This opponent (Maritsa Plovdiv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maritsa Plovdiv
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
1.57
1.20
1.33
0.40
1.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.75
1.61
1.07
1.36
0.43
1.86
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
1.00
3.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
17% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (Dobrudzha) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
64.1%
Under 1.5
35.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
36.2%
Under 2.5
63.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
17.0%
Under 3.5
83.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
31.4%
No
68.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
18.7%
2-0
16.4%
0-0
12.7%
1-1
10.1%
3-0
9.2%
2-1
7.7%
0-1
4.6%
3-1
4.3%
Dobrudzha goals ↓
Maritsa Plovdiv goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
13%
4.6%
1.3%
0.2%
0.0%
1
19%
10%
2.2%
0.3%
0.0%
2
16%
7.7%
1.8%
0.3%
0.0%
3
9.2%
4.3%
1.0%
0.2%
0.0%
4
3.8%
1.8%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dobrudzha goals (down), columns = Maritsa Plovdiv goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Spartak Varna
2.12
Septemvri Sofia
1.91
Marek
1.79
Montana
1.68
Strumska Slava
1.50
Dobrudzha
1.47
CSKA 1948 Sofia II
1.47
Yantra 2019
1.38
Dunav Ruse
1.35
Spartak Pleven
1.32
Litex
1.32
Ludogorets II
1.29
Belasitsa
1.26
Sportist Svoge
1.18
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1.12
Chernomorets Balchik
1.06
Maritsa Plovdiv
0.88
Bdin
0.65
Dobrudzha is 0.59 points better than Maritsa Plovdiv in terms of average points per game (1.47 vs 0.88).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Spartak Varna
1.76
Septemvri Sofia
1.35
Montana
1.35
Dobrudzha
1.26
Yantra 2019
1.15
CSKA 1948 Sofia II
1.15
Ludogorets II
1.15
Belasitsa
1.09
Marek
1.06
Chernomorets Balchik
1.06
Sportist Svoge
1.06
Strumska Slava
1.00
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
0.97
Maritsa Plovdiv
0.91
Dunav Ruse
0.88
Litex
0.88
Spartak Pleven
0.85
Bdin
0.56
Dobrudzha is 0.35 goals better than Maritsa Plovdiv in terms of goals scored per game (1.26 vs 0.91).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Marek
0.76
Septemvri Sofia
0.76
Spartak Varna
0.82
Strumska Slava
0.82
Montana
0.91
Spartak Pleven
0.94
Belasitsa
0.97
Dobrudzha
1.00
Dunav Ruse
1.06
CSKA 1948 Sofia II
1.06
Litex
1.06
Yantra 2019
1.09
Ludogorets II
1.15
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1.21
Sportist Svoge
1.32
Chernomorets Balchik
1.44
Bdin
1.47
Maritsa Plovdiv
1.65
Dobrudzha is 0.65 goals better than Maritsa Plovdiv in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.65).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Dobrudzha
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.40
0.87
0.20
0.33
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
0.61
0.48
0.83
0.25
0.36
0.73
vs Weaker (7)
0.57
0.14
1.00
0.00
0.25
0.25
Clean sheet %
63% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Maritsa Plovdiv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maritsa Plovdiv
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.60
0.67
0.40
0.40
0.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.54
0.61
0.64
0.36
0.43
0.86
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.50
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Dobrudzha) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dobrudzha over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dobrudzha over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dobrudzha over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maritsa Plovdiv over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maritsa Plovdiv over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maritsa Plovdiv over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Dobrudzha
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.50
0.67
0.33
0.67
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
0.78
0.35
0.83
0.25
0.73
0.45
vs Weaker (7)
0.29
1.00
0.00
0.67
0.50
1.25
Clean sheet %
60% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Maritsa Plovdiv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maritsa Plovdiv
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.27
0.97
0.53
0.93
0.00
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.21
1.00
0.43
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.50
2.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Dobrudzha) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dobrudzha over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dobrudzha over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dobrudzha over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maritsa Plovdiv over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maritsa Plovdiv over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maritsa Plovdiv over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
83.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Dobrudzha · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ivaylo Mihaylov23%
Georgi Trifonov17%
Milcho Angelov12%
Valdu Te10%
Tomás Silva10%
Lucas Cardoso Soares10%
Vasco Oliveira9%
Anton Ivanov9%
Montassar Triki8%
Matheus Leoni6%
Aykut Ramadan0%
Georgi Argilashki0%
Dimitar Pirgov0%
Rumen Rumenov0%
Kolyo Stanev0%
Ventsislav Kerchev0%
Andrian Dimitrov0%
Ivaylo Klimentov0%
Diogo Ressurreição0%
Di Mateo Lovrić0%
Boubacar Hanne0%
Krasian Kolev0%
Aaron Appiah0%
Bogdan Kostov0%
Diogo Madaleno0%
Galin Grigorov0%
Angel Angelov0%
Dzhan Hasan0%
Malik Ndor0%
Zdravko Serafimov0%
Jhonatan Cuero0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Zdravko Serafimov33%
Ivaylo Mihaylov32%
Lucas Cardoso Soares30%
Malik Ndor27%
Di Mateo Lovrić26%
Boubacar Hanne25%
Jhonatan Cuero24%
Anton Ivanov22%
Bogdan Kostov18%
Matheus Leoni18%
Montassar Triki17%
Ventsislav Kerchev14%
Andrian Dimitrov11%
Diogo Madaleno11%
Galin Grigorov11%
Tomás Silva10%
Vasco Oliveira9%
Georgi Trifonov8%
Angel Angelov8%
Dimitar Pirgov7%
Aykut Ramadan6%
Georgi Argilashki0%
Rumen Rumenov0%
Kolyo Stanev0%
Milcho Angelov0%
Valdu Te0%
Ivaylo Klimentov0%
Diogo Ressurreição0%
Krasian Kolev0%
Aaron Appiah0%
Dzhan Hasan0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Aykut Ramadan17%
Tomás Silva15%
Andrian Dimitrov11%
Valdu Te10%
Matheus Leoni6%
Bogdan Kostov5%
Anton Ivanov4%
Ivaylo Mihaylov0%
Georgi Argilashki0%
Dimitar Pirgov0%
Rumen Rumenov0%
Kolyo Stanev0%
Milcho Angelov0%
Ventsislav Kerchev0%
Ivaylo Klimentov0%
Vasco Oliveira0%
Diogo Ressurreição0%
Di Mateo Lovrić0%
Boubacar Hanne0%
Georgi Trifonov0%
Lucas Cardoso Soares0%
Montassar Triki0%
Krasian Kolev0%
Aaron Appiah0%
Diogo Madaleno0%
Galin Grigorov0%
Angel Angelov0%
Dzhan Hasan0%
Malik Ndor0%
Zdravko Serafimov0%
Jhonatan Cuero0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Milcho Angelov25%
Boubacar Hanne25%
Lucas Cardoso Soares20%
Montassar Triki17%
Tomás Silva15%
Anton Ivanov13%
Ivaylo Mihaylov9%
Di Mateo Lovrić5%
Aykut Ramadan0%
Georgi Argilashki0%
Matheus Leoni0%
Dimitar Pirgov0%
Rumen Rumenov0%
Kolyo Stanev0%
Ventsislav Kerchev0%
Valdu Te0%
Andrian Dimitrov0%
Ivaylo Klimentov0%
Vasco Oliveira0%
Diogo Ressurreição0%
Georgi Trifonov0%
Krasian Kolev0%
Aaron Appiah0%
Bogdan Kostov0%
Diogo Madaleno0%
Galin Grigorov0%
Angel Angelov0%
Dzhan Hasan0%
Malik Ndor0%
Zdravko Serafimov0%
Jhonatan Cuero0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Bulgaria: Second League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bulgaria: Second League stats & trends →