodino's (€9m vs €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (9)
€6m
DM (8)
€3m
DB (5)
€2m
FG (8)
€2m
FV (13)
€2m
TZ (10)
€2m
BB (8)
€1m
FDM (9)
€1m
NEM (9)
€1m
FM (9)
€1m
FIM (8)
€1m
BAR (8)
€1m
SM (5)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
A( (5)
€1m
NAF (4)
€0m
Dinamo Minsk's attack is €1m more valuable than Torpedo Zhodino's (€3m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (6)
€3m
DM (8)
€2m
NEM (9)
€2m
TZ (7)
€2m
BB (9)
€2m
DB (5)
€1m
SM (10)
€1m
FIM (8)
€1m
NAF (9)
€1m
FG (5)
€1m
FDM (6)
€1m
FM (5)
€1m
BAR (4)
€0m
A( (5)
€0m
BEL (2)
€0m
FV (3)
€0m
Dinamo Minsk and Torpedo Zhodino have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (11)
€5m
DM (11)
€3m
DB (13)
€3m
TZ (14)
€2m
SM (10)
€2m
FIM (7)
€2m
FM (11)
€1m
FG (10)
€1m
BB (9)
€1m
FDM (10)
€1m
FV (8)
€1m
BAR (9)
€1m
NEM (10)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
A( (7)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
Dinamo Minsk's defence is €1m more valuable than Torpedo Zhodino's (€3m vs €2m).
Belarus: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belarus: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Vitebsk
FC Isloch Minsk R.
Dinamo Brest
Neman
FC Minsk
Baranovichi
FC Gomel
ML Vitebsk
Bate Borisov
Slavia Mozyr
Belshina
FC Dnepr Mogilev
Naftan
Arsenal (Belarus)