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Doxa vs Ayia Napa Result & Analysis

Date: 27/09/2025
Time: 16:00
Final 1-1
Doxa
Doxa
Vs
55%
25%
20%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ayia Napa
Ayia Napa
Cyprus: 2. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Doxa win✗ Miss
55.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
24.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa win✗ Miss
20.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

DoxaDoxa

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-423L23L03L12L24L01L12L30W01L21WA·OTH01/03A·PEY08/03A·SPA14/03H·MEA29/03A·HAL02/04H·AYI05/04A·ANA12/04H·OTH26/04H·NEA12/09A·APE19/09
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.301.871.001.271.60
vs Stronger (23)1.611.172.100.801.231.46
vs Similar (7)1.431.711.401.401.502.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Ayia Napa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ayia NapaAyia Napa

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W12L22D13L10W10W31W01L33D10WH·MEA01/03H·HAL08/03H·PEY15/03A·ANA29/03H·OTH02/04A·DOX05/04H·SPA12/04A·MEA26/04A·APE13/09H·AE 20/09
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.431.071.001.071.87
vs Stronger (24)0.961.581.000.920.922.25
vs Similar (6)1.500.831.331.331.670.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Doxa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%014%124%222%316%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.0%
Under 1.5
20.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
55.9%
Under 2.5
44.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.5%
Under 3.5
66.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.2%
No
43.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.4%
1-0
9.0%
0-0
6.4%
3-1
6.2%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
Doxa goals ↓
Ayia Napa goals →
01234
06.4%4.6%3.0%1.1%0.3%
19.0%12%5.6%2.0%0.5%
29.4%9.9%5.2%1.8%0.5%
35.8%6.2%3.3%1.1%0.3%
42.7%2.9%1.5%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Doxa goals (down), columns = Ayia Napa goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Nea Salamis
2.62
Karmiotissa
1.93
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.83
PAEEK
1.59
Halkanoras
1.55
Doxa
1.45
Ayia Napa
1.41
Digenis Morphou
1.34
Spartakos Kitiou
1.34
APEA
1.34
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1.28
ASIL Lysi
1.07
Ethnikos Latsion
1.03
MEAP Nisou
1.00
AE Zakakiou
0.90
Ahironas / Onisilos
0.28
Doxa is 0.03 points better than Ayia Napa in terms of average points per game (1.45 vs 1.41).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Omonia 29is Maiou
2.07
Nea Salamis
1.93
Karmiotissa
1.86
Halkanoras
1.62
Digenis Morphou
1.55
Spartakos Kitiou
1.45
PAEEK
1.45
Ayia Napa
1.45
APEA
1.31
Doxa
1.17
ASIL Lysi
1.10
AE Zakakiou
1.10
MEAP Nisou
1.07
Ethnikos Latsion
0.97
Iraklis Yerolakkou
0.93
Ahironas / Onisilos
0.62
Doxa is 0.28 goals worse than Ayia Napa in terms of goals scored per game (1.17 vs 1.45).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Nea Salamis
0.52
Karmiotissa
0.90
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1.03
PAEEK
1.07
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.14
Doxa
1.21
Spartakos Kitiou
1.24
Halkanoras
1.28
Digenis Morphou
1.31
APEA
1.31
Ayia Napa
1.48
Ethnikos Latsion
1.59
ASIL Lysi
1.72
MEAP Nisou
1.72
AE Zakakiou
1.79
Ahironas / Onisilos
2.34
Doxa is 0.28 goals better than Ayia Napa in terms of goals conceded per game (1.21 vs 1.48).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

DoxaDoxa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L20W02L02L02L00D00D10W00D01LA·OTH01/03A·PEY08/03A·SPA14/03H·MEA29/03A·HAL02/04H·AYI05/04A·ANA12/04H·OTH26/04H·NEA12/09A·APE19/09
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.600.730.530.530.67
vs Stronger (23)0.740.480.900.300.620.62
vs Similar (7)0.291.000.401.000.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Ayia Napa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ayia NapaAyia Napa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-110W11D01L01L00D00D11D01L11D10WH·MEA01/03H·HAL08/03H·PEY15/03A·ANA29/03H·OTH02/04A·DOX05/04H·SPA12/04A·MEA26/04A·APE13/09H·AE 20/09
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.600.400.470.400.73
vs Stronger (24)0.380.670.420.420.330.92
vs Similar (6)0.500.330.330.670.670.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Doxa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Doxa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Doxa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Doxa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

DoxaDoxa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D03L01L10W22D01L12L20W01L20WA·OTH01/03A·PEY08/03A·SPA14/03H·MEA29/03A·HAL02/04H·AYI05/04A·ANA12/04H·OTH26/04H·NEA12/09A·APE19/09
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.701.130.470.730.93
vs Stronger (23)0.870.701.200.500.620.85
vs Similar (7)1.140.711.000.401.501.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Ayia Napa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ayia NapaAyia Napa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L21W12L10W10W20W00D22D00DH·MEA01/03H·HAL08/03H·PEY15/03A·ANA29/03H·OTH02/04A·DOX05/04H·SPA12/04A·MEA26/04A·APE13/09H·AE 20/09
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.830.670.530.671.13
vs Stronger (24)0.580.920.580.500.581.33
vs Similar (6)1.000.501.000.671.000.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Doxa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Doxa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Doxa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Doxa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.580.0%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Doxa · 2023/24
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nikola Trujić50%
Ernest Asante40%
Dimitar Velkovski20%
Marios Antoniadis0%
Mesca0%
Charis Kyriakou0%
Duško Trajčevski0%
Guessouma Fofana0%
Adil Nabi0%
Konstantinos Provydakis0%
Bryan Alceus0%
Simranjit Thandi0%
Omar Hani0%
Vangelis Kyriakou0%
Nicolai Skoglund0%
Aleksa Puric0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nikola Trujić75%
Mesca33%
Bryan Alceus25%
Marios Antoniadis20%
Duško Trajčevski20%
Ernest Asante20%
Simranjit Thandi20%
Dimitar Velkovski0%
Charis Kyriakou0%
Guessouma Fofana0%
Adil Nabi0%
Konstantinos Provydakis0%
Omar Hani0%
Vangelis Kyriakou0%
Nicolai Skoglund0%
Aleksa Puric0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Guessouma Fofana33%
Marios Antoniadis20%
Dimitar Velkovski20%
Mesca0%
Charis Kyriakou0%
Duško Trajčevski0%
Adil Nabi0%
Konstantinos Provydakis0%
Nikola Trujić0%
Ernest Asante0%
Bryan Alceus0%
Simranjit Thandi0%
Omar Hani0%
Vangelis Kyriakou0%
Nicolai Skoglund0%
Aleksa Puric0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nikola Trujić50%
Marios Antoniadis0%
Mesca0%
Dimitar Velkovski0%
Charis Kyriakou0%
Duško Trajčevski0%
Guessouma Fofana0%
Adil Nabi0%
Konstantinos Provydakis0%
Ernest Asante0%
Bryan Alceus0%
Simranjit Thandi0%
Omar Hani0%
Vangelis Kyriakou0%
Nicolai Skoglund0%
Aleksa Puric0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NS (15)
€5m
KAR (12)
€3m
O2M (10)
€3m
DOX (1)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
Doxa and Ayia Napa have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NS (4)
€2m
KAR (3)
€0m
O2M (2)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
Doxa and Ayia Napa have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NS (4)
€2m
KAR (3)
€1m
O2M (2)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
O2M (6)
€2m
KAR (6)
€2m
NS (7)
€2m
DOX (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
Doxa and Ayia Napa have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
0
DOX wins
1
Draws
2
AN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Doxa vs Ayia Napa · H/A from DOX
DateH/AGameScore
05/04/25HDOX Vs Ayia Napa0-1
15/02/25AAyia Napa Vs DOX1-1
09/11/24HDOX Vs Ayia Napa0-1

DoxaDoxa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/09/25AAPEA Vs DOX1-2
12/09/25HDOX Vs Nea Salamis0-1
26/04/25HDOX Vs Othellos3-0
12/04/25AAnagennisi Deryneia Vs DOX2-1
05/04/25HDOX Vs Ayia Napa0-1
02/04/25AHalkanoras Vs DOX4-2
29/03/25HDOX Vs MEAP Nisou1-2
14/03/25ASpartakos Kitiou Vs DOX3-0
08/03/25APeyia Vs DOX3-2
01/03/25AOthellos Vs DOX3-2

Ayia NapaAyia Napa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/09/25HAN Vs AE Zakakiou1-0
13/09/25AAPEA Vs AN3-3
26/04/25AMEAP Nisou Vs AN1-0
12/04/25HAN Vs Spartakos Kitiou3-1
05/04/25ADoxa Vs AN0-1
02/04/25HAN Vs Othellos1-0
29/03/25AAnagennisi Deryneia Vs AN3-1
15/03/25HAN Vs Peyia2-2
08/03/25HAN Vs Halkanoras1-2
01/03/25HAN Vs MEAP Nisou2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Doxa
Doxa
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 0 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLW1.34
HomeWLLWL1.40
AwayLLLLW1.28
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%44%36%
AVG goals2.762.962.56
Over 1.5 %68%72%64%
Over 2.5 %54%56%52%
Over 3.5 %28%32%24%
Scored1.361.601.12
Conceded1.401.361.44
BTTS46%40%52%
Clean Sheet28%28%28%
Corners10.5010.2010.80
Cards3.203.003.40
Ayia Napa
Ayia Napa
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLDW1.26
HomeLDWWW1.38
AwayLLWLD1.15
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%38%35%
AVG goals2.883.002.77
Over 1.5 %74%71%77%
Over 2.5 %58%58%58%
Over 3.5 %28%33%23%
Scored1.221.331.12
Conceded1.661.671.65
BTTS52%58%46%
Clean Sheet24%25%23%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Nea SalamisNea Salamis2976
83%
2.6
5615+41
2.4
69%
45%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2221.90.5
-
2KarmiotissaKarmiotissa2956
55%
1.9
5426+28
2.8
72%
55%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0121.90.9
-
3Omonia 29is MaiouOmonia 29is Maiou2953
48%
1.8
6033+27
3.2
79%
59%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0022.11.1
-
4PAEEKPAEEK2946
41%
1.6
4231+11
2.5
72%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.1
-
5HalkanorasHalkanoras2945
45%
1.6
4737+10
2.9
72%
62%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.3
-
6DoxaDoxa2942
41%
1.4
3435-1
2.4
79%
41%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.2
-
7Ayia NapaAyia Napa2941
38%
1.4
4243-1
2.9
83%
45%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.5
-
8Digenis MorphouDigenis Morphou2939
38%
1.3
4538+7
2.9
86%
55%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.3
-
9Spartakos KitiouSpartakos Kitiou2939
34%
1.3
4236+6
2.7
83%
45%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.2
-
10APEAAPEA2939
38%
1.3
3838+0
2.6
76%
52%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.3
-
11Iraklis YerolakkouIraklis Yerolakkou2937
28%
1.3
2730-3
2.0
62%
31%
10%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.0
-
12ASIL LysiASIL Lysi2931
28%
1.1
3250-18
2.8
69%
48%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.7
-
13Ethnikos LatsionEthnikos Latsion2930
28%
1.0
2846-18
2.6
79%
41%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.6
-
14MEAP NisouMEAP Nisou2929
28%
1.0
3150-19
2.8
76%
48%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.7
-
15AE ZakakiouAE Zakakiou2926
21%
0.9
3252-20
2.9
79%
48%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
16Ahironas / OnisilosAhironas / Onisilos298
3%
0.3
1868-50
3.0
83%
55%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.62.3
-
Cyprus: 2. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 2. Division stats & trends →

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