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Doxa vs Othellos Result & Analysis

Date: 26/04/2025
Time: 14:00
Final 3-0
Doxa
Doxa
Vs
62%
24%
14%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Othellos
Othellos
Cyprus: 2. Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Doxa win✓ Hit
61.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Othellos win✗ Miss
14.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

DoxaDoxa

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-431W11D42W23L23L03L12L24L01L12LH·HAL08/02A·AYI15/02H·ANA23/02A·OTH01/03A·PEY08/03A·SPA14/03H·MEA29/03A·HAL02/04H·AYI05/04A·ANA12/04
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.472.211.211.061.69
vs Stronger (23)1.651.392.671.111.001.57
vs Similar (7)1.431.711.401.401.502.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Othellos) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

OthellosOthellos

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-821W13L01L32W10W10W11D01L00D80WH·AYI08/02A·ANA15/02A·PEY22/02H·DOX01/03H·SPA08/03A·MEA15/03H·HAL29/03A·AYI02/04H·ANA05/04H·PEY12/04
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.401.871.000.601.80
vs Stronger (1)1.004.00--1.004.00
vs Similar (19)1.211.211.731.000.501.50
vs Weaker (10)1.301.502.251.000.671.83
Clean sheet %27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Doxa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%017%126%222%315%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.4%
Under 1.5
24.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
49.6%
Under 2.5
50.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.7%
Under 3.5
72.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
47.2%
No
52.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
12.2%
1-0
12.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
8.0%
3-0 ✓
7.6%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
4.5%
Doxa goals ↓
Othellos goals →
01234
08.0%4.5%2.2%0.6%0.1%
112%11%4.1%1.1%0.2%
212%9.7%3.8%1.0%0.2%
37.6%6.0%2.4%0.6%0.1%
43.6%2.8%1.1%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Doxa goals (down), columns = Othellos goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Krasava Ypsonas
2.14
Olympiakos
1.97
Akritas
1.86
AE Zakakiou
1.72
Digenis Morphou
1.69
ASIL Lysi
1.48
Doxa
1.38
Spartakos Kitiou
1.31
Ayia Napa
1.31
Halkanoras
1.28
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.24
MEAP Nisou
1.24
PAEEK
1.21
Othellos
1.07
Ahironas / Onisilos
1.00
Peyia
0.86
Doxa is 0.31 points better than Othellos in terms of average points per game (1.38 vs 1.07).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Digenis Morphou
1.76
Halkanoras
1.72
Spartakos Kitiou
1.66
Akritas
1.66
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.59
Olympiakos
1.59
Krasava Ypsonas
1.59
Doxa
1.55
AE Zakakiou
1.31
ASIL Lysi
1.24
PAEEK
1.24
Ahironas / Onisilos
1.24
MEAP Nisou
1.21
Othellos
1.14
Ayia Napa
0.97
Peyia
0.72
Doxa is 0.41 goals better than Othellos in terms of goals scored per game (1.55 vs 1.14).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Krasava Ypsonas
0.59
Olympiakos
0.66
Akritas
1.00
AE Zakakiou
1.07
MEAP Nisou
1.21
Doxa
1.31
ASIL Lysi
1.34
PAEEK
1.34
Ayia Napa
1.41
Othellos
1.41
Digenis Morphou
1.55
Spartakos Kitiou
1.66
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.72
Halkanoras
1.76
Peyia
2.07
Ahironas / Onisilos
2.07
Doxa is 0.10 goals better than Othellos in terms of goals conceded per game (1.31 vs 1.41).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

DoxaDoxa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D30W01L20W02L02L02L00D00DH·HAL08/02A·AYI15/02H·ANA23/02A·OTH01/03A·PEY08/03A·SPA14/03H·MEA29/03A·HAL02/04H·AYI05/04A·ANA12/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.670.860.640.500.69
vs Stronger (23)0.780.571.110.440.570.64
vs Similar (7)0.291.000.401.000.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Othellos) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

OthellosOthellos

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
70-700D01L00D10W00D10W00D00D00D70WH·AYI08/02A·ANA15/02A·PEY22/02H·DOX01/03H·SPA08/03A·MEA15/03H·HAL29/03A·AYI02/04H·ANA05/04H·PEY12/04
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.530.930.400.200.67
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (19)0.680.531.000.550.250.50
vs Weaker (10)0.400.500.750.000.170.83
Clean sheet %60% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Doxa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Doxa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Doxa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Doxa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Othellos over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Othellos over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Othellos over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

DoxaDoxa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W11D12L22D03L01L10W22D01L12LH·HAL08/02A·AYI15/02H·ANA23/02A·OTH01/03A·PEY08/03A·SPA14/03H·MEA29/03A·HAL02/04H·AYI05/04A·ANA12/04
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.801.360.570.561.00
vs Stronger (23)0.870.831.560.670.430.93
vs Similar (7)1.140.711.000.401.501.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Othellos) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

OthellosOthellos

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W12L01L22D10W00D11D01L00D10WH·AYI08/02A·ANA15/02A·PEY22/02H·DOX01/03H·SPA08/03A·MEA15/03H·HAL29/03A·AYI02/04H·ANA05/04H·PEY12/04
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.870.930.600.401.13
vs Stronger (1)1.003.00--1.003.00
vs Similar (19)0.530.680.730.450.251.00
vs Weaker (10)0.901.001.501.000.501.00
Clean sheet %33% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Doxa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Doxa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Doxa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Doxa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Othellos over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Othellos over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Othellos over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls81.7%--------
Over 2.5 cards79.3%--------
Over 1.575.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards74.9%--------
Under 11.5 corners73.5%--------
Under 3.572.3%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Doxa · 2023/24
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nikola Trujić50%
Ernest Asante40%
Dimitar Velkovski20%
Marios Antoniadis0%
Mesca0%
Charis Kyriakou0%
Duško Trajčevski0%
Guessouma Fofana0%
Adil Nabi0%
Konstantinos Provydakis0%
Bryan Alceus0%
Simranjit Thandi0%
Omar Hani0%
Vangelis Kyriakou0%
Nicolai Skoglund0%
Aleksa Puric0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nikola Trujić75%
Mesca33%
Bryan Alceus25%
Marios Antoniadis20%
Duško Trajčevski20%
Ernest Asante20%
Simranjit Thandi20%
Dimitar Velkovski0%
Charis Kyriakou0%
Guessouma Fofana0%
Adil Nabi0%
Konstantinos Provydakis0%
Omar Hani0%
Vangelis Kyriakou0%
Nicolai Skoglund0%
Aleksa Puric0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Guessouma Fofana33%
Marios Antoniadis20%
Dimitar Velkovski20%
Mesca0%
Charis Kyriakou0%
Duško Trajčevski0%
Adil Nabi0%
Konstantinos Provydakis0%
Nikola Trujić0%
Ernest Asante0%
Bryan Alceus0%
Simranjit Thandi0%
Omar Hani0%
Vangelis Kyriakou0%
Nicolai Skoglund0%
Aleksa Puric0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nikola Trujić50%
Marios Antoniadis0%
Mesca0%
Dimitar Velkovski0%
Charis Kyriakou0%
Duško Trajčevski0%
Guessouma Fofana0%
Adil Nabi0%
Konstantinos Provydakis0%
Ernest Asante0%
Bryan Alceus0%
Simranjit Thandi0%
Omar Hani0%
Vangelis Kyriakou0%
Nicolai Skoglund0%
Aleksa Puric0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OLY (14)
€4m
KY (20)
€4m
AKR (5)
€1m
DOX (1)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KY (8)
€2m
OLY (4)
€1m
AKR (2)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KY (4)
€0m
OLY (2)
€0m
AKR (0)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OLY (8)
€2m
KY (8)
€1m
AKR (3)
€1m
DOX (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
1
DOX wins
1
Draws
4
OTH wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Doxa vs Othellos · H/A from DOX
DateH/AGameScore
01/03/25AOthellos Vs DOX3-2
30/11/24HDOX Vs Othellos3-1
07/05/24AOthellos Vs DOX3-0
29/03/24HDOX Vs Othellos0-1
05/02/24AOthellos Vs DOX0-0
04/11/23HDOX Vs Othellos0-2

DoxaDoxa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/04/25AAnagennisi Deryneia Vs DOX2-1
05/04/25HDOX Vs Ayia Napa0-1
02/04/25AHalkanoras Vs DOX4-2
29/03/25HDOX Vs MEAP Nisou1-2
14/03/25ASpartakos Kitiou Vs DOX3-0
08/03/25APeyia Vs DOX3-2
01/03/25AOthellos Vs DOX3-2
23/02/25HDOX Vs Anagennisi Deryneia4-2
15/02/25AAyia Napa Vs DOX1-1
08/02/25HDOX Vs Halkanoras3-1

OthellosOthellos

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/04/25HOTH Vs Peyia8-0
05/04/25HOTH Vs Anagennisi Deryneia0-0
02/04/25AAyia Napa Vs OTH1-0
29/03/25HOTH Vs Halkanoras1-1
15/03/25AMEAP Nisou Vs OTH0-1
08/03/25HOTH Vs Spartakos Kitiou1-0
01/03/25HOTH Vs Doxa3-2
22/02/25APeyia Vs OTH1-0
15/02/25AAnagennisi Deryneia Vs OTH3-1
08/02/25HOTH Vs Ayia Napa2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Doxa
Doxa
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL1.28
HomeWWWLL1.33
AwayLLLLL1.23
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%42%35%
AVG goals2.843.042.65
Over 1.5 %70%75%65%
Over 2.5 %54%58%50%
Over 3.5 %30%33%27%
Scored1.321.541.12
Conceded1.521.501.54
BTTS46%42%50%
Clean Sheet28%25%31%
Corners10.159.3310.86
Cards3.152.833.43
Othellos
Othellos
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLDW1.02
HomeWWDDW1.40
AwayLLLWL0.64
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%40%16%
AVG goals3.002.803.20
Over 1.5 %72%80%64%
Over 2.5 %58%64%52%
Over 3.5 %32%20%44%
Scored1.281.481.08
Conceded1.721.322.12
BTTS50%52%48%
Clean Sheet22%28%16%
Corners9.6210.508.86
Cards3.693.503.86

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Krasava YpsonasKrasava Ypsonas2962
66%
2.1
4617+29
2.2
59%
38%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2011.60.6
-
2OlympiakosOlympiakos2957
59%
2.0
4619+27
2.2
72%
41%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1021.60.7
-
3AkritasAkritas2954
59%
1.9
4829+19
2.7
69%
52%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.71.0
-
4AE ZakakiouAE Zakakiou2950
52%
1.7
3831+7
2.4
72%
38%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.1
-
5Digenis MorphouDigenis Morphou2949
52%
1.7
5145+6
3.3
83%
69%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.6
-
6ASIL LysiASIL Lysi2943
45%
1.5
3639-3
2.6
83%
55%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.3
-
7DoxaDoxa2940
41%
1.4
4538+7
2.9
72%
55%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.3
-
8Spartakos KitiouSpartakos Kitiou2938
41%
1.3
4848+0
3.3
72%
66%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.7
-
9Ayia NapaAyia Napa2938
38%
1.3
2841-13
2.4
66%
48%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.4
-
10HalkanorasHalkanoras2937
38%
1.3
5051-1
3.5
86%
72%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.8
-
11MEAP NisouMEAP Nisou2936
34%
1.2
3535+0
2.4
72%
41%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.2
-
12Anagennisi DeryneiaAnagennisi Deryneia2936
34%
1.2
4650-4
3.3
76%
69%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.7
-
13PAEEKPAEEK2935
31%
1.2
3639-3
2.6
76%
52%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.3
-
14OthellosOthellos2931
31%
1.1
3341-8
2.6
66%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.4
-
15Ahironas / OnisilosAhironas / Onisilos2929
31%
1.0
3660-24
3.3
79%
72%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.1
-
16PeyiaPeyia2925
24%
0.9
2160-39
2.8
69%
52%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.1
-
Cyprus: 2. Division 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 2. Division stats & trends →

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