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Drenica Skënderaj vs Dukagjini Result & Analysis

Date: 15/08/2026
Time: 14:30
Final 0-0
Drenica Skënderaj
Drenica Skënderaj
Vs
33%
27%
41%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Dukagjini
Dukagjini
Kosovo: Superliga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

This highly anticipated match between Drenica Skënderaj and Dukagjini in the Kosovo: Superliga is finely balanced, with the away side Dukagjini's recent three-game winning run making them a force to be reckoned with. Dukagjini's away form against weaker opponents has seen them score an average of 2 goals and concede 2, while Drenica Skënderaj's home form against stronger teams has seen them score 1.93 goals and concede 1.67.

The model predicts an away win, with a 41% probability, and expects a total of 2.9 goals to be scored. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a probability of 12.7%. Drenica Skënderaj's home scoring and conceding form is 1.93 goals scored and 1.67 conceded, while Dukagjini's away scoring and conceding form is 2 goals scored and 2 conceded.

The model's selection is an away win, with a 41% probability. The suggested picks are Over 1.5 goals, with a probability of 79.7%. The home win percentage is 33%, the draw percentage is 27%, and the away win percentage is 41%.

Results analysis

In a shocking turn of events, Dukagjini drew 0-0 with Drenica Skënderaj, extending the latter's unbeaten run in their last 5 matches. This result was a major upset, as Drenica Skënderaj were not expected to hold off the strong form of Dukagjini. The pre-match favourite, Dukagjini, failed to come through, with the model's selection of an away win proving incorrect. The model had predicted a 41% chance of an away win, but Dukagjini's inability to break down Drenica Skënderaj's defence meant the model's call was wrong. The model's selection of an away win also came with a high probability of over 1.5 goals, which unfortunately missed, with a probability of 79.7%.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Drenica Skënderaj win✗ Miss
32.5%
Avg Implied 31.4% · @ 2.86
Edge
+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.10
1xBet
2.99
Marathonbet
2.93
Betfair
2.88
Dafabet
2.85
Draw✓ Hit
27.0%
Avg Implied 28.8% · @ 3.12
Edge
-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.30
Dafabet
3.15
1xBet
3.14
Marathonbet
3.14
Bet365
3.10
Dukagjini win✗ Miss
40.5%
Avg Implied 39.8% · @ 2.25
Edge
+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
2.60
Betano
2.32
Dafabet
2.31
1xBet
2.23
Marathonbet
2.21

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Drenica SkënderajDrenica Skënderaj

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D10W10W32W12L10W21W14L32W21WH·PRI05/04A·LLA12/04H·DRI19/04A·PRI25/04H·BAL30/04A·DUK03/05H·GJI09/05A·MAL17/05H·FER24/05A·PRI31/05
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.601.931.670.931.53
vs Stronger (14)1.641.862.381.880.671.83
vs Similar (16)1.251.381.431.431.111.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Dukagjini) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DukagjiniDukagjini

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L11D32W01L21W01L00D20W32W10WA·BAL04/04A·PRI13/04A·GJI19/04H·MAL26/04A·FER30/04H·DRE03/05A·LLA10/05H·DRI17/05A·PRI24/05H·BAL31/05
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.030.930.861.121.19
vs Stronger (8)0.881.251.000.250.752.25
vs Similar (22)1.090.950.901.101.250.83
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Drenica Skënderaj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
79.7%
@ 1.29+8.9%
Under 1.5
20.3%
@ 3.13-8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
Under
Marathonbet
3.20
1xBet
3.20
10Bet
3.00
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
55.5%
@ 1.90+7.6%
Under 2.5
44.5%
@ 1.75-7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.00
Bet365
1.95
Betano
1.93
Marathonbet
1.91
1xBet
1.91
Under
Bet365
1.85
Marathonbet
1.78
1xBet
1.78
10Bet
1.73
Betano
1.70
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.1%
@ 3.39+6.1%
Under 3.5
66.9%
@ 1.25-6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.60
1xBet
3.28
Marathonbet
3.28
Under
10Bet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
59.6%
@ 1.68+6.3%
No
40.4%
@ 1.92-6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
10Bet
1.73
1xBet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.70
BetVictor
1.57
No
1xBet
1.99
Marathonbet
1.96
10Bet
1.93
BetVictor
1.78

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.7%@ 6.00+5.7%
1-2
8.9%@ 8.70+4.0%
2-1
7.8%@ 9.80+3.5%
0-1
7.3%@ 7.30+1.5%
0-0 ✓
6.6%@ 8.80+1.9%
0-2
6.5%@ 10.30+2.4%
1-0
6.3%@ 8.80+1.5%
2-2
6.0%@ 12.80+2.8%
Drenica Skënderaj goals ↓
Dukagjini goals →
01234
06.6%7.3%6.5%3.3%1.3%
16.3%13%8.9%4.6%1.8%
25.1%7.8%6.0%3.1%1.2%
32.3%3.6%2.7%1.4%0.5%
40.8%1.2%0.9%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Drenica Skënderaj goals (down), columns = Dukagjini goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Drita
1.83
Malisheva
1.64
Ballkani
1.61
Drenica Skënderaj
1.43
Dukagjini
1.42
Gjilani
1.42
Llapi
1.41
Prishtina
1.36
Feronikeli
1.04
Vushtrria
0.45
Drenica Skënderaj is 0.01 points better than Dukagjini in terms of average points per game (1.43 vs 1.42).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Ballkani
1.69
Malisheva
1.61
Prishtina
1.44
Drita
1.39
Drenica Skënderaj
1.31
Gjilani
1.31
Llapi
1.30
Dukagjini
1.17
Feronikeli
0.97
Vushtrria
0.42
Drenica Skënderaj is 0.15 goals better than Dukagjini in terms of goals scored per game (1.31 vs 1.17).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Drita
0.97
Dukagjini
1.00
Ballkani
1.14
Gjilani
1.33
Llapi
1.35
Malisheva
1.39
Prishtina
1.42
Drenica Skënderaj
1.49
Feronikeli
1.68
Vushtrria
3.89
Drenica Skënderaj is 0.49 goals worse than Dukagjini in terms of goals conceded per game (1.49 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Drenica SkënderajDrenica Skënderaj

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D10W01L01L00D20W00D10W11DH·PRI05/04A·LLA12/04H·DRI19/04A·PRI25/04H·BAL30/04A·DUK03/05H·GJI09/05A·MAL17/05H·FER24/05A·PRI31/05
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.600.800.600.330.60
vs Stronger (14)0.500.640.620.750.330.50
vs Similar (16)0.620.561.000.430.330.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Dukagjini) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DukagjiniDukagjini

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D10W00D10W00D00D20W12L00DA·BAL04/04A·PRI13/04A·GJI19/04H·MAL26/04A·FER30/04H·DRE03/05A·LLA10/05H·DRI17/05A·PRI24/05H·BAL31/05
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.370.430.210.500.50
vs Stronger (8)0.500.250.500.000.500.50
vs Similar (22)0.450.410.400.300.500.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Drenica Skënderaj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Drenica Skënderaj over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drenica Skënderaj over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drenica Skënderaj over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dukagjini over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dukagjini over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dukagjini over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Drenica SkënderajDrenica Skënderaj

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L10W00D31W11D10W01L14L22D10WH·PRI05/04A·LLA12/04H·DRI19/04A·PRI25/04H·BAL30/04A·DUK03/05H·GJI09/05A·MAL17/05H·FER24/05A·PRI31/05
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.001.131.070.600.93
vs Stronger (14)1.141.211.751.120.331.33
vs Similar (16)0.620.810.431.000.780.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Dukagjini) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DukagjiniDukagjini

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L00D22D01L11D01L00D00D20W10WA·BAL04/04A·PRI13/04A·GJI19/04H·MAL26/04A·FER30/04H·DRE03/05A·LLA10/05H·DRI17/05A·PRI24/05H·BAL31/05
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.670.500.640.620.69
vs Stronger (8)0.381.000.500.250.251.75
vs Similar (22)0.640.550.500.800.750.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Drenica Skënderaj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Drenica Skënderaj over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drenica Skënderaj over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drenica Skënderaj over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dukagjini over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dukagjini over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dukagjini over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.579.7%1.29
10Bet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
--+8.9%✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (24)
€8m
BAL (26)
€7m
PRI (24)
€6m
MAL (19)
€5m
LLA (28)
€5m
GJI (16)
€4m
DUK (20)
€3m
FER (14)
€3m
DS (8)
€1m
VUS (3)
€0m
Drenica Skënderaj's squad is €2m less valuable than Dukagjini's (€1m vs €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PRI (10)
€4m
DRI (8)
€3m
BAL (7)
€3m
LLA (9)
€2m
GJI (6)
€2m
MAL (6)
€2m
DUK (7)
€2m
FER (7)
€1m
DS (5)
€0m
VUS (0)
€0m
Drenica Skënderaj's attack is €1m less valuable than Dukagjini's (€0m vs €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAL (8)
€2m
DRI (5)
€2m
MAL (4)
€1m
LLA (7)
€1m
GJI (3)
€1m
PRI (3)
€1m
DUK (5)
€1m
FER (2)
€0m
DS (1)
€0m
VUS (0)
€0m
Drenica Skënderaj and Dukagjini have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (11)
€3m
PRI (11)
€2m
BAL (11)
€2m
MAL (9)
€2m
LLA (12)
€2m
GJI (7)
€2m
DUK (8)
€1m
FER (5)
€1m
VUS (3)
€0m
DS (2)
€0m
Drenica Skënderaj and Dukagjini have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
DS wins
2
Draws
4
DUK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Drenica Skënderaj vs Dukagjini · H/A from DS
DateH/AGameScore
03/05/26ADukagjini Vs DS0-1
08/03/26HDS Vs Dukagjini2-2
23/11/25ADukagjini Vs DS3-0
21/09/25HDS Vs Dukagjini1-1
14/05/23HDS Vs Dukagjini1-4
11/03/23ADukagjini Vs DS2-0
09/11/22HDS Vs Dukagjini0-1
15/09/22ADukagjini Vs DS1-2

Drenica SkënderajDrenica Skënderaj

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/05/26APrishtina Vs DS1-2
24/05/26HDS Vs Ferizaj3-2
17/05/26AMalisheva Vs DS4-1
09/05/26HDS Vs Gjilani2-1
03/05/26ADukagjini Vs DS0-1
30/04/26HDS Vs Ballkani1-2
25/04/26APrishtina e Re Vs DS2-3
19/04/26HDS Vs Drita1-0
12/04/26ALlapi Vs DS0-1
05/04/26HDS Vs Prishtina2-2

DukagjiniDukagjini

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/05/26HDUK Vs Ballkani1-0
24/05/26APrishtina e Re Vs DUK2-3
17/05/26HDUK Vs Drita2-0
10/05/26ALlapi Vs DUK0-0
03/05/26HDUK Vs Drenica Skënderaj0-1
30/04/26AFerizaj Vs DUK1-2
26/04/26HDUK Vs Malisheva0-1
19/04/26AGjilani Vs DUK2-3
13/04/26APrishtina Vs DUK1-1
04/04/26ABallkani Vs DUK2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Drenica Skënderaj
Drenica Skënderaj
Kosovo: Superliga
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWW1.06
HomeDWLWW1.28
AwayWWWLW0.84
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%36%28%
AVG goals2.823.002.64
Over 1.5 %68%72%64%
Over 2.5 %52%56%48%
Over 3.5 %32%36%28%
Scored1.081.440.72
Conceded1.741.561.92
BTTS48%64%32%
Clean Sheet20%20%20%
Corners---
Cards---
Dukagjini
Dukagjini
Kosovo: Superliga
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWWW1.48
HomeDLLWW1.50
AwayDWWDW1.46
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%38%38%
AVG goals2.242.272.21
Over 1.5 %70%73%67%
Over 2.5 %36%35%38%
Over 3.5 %20%19%21%
Scored1.181.271.08
Conceded1.061.001.12
BTTS54%54%54%
Clean Sheet34%31%38%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PrishtinaPrishtina39
100%
3.0
92+7
3.7
67%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
4123.00.7
-
2MalishevaMalisheva37
67%
2.3
102+8
4.0
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2123.30.7
-
3GjilaniGjilani37
67%
2.3
73+4
3.3
100%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.31.0
-
4DritaDrita26
100%
3.0
63+3
4.5
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3233.01.5
-
5BallkaniBallkani36
67%
2.0
65+1
3.7
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3222.01.7
-
6DukagjiniDukagjini35
33%
1.7
32+1
1.7
33%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2111.00.7
-
7Drenica SkënderajDrenica Skënderaj32
0%
0.7
13-2
1.3
67%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.31.0
-
8FeronikeliFeronikeli30
0%
0.0
17-6
2.7
67%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1010.32.3
-
9LlapiLlapi30
0%
0.0
311-8
4.7
100%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.03.7
-
10VushtrriaVushtrria40
0%
0.0
210-8
3.0
50%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.5
-
Kosovo: Superliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Superliga stats & trends →

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