This opponent (Nea Salamis) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nea Salamis
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.53
1.50
1.50
1.14
1.57
vs Stronger (8)
0.75
2.25
0.80
2.20
0.67
2.33
vs Similar (20)
1.60
1.35
1.90
1.20
1.30
1.50
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Doxa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
64.1%
Under 1.5
35.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
35.8%
Under 2.5
64.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
16.7%
Under 3.5
83.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
43.1%
No
56.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%
0-1 â
13.4%
0-0
13.2%
1-0
9.3%
0-2
9.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
5.8%
2-0
4.7%
Doxa goals ↓
Nea Salamis goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
13%
13%
9.1%
3.8%
1.2%
1
9.3%
14%
8.1%
3.4%
1.0%
2
4.7%
5.8%
3.6%
1.5%
0.5%
3
1.4%
1.7%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
4
0.3%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Doxa goals (down), columns = Nea Salamis goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Aris
2.06
Apoel Nicosia
1.97
AEK Larnaca
1.83
Apollon Limassol
1.77
Pafos
1.75
Anorthosis
1.57
Nea Salamis
1.45
Omonia Nicosia
1.36
AEL
1.26
Karmiotissa
1.20
Doxa
0.97
Enosis
0.93
Akritas
0.85
Olympiakos
0.70
Doxa is 0.47 points worse than Nea Salamis in terms of average points per game (0.97 vs 1.45).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Aris
1.81
Pafos
1.67
AEK Larnaca
1.53
Apoel Nicosia
1.44
Apollon Limassol
1.34
Anorthosis
1.30
Nea Salamis
1.27
Omonia Nicosia
1.19
Enosis
1.00
Akritas
0.93
Karmiotissa
0.90
AEL
0.90
Doxa
0.80
Olympiakos
0.75
Doxa is 0.47 goals worse than Nea Salamis in terms of goals scored per game (0.80 vs 1.27).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Apoel Nicosia
0.72
Aris
0.78
Pafos
0.83
AEL
1.03
AEK Larnaca
1.03
Apollon Limassol
1.06
Anorthosis
1.07
Omonia Nicosia
1.17
Enosis
1.30
Karmiotissa
1.35
Nea Salamis
1.38
Doxa
1.40
Olympiakos
1.55
Akritas
1.82
Doxa is 0.02 goals worse than Nea Salamis in terms of goals conceded per game (1.40 vs 1.38).
âąïļ Possession
Avg possession %
Omonia Nicosia
56%
AEK Larnaca
55%
Anorthosis
55%
Akritas
55%
Olympiakos
52%
Enosis
52%
Karmiotissa
50%
Apoel Nicosia
49%
Doxa
46%
AEL
45%
Pafos
45%
Aris
44%
Nea Salamis
40%
Doxa is 6.0 percentage points better than Nea Salamis in terms of average possession (46% vs 40%).
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Doxa
For 4.0 · Against 3.3 · Total 7.3
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 3.5 · Total 5.6
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 17.1 · Total 28.9
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Nea Salamis
For 4.8 · Against 3.3 · Total 8.1
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 2.3 · Total 3.7
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 13.9 · Total 25.4
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Doxa
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (38)
8.7
8.9
8.5
3.6
4.0
3.2
28.1
28.1
28.1
vs Stronger (38)
8.7
8.9
8.5
3.6
4.0
3.2
28.1
28.1
28.1
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
34%
40%
29%
53%
58%
47%
93%
87%
100%
% under line
66%
60%
71%
47%
42%
53%
7%
13%
0%
This opponent (Nea Salamis) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nea Salamis
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (38)
8.7
8.9
8.4
3.6
4.0
3.1
27.8
29.8
26.0
vs Stronger (10)
9.4
9.2
9.7
3.6
4.6
2.6
26.6
28.2
24.3
vs Similar (25)
8.3
8.6
8.1
3.5
3.9
3.2
28.3
30.6
26.4
vs Weaker (3)
9.5
11.0
8.0
3.7
3.0
5.0
28.0
29.0
27.0
% over line
39%
43%
36%
58%
68%
47%
81%
92%
71%
% under line
61%
57%
64%
42%
32%
53%
19%
8%
29%
This opponent (Doxa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Akritas
9.2
AEL
9.2
Aris
9.2
Anorthosis
9.2
Karmiotissa
9.1
Pafos
9.0
AEK Larnaca
8.8
Enosis
8.8
Apollon Limassol
8.8
Doxa
8.7
Nea Salamis
8.7
Olympiakos
8.6
Omonia Nicosia
8.5
Apoel Nicosia
8.2
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Pafos
5.4
Apoel Nicosia
5.1
Apollon Limassol
5.0
Aris
5.0
Enosis
5.0
Nea Salamis
4.8
AEK Larnaca
4.8
Olympiakos
4.8
Karmiotissa
4.8
Anorthosis
4.7
Doxa
4.7
Akritas
4.1
Omonia Nicosia
4.0
AEL
4.0
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Apoel Nicosia
29.5
Enosis
28.7
AEK Larnaca
28.3
Doxa
28.1
Olympiakos
27.9
Nea Salamis
27.8
Anorthosis
27.7
AEL
26.9
Karmiotissa
26.2
Aris
26.0
Apollon Limassol
25.8
Pafos
25.5
Omonia Nicosia
23.2
Akritas
22.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
31.7%
Under 9.5
68.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
68.0%
Under 3.5
32.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
83.1%
Under 21.5
16.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Doxa
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.60
0.38
0.50
0.79
0.71
vs Stronger (30)
0.57
0.60
0.38
0.50
0.79
0.71
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Nea Salamis) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nea Salamis
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.97
0.56
0.88
0.43
1.07
vs Stronger (8)
0.25
1.50
0.20
1.40
0.33
1.67
vs Similar (20)
0.65
0.85
0.80
0.70
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Doxa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Doxa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Doxa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Doxa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nea Salamis over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nea Salamis over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nea Salamis over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Doxa
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.80
0.25
0.69
0.43
0.93
vs Stronger (30)
0.33
0.80
0.25
0.69
0.43
0.93
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Nea Salamis) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nea Salamis
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.57
0.94
0.62
0.71
0.50
vs Stronger (8)
0.50
0.75
0.60
0.80
0.33
0.67
vs Similar (20)
0.95
0.50
1.10
0.50
0.80
0.50
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Doxa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Doxa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Doxa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Doxa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nea Salamis over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nea Salamis over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nea Salamis over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
91.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 11.5 corners
86.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 2.5 cards
84.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 3.5
83.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
83.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 10.5 corners
78.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
70.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
Doxa · 2023/24
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nikola TrujiÄ50%
Ernest Asante40%
Dimitar Velkovski20%
Marios Antoniadis0%
Mesca0%
Charis Kyriakou0%
DuÅĄko TrajÄevski0%
Guessouma Fofana0%
Adil Nabi0%
Konstantinos Provydakis0%
Bryan Alceus0%
Simranjit Thandi0%
Omar Hani0%
Vangelis Kyriakou0%
Nicolai Skoglund0%
Aleksa Puric0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nikola TrujiÄ75%
Mesca33%
Bryan Alceus25%
Marios Antoniadis20%
DuÅĄko TrajÄevski20%
Ernest Asante20%
Simranjit Thandi20%
Dimitar Velkovski0%
Charis Kyriakou0%
Guessouma Fofana0%
Adil Nabi0%
Konstantinos Provydakis0%
Omar Hani0%
Vangelis Kyriakou0%
Nicolai Skoglund0%
Aleksa Puric0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Guessouma Fofana33%
Marios Antoniadis20%
Dimitar Velkovski20%
Mesca0%
Charis Kyriakou0%
DuÅĄko TrajÄevski0%
Adil Nabi0%
Konstantinos Provydakis0%
Nikola TrujiÄ0%
Ernest Asante0%
Bryan Alceus0%
Simranjit Thandi0%
Omar Hani0%
Vangelis Kyriakou0%
Nicolai Skoglund0%
Aleksa Puric0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nikola TrujiÄ50%
Marios Antoniadis0%
Mesca0%
Dimitar Velkovski0%
Charis Kyriakou0%
DuÅĄko TrajÄevski0%
Guessouma Fofana0%
Adil Nabi0%
Konstantinos Provydakis0%
Ernest Asante0%
Bryan Alceus0%
Simranjit Thandi0%
Omar Hani0%
Vangelis Kyriakou0%
Nicolai Skoglund0%
Aleksa Puric0%
Nea Salamis · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Andreas Frangos33%
Alexandros Michael25%
Apostolos Vellios20%
Konstantinos Sergiou0%
Fiorin Durmishaj0%
Nikolaos Melissas0%
Danny Bejarano0%
Nenad TomoviÄ0%
Serge Leuko0%
Yassine Bahassa0%
Miguelito0%
Carlitos0%
Victor Fernandez0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Konstantinos Sergiou67%
Serge Leuko67%
Danny Bejarano40%
Carlitos33%
Yassine Bahassa20%
Apostolos Vellios0%
Alexandros Michael0%
Andreas Frangos0%
Fiorin Durmishaj0%
Nikolaos Melissas0%
Nenad TomoviÄ0%
Miguelito0%
Victor Fernandez0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Fiorin Durmishaj25%
Yassine Bahassa20%
Victor Fernandez20%
Apostolos Vellios0%
Alexandros Michael0%
Konstantinos Sergiou0%
Andreas Frangos0%
Nikolaos Melissas0%
Danny Bejarano0%
Nenad TomoviÄ0%
Serge Leuko0%
Miguelito0%
Carlitos0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Fiorin Durmishaj25%
Apostolos Vellios20%
Alexandros Michael0%
Konstantinos Sergiou0%
Andreas Frangos0%
Nikolaos Melissas0%
Danny Bejarano0%
Nenad TomoviÄ0%
Serge Leuko0%
Yassine Bahassa0%
Miguelito0%
Carlitos0%
Victor Fernandez0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (23)
€28m
AL (30)
€16m
AL (24)
€15m
AN (30)
€15m
ON (23)
€15m
ARI (26)
€11m
AEL (21)
€9m
ANO (25)
€7m
NS (15)
€5m
OLY (14)
€4m
KAR (12)
€3m
ENO (9)
€1m
AKR (5)
€1m
DOX (1)
€0m
Doxa's squad is €5m less valuable than Nea Salamis's (€0m vs €5m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€14m
AN (12)
€8m
ON (9)
€7m
AL (10)
€7m
AL (9)
€7m
AEL (9)
€4m
ARI (8)
€3m
ANO (9)
€2m
NS (4)
€2m
OLY (4)
€1m
KAR (3)
€0m
ENO (3)
€0m
AKR (2)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
Doxa's attack is €2m less valuable than Nea Salamis's (€0m vs €2m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (5)
€8m
ON (4)
€3m
ARI (5)
€3m
AN (4)
€3m
AL (4)
€2m
AL (6)
€2m
AEL (5)
€2m
NS (4)
€2m
ANO (6)
€1m
KAR (3)
€1m
OLY (2)
€0m
ENO (2)
€0m
AKR (0)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
Doxa's midfield is €2m less valuable than Nea Salamis's (€0m vs €2m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€7m
AL (14)
€7m
AL (11)
€7m
ARI (13)
€5m
AN (14)
€5m
ON (10)
€5m
ANO (10)
€3m
AEL (7)
€3m
OLY (8)
€2m
KAR (6)
€2m
NS (7)
€2m
ENO (4)
€1m
AKR (3)
€1m
DOX (1)
€0m
Doxa's defence is €2m less valuable than Nea Salamis's (€0m vs €2m).
Cyprus: 1. Division 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 1. Division stats & trends →
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Aris
Apoel Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
Pafos
Anorthosis
Apollon Limassol
Omonia Nicosia
AEL
Karmiotissa
Enosis
Akritas
Olympiakos