PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Dinamo Rīga vs Skanste Result & Analysis

Date: 02/09/2023
Time: 16:00
Final 1-4
Dinamo Rīga
Dinamo Rīga
Vs
19%
23%
58%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Skanste
Skanste
Latvia: 1. Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dinamo Rīga win✗ Miss
19.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Skanste win✓ Hit
57.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Dinamo RīgaDinamo Rīga

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-602L12L01L26L21W12L06L21W41W40WH·SAL27/05A·TUK04/06A·JFK01/07H·BEI07/07A·RĒZ23/07H·RIG29/07H·GRO06/08A·VAL12/08H·RĪG19/08A·JDF26/08
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.802.900.673.070.932.73
vs Stronger (8)1.383.621.673.001.204.00
vs Similar (15)0.402.600.383.120.432.00
vs Weaker (7)1.002.710.503.001.672.33
Clean sheet %10% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Skanste) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SkansteSkanste

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L21W32W10W11D21W11D30W02L30WA·RIG27/05H·GRO03/06A·VAL30/06H·RĪG09/07A·JDF23/07H·JFK30/07A·PRO05/08H·SMI12/08A·SAL19/08H·TUK27/08
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.431.881.001.232.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)1.642.001.711.001.503.75
vs Weaker (19)1.581.112.001.001.111.22
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Rīga) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%411%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.0%
Under 1.5
16.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
62.3%
Under 2.5
37.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
40.0%
Under 3.5
60.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
60.4%
No
39.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
8.6%
0-1
7.4%
1-3
6.8%
0-3
6.0%
2-2
5.6%
2-1
5.4%
Dinamo Rīga goals ↓
Skanste goals →
01234
05.0%7.4%8.6%6.0%3.1%
13.6%10%9.9%6.8%3.5%
22.6%5.4%5.6%3.9%2.0%
31.0%2.1%2.1%1.5%0.8%
40.3%0.6%0.6%0.4%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dinamo Rīga goals (down), columns = Skanste goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Grobiņa
2.54
Riga FC II
2.44
Skanste
2.19
JDFS Alberts
1.81
Saldus SS/Leevon
1.54
Rīgas FS II
1.42
Beitar
1.32
Tukums II
1.27
JFK Ventspils
1.08
Valmiera II
1.08
Progress / AFA Olaine
0.88
Smiltene
0.85
Dinamo Rīga
0.82
Rēzekne FA
0.40
Dinamo Rīga is 1.37 points worse than Skanste in terms of average points per game (0.82 vs 2.19).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Riga FC II
3.28
Grobiņa
2.73
JDFS Alberts
2.31
Rīgas FS II
2.23
Skanste
2.23
Beitar
1.64
Tukums II
1.58
Saldus SS/Leevon
1.54
Progress / AFA Olaine
1.38
Dinamo Rīga
1.23
Smiltene
1.19
Valmiera II
1.15
JFK Ventspils
0.84
Rēzekne FA
0.60
Dinamo Rīga is 1.00 goals worse than Skanste in terms of goals scored per game (1.23 vs 2.23).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Riga FC II
0.60
Grobiņa
0.65
Skanste
0.92
Saldus SS/Leevon
1.08
JFK Ventspils
1.16
JDFS Alberts
1.38
Valmiera II
1.54
Rīgas FS II
1.62
Tukums II
2.08
Progress / AFA Olaine
2.35
Dinamo Rīga
2.45
Smiltene
2.58
Beitar
2.64
Rēzekne FA
3.12
Dinamo Rīga is 1.53 goals worse than Skanste in terms of goals conceded per game (2.45 vs 0.92).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Dinamo RīgaDinamo Rīga

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L10W00D13L11D02L03L20W20W20WH·SAL27/05A·TUK04/06A·JFK01/07H·BEI07/07A·RĒZ23/07H·RIG29/07H·GRO06/08A·VAL12/08H·RĪG19/08A·JDF26/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.371.370.211.570.501.19
vs Stronger (8)0.751.750.671.330.802.00
vs Similar (15)0.131.270.141.710.120.88
vs Weaker (7)0.431.140.001.501.000.67
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Skanste) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SkansteSkanste

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D11D10W01L00D01L20W01L00DA·RIG27/05H·GRO03/06A·VAL30/06H·RĪG09/07A·JDF23/07H·JFK30/07A·PRO05/08H·SMI12/08A·SAL19/08H·TUK27/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.700.760.530.690.92
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.731.000.710.430.752.00
vs Weaker (19)0.740.530.800.600.670.44
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Rīga) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dinamo Rīga over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Rīga over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Rīga over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skanste over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skanste over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skanste over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Dinamo RīgaDinamo Rīga

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D02L01L13L10W10W03L01L21W20WH·SAL27/05A·TUK04/06A·JFK01/07H·BEI07/07A·RĒZ23/07H·RIG29/07H·GRO06/08A·VAL12/08H·RĪG19/08A·JDF26/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.471.470.501.500.441.44
vs Stronger (8)0.621.881.001.670.402.00
vs Similar (15)0.331.200.291.430.381.00
vs Weaker (7)0.571.570.501.500.671.67
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Skanste) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SkansteSkanste

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L10W21W00D10W21W10W10W01L30WA·RIG27/05H·GRO03/06A·VAL30/06H·RĪG09/07A·JDF23/07H·JFK30/07A·PRO05/08H·SMI12/08A·SAL19/08H·TUK27/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.731.120.470.541.08
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.911.001.000.570.751.75
vs Weaker (19)0.840.581.200.400.440.78
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Rīga) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dinamo Rīga over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Rīga over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Rīga over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skanste over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skanste over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skanste over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.584.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GRO (25)
€3m
RFI (1)
€0m
TI (2)
€0m
JA (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GRO (10)
€1m
RFI (1)
€0m
TI (1)
€0m
JA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GRO (6)
€1m
JA (0)
€0m
RFI (0)
€0m
TI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GRO (9)
€1m
JA (1)
€0m
TI (1)
€0m
RFI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
1
DR wins
0
Draws
2
SKA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Dinamo Rīga vs Skanste · H/A from DR
DateH/AGameScore
06/05/23ASkanste Vs DR4-2
05/11/22ASkanste Vs DR3-2
23/07/22HDR Vs Skanste1-0

Dinamo RīgaDinamo Rīga

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/08/23AJDFS Alberts Vs DR0-4
19/08/23HDR Vs Rīgas FS II4-1
12/08/23AValmiera II Vs DR1-2
06/08/23HDR Vs Grobiņa0-6
29/07/23HDR Vs Riga FC II1-2
23/07/23ARēzekne FA Vs DR1-2
07/07/23HDR Vs Beitar2-6
01/07/23AJFK Ventspils Vs DR1-0
04/06/23ATukums II Vs DR2-1
27/05/23HDR Vs Saldus SS/Leevon0-2

SkansteSkanste

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/08/23HSKA Vs Tukums II3-0
19/08/23ASaldus SS/Leevon Vs SKA2-0
12/08/23HSKA Vs Smiltene3-0
05/08/23AProgress / AFA Olaine Vs SKA1-1
30/07/23HSKA Vs JFK Ventspils2-1
23/07/23AJDFS Alberts Vs SKA1-1
09/07/23HSKA Vs Rīgas FS II1-0
30/06/23AValmiera II Vs SKA2-3
03/06/23HSKA Vs Grobiņa2-1
27/05/23ARiga FC II Vs SKA2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Dinamo Rīga
Dinamo Rīga
Latvia: 1. Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 0 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWW0.81
HomeLLLLW0.71
AwayLLWWW0.91
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %23%19%27%
AVG goals3.193.143.23
Over 1.5 %74%71%77%
Over 2.5 %58%52%64%
Over 3.5 %37%38%36%
Scored0.810.760.86
Conceded2.372.382.36
BTTS33%29%36%
Clean Sheet19%24%14%
Corners---
Cards---
Skanste
Skanste
Latvia: 1. Liga
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWLW1.77
HomeWWWWW2.05
AwayLWDDL1.48
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %51%59%43%
AVG goals2.932.912.95
Over 1.5 %84%82%86%
Over 2.5 %58%64%52%
Over 3.5 %26%27%24%
Scored1.581.771.38
Conceded1.351.141.57
BTTS53%55%52%
Clean Sheet30%36%24%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1GrobiņaGrobiņa2666
81%
2.5
7117+54
3.4
85%
62%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.70.7
-
2Riga FC IIRiga FC II2561
76%
2.4
8215+67
3.9
84%
72%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.30.6
-
3SkansteSkanste2657
69%
2.2
5824+34
3.2
81%
58%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.20.9
-
4JDFS AlbertsJDFS Alberts2647
50%
1.8
6036+24
3.7
88%
69%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.4
-
5Saldus SS/LeevonSaldus SS/Leevon2640
46%
1.5
4028+12
2.6
77%
42%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.1
-
6Rīgas FS IIRīgas FS II2637
42%
1.4
5842+16
3.8
81%
69%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.6
-
7Tukums IITukums II2633
38%
1.3
4154-13
3.7
81%
77%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.1
-
8BeitarBeitar2533
40%
1.3
4166-25
4.3
88%
76%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.6
-
9Valmiera IIValmiera II2628
27%
1.1
3040-10
2.7
69%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.5
-
10JFK VentspilsJFK Ventspils2527
28%
1.1
2129-8
2.0
56%
28%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.2
-
11Progress / AFA OlaineProgress / AFA Olaine2623
19%
0.9
3661-25
3.7
85%
58%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.3
-
12SmilteneSmiltene2622
23%
0.8
3167-36
3.8
92%
85%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.6
-
13Dinamo RīgaDinamo Rīga2218
23%
0.8
2754-27
3.7
82%
68%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.5
-
14Rēzekne FARēzekne FA2510
8%
0.4
1578-63
3.7
84%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.63.1
-
Latvia: 1. Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Latvia: 1. Liga stats & trends →

← all matches