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Drenica Skënderaj vs Prishtina Result & Analysis

Date: 19/10/2025
Time: 11:00
Final 3-4
Drenica Skënderaj
Drenica Skënderaj
Vs
27%
28%
45%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Prishtina
Prishtina
Kosovo: Superliga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Drenica Skënderaj win✗ Miss
27.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Prishtina win✓ Hit
44.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Drenica SkënderajDrenica Skënderaj

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-414L13L00D10W03L10W11D10W34L02LA·PRI20/05H·DRI28/05H·LLA17/08H·PRI31/08A·BAL14/09A·DRI17/09H·DUK21/09A·GJI25/09H·MAL28/09A·FER05/10
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.631.830.801.670.472.00
vs Stronger (13)0.852.311.172.500.572.14
vs Similar (17)0.471.470.561.110.381.88
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Prishtina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PrishtinaPrishtina

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D11D32W30W13L22D31W20W50W10WA·LAR24/07H·LAR31/07A·DUK17/08H·LLA24/08A·GJI31/08H·DRI14/09A·MAL21/09H·PRI25/09A·FER28/09H·BAL04/10
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.071.471.001.331.13
vs Stronger (2)1.002.502.001.000.004.00
vs Similar (27)1.411.001.381.081.430.93
vs Weaker (1)2.000.002.000.00--
Clean sheet %37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Drenica Skënderaj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.5%
Under 1.5
25.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
48.2%
Under 2.5
51.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
26.4%
Under 3.5
73.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.2%
No
46.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.5%
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.1%
0-0
8.7%
0-2
8.2%
1-0
7.0%
2-1
6.8%
2-2
5.1%
Drenica Skënderaj goals ↓
Prishtina goals →
01234
08.7%9.8%8.2%4.1%1.5%
17.0%14%9.1%4.5%1.7%
24.6%6.8%5.1%2.5%0.9%
31.7%2.5%1.9%0.9%0.3%
40.5%0.7%0.5%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Drenica Skënderaj goals (down), columns = Prishtina goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Drita
1.83
Malisheva
1.64
Ballkani
1.61
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.50
Drenica Skënderaj
1.43
Dukagjini
1.42
Gjilani
1.42
Llapi
1.41
Prishtina
1.36
Ferizaj
1.00
Prishtina e Re
0.80
Liria Prizren
0.00
Drenica Skënderaj is 0.07 points better than Prishtina in terms of average points per game (1.43 vs 1.36).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Ballkani
1.69
Malisheva
1.61
Prishtina
1.44
Drita
1.39
Drenica Skënderaj
1.31
Gjilani
1.31
Llapi
1.30
Dukagjini
1.17
Ferizaj
1.11
Prishtina e Re
1.03
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.00
Liria Prizren
0.00
Drenica Skënderaj is 0.13 goals worse than Prishtina in terms of goals scored per game (1.31 vs 1.44).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Drita
0.97
Dukagjini
1.00
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.00
Ballkani
1.14
Gjilani
1.33
Llapi
1.35
Malisheva
1.39
Prishtina
1.42
Drenica Skënderaj
1.49
Ferizaj
1.53
Prishtina e Re
1.71
Liria Prizren
2.00
Drenica Skënderaj is 0.07 goals worse than Prishtina in terms of goals conceded per game (1.49 vs 1.42).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Drenica SkënderajDrenica Skënderaj

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L11D00D00D01L10W00D00D21W01LA·PRI20/05H·DRI28/05H·LLA17/08H·PRI31/08A·BAL14/09A·DRI17/09H·DUK21/09A·GJI25/09H·MAL28/09A·FER05/10
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.830.440.880.290.79
vs Stronger (14)0.570.930.711.000.430.86
vs Similar (16)0.190.750.220.780.140.71
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Prishtina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PrishtinaPrishtina

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W20W10W02L02L10W10W30W00DA·LAR24/07H·LAR31/07A·DUK17/08H·LLA24/08A·GJI31/08H·DRI14/09A·MAL21/09H·PRI25/09A·FER28/09H·BAL04/10
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.570.470.530.530.60
vs Stronger (2)0.001.000.000.000.002.00
vs Similar (27)0.520.560.460.620.570.50
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Drenica Skënderaj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Drenica Skënderaj over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drenica Skënderaj over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drenica Skënderaj over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prishtina over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prishtina over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prishtina over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Drenica SkënderajDrenica Skënderaj

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L02L00D10W02L00D11D10W13L01LA·PRI20/05H·DRI28/05H·LLA17/08H·PRI31/08A·BAL14/09A·DRI17/09H·DUK21/09A·GJI25/09H·MAL28/09A·FER05/10
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.300.930.310.690.291.21
vs Stronger (14)0.211.210.291.140.141.29
vs Similar (16)0.380.690.330.330.431.14
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Prishtina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PrishtinaPrishtina

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L12L20W11D20W21W10W20W10WA·LAR24/07H·LAR31/07A·DUK17/08H·LLA24/08A·GJI31/08H·DRI14/09A·MAL21/09H·PRI25/09A·FER28/09H·BAL04/10
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.501.000.470.800.53
vs Stronger (2)1.001.502.001.000.002.00
vs Similar (27)0.890.440.920.460.860.43
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Drenica Skënderaj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Drenica Skënderaj over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drenica Skënderaj over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drenica Skënderaj over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prishtina over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prishtina over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prishtina over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.574.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.573.6%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (24)
€8m
BAL (26)
€7m
PRI (24)
€6m
MAL (19)
€5m
LLA (28)
€5m
GJI (16)
€4m
DUK (20)
€3m
DS (8)
€1m
Drenica Skënderaj's squad is €6m less valuable than Prishtina's (€1m vs €6m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PRI (10)
€4m
DRI (8)
€3m
BAL (7)
€3m
LLA (9)
€2m
GJI (6)
€2m
MAL (6)
€2m
DUK (7)
€2m
DS (5)
€0m
Drenica Skënderaj's attack is €3m less valuable than Prishtina's (€0m vs €4m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAL (8)
€2m
DRI (5)
€2m
MAL (4)
€1m
LLA (7)
€1m
GJI (3)
€1m
PRI (3)
€1m
DUK (5)
€1m
DS (1)
€0m
Drenica Skënderaj and Prishtina have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (11)
€3m
PRI (11)
€2m
BAL (11)
€2m
MAL (9)
€2m
LLA (12)
€2m
GJI (7)
€2m
DUK (8)
€1m
DS (2)
€0m
Drenica Skënderaj's defence is €2m less valuable than Prishtina's (€0m vs €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
2
DS wins
0
Draws
2
PRI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Drenica Skënderaj vs Prishtina · H/A from DS
DateH/AGameScore
20/05/23APrishtina Vs DS4-1
18/03/23HDS Vs Prishtina0-1
12/11/22APrishtina Vs DS0-1
18/09/22HDS Vs Prishtina2-1

Drenica SkënderajDrenica Skënderaj

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/10/25AFerizaj Vs DS2-0
28/09/25HDS Vs Malisheva3-4
25/09/25AGjilani Vs DS0-1
21/09/25HDS Vs Dukagjini1-1
17/09/25ADrita Vs DS0-1
14/09/25ABallkani Vs DS3-0
31/08/25HDS Vs Prishtina e Re1-0
17/08/25HDS Vs Llapi0-0
28/05/23HDS Vs Drita1-3
20/05/23APrishtina Vs DS4-1

PrishtinaPrishtina

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/10/25HPRI Vs Ballkani1-0
28/09/25AFerizaj Vs PRI0-5
25/09/25HPRI Vs Prishtina e Re2-0
21/09/25AMalisheva Vs PRI1-3
14/09/25HPRI Vs Drita2-2
31/08/25AGjilani Vs PRI3-1
24/08/25HPRI Vs Llapi3-0
17/08/25ADukagjini Vs PRI2-3
31/07/25HPRI Vs Larne1-1
24/07/25ALarne Vs PRI0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Drenica Skënderaj
Drenica Skënderaj
Kosovo: Superliga
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWLL0.77
HomeLDWDL0.68
AwayLLWWL0.86
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%14%27%
AVG goals2.412.272.55
Over 1.5 %61%50%73%
Over 2.5 %45%41%50%
Over 3.5 %23%23%23%
Scored0.770.770.77
Conceded1.641.501.77
BTTS45%50%41%
Clean Sheet23%27%18%
Corners---
Cards---
Prishtina
Prishtina
Kosovo: Superliga
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWWW1.50
HomeDWDWW1.80
AwayDWLWW1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%44%32%
AVG goals2.462.442.48
Over 1.5 %68%68%68%
Over 2.5 %48%48%48%
Over 3.5 %30%28%32%
Scored1.421.601.24
Conceded1.040.841.24
BTTS48%48%48%
Clean Sheet36%48%24%
Corners---
Cards2.503.002.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1DritaDrita3666
56%
1.8
5035+15
2.4
75%
39%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3231.41.0
-
2MalishevaMalisheva3659
50%
1.6
5850+8
3.0
83%
58%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.61.4
-
3BallkaniBallkani3658
47%
1.6
6141+20
2.8
81%
53%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3221.71.1
-
4LlapiLlapi3752
38%
1.4
4850-2
2.6
73%
49%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.31.4
-
5DukagjiniDukagjini3651
36%
1.4
4236+6
2.2
69%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2111.21.0
-
6GjilaniGjilani3651
39%
1.4
4748-1
2.6
78%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.31.3
-
7Drenica SkënderajDrenica Skënderaj3550
43%
1.4
4652-6
2.8
66%
49%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.5
-
8PrishtinaPrishtina3649
36%
1.4
5251+1
2.9
78%
53%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
4121.41.4
-
9FerizajFerizaj3636
25%
1.0
4055-15
2.6
78%
50%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.5
-
10Prishtina e RePrishtina e Re3528
20%
0.8
3660-24
2.7
74%
46%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
11Dinamo FerizajDinamo Ferizaj23
50%
1.5
22+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
12Liria PrizrenLiria Prizren10
0%
0.0
02-2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.02.0
-
Kosovo: Superliga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Superliga stats & trends →

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