Dubočica’s defensive solidity is the headline, with a 56 % chance of a home win, 28 % for a draw and 16 % for an away victory. The model favours a 1-0 result, the single most likely scoreline, with a 15.5 % probability. The expected total of 2.2 goals translates into a tight, low-scoring match, and the most probable total is two goals, a 28 % chance. Dubočica’s home form shows they score and concede modestly against stronger opposition, while OFK Bor 1919, playing away, averages 0.33 goals scored and 2.33 conceded against stronger teams. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.8 %), Away under 3.5 goals (99.4 %), Under 6.5 (99.3 %), Under 5.5 (97.5 %), Away under 2.5 goals (96.7 %), Home +2 handicap (95.3 %), Home under 3.5 goals (93.4 %) and Under 4.5 (92.7 %). Dubočica’s recent form, after two straight defeats, and OFK Bor 1919’s draw-heavy run, set the stage for a cautious contest.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Dubočica win
55.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
28.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
OFK Bor 1919 win
16.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Dubočica
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.63
1.07
1.00
1.19
2.19
vs Stronger (5)
1.40
2.00
1.00
1.00
1.50
2.25
vs Similar (25)
1.08
1.56
1.08
1.00
1.08
2.17
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (OFK Bor 1919) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
OFK Bor 1919
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
1.83
1.33
1.33
0.33
2.33
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
2.00
1.00
1.50
0.33
2.33
vs Similar (1)
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-17pp vs league)
This opponent (Dubočica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
65.8%
Under 1.5
34.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
37.8%
Under 2.5
62.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
18.1%
Under 3.5
81.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
40.2%
No
59.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
15.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-0
12.5%
0-0
12.2%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
6.5%
3-0
6.3%
3-1
4.4%
Dubočica goals ↓
OFK Bor 1919 goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
6.5%
2.7%
0.6%
0.1%
1
15%
13%
4.0%
0.9%
0.2%
2
13%
8.7%
3.0%
0.7%
0.1%
3
6.3%
4.4%
1.5%
0.4%
0.1%
4
2.4%
1.7%
0.6%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dubočica goals (down), columns = OFK Bor 1919 goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Borac Cacak
2.50
TSC Backa Topola
2.00
OFK Vršac
2.00
Semendrija 1924
2.00
Javor
1.83
Napredak
1.67
Dubočica
1.67
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
1.50
Loznica
1.17
FK Vozdovac
1.17
Teleoptik
0.83
OFK Bor 1919
0.83
Naftagas
0.67
Jedinstvo Ub
0.67
Metalac GM
0.67
Grafičar
0.67
Dubočica is 0.83 points better than OFK Bor 1919 in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 0.83).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Javor
2.50
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
2.33
Borac Cacak
2.00
Semendrija 1924
1.83
TSC Backa Topola
1.67
OFK Vršac
1.50
Dubočica
1.50
Teleoptik
1.33
Loznica
1.33
Naftagas
1.00
Jedinstvo Ub
1.00
Napredak
1.00
Metalac GM
1.00
Grafičar
1.00
OFK Bor 1919
0.83
FK Vozdovac
0.83
Dubočica is 0.67 goals better than OFK Bor 1919 in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 0.83).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
OFK Vršac
1.00
Javor
1.00
FK Vozdovac
1.00
Semendrija 1924
1.00
TSC Backa Topola
1.17
Loznica
1.17
Napredak
1.17
Dubočica
1.17
Borac Cacak
1.17
Naftagas
1.50
Jedinstvo Ub
1.83
OFK Bor 1919
1.83
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
1.83
Metalac GM
1.83
Grafičar
1.83
Teleoptik
2.17
Dubočica is 0.67 goals better than OFK Bor 1919 in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 1.83).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Dubočica or Draw
84.0%
Avg Implied -
56%
28%
16%
covers Dubočica + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dubočica or OFK Bor 1919
71.6%
Avg Implied -
56%
28%
16%
covers Dubočica + OFK Bor 1919
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or OFK Bor 1919
44.4%
Avg Implied -
56%
28%
16%
covers Draw + OFK Bor 1919
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Dubočica over/under 0.5
Over
77.8%
Under
22.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubočica over/under 1.5
Over
44.4%
Under
55.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubočica over/under 2.5
Over
19.3%
Under
80.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubočica over/under 3.5
Over
6.6%
Under
93.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFK Bor 1919 over/under 0.5
Over
50.1%
Under
49.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFK Bor 1919 over/under 1.5
Over
15.4%
Under
84.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFK Bor 1919 over/under 2.5
Over
3.4%
Under
96.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFK Bor 1919 over/under 3.5
Over
0.6%
Under
99.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Dubočica, so a minus line means Dubočica give that many goals of a start and OFK Bor 1919 receive them. At -1, Dubočica must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Dubočica win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Dubočica)
Dubočica -2
12.2%
Draw -2
17.5%
OFK Bor 1919 +2
70.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Dubočica)
Dubočica -1
29.7%
Draw -1
25.9%
OFK Bor 1919 +1
44.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Dubočica)
Dubočica +1
84.0%
Draw +1
11.3%
OFK Bor 1919 -1
4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Dubočica)
Dubočica +2
95.3%
Draw +2
3.7%
OFK Bor 1919 -2
1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Dubočica
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.40
0.79
0.21
0.56
0.56
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
1.25
vs Similar (25)
0.72
0.28
0.85
0.23
0.58
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
70% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (OFK Bor 1919) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
OFK Bor 1919
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
1.00
0.67
0.33
0.00
1.67
vs Stronger (5)
0.20
1.20
0.50
0.50
0.00
1.67
vs Similar (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Dubočica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
63.8%
Under 0.5
36.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
27.0%
Under 1.5
73.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
9.9%
Under 2.5
90.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dubočica over/under 0.5 HT
Over
49.8%
Under
50.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubočica over/under 1.5 HT
Over
13.7%
Under
86.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubočica over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.1%
Under
96.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFK Bor 1919 over/under 0.5 HT
Over
31.7%
Under
68.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFK Bor 1919 over/under 1.5 HT
Over
6.5%
Under
93.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFK Bor 1919 over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.0%
Under
99.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Dubočica
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
1.23
0.29
0.79
0.62
1.62
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.36
1.28
0.23
0.77
0.50
1.83
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (OFK Bor 1919) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
OFK Bor 1919
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.83
0.67
1.00
0.33
0.67
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
0.80
0.50
1.00
0.33
0.67
vs Similar (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Dubočica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
76.6%
Under 0.5
23.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
40.6%
Under 1.5
59.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
18.0%
Under 2.5
82.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dubočica over/under 0.5 2H
Over
58.6%
Under
41.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubočica over/under 1.5 2H
Over
22.0%
Under
78.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubočica over/under 2.5 2H
Over
5.9%
Under
94.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFK Bor 1919 over/under 0.5 2H
Over
44.6%
Under
55.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFK Bor 1919 over/under 1.5 2H
Over
10.1%
Under
89.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFK Bor 1919 over/under 2.5 2H
Over
1.9%
Under
98.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
97.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
96.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
95.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
94.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
93.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
93.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
92.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
90.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
89.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
86.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
84.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
84.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
84.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
82.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
81.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
80.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
78.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
76.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 1.5 HT goals
73.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TBT (24)
€10m
NAP (24)
€7m
JAV (21)
€5m
FSZ (21)
€4m
GRA (19)
€4m
OV (22)
€4m
LOZ (23)
€3m
FV (20)
€3m
JU (20)
€3m
S1 (23)
€3m
BC (20)
€3m
OB1 (17)
€2m
DUB (17)
€1m
TEL (7)
€1m
Dubočica and OFK Bor 1919 have a similar squad value (both €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TBT (9)
€5m
JAV (9)
€2m
NAP (9)
€2m
FSZ (8)
€2m
OV (9)
€1m
GRA (8)
€1m
BC (10)
€1m
FV (9)
€1m
OB1 (6)
€1m
JU (9)
€1m
S1 (7)
€1m
LOZ (9)
€1m
DUB (7)
€1m
TEL (3)
€0m
Dubočica and OFK Bor 1919 have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TBT (4)
€1m
LOZ (5)
€1m
OV (4)
€1m
JAV (2)
€1m
FSZ (4)
€1m
NAP (3)
€1m
JU (2)
€1m
S1 (6)
€1m
FV (3)
€1m
GRA (3)
€1m
OB1 (3)
€0m
TEL (1)
€0m
BC (3)
€0m
DUB (2)
€0m
Dubočica and OFK Bor 1919 have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NAP (12)
€5m
TBT (11)
€4m
JAV (10)
€3m
FSZ (9)
€2m
GRA (8)
€2m
LOZ (9)
€2m
OV (9)
€1m
JU (9)
€1m
S1 (10)
€1m
BC (7)
€1m
FV (8)
€1m
DUB (8)
€1m
OB1 (8)
€1m
TEL (3)
€0m
Dubočica and OFK Bor 1919 have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Serbia: Prva Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Serbia: Prva Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Borac Cacak
Semendrija 1924
TSC Backa Topola
OFK Vršac
Javor
Napredak
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
Loznica
FK Vozdovac
Teleoptik
Naftagas
Metalac GM
Jedinstvo Ub
Grafičar