In this match between Dobrudzha and Yantra 2019, Dobrudzha's recent draw against Sportist Svoge has set the stage for a closely contested encounter. The home side has a 52% chance of winning, with the draw at 28% and Yantra 2019's away win at 20%. The model predicts a home win as the most likely outcome.
The expected total number of goals is 2.4, indicating a relatively low-scoring match. The most likely score is 1-1, with a probability of 13.2%. Dobrudzha has scored an average of 1.4 goals at home, conceding 1.1 goals, while facing similar opposition. Yantra 2019, on the other hand, has scored 1.38 goals away from home, conceding 0.62 goals, against similar opponents.
The model's selection is the Under 3.5, with a 77.7% probability, and the Over 1.5, with a 70.5% probability. The home side has a 52% chance of winning, the draw a 28% chance, and the away side a 20% chance.
Results analysis
The away team Yantra 2019 pulled off a stunning upset, defeating Dobrudzha 0-1. This result extends their current two-game winning streak. It's a surprise, given that the model's selection, a Home win, had a pre-match probability of 52%, but ultimately proved incorrect. The model's call was wrong.
The model's selection, Home win, was the favourite going into the match. The model also suggested two other selections: Under 3.5, which hit with a probability of 77.8%, and Over 1.5, which missed with a probability of 70.5%.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Dobrudzha win✗ Miss
52.1%
Avg Implied 32.0% · @ 2.81
Edge
+20.1%
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
3.10
Betano
3.00
Dafabet
2.90
Bet365
2.90
Betfair
2.88
Draw✗ Miss
28.1%
Avg Implied 25.8% · @ 3.49
Edge
+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.85
Marathonbet
3.72
1xBet
3.72
Betfair
3.60
Dafabet
3.55
Yantra 2019 win✓ Hit
19.8%
Avg Implied 42.2% · @ 2.13
Edge
-22.4%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
2.38
BetVictor
2.15
Bet365
2.15
1xBet
2.12
Dafabet
2.12
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Dobrudzha
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
1.33
1.12
1.19
0.50
1.50
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
2.00
0.67
1.67
0.00
2.50
vs Similar (23)
1.00
1.22
1.33
1.17
0.64
1.27
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
27% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Yantra 2019) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Yantra 2019
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
0.93
1.47
0.87
1.40
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
1.42
0.92
1.50
0.83
1.36
1.00
vs Weaker (4)
1.50
1.00
1.33
1.00
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Dobrudzha) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
70.5%
@ 1.25-1.9%
Under 1.5
29.5%
@ 3.27+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
888Sport
1.25
Unibet
1.24
Under
888Sport
3.30
1xBet
3.28
Marathonbet
3.28
Unibet
3.20
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
43.2%
@ 1.88-5.7%
Under 2.5
56.8%
@ 1.80+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.05
Betano
1.90
BetVictor
1.89
Pinnacle
1.88
1xBet
1.87
Under
888Sport
1.85
Pinnacle
1.83
Marathonbet
1.82
1xBet
1.82
10Bet
1.80
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.2%
@ 3.23-5.9%
Under 3.5
77.8%
@ 1.26+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.28
1xBet
3.28
888Sport
3.20
Unibet
3.15
Under
888Sport
1.29
Unibet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
46.6%
@ 1.71-6.8%
No
53.4%
@ 1.96+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
888Sport
1.73
William Hil
1.73
Marathonbet
1.72
1xBet
1.72
BetVictor
1.70
No
BetVictor
2.00
Unibet
1.98
1xBet
1.96
888Sport
1.95
William Hil
1.95
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.2%@ 6.34+7.1%
1-0
12.7%@ 8.50+8.2%
2-0
10.7%@ 12.86+7.7%
0-0
10.2%@ 11.00+6.7%
2-1
9.3%@ 9.46+5.2%
0-1 ✓
6.6%@ 7.14+1.2%
3-0
5.5%@ 28.71+4.2%
1-2
5.2%@ 8.23+0.5%
Dobrudzha goals ↓
Yantra 2019 goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
6.6%
3.4%
1.0%
0.2%
1
13%
13%
5.2%
1.5%
0.3%
2
11%
9.3%
4.0%
1.1%
0.2%
3
5.5%
4.8%
2.1%
0.6%
0.1%
4
2.1%
1.8%
0.8%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dobrudzha goals (down), columns = Yantra 2019 goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Vihren
2.14
CSKA Sofia II
2.00
Fratria
2.00
Yantra 2019
1.86
Montana
1.57
Beroe
1.57
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1.57
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.57
Marek
1.43
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.43
Nesebar
1.43
Rilski Sportist
1.29
Ludogorets II
1.14
Hebar 1918
1.14
Spartak Pleven
1.00
Sportist Svoge
0.86
Dobrudzha
0.71
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0.00
Dobrudzha is 1.14 points worse than Yantra 2019 in terms of average points per game (0.71 vs 1.86).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
CSKA Sofia II
2.14
Vihren
2.14
Nesebar
1.86
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.86
Montana
1.71
Hebar 1918
1.71
Beroe
1.29
Fratria
1.29
Yantra 2019
1.29
Marek
1.00
Spartak Pleven
1.00
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1.00
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.00
Dobrudzha
1.00
Rilski Sportist
1.00
Ludogorets II
0.71
Sportist Svoge
0.57
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0.43
Dobrudzha is 0.29 goals worse than Yantra 2019 in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.29).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Fratria
0.57
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
0.57
Marek
0.86
Beroe
0.86
Sportist Svoge
0.86
CSKA Sofia II
1.00
Yantra 2019
1.00
Rilski Sportist
1.00
Vihren
1.00
Montana
1.14
Ludogorets II
1.14
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.29
Dobrudzha
1.43
Nesebar
1.43
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.57
Hebar 1918
1.86
Spartak Pleven
2.00
Pirin Blagoevgrad
3.43
Dobrudzha is 0.43 goals worse than Yantra 2019 in terms of goals conceded per game (1.43 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Dobrudzha or Draw✗ Miss
80.2%
Avg Implied -
52%
28%
20%
covers Dobrudzha + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dobrudzha or Yantra 2019✓ Hit
71.9%
Avg Implied -
52%
28%
20%
covers Dobrudzha + Yantra 2019
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Yantra 2019✓ Hit
47.9%
Avg Implied -
52%
28%
20%
covers Draw + Yantra 2019
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Dobrudzha
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.73
0.44
0.56
0.21
0.93
vs Stronger (5)
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.67
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (23)
0.43
0.65
0.58
0.58
0.27
0.73
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Yantra 2019) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Yantra 2019
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.53
0.73
0.40
0.67
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.77
0.54
0.83
0.42
0.71
0.64
vs Weaker (4)
0.25
0.50
0.33
0.33
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Dobrudzha) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dobrudzha over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dobrudzha over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dobrudzha over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yantra 2019 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yantra 2019 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yantra 2019 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Dobrudzha
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.60
0.69
0.62
0.29
0.57
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
1.00
0.67
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.57
0.57
0.75
0.58
0.36
0.55
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Yantra 2019) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Yantra 2019
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.40
0.73
0.47
0.73
0.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.65
0.38
0.67
0.42
0.64
0.36
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
0.50
1.00
0.67
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
73% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Dobrudzha) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dobrudzha over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dobrudzha over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dobrudzha over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yantra 2019 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yantra 2019 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yantra 2019 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Home or Draw
80.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
77.8%
1.26
888Sport
1.29
Unibet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
-
+5.9%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
71.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
70.5%
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
888Sport
1.25
Unibet
1.24
-
-1.9%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Dobrudzha · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ivaylo Mihaylov23%
Georgi Trifonov17%
Milcho Angelov12%
Valdu Te10%
Tomás Silva10%
Lucas Cardoso Soares10%
Vasco Oliveira9%
Anton Ivanov9%
Montassar Triki8%
Matheus Leoni6%
Aykut Ramadan0%
Georgi Argilashki0%
Dimitar Pirgov0%
Rumen Rumenov0%
Kolyo Stanev0%
Ventsislav Kerchev0%
Andrian Dimitrov0%
Ivaylo Klimentov0%
Diogo Ressurreição0%
Di Mateo Lovrić0%
Boubacar Hanne0%
Krasian Kolev0%
Aaron Appiah0%
Bogdan Kostov0%
Diogo Madaleno0%
Galin Grigorov0%
Angel Angelov0%
Dzhan Hasan0%
Malik Ndor0%
Zdravko Serafimov0%
Jhonatan Cuero0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Zdravko Serafimov33%
Ivaylo Mihaylov32%
Lucas Cardoso Soares30%
Malik Ndor27%
Di Mateo Lovrić26%
Boubacar Hanne25%
Jhonatan Cuero24%
Anton Ivanov22%
Bogdan Kostov18%
Matheus Leoni18%
Montassar Triki17%
Ventsislav Kerchev14%
Andrian Dimitrov11%
Diogo Madaleno11%
Galin Grigorov11%
Tomás Silva10%
Vasco Oliveira9%
Georgi Trifonov8%
Angel Angelov8%
Dimitar Pirgov7%
Aykut Ramadan6%
Georgi Argilashki0%
Rumen Rumenov0%
Kolyo Stanev0%
Milcho Angelov0%
Valdu Te0%
Ivaylo Klimentov0%
Diogo Ressurreição0%
Krasian Kolev0%
Aaron Appiah0%
Dzhan Hasan0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Aykut Ramadan17%
Tomás Silva15%
Andrian Dimitrov11%
Valdu Te10%
Matheus Leoni6%
Bogdan Kostov5%
Anton Ivanov4%
Ivaylo Mihaylov0%
Georgi Argilashki0%
Dimitar Pirgov0%
Rumen Rumenov0%
Kolyo Stanev0%
Milcho Angelov0%
Ventsislav Kerchev0%
Ivaylo Klimentov0%
Vasco Oliveira0%
Diogo Ressurreição0%
Di Mateo Lovrić0%
Boubacar Hanne0%
Georgi Trifonov0%
Lucas Cardoso Soares0%
Montassar Triki0%
Krasian Kolev0%
Aaron Appiah0%
Diogo Madaleno0%
Galin Grigorov0%
Angel Angelov0%
Dzhan Hasan0%
Malik Ndor0%
Zdravko Serafimov0%
Jhonatan Cuero0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Milcho Angelov25%
Boubacar Hanne25%
Lucas Cardoso Soares20%
Montassar Triki17%
Tomás Silva15%
Anton Ivanov13%
Ivaylo Mihaylov9%
Di Mateo Lovrić5%
Aykut Ramadan0%
Georgi Argilashki0%
Matheus Leoni0%
Dimitar Pirgov0%
Rumen Rumenov0%
Kolyo Stanev0%
Ventsislav Kerchev0%
Valdu Te0%
Andrian Dimitrov0%
Ivaylo Klimentov0%
Vasco Oliveira0%
Diogo Ressurreição0%
Georgi Trifonov0%
Krasian Kolev0%
Aaron Appiah0%
Bogdan Kostov0%
Diogo Madaleno0%
Galin Grigorov0%
Angel Angelov0%
Dzhan Hasan0%
Malik Ndor0%
Zdravko Serafimov0%
Jhonatan Cuero0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FRA (22)
€3m
Y2 (18)
€3m
H1 (19)
€3m
VIH (18)
€2m
EVT (23)
€2m
C1B (19)
€2m
CSI (20)
€2m
PB (17)
€2m
MON (17)
€2m
MAR (19)
€2m
BER (13)
€2m
LGO (15)
€1m
SP (19)
€1m
DOB (10)
€1m
LI (13)
€1m
SS (12)
€1m
Dobrudzha's squad is €2m less valuable than Yantra 2019's (€1m vs €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
H1 (8)
€2m
VIH (9)
€1m
Y2 (6)
€1m
EVT (12)
€1m
FRA (6)
€1m
MON (8)
€1m
C1B (4)
€1m
BER (5)
€1m
CSI (8)
€1m
SP (8)
€1m
LI (6)
€1m
DOB (5)
€0m
PB (5)
€0m
MAR (4)
€0m
SS (5)
€0m
LGO (4)
€0m
Dobrudzha and Yantra 2019 have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FRA (4)
€1m
C1B (6)
€1m
PB (6)
€1m
VIH (3)
€1m
MAR (6)
€1m
EVT (3)
€0m
LGO (3)
€0m
DOB (3)
€0m
CSI (3)
€0m
Y2 (2)
€0m
MON (3)
€0m
SP (5)
€0m
LI (3)
€0m
H1 (2)
€0m
BER (2)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
Dobrudzha and Yantra 2019 have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
Y2 (10)
€2m
FRA (12)
€1m
H1 (9)
€1m
EVT (8)
€1m
CSI (9)
€1m
BER (6)
€1m
MAR (9)
€1m
LGO (8)
€1m
C1B (9)
€1m
VIH (6)
€1m
MON (6)
€1m
PB (6)
€1m
SP (6)
€0m
LI (4)
€0m
DOB (2)
€0m
SS (3)
€0m
Dobrudzha's defence is €1m less valuable than Yantra 2019's (€0m vs €2m).
Bulgaria: Second League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bulgaria: Second League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Vihren
CSKA Sofia II
Fratria
Montana
Beroe
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
Nesebar
Marek
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
Rilski Sportist
Hebar 1918
Ludogorets II
Spartak Pleven
Sportist Svoge
Pirin Blagoevgrad