PythiaFootballBETA
Djurgardens IF will host Vasteras SK FK in the Sweden: Allsvenskan match on August 3, 2026. The home side has been in excellent form, with a 2-game winning streak, most recently defeating Vasteras SK FK 6-0. This recent form note sets the stage for a high-scoring match, as the expected total goals is 3.2, with Djurgardens IF averaging 3.27 goals scored and 1.18 conceded at home. Vasteras SK FK, on the other hand, has struggled on the road, averaging 1 goal scored and 1.67 conceded away from home.
The model predicts a home win with 58% probability, a draw with 23% probability, and an away win with 20% probability. The model's selection is a home win. The most likely score is 1-1 with a probability of 10.5%. Djurgardens IF is expected to continue their strong home form, with the model's selection Over 1.5 goals with a probability of 84.0% and edge of 1%. The model also selects Over 21.5 fouls with a probability of 79.4%.
The win extends Djurgardens IF's run of victories to three games, following a 6-0 thrashing of Vasteras SK FK, who were on a 2-game winning streak prior to this defeat. The final score of 6-0 was a decisive result, confirming the actual outcome of the match. The model's selection, a home win, was correct, as it had been the favourite with a 58% probability of success. The model's call was vindicated, as Djurgardens IF dominated the match. The model's selections largely came in, with Over 1.5 goals and Over 21.5 fouls both hitting, with probabilities of 84% and 79.4% respectively.
Djurgardens IF| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 2.33 | 1.07 | 2.73 | 1.20 | 1.93 | 0.93 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (13) | 1.92 | 1.23 | 1.25 | 1.25 | 2.22 | 1.22 |
| vs Weaker (17) | 2.65 | 0.94 | 3.27 | 1.18 | 1.50 | 0.50 |
| Clean sheet % | 37% (+10pp vs league) | |||||
Vasteras SK FK| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 2.17 | 1.13 | 2.47 | 1.00 | 1.87 | 1.27 |
| vs Stronger (1) | 0.00 | 3.00 | - | - | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| vs Similar (15) | 1.67 | 1.47 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 1.44 | 1.11 |
| vs Weaker (14) | 2.86 | 0.64 | 2.78 | 0.33 | 3.00 | 1.20 |
| Clean sheet % | 40% (+14pp vs league) | |||||
| Vasteras SK FK goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 7.4% | 10% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| 2 | 8.6% | 9.9% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| 3 | 5.9% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
Djurgardens IFVasteras SK FKDjurgardens IF| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 10.6 | 10.9 | 10.2 | 4.6 | 4.5 | 4.7 | 25.9 | 26.3 | 25.4 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 8.5 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 21.5 | 18.0 | 25.0 |
| vs Similar (25) | 10.0 | 9.8 | 10.2 | 5.3 | 6.0 | 4.7 | 27.0 | 29.3 | 24.8 |
| vs Weaker (23) | 11.4 | 12.2 | 10.4 | 4.0 | 3.2 | 4.9 | 25.0 | 24.1 | 26.2 |
| % over line | 56% | 62% | 50% | 68% | 62% | 75% | 74% | 73% | 75% |
| % under line | 44% | 38% | 50% | 32% | 38% | 25% | 26% | 27% | 25% |
Vasteras SK FK| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 9.8 | 8.7 | 10.7 | 2.6 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 26.0 | 26.7 | 25.4 |
| vs Stronger (3) | 8.3 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 21.3 | 25.0 | 19.5 |
| vs Similar (23) | 10.6 | 9.0 | 12.4 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 25.6 | 25.1 | 26.2 |
| vs Weaker (24) | 9.3 | 8.6 | 9.6 | 2.7 | 1.9 | 3.5 | 27.3 | 29.8 | 26.0 |
| % over line | 54% | 47% | 60% | 36% | 29% | 42% | 83% | 100% | 70% |
| % under line | 46% | 53% | 40% | 64% | 71% | 58% | 17% | 0% | 30% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 84.0% | 1.12 | 1.14 | 1.14 | 1.13 | 1.13 | 1.13 | +0.7% | ✓ Hit |
| Over 21.5 fouls | 76.4% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10/24 | H | 2-1 | |
| 05/05/24 | A | 0-2 |
Djurgardens IF| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/26 | A | 0-1 | |
| 20/07/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 13/07/26 | H | 3-0 | |
| 06/07/26 | A | 2-4 | |
| 22/05/26 | H | 1-2 | |
| 18/05/26 | H | 2-3 | |
| 10/05/26 | A | 2-4 | |
| 04/05/26 | H | 6-0 | |
| 26/04/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 22/04/26 | A | 2-1 |
Vasteras SK FK| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07/26 | H | 2-0 | |
| 17/07/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 12/07/26 | H | 2-0 | |
| 04/07/26 | A | 1-3 | |
| 31/05/26 | H | 4-5 | |
| 24/05/26 | A | 2-3 | |
| 17/05/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 09/05/26 | H | 0-1 | |
| 03/05/26 | A | 3-0 | |
| 26/04/26 | A | 1-2 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 |  Sirius | 17 | 42 | 76% | 2.5 | 47 | 23 | +24 | 4.1 | 100% | 82% | 59% | 10.7 | 76% | 3.1 | 53% | 25.5 | 82% | 27 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 48% |
| 2 |  Hammarby FF | 17 | 33 | 59% | 1.9 | 40 | 15 | +25 | 3.2 | 94% | 59% | 29% | 9.1 | 41% | 2.8 | 29% | 24.7 | 71% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 61% |
| 3 |  AIK Stockholm | 17 | 28 | 47% | 1.6 | 25 | 25 | +0 | 2.9 | 82% | 65% | 24% | 10.3 | 41% | 4.4 | 71% | 24.5 | 71% | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 52% |
| 4 |  IF Elfsborg | 17 | 27 | 41% | 1.6 | 24 | 18 | +6 | 2.5 | 82% | 47% | 18% | 8.9 | 41% | 3.8 | 53% | 21.6 | 53% | 17 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 47% |
| 5 | Djurgardens IF | 16 | 26 | 50% | 1.6 | 34 | 19 | +15 | 3.3 | 69% | 62% | 44% | 11.2 | 69% | 3.6 | 44% | 23.4 | 62% | 27 | 8 | 14 | 6 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 57% |
| 6 |  Malmo FF | 17 | 26 | 47% | 1.5 | 32 | 27 | +5 | 3.5 | 76% | 71% | 53% | 10.3 | 47% | 4.1 | 65% | 27.5 | 88% | 30 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 57% |
| 7 |  BK Hacken | 16 | 25 | 38% | 1.6 | 28 | 26 | +2 | 3.4 | 88% | 56% | 44% | 11.1 | 62% | 4.2 | 56% | 26.6 | 81% | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 51% |
| 8 | Vasteras SK FK | 17 | 25 | 41% | 1.5 | 25 | 32 | -7 | 3.4 | 76% | 59% | 41% | 9.9 | 59% | 3.7 | 47% | 26.7 | 100% | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 47% |
| 9 |  Gais | 17 | 23 | 35% | 1.4 | 21 | 16 | +5 | 2.2 | 71% | 35% | 18% | 10.1 | 59% | 3.5 | 41% | 23.9 | 65% | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 51% |
| 10 |  IF Brommapojkarna | 17 | 21 | 29% | 1.2 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 3.1 | 94% | 76% | 35% | 10.3 | 59% | 3.2 | 35% | 22.2 | 53% | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 47% |
| 11 |  Mjallby AIF | 16 | 20 | 31% | 1.2 | 24 | 23 | +1 | 2.9 | 75% | 50% | 25% | 9.1 | 38% | 3.9 | 62% | 25.6 | 62% | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 54% |
| 12 |  IFK Goteborg | 17 | 19 | 29% | 1.1 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 3.5 | 94% | 59% | 41% | 11.5 | 71% | 3.9 | 41% | 24.3 | 71% | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 51% |
| 13 |  Kalmar FF | 17 | 18 | 29% | 1.1 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 2.9 | 82% | 59% | 29% | 10.4 | 53% | 3.3 | 35% | 23.6 | 59% | 10 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 46% |
| 14 |  Degerfors IF | 17 | 16 | 24% | 0.9 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 2.6 | 82% | 53% | 18% | 9.7 | 41% | 3.6 | 41% | 26.1 | 71% | 6 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 47% |
| 15 |  Orgryte IS | 17 | 13 | 18% | 0.8 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 3.6 | 94% | 59% | 41% | 9.9 | 47% | 3.1 | 47% | 21.8 | 47% | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1.2 | 2.4 | 43% |
| 16 |  Halmstad | 16 | 7 | 6% | 0.4 | 11 | 33 | -22 | 2.8 | 100% | 38% | 19% | 10.5 | 56% | 3.1 | 44% | 23.2 | 50% | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0.7 | 2.1 | 40% |