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Drenica Skënderaj vs Ballkani Result & Analysis

Date: 30/04/2026
Time: 13:00
Final 1-2
Drenica Skënderaj
Drenica Skënderaj
Vs
36%
26%
39%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ballkani
Ballkani
Kosovo: Superliga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Drenica Skënderaj win✗ Miss
35.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ballkani win✓ Hit
38.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Drenica SkënderajDrenica Skënderaj

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L01L22D10W42W01L22D10W10W32WH·PRI23/02A·BAL01/03H·DUK08/03A·GJI14/03H·MAL17/03A·FER21/03H·PRI05/04A·LLA12/04H·DRI19/04A·PRI25/04
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.501.621.500.791.50
vs Stronger (11)1.361.552.331.670.201.40
vs Similar (19)1.161.471.201.401.111.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Ballkani) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BallkaniBallkani

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L10W02L30W10W01L21W11D24L30WA·FER22/02H·DRE01/03A·LLA09/03H·DRI15/03A·PRI18/03A·PRI21/03H·DUK04/04H·GJI12/04A·MAL19/04H·FER26/04
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.831.072.130.871.531.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)1.711.411.751.251.671.56
vs Weaker (13)2.000.622.570.431.330.83
Clean sheet %33% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Drenica Skënderaj) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%012%122%222%317%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.0%
Under 1.5
17.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
60.5%
Under 2.5
39.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
38.2%
Under 3.5
61.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
63.6%
No
36.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.8%
1-2 ✓
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
2-2
6.6%
0-1
5.9%
1-0
5.6%
0-2
5.6%
0-0
5.4%
Drenica Skënderaj goals ↓
Ballkani goals →
01234
05.4%5.9%5.6%3.0%1.2%
15.6%12%8.6%4.6%1.8%
25.1%8.2%6.6%3.5%1.4%
32.6%4.2%3.3%1.8%0.7%
41.0%1.6%1.3%0.7%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Drenica Skënderaj goals (down), columns = Ballkani goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Drita
1.83
Malisheva
1.64
Ballkani
1.61
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.50
Drenica Skënderaj
1.43
Dukagjini
1.42
Gjilani
1.42
Llapi
1.41
Prishtina
1.36
Ferizaj
1.00
Prishtina e Re
0.80
Liria Prizren
0.00
Drenica Skënderaj is 0.18 points worse than Ballkani in terms of average points per game (1.43 vs 1.61).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Ballkani
1.69
Malisheva
1.61
Prishtina
1.44
Drita
1.39
Drenica Skënderaj
1.31
Gjilani
1.31
Llapi
1.30
Dukagjini
1.17
Ferizaj
1.11
Prishtina e Re
1.03
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.00
Liria Prizren
0.00
Drenica Skënderaj is 0.38 goals worse than Ballkani in terms of goals scored per game (1.31 vs 1.69).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Drita
0.97
Dukagjini
1.00
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.00
Ballkani
1.14
Gjilani
1.33
Llapi
1.35
Malisheva
1.39
Prishtina
1.42
Drenica Skënderaj
1.49
Ferizaj
1.53
Prishtina e Re
1.71
Liria Prizren
2.00
Drenica Skënderaj is 0.35 goals worse than Ballkani in terms of goals conceded per game (1.49 vs 1.14).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Drenica SkënderajDrenica Skënderaj

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L00D11D10W11D00D10W00D10W01LH·PRI23/02A·BAL01/03H·DUK08/03A·GJI14/03H·MAL17/03A·FER21/03H·PRI05/04A·LLA12/04H·DRI19/04A·PRI25/04
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.600.620.560.360.64
vs Stronger (11)0.550.550.830.500.200.60
vs Similar (19)0.470.630.500.600.440.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Ballkani) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BallkaniBallkani

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L00D02L20W00D00D00D10W10W10WA·FER22/02H·DRE01/03A·LLA09/03H·DRI15/03A·PRI18/03A·PRI21/03H·DUK04/04H·GJI12/04A·MAL19/04H·FER26/04
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.501.000.470.670.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.940.711.120.880.780.56
vs Weaker (13)0.690.230.860.000.500.50
Clean sheet %67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Drenica Skënderaj) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Drenica Skënderaj over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drenica Skënderaj over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drenica Skënderaj over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ballkani over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ballkani over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ballkani over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Drenica SkënderajDrenica Skënderaj

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L11D00D31W01L12L10W00D31WH·PRI23/02A·BAL01/03H·DUK08/03A·GJI14/03H·MAL17/03A·FER21/03H·PRI05/04A·LLA12/04H·DRI19/04A·PRI25/04
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.901.000.940.430.86
vs Stronger (11)0.821.001.501.170.000.80
vs Similar (19)0.680.840.700.800.670.89
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Ballkani) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BallkaniBallkani

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D10W00D10W10W01L21W01L14L20WA·FER22/02H·DRE01/03A·LLA09/03H·DRI15/03A·PRI18/03A·PRI21/03H·DUK04/04H·GJI12/04A·MAL19/04H·FER26/04
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.571.130.400.870.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.760.710.620.380.891.00
vs Weaker (13)1.310.381.710.430.830.33
Clean sheet %57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Drenica Skënderaj) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Drenica Skënderaj over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drenica Skënderaj over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drenica Skënderaj over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ballkani over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ballkani over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ballkani over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.583.0%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Ballkani · 2023/24
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Almir Kryeziu25%
Walid Hamidi20%
Edvin Kuč17%
Lorenc Trashi0%
Vesel Limaj0%
Enea Koliçi0%
Bajram Jashanica0%
Nazmi Gripshi0%
Marsel Ismajlgeci0%
Lumbardh Dellova0%
Bleart Tolaj0%
Albin Berisha0%
Arber Potoku0%
Armend Thaqi0%
Qendrim Zyba0%
Arb Manaj0%
Gentrit Halili0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Walid Hamidi60%
Gentrit Halili40%
Lumbardh Dellova33%
Edvin Kuč33%
Arb Manaj33%
Almir Kryeziu25%
Lorenc Trashi17%
Enea Koliçi17%
Armend Thaqi17%
Vesel Limaj0%
Bajram Jashanica0%
Nazmi Gripshi0%
Marsel Ismajlgeci0%
Bleart Tolaj0%
Albin Berisha0%
Arber Potoku0%
Qendrim Zyba0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Almir Kryeziu25%
Qendrim Zyba17%
Lorenc Trashi0%
Vesel Limaj0%
Enea Koliçi0%
Bajram Jashanica0%
Nazmi Gripshi0%
Marsel Ismajlgeci0%
Lumbardh Dellova0%
Bleart Tolaj0%
Albin Berisha0%
Walid Hamidi0%
Arber Potoku0%
Edvin Kuč0%
Armend Thaqi0%
Arb Manaj0%
Gentrit Halili0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Almir Kryeziu25%
Nazmi Gripshi17%
Lorenc Trashi0%
Vesel Limaj0%
Enea Koliçi0%
Bajram Jashanica0%
Marsel Ismajlgeci0%
Lumbardh Dellova0%
Bleart Tolaj0%
Albin Berisha0%
Walid Hamidi0%
Arber Potoku0%
Edvin Kuč0%
Armend Thaqi0%
Qendrim Zyba0%
Arb Manaj0%
Gentrit Halili0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (24)
€8m
BAL (26)
€7m
PRI (24)
€6m
MAL (19)
€5m
LLA (28)
€5m
GJI (16)
€4m
DUK (20)
€3m
DS (8)
€1m
Drenica Skënderaj's squad is €6m less valuable than Ballkani's (€1m vs €7m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PRI (10)
€4m
DRI (8)
€3m
BAL (7)
€3m
LLA (9)
€2m
GJI (6)
€2m
MAL (6)
€2m
DUK (7)
€2m
DS (5)
€0m
Drenica Skënderaj's attack is €2m less valuable than Ballkani's (€0m vs €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAL (8)
€2m
DRI (5)
€2m
MAL (4)
€1m
LLA (7)
€1m
GJI (3)
€1m
PRI (3)
€1m
DUK (5)
€1m
DS (1)
€0m
Drenica Skënderaj's midfield is €2m less valuable than Ballkani's (€0m vs €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (11)
€3m
PRI (11)
€2m
BAL (11)
€2m
MAL (9)
€2m
LLA (12)
€2m
GJI (7)
€2m
DUK (8)
€1m
DS (2)
€0m
Drenica Skënderaj's defence is €2m less valuable than Ballkani's (€0m vs €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
1
DS wins
1
Draws
5
BAL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Drenica Skënderaj vs Ballkani · H/A from DS
DateH/AGameScore
01/03/26ABallkani Vs DS1-0
08/11/25HDS Vs Ballkani2-0
14/09/25ABallkani Vs DS3-0
16/04/23HDS Vs Ballkani0-1
19/02/23ABallkani Vs DS2-1
16/10/22HDS Vs Ballkani1-1
21/08/22ABallkani Vs DS1-0

Drenica SkënderajDrenica Skënderaj

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/04/26APrishtina e Re Vs DS2-3
19/04/26HDS Vs Drita1-0
12/04/26ALlapi Vs DS0-1
05/04/26HDS Vs Prishtina2-2
21/03/26AFerizaj Vs DS1-0
17/03/26HDS Vs Malisheva4-2
14/03/26AGjilani Vs DS0-1
08/03/26HDS Vs Dukagjini2-2
01/03/26ABallkani Vs DS1-0
23/02/26HDS Vs Prishtina e Re0-2

BallkaniBallkani

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/04/26HBAL Vs Ferizaj3-0
19/04/26AMalisheva Vs BAL4-2
12/04/26HBAL Vs Gjilani1-1
04/04/26HBAL Vs Dukagjini2-1
21/03/26APrishtina Vs BAL1-0
18/03/26APrishtina e Re Vs BAL0-1
15/03/26HBAL Vs Drita3-0
09/03/26ALlapi Vs BAL2-0
01/03/26HBAL Vs Drenica Skënderaj1-0
22/02/26AFerizaj Vs BAL2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Drenica Skënderaj
Drenica Skënderaj
Kosovo: Superliga
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWWW0.88
HomeLDWDW1.00
AwayLWLWW0.75
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%27%25%
AVG goals2.682.812.54
Over 1.5 %64%65%62%
Over 2.5 %48%50%46%
Over 3.5 %30%35%25%
Scored0.961.230.67
Conceded1.721.581.88
BTTS44%58%29%
Clean Sheet20%19%21%
Corners---
Cards---
Ballkani
Ballkani
Kosovo: Superliga
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDLW1.66
HomeWWWDW2.08
AwayLLWLL1.24
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%60%32%
AVG goals2.982.883.08
Over 1.5 %82%84%80%
Over 2.5 %52%48%56%
Over 3.5 %34%24%44%
Scored1.761.961.56
Conceded1.220.921.52
BTTS58%64%52%
Clean Sheet26%32%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1DritaDrita3666
56%
1.8
5035+15
2.4
75%
39%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3231.41.0
-
2MalishevaMalisheva3659
50%
1.6
5850+8
3.0
83%
58%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.61.4
-
3BallkaniBallkani3658
47%
1.6
6141+20
2.8
81%
53%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3221.71.1
-
4LlapiLlapi3752
38%
1.4
4850-2
2.6
73%
49%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.31.4
-
5DukagjiniDukagjini3651
36%
1.4
4236+6
2.2
69%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2111.21.0
-
6GjilaniGjilani3651
39%
1.4
4748-1
2.6
78%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.31.3
-
7Drenica SkënderajDrenica Skënderaj3550
43%
1.4
4652-6
2.8
66%
49%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.5
-
8PrishtinaPrishtina3649
36%
1.4
5251+1
2.9
78%
53%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
4121.41.4
-
9FerizajFerizaj3636
25%
1.0
4055-15
2.6
78%
50%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.5
-
10Prishtina e RePrishtina e Re3528
20%
0.8
3660-24
2.7
74%
46%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
11Dinamo FerizajDinamo Ferizaj23
50%
1.5
22+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
12Liria PrizrenLiria Prizren10
0%
0.0
02-2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.02.0
-
Kosovo: Superliga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Superliga stats & trends →

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