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Drita vs Drenica Skënderaj Result & Analysis

Date: 01/10/2022
Time: 11:00
Final 2-1
Drita
Drita
Vs
53%
26%
21%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Drenica Skënderaj
Drenica Skënderaj
Kosovo: Superliga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Drita win✓ Hit
53.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Drenica Skënderaj win✗ Miss
21.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

DritaDrita

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D02L22D10W11D40W20W41W42W00DA·ANT21/07H·ANT28/07A·TRE13/08H·DUK20/08A·FER28/08H·LLA03/09A·BAL11/09H·GJI14/09A·MAL17/09A·PRI28/09
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.750.752.400.601.290.86
vs Stronger (2)0.001.000.002.000.000.00
vs Similar (7)2.140.863.500.501.601.00
vs Weaker (3)2.000.332.500.001.001.00
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Drenica Skënderaj) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Drenica SkënderajDrenica Skënderaj

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L01L00D21W00D25L21W21WH·LLA14/08A·BAL21/08H·GJI24/08A·MAL27/08H·FER04/09H·TRE10/09A·DUK15/09H·PRI18/09
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.250.801.401.331.00
vs Stronger (3)1.332.332.005.001.001.00
vs Similar (5)0.800.600.500.502.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %25% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Drita) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%7%015%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.4%
Under 1.5
22.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.2%
Under 2.5
47.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.0%
Under 3.5
70.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.0%
No
46.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1 ✓
9.8%
2-0
9.5%
0-0
7.4%
1-2
5.8%
3-1
5.7%
3-0
5.5%
Drita goals ↓
Drenica Skënderaj goals →
01234
07.4%5.3%3.3%1.1%0.3%
19.8%12%5.8%2.0%0.5%
29.5%9.8%5.0%1.7%0.4%
35.5%5.7%2.9%1.0%0.3%
42.4%2.5%1.3%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Drita goals (down), columns = Drenica Skënderaj goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Ballkani
2.03
Drita
1.94
Gjilani
1.50
Dukagjini
1.39
Prishtina
1.33
Malisheva
1.28
Llapi
1.19
Ferizaj
1.14
Trepça'89
1.11
Liria Prizren
1.00
Drenica Skënderaj
0.64
Drita is 1.31 points better than Drenica Skënderaj in terms of average points per game (1.94 vs 0.64).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Drita
1.75
Ballkani
1.72
Malisheva
1.44
Prishtina
1.28
Trepça'89
1.28
Llapi
1.22
Dukagjini
1.14
Gjilani
0.94
Ferizaj
0.84
Drenica Skënderaj
0.75
Liria Prizren
0.00
Drita is 1.00 goals better than Drenica Skënderaj in terms of goals scored per game (1.75 vs 0.75).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Liria Prizren
0.00
Drita
0.86
Ballkani
0.89
Gjilani
0.94
Prishtina
1.00
Dukagjini
1.03
Ferizaj
1.35
Llapi
1.39
Malisheva
1.44
Trepça'89
1.72
Drenica Skënderaj
1.72
Drita is 0.86 goals better than Drenica Skënderaj in terms of goals conceded per game (0.86 vs 1.72).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

DritaDrita

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D00D00D00D30W10W30W11D00DH·INT12/07A·ANT21/07H·ANT28/07H·DUK20/08A·FER28/08H·LLA03/09A·BAL11/09H·GJI14/09A·MAL17/09A·PRI28/09
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.820.091.400.000.330.17
vs Stronger (2)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
vs Similar (6)1.000.172.000.000.500.25
vs Weaker (3)1.000.001.500.000.000.00
Clean sheet %91% (+62pp vs league)
This opponent (Drenica Skënderaj) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Drenica SkënderajDrenica Skënderaj

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L00D11D00D12L20W00DH·LLA14/08A·BAL21/08H·GJI24/08A·MAL27/08H·FER04/09H·TRE10/09A·DUK15/09H·PRI18/09
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.620.200.601.000.67
vs Stronger (3)0.671.331.002.000.501.00
vs Similar (5)0.400.200.000.252.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Drita) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Drita over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drita over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drita over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drenica Skënderaj over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drenica Skënderaj over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drenica Skënderaj over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

DritaDrita

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W00D02L10W11D10W10W11D31W00DH·INT12/07A·ANT21/07H·ANT28/07H·DUK20/08A·FER28/08H·LLA03/09A·BAL11/09H·GJI14/09A·MAL17/09A·PRI28/09
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.910.551.000.600.830.50
vs Stronger (2)0.001.000.002.000.000.00
vs Similar (6)1.170.501.500.501.000.50
vs Weaker (3)1.000.331.000.001.001.00
Clean sheet %55% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Drenica Skënderaj) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Drenica SkënderajDrenica Skënderaj

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D00D10W00D13L01L21WH·LLA14/08A·BAL21/08H·GJI24/08A·MAL27/08H·FER04/09H·TRE10/09A·DUK15/09H·PRI18/09
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.620.600.800.330.33
vs Stronger (3)0.671.001.003.000.500.00
vs Similar (5)0.400.400.500.250.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %62% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Drita) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Drita over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drita over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drita over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drenica Skënderaj over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drenica Skënderaj over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drenica Skënderaj over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.577.4%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Drita · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Blerim Krasniqi29%
Arb Manaj29%
Albert Dabiqaj20%
Liridon Balaj11%
Almir Ajzeraj10%
Faton Maloku0%
Vesel Limaj0%
Jorgo Pëllumbi0%
Kristal Abazaj0%
Besnik Krasniqi0%
Egzon Bejtulai0%
Rron Broja0%
Blerton Sheji0%
Veton Tusha0%
Ilir Mustafa0%
Raddy Ovouka0%
Mamadou Soumahoro0%
Mike Arthur0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mamadou Soumahoro60%
Blerton Sheji38%
Jorgo Pëllumbi25%
Vesel Limaj22%
Egzon Bejtulai20%
Albert Dabiqaj20%
Ilir Mustafa20%
Blerim Krasniqi14%
Besnik Krasniqi10%
Raddy Ovouka10%
Faton Maloku0%
Kristal Abazaj0%
Rron Broja0%
Almir Ajzeraj0%
Liridon Balaj0%
Arb Manaj0%
Veton Tusha0%
Mike Arthur0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Liridon Balaj22%
Besnik Krasniqi20%
Blerton Sheji12%
Vesel Limaj11%
Faton Maloku0%
Jorgo Pëllumbi0%
Blerim Krasniqi0%
Kristal Abazaj0%
Egzon Bejtulai0%
Rron Broja0%
Almir Ajzeraj0%
Albert Dabiqaj0%
Arb Manaj0%
Veton Tusha0%
Ilir Mustafa0%
Raddy Ovouka0%
Mamadou Soumahoro0%
Mike Arthur0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Blerim Krasniqi29%
Veton Tusha20%
Mamadou Soumahoro20%
Jorgo Pëllumbi12%
Vesel Limaj11%
Almir Ajzeraj10%
Albert Dabiqaj10%
Faton Maloku0%
Kristal Abazaj0%
Besnik Krasniqi0%
Egzon Bejtulai0%
Rron Broja0%
Liridon Balaj0%
Blerton Sheji0%
Arb Manaj0%
Ilir Mustafa0%
Raddy Ovouka0%
Mike Arthur0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (24)
€8m
BAL (26)
€7m
PRI (24)
€6m
MAL (19)
€5m
LLA (28)
€5m
GJI (16)
€4m
DUK (20)
€3m
DS (8)
€1m
Drita's squad is €8m more valuable than Drenica Skënderaj's (€8m vs €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PRI (10)
€4m
DRI (8)
€3m
BAL (7)
€3m
LLA (9)
€2m
GJI (6)
€2m
MAL (6)
€2m
DUK (7)
€2m
DS (5)
€0m
Drita's attack is €2m more valuable than Drenica Skënderaj's (€3m vs €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAL (8)
€2m
DRI (5)
€2m
MAL (4)
€1m
LLA (7)
€1m
GJI (3)
€1m
PRI (3)
€1m
DUK (5)
€1m
DS (1)
€0m
Drita's midfield is €2m more valuable than Drenica Skënderaj's (€2m vs €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (11)
€3m
PRI (11)
€2m
BAL (11)
€2m
MAL (9)
€2m
LLA (12)
€2m
GJI (7)
€2m
DUK (8)
€1m
DS (2)
€0m
Drita's defence is €3m more valuable than Drenica Skënderaj's (€3m vs €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
DRI wins
0
Draws
0
DS wins

Head-to-head

Drita vs Drenica Skënderaj · H/A from DRI
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

DritaDrita

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/09/22APrishtina Vs DRI0-0
17/09/22AMalisheva Vs DRI2-4
14/09/22HDRI Vs Gjilani4-1
11/09/22ABallkani Vs DRI0-2
03/09/22HDRI Vs Llapi4-0
28/08/22AFerizaj Vs DRI1-1
20/08/22HDRI Vs Dukagjini1-0
13/08/22ATrepça'89 Vs DRI2-2
28/07/22HDRI Vs Antwerp0-2
21/07/22AAntwerp Vs DRI0-0

Drenica SkënderajDrenica Skënderaj

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/09/22HDS Vs Prishtina2-1
15/09/22ADukagjini Vs DS1-2
10/09/22HDS Vs Trepça'892-5
04/09/22HDS Vs Ferizaj0-0
27/08/22AMalisheva Vs DS1-2
24/08/22HDS Vs Gjilani0-0
21/08/22ABallkani Vs DS1-0
14/08/22HDS Vs Llapi0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Drita
Drita
Kosovo: Superliga
Recent: 5 Wins / 4 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWD1.83
HomeWLWWW2.40
AwayDDWWD1.43
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%80%29%
AVG goals2.503.002.14
Over 1.5 %67%80%57%
Over 2.5 %42%60%29%
Over 3.5 %33%40%29%
Scored1.752.401.29
Conceded0.750.600.86
BTTS33%20%43%
Clean Sheet50%60%43%
Corners9.259.009.50
Cards4.755.504.00
Drenica Skënderaj
Drenica Skënderaj
Kosovo: Superliga
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLWW1.38
HomeLDDLW1.00
AwayLWW2.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%20%67%
AVG goals2.252.202.33
Over 1.5 %50%40%67%
Over 2.5 %50%40%67%
Over 3.5 %12%20%0%
Scored1.000.801.33
Conceded1.251.401.00
BTTS50%40%67%
Clean Sheet25%40%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BallkaniBallkani3673
56%
2.0
6232+30
2.6
78%
39%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3221.70.9
-
2DritaDrita3670
56%
1.9
6331+32
2.6
72%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3231.80.9
-
3GjilaniGjilani3654
36%
1.5
3434+0
1.9
56%
25%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2120.90.9
-
4DukagjiniDukagjini3650
39%
1.4
4137+4
2.2
58%
36%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2111.11.0
-
5PrishtinaPrishtina3648
33%
1.3
4636+10
2.3
67%
47%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
4121.31.0
-
6MalishevaMalisheva3646
33%
1.3
5252+0
2.9
72%
58%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.41.4
-
7LlapiLlapi3643
31%
1.2
4450-6
2.6
69%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.21.4
-
8FerizajFerizaj3742
27%
1.1
3150-19
2.2
68%
41%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.4
-
9TrepçaTrepça'893640
28%
1.1
4662-16
3.0
72%
58%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.7
-
10Drenica SkënderajDrenica Skënderaj3623
17%
0.6
2762-35
2.5
64%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.81.7
-
11Liria PrizrenLiria Prizren11
0%
1.0
00+0
0.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Kosovo: Superliga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Superliga stats & trends →

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