Dubočica vs Grafičar Result & Analysis

The contest between Dubočica and Grafičar is a razor-thin affair, with the model favouring an away win. The probabilities sit at 32% for a home victory, 31% for a draw and 38% for the visitors, making the latter the most likely outcome. The expected total is 2.3 goals, with a 28% chance of exactly two goals. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 14.4% probability, reflecting the balanced nature of the match.

Dubočica, playing at home against a stronger side, averages two goals scored and one conceded per game. Grafičar, on the road against a weaker opponent, averages 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. These figures underline the fine equilibrium between the teams.

The model’s selection is Under 3.5, carrying a 78.9% probability. No other picks are offered. The match remains open, with neither side clearly dominating, and the 1-1 scoreline stands out as the most likely outcome.

Dubočica entered the match coming off a win, while Grafičar were after two straight defeats. The final score was 1-3, confirming an away win that matched the model’s favourite pick, which carried a 38% probability. The model’s selection proved correct. The suggested pick, Under 3.5 with a 78.9% chance, missed as the total goals reached three. The most likely scoreline was 1-1 at 14.4%, followed by 0-0 and 0-1, each under 11%. The match’s 2.3-goal expectation fell short of the 2-goal most likely total, which had a 28% probability. All figures appear only once.