Dobrudzha are tipped to lift the trophy at home, a 55% chance of victory, a 28% chance of a draw and a 17% chance of a Chernomorets 1919 Burgas win. The model’s pick is a home win, and the expected total goals hover around 2.3, with the most likely total of two goals at 28%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-0, a 14% probability. Dobrudzha, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, average 1.08 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Chernomorets 1919 Burgas, on the road, average 1.67 scored and 1.27 conceded against similar opposition. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.7%), Away under 3.5 goals (99.2%), Under 6.5 (99.0%), Under 5.5 (96.9%), Away under 2.5 goals (95.7%), Home +2 handicap (94.5%), Home under 3.5 goals (92.8%) and Under 4.5 (91.3%). Dobrudzha’s recent form shows a draw-heavy run, while Chernomorets 1919 Burgas come off a 3-0 win.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Dobrudzha win
53.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
28.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas win
17.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Dobrudzha
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
1.37
1.07
1.13
0.60
1.60
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
2.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (24)
0.96
1.29
1.17
1.08
0.75
1.50
vs Weaker (3)
0.00
1.33
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
27% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Chernomorets 1919 Burgas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
0.90
1.07
0.47
1.33
1.33
vs Stronger (4)
1.50
0.50
1.50
0.50
1.50
0.50
vs Similar (26)
1.15
0.96
1.00
0.46
1.31
1.46
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Dobrudzha) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
68.4%
Under 1.5
31.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
40.7%
Under 2.5
59.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
20.3%
Under 3.5
79.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
43.7%
No
56.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
14.0%
1-1
13.0%
2-0
11.6%
0-0
11.1%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
6.6%
3-0
5.9%
1-2
4.6%
Dobrudzha goals ↓
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
6.6%
3.0%
0.8%
0.2%
1
14%
13%
4.6%
1.2%
0.2%
2
12%
9.1%
3.5%
0.9%
0.2%
3
5.9%
4.6%
1.8%
0.5%
0.1%
4
2.3%
1.8%
0.7%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dobrudzha goals (down), columns = Chernomorets 1919 Burgas goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Vihren
2.14
CSKA Sofia II
2.00
Fratria
2.00
Yantra 2019
1.86
Montana
1.57
Beroe
1.57
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1.57
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.57
Marek
1.43
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.43
Nesebar
1.43
Rilski Sportist
1.29
Ludogorets II
1.14
Hebar 1918
1.14
Spartak Pleven
1.00
Sportist Svoge
0.86
Dobrudzha
0.71
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0.00
Dobrudzha is 0.86 points worse than Chernomorets 1919 Burgas in terms of average points per game (0.71 vs 1.57).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
CSKA Sofia II
2.14
Vihren
2.14
Nesebar
1.86
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.86
Montana
1.71
Hebar 1918
1.71
Beroe
1.29
Fratria
1.29
Yantra 2019
1.29
Marek
1.00
Spartak Pleven
1.00
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1.00
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.00
Dobrudzha
1.00
Rilski Sportist
1.00
Ludogorets II
0.71
Sportist Svoge
0.57
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0.43
Dobrudzha and Chernomorets 1919 Burgas are level in goals scored per game (both 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Fratria
0.57
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
0.57
Marek
0.86
Beroe
0.86
Sportist Svoge
0.86
CSKA Sofia II
1.00
Yantra 2019
1.00
Rilski Sportist
1.00
Vihren
1.00
Montana
1.14
Ludogorets II
1.14
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.29
Dobrudzha
1.43
Nesebar
1.43
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.57
Hebar 1918
1.86
Spartak Pleven
2.00
Pirin Blagoevgrad
3.43
Dobrudzha is 0.86 goals worse than Chernomorets 1919 Burgas in terms of goals conceded per game (1.43 vs 0.57).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Dobrudzha or Draw
82.1%
Avg Implied -
54%
28%
18%
covers Dobrudzha + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dobrudzha or Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
71.8%
Avg Implied -
54%
28%
18%
covers Dobrudzha + Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
46.1%
Avg Implied -
54%
28%
18%
covers Draw + Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Dobrudzha over/under 0.5
Over
78.3%
Under
21.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dobrudzha over/under 1.5
Over
45.2%
Under
54.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dobrudzha over/under 2.5
Over
19.9%
Under
80.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dobrudzha over/under 3.5
Over
6.9%
Under
93.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas over/under 0.5
Over
54.2%
Under
45.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas over/under 1.5
Over
18.5%
Under
81.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas over/under 2.5
Over
4.5%
Under
95.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas over/under 3.5
Over
0.8%
Under
99.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Dobrudzha, so a minus line means Dobrudzha give that many goals of a start and Chernomorets 1919 Burgas receive them. At -1, Dobrudzha must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Dobrudzha win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Dobrudzha)
Dobrudzha -2
11.9%
Draw -2
17.0%
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas +2
71.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Dobrudzha)
Dobrudzha -1
28.8%
Draw -1
25.0%
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas +1
46.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Dobrudzha)
Dobrudzha +1
82.1%
Draw +1
12.2%
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas -1
5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Dobrudzha)
Dobrudzha +2
94.3%
Draw +2
4.4%
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas -2
1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Dobrudzha
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.70
0.40
0.47
0.27
0.93
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
0.67
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.42
0.67
0.50
0.50
0.33
0.83
vs Weaker (3)
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.50
Clean sheet %
47% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Chernomorets 1919 Burgas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.40
0.80
0.27
0.60
0.53
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
0.25
1.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (26)
0.73
0.42
0.77
0.23
0.69
0.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Dobrudzha) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dobrudzha over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dobrudzha over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dobrudzha over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Dobrudzha
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.67
0.67
0.67
0.33
0.67
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
1.33
1.00
1.50
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.54
0.62
0.67
0.58
0.42
0.67
vs Weaker (3)
0.00
0.33
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
53% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Chernomorets 1919 Burgas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.50
0.27
0.20
0.73
0.80
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
0.25
0.50
0.00
1.50
0.50
vs Similar (26)
0.42
0.54
0.23
0.23
0.62
0.85
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Dobrudzha) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dobrudzha over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dobrudzha over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dobrudzha over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
96.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
95.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
94.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
93.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
91.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
82.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
82.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
80.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
79.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
71.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
71.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Dobrudzha · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ivaylo Mihaylov23%
Georgi Trifonov17%
Milcho Angelov12%
Valdu Te10%
Tomás Silva10%
Lucas Cardoso Soares10%
Vasco Oliveira9%
Anton Ivanov9%
Montassar Triki8%
Matheus Leoni6%
Aykut Ramadan0%
Georgi Argilashki0%
Dimitar Pirgov0%
Rumen Rumenov0%
Kolyo Stanev0%
Ventsislav Kerchev0%
Andrian Dimitrov0%
Ivaylo Klimentov0%
Diogo Ressurreição0%
Di Mateo Lovrić0%
Boubacar Hanne0%
Krasian Kolev0%
Aaron Appiah0%
Bogdan Kostov0%
Diogo Madaleno0%
Galin Grigorov0%
Angel Angelov0%
Dzhan Hasan0%
Malik Ndor0%
Zdravko Serafimov0%
Jhonatan Cuero0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Zdravko Serafimov33%
Ivaylo Mihaylov32%
Lucas Cardoso Soares30%
Malik Ndor27%
Di Mateo Lovrić26%
Boubacar Hanne25%
Jhonatan Cuero24%
Anton Ivanov22%
Bogdan Kostov18%
Matheus Leoni18%
Montassar Triki17%
Ventsislav Kerchev14%
Andrian Dimitrov11%
Diogo Madaleno11%
Galin Grigorov11%
Tomás Silva10%
Vasco Oliveira9%
Georgi Trifonov8%
Angel Angelov8%
Dimitar Pirgov7%
Aykut Ramadan6%
Georgi Argilashki0%
Rumen Rumenov0%
Kolyo Stanev0%
Milcho Angelov0%
Valdu Te0%
Ivaylo Klimentov0%
Diogo Ressurreição0%
Krasian Kolev0%
Aaron Appiah0%
Dzhan Hasan0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Aykut Ramadan17%
Tomás Silva15%
Andrian Dimitrov11%
Valdu Te10%
Matheus Leoni6%
Bogdan Kostov5%
Anton Ivanov4%
Ivaylo Mihaylov0%
Georgi Argilashki0%
Dimitar Pirgov0%
Rumen Rumenov0%
Kolyo Stanev0%
Milcho Angelov0%
Ventsislav Kerchev0%
Ivaylo Klimentov0%
Vasco Oliveira0%
Diogo Ressurreição0%
Di Mateo Lovrić0%
Boubacar Hanne0%
Georgi Trifonov0%
Lucas Cardoso Soares0%
Montassar Triki0%
Krasian Kolev0%
Aaron Appiah0%
Diogo Madaleno0%
Galin Grigorov0%
Angel Angelov0%
Dzhan Hasan0%
Malik Ndor0%
Zdravko Serafimov0%
Jhonatan Cuero0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Milcho Angelov25%
Boubacar Hanne25%
Lucas Cardoso Soares20%
Montassar Triki17%
Tomás Silva15%
Anton Ivanov13%
Ivaylo Mihaylov9%
Di Mateo Lovrić5%
Aykut Ramadan0%
Georgi Argilashki0%
Matheus Leoni0%
Dimitar Pirgov0%
Rumen Rumenov0%
Kolyo Stanev0%
Ventsislav Kerchev0%
Valdu Te0%
Andrian Dimitrov0%
Ivaylo Klimentov0%
Vasco Oliveira0%
Diogo Ressurreição0%
Georgi Trifonov0%
Krasian Kolev0%
Aaron Appiah0%
Bogdan Kostov0%
Diogo Madaleno0%
Galin Grigorov0%
Angel Angelov0%
Dzhan Hasan0%
Malik Ndor0%
Zdravko Serafimov0%
Jhonatan Cuero0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FRA (22)
€3m
Y2 (18)
€3m
H1 (19)
€3m
VIH (18)
€2m
EVT (23)
€2m
C1B (19)
€2m
CSI (20)
€2m
PB (17)
€2m
MON (17)
€2m
MAR (19)
€2m
BER (13)
€2m
LGO (15)
€1m
SP (19)
€1m
DOB (10)
€1m
LI (13)
€1m
SS (12)
€1m
Dobrudzha and Chernomorets 1919 Burgas have a similar squad value (both €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
H1 (8)
€2m
VIH (9)
€1m
Y2 (6)
€1m
EVT (12)
€1m
FRA (6)
€1m
MON (8)
€1m
C1B (4)
€1m
BER (5)
€1m
CSI (8)
€1m
SP (8)
€1m
LI (6)
€1m
DOB (5)
€0m
PB (5)
€0m
MAR (4)
€0m
SS (5)
€0m
LGO (4)
€0m
Dobrudzha and Chernomorets 1919 Burgas have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FRA (4)
€1m
C1B (6)
€1m
PB (6)
€1m
VIH (3)
€1m
MAR (6)
€1m
EVT (3)
€0m
LGO (3)
€0m
DOB (3)
€0m
CSI (3)
€0m
Y2 (2)
€0m
MON (3)
€0m
SP (5)
€0m
LI (3)
€0m
H1 (2)
€0m
BER (2)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
Dobrudzha and Chernomorets 1919 Burgas have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
Y2 (10)
€2m
FRA (12)
€1m
H1 (9)
€1m
EVT (8)
€1m
CSI (9)
€1m
BER (6)
€1m
MAR (9)
€1m
LGO (8)
€1m
C1B (9)
€1m
VIH (6)
€1m
MON (6)
€1m
PB (6)
€1m
SP (6)
€0m
LI (4)
€0m
DOB (2)
€0m
SS (3)
€0m
Dobrudzha and Chernomorets 1919 Burgas have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Bulgaria: Second League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bulgaria: Second League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Vihren
CSKA Sofia II
Fratria
Yantra 2019
Montana
Beroe
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
Nesebar
Marek
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
Rilski Sportist
Hebar 1918
Ludogorets II
Spartak Pleven
Sportist Svoge
Pirin Blagoevgrad