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Dinamo Rīga vs Riga FC II Result & Analysis

Date: 29/07/2023
Time: 16:00
Final 1-2
Dinamo Rīga
Dinamo Rīga
Vs
5%
11%
84%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Riga FC II
Riga FC II
Latvia: 1. Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dinamo Rīga win✗ Miss
5.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
11.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Riga FC II win✓ Hit
83.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Dinamo RīgaDinamo Rīga

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-707L06L24L00D03L02L12L01L26L21WA·RĪG22/04H·JDF29/04A·SKA06/05H·PRO13/05A·SMI21/05H·SAL27/05A·TUK04/06A·JFK01/07H·BEI07/07A·RĒZ23/07
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
3.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.702.670.712.640.692.69
vs Stronger (7)0.863.860.672.671.004.75
vs Similar (16)0.442.190.432.710.441.78
vs Weaker (7)1.142.571.252.501.002.67
Clean sheet %13% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Riga FC II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Riga FC IIRiga FC II

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-440W01L31W40W11D20W10W30W31W32WH·JFK22/04H·GRO29/04A·VAL05/05H·RĪG14/05A·JDF20/05H·SKA27/05A·PRO03/06H·SMI01/07A·SAL09/07H·TUK22/07
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game3.101.003.071.003.131.00
vs Stronger (23)2.960.962.730.823.171.08
vs Similar (5)4.001.005.501.503.000.67
vs Weaker (2)2.501.502.501.50--
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Rīga) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%23%2%06%114%219%320%416%523%6+
The model estimates around 4.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
92.3%
Under 1.5
7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
78.3%
Under 2.5
21.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
59.6%
Under 3.5
40.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.2%
No
44.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-3
9.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
8.1%
0-4
7.9%
1-2 ✓
7.3%
1-4
6.7%
0-5
5.3%
1-1
4.8%
Dinamo Rīga goals ↓
Riga FC II goals →
01234
02.0%4.8%8.7%9.6%7.9%
10.9%4.8%7.3%8.1%6.7%
20.6%1.8%3.1%3.4%2.8%
30.2%0.5%0.9%0.9%0.8%
40.0%0.1%0.2%0.2%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dinamo Rīga goals (down), columns = Riga FC II goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Grobiņa
2.54
Riga FC II
2.44
Skanste
2.19
JDFS Alberts
1.81
Saldus SS/Leevon
1.54
Rīgas FS II
1.42
Beitar
1.32
Tukums II
1.27
JFK Ventspils
1.08
Valmiera II
1.08
Progress / AFA Olaine
0.88
Smiltene
0.85
Dinamo Rīga
0.82
Rēzekne FA
0.40
Dinamo Rīga is 1.62 points worse than Riga FC II in terms of average points per game (0.82 vs 2.44).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Riga FC II
3.28
Grobiņa
2.73
JDFS Alberts
2.31
Rīgas FS II
2.23
Skanste
2.23
Beitar
1.64
Tukums II
1.58
Saldus SS/Leevon
1.54
Progress / AFA Olaine
1.38
Dinamo Rīga
1.23
Smiltene
1.19
Valmiera II
1.15
JFK Ventspils
0.84
Rēzekne FA
0.60
Dinamo Rīga is 2.05 goals worse than Riga FC II in terms of goals scored per game (1.23 vs 3.28).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Riga FC II
0.60
Grobiņa
0.65
Skanste
0.92
Saldus SS/Leevon
1.08
JFK Ventspils
1.16
JDFS Alberts
1.38
Valmiera II
1.54
Rīgas FS II
1.62
Tukums II
2.08
Progress / AFA Olaine
2.35
Dinamo Rīga
2.45
Smiltene
2.58
Beitar
2.64
Rēzekne FA
3.12
Dinamo Rīga is 1.85 goals worse than Riga FC II in terms of goals conceded per game (2.45 vs 0.60).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Dinamo RīgaDinamo Rīga

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L02L12L00D01L02L10W00D13L11DA·RĪG22/04H·JDF29/04A·SKA06/05H·PRO13/05A·SMI21/05H·SAL27/05A·TUK04/06A·JFK01/07H·BEI07/07A·RĒZ23/07
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.271.270.311.310.241.24
vs Stronger (7)0.432.000.331.330.502.50
vs Similar (16)0.121.120.171.500.100.90
vs Weaker (7)0.430.860.501.000.330.67
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Riga FC II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Riga FC IIRiga FC II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W10W01L10W01L00D00D00D21W12LA·RĒZ16/04H·JFK22/04H·GRO29/04A·VAL05/05A·JDF20/05H·SKA27/05A·PRO03/06H·SMI01/07A·SAL09/07H·TUK22/07
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.370.601.360.641.380.56
vs Stronger (22)1.320.551.400.501.250.58
vs Similar (5)1.200.601.000.501.330.67
vs Weaker (3)2.001.001.501.503.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Rīga) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dinamo Rīga over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Rīga over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Rīga over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Riga FC II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Riga FC II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Riga FC II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Dinamo RīgaDinamo Rīga

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L04L12L00D02L00D02L01L13L10WA·RĪG22/04H·JDF29/04A·SKA06/05H·PRO13/05A·SMI21/05H·SAL27/05A·TUK04/06A·JFK01/07H·BEI07/07A·RĒZ23/07
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.431.370.461.310.411.41
vs Stronger (7)0.431.860.331.330.502.25
vs Similar (16)0.311.000.331.170.300.90
vs Weaker (7)0.711.710.751.500.672.00
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Riga FC II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Riga FC IIRiga FC II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W30W00D21W10W20W10W30W10W20WA·RĒZ16/04H·JFK22/04H·GRO29/04A·VAL05/05A·JDF20/05H·SKA27/05A·PRO03/06H·SMI01/07A·SAL09/07H·TUK22/07
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.800.431.640.431.940.44
vs Stronger (22)1.590.451.200.401.920.50
vs Similar (5)2.800.404.501.001.670.00
vs Weaker (3)1.670.331.000.003.001.00
Clean sheet %67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Rīga) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dinamo Rīga over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Rīga over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Rīga over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Riga FC II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Riga FC II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Riga FC II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.592.3%-------✓ Hit
Away win83.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.578.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GRO (25)
€3m
RFI (1)
€0m
TI (2)
€0m
JA (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GRO (10)
€1m
RFI (1)
€0m
TI (1)
€0m
JA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GRO (6)
€1m
JA (0)
€0m
RFI (0)
€0m
TI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GRO (9)
€1m
JA (1)
€0m
TI (1)
€0m
RFI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
DR wins
0
Draws
1
RFI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Dinamo Rīga vs Riga FC II · H/A from DR
DateH/AGameScore
20/08/22HDR Vs Riga FC II1-3
16/04/22ARiga FC II Vs DR0-1

Dinamo RīgaDinamo Rīga

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/07/23ARēzekne FA Vs DR1-2
07/07/23HDR Vs Beitar2-6
01/07/23AJFK Ventspils Vs DR1-0
04/06/23ATukums II Vs DR2-1
27/05/23HDR Vs Saldus SS/Leevon0-2
21/05/23ASmiltene Vs DR3-0
13/05/23HDR Vs Progress / AFA Olaine0-0
06/05/23ASkanste Vs DR4-2
29/04/23HDR Vs JDFS Alberts0-6
22/04/23ARīgas FS II Vs DR7-0

Riga FC IIRiga FC II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/07/23HRFI Vs Tukums II3-2
09/07/23ASaldus SS/Leevon Vs RFI1-3
01/07/23HRFI Vs Smiltene3-0
03/06/23AProgress / AFA Olaine Vs RFI0-1
27/05/23HRFI Vs Skanste2-0
20/05/23AJDFS Alberts Vs RFI1-1
14/05/23HRFI Vs Rīgas FS II4-0
05/05/23AValmiera II Vs RFI1-3
29/04/23HRFI Vs Grobiņa0-1
22/04/23HRFI Vs JFK Ventspils4-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Dinamo Rīga
Dinamo Rīga
Latvia: 1. Liga
Recent: 1 Wins / 1 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLW0.68
HomeLLDLL0.67
AwayLLLLW0.70
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %18%17%20%
AVG goals3.052.893.20
Over 1.5 %71%67%75%
Over 2.5 %53%44%60%
Over 3.5 %34%33%35%
Scored0.630.610.65
Conceded2.422.282.55
BTTS29%22%35%
Clean Sheet18%28%10%
Corners---
Cards---
Riga FC II
Riga FC II
Latvia: 1. Liga
Recent: 8 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW2.39
HomeLWWWW2.45
AwayWWDWW2.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %76%80%72%
AVG goals3.953.754.17
Over 1.5 %89%85%94%
Over 2.5 %71%75%67%
Over 3.5 %58%50%67%
Scored3.082.953.22
Conceded0.870.800.94
BTTS45%35%56%
Clean Sheet50%55%44%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1GrobiņaGrobiņa2666
81%
2.5
7117+54
3.4
85%
62%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.70.7
-
2Riga FC IIRiga FC II2561
76%
2.4
8215+67
3.9
84%
72%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.30.6
-
3SkansteSkanste2657
69%
2.2
5824+34
3.2
81%
58%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.20.9
-
4JDFS AlbertsJDFS Alberts2647
50%
1.8
6036+24
3.7
88%
69%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.4
-
5Saldus SS/LeevonSaldus SS/Leevon2640
46%
1.5
4028+12
2.6
77%
42%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.1
-
6Rīgas FS IIRīgas FS II2637
42%
1.4
5842+16
3.8
81%
69%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.6
-
7Tukums IITukums II2633
38%
1.3
4154-13
3.7
81%
77%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.1
-
8BeitarBeitar2533
40%
1.3
4166-25
4.3
88%
76%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.6
-
9Valmiera IIValmiera II2628
27%
1.1
3040-10
2.7
69%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.5
-
10JFK VentspilsJFK Ventspils2527
28%
1.1
2129-8
2.0
56%
28%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.2
-
11Progress / AFA OlaineProgress / AFA Olaine2623
19%
0.9
3661-25
3.7
85%
58%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.3
-
12SmilteneSmiltene2622
23%
0.8
3167-36
3.8
92%
85%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.6
-
13Dinamo RīgaDinamo Rīga2218
23%
0.8
2754-27
3.7
82%
68%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.5
-
14Rēzekne FARēzekne FA2510
8%
0.4
1578-63
3.7
84%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.63.1
-
Latvia: 1. Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Latvia: 1. Liga stats & trends →

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