Drenica Skënderaj vs Ferizaj Result & Analysis

Drenica Skënderaj are tipped to lift the trophy in a 48% home-win scenario, the model’s pick and the most likely outcome. The clash is expected to see 2.9 goals on average, with the single most probable scoreline 1-1 at a 12.2% chance. Drenica’s home form shows they average 1.93 goals scored and 1.57 conceded against stronger opposition, while Ferizaj, playing away against weaker teams, manage only 1.0 goal scored and concede 2.0 on average. The draw and away-win probabilities sit at 26% each. The model’s selection over 1.5 goals carries an 80.4% probability, reflecting the expected high-scoring nature of the match. Both sides finished their last five with a draw, each 1-1, hinting at a balanced contest. The predicted outcome remains a home victory, with the match likely to see a 1-1 scoreline.

The win extends Drenica Skënderaj’s recent run, as they finished the last five matches with two draws, two wins and a loss, coming off a 1-1 draw with Malisheva. Ferizaj likewise ended their streak with a 1-1 draw against Rilindja 1974. The model’s favourite, a home win, was correct, with the final score 3-2 confirming the predicted outcome. The pre-match probability for a Drenica win was 48 percent, while the draw and away win chances were 26 percent each. The model’s selection of Over 1.5 goals hit, with an 80.4 percent probability. All other suggested picks were settled, and the model’s predictions largely materialised.